Fri, Mar. 13, 6:28 AM
Thu, Mar. 12, 8:57 AM
- B2Gold (NYSEMKT:BTG) says its new Otjikoto gold mine in Namibia has achieved commercial production ahead of schedule and that production ramp-up continues well ahead of budget.
- BTG expects Otjikoto to produce 140K-150K oz. of gold during 2015 at a cash operating cost of $500-$525/oz. and all in sustaining costs of ~$700/oz.; it sees annual gold production increasing to 200K oz. in 2016 and 2017.
Fri, Mar. 6, 2:42 PM
- Precious metals miners are bludgeoned as April Comex gold tumbles 2.7% to $1,164.30/oz. for its lowest settlement of the year so far.
- The culprit was the upbeat February jobs report, which sparked fears that the improving economy will prompt the Fed to hike interest rates sooner rather than later.
- ABX -6%, GG -6.6%, NEM -7.9%, AU -6.1%, AUY -6.6%, KGC -7.8%, SLW -3.4%, GOLD -5.4%, EGO -5%, GFI -7.9%, HL -10.4%, RGLD -8.6%, FNV -3.2%, NG -4.3%, SBGL -6.4%, PAAS -4.3%,BTG -6.5%, IAG -6.2%, AUQ -5.6%, AGI -2.8%.
- Precious metals ETFs: GLD, SLV, AGQ, IAU, USLV, SIVR, SGOL, ZSL, UGL, DGP, GLL, UGLD, DZZ, SLVO, GLDI, DSLV, OUNZ, DGL, DBS, GLTR, DGZ, DGLD, AGOL, DBP, WITE, TBAR, USV, UBG, JJP, BAR, GYEN, GEUR, BARS, RGRP, BLNG
- Precious metals mining ETFs: GDX, NUGT, DUST, SIL, GLDX, SLVP, RING, SGDM, PSAU, GDXX
Mon, Jan. 26, 10:41 AM
- Kinross Gold (KGC -1%) is downgraded to Sell from Neutral with a $2.80 target price at Goldman Sachs, which says KGC does not generate sufficient free cash flow and that the decision to allocate capital to the marginal Tasiast expansion project is questionable.
- The firm also removes B2Gold (BTG -2.4%) from its Americas Buy list and cuts the shares to Neutral, believing the positive momentum of the imminent cash flow harvesting of its Okjikoto investment will be offset by the risks of developing the Fekola project.
- Goldman raises its 2015 gold price estimate by 5% to $1,262/oz., but it expects weakness to settle in by Q3 and lowers its 2016 estimate 9% to $1,089, citing a tough macro environment including a strong U.S. dollar.
- ETFs: UGL, DGP, GLL, UGLD, DZZ, GLDI, DGL, DGZ, DGLD, TBAR, UBG, GLDE, BAR, GYEN, GEUR, BARS, GGBP
Wed, Jan. 21, 7:58 AM
- B2Gold (NYSEMKT:BTG) reports record Q4 and FY 2014 gold production and revenue, and expects the new Otjikoto mine in Namibia to ramp-up quickly to commercial production in Q1 2015.
- BTG says its mines produces 384K oz. of gold in 2014 and completed the year with Q4 output of 111.8K oz. of gold.
- Gold revenue for 2014 totaled $486.6M on record sales of 386.2K oz. at an average price of $1,260/oz.
- Expects 35% production growth in 2015 to 500K-540K oz. of gold with declining cash operating costs per ounce.
Thu, Jan. 15, 12:35 PM
- Gold, silver, platinum and palladium are spiking today on Switzerland's surprise move to abandon its currency floor, and shares of the miners are following suit: GDX +6.1%.
- "Gold is much stronger as the 'safety' of the Swiss Franc vanishes,” commented Dave Lutz of JonesTrading.
- Peter Boockvar believes that in "a world of currency battles with printing presses that are extraordinarily large... gold will be the last man standing... the gold bear market is over and will go substantially higher from here."
- Against a backdrop of concerns about global growth, deflation and renewed volatility, gold has been climbing since November as other growth-sensitive commodities such as oil and copper have sold off.
- Among precious metals miners: BTG +9.5%, GG +8.9%, KGC +8.7%, NEM +8.3%, AUY +8.1%, EGO +7.4%, AGI +7%, ABX +6.2%, NG +5.9%, AUQ +5.6%, FNV +5.5%, RGLD +5.4%, IAG +4.8%, GFI +4.2%, HL +4.2%, SLW +3.1%.
- Other ETFs: NUGT, GDXJ, DUST, SIL, JNUG, GLDX, JDST, SLVP, SILJ, RING, SGDM, PLTM, PSAU
Nov. 20, 2014, 6:54 PM
- "You can’t find a sector that is more out of favor right now than gold,” says former geologist and gold fund manager Joe Foster, who expects volatility to continue but with seemingly every headwind already pushing on the price of gold, it might not take much to spark a rally.
- Foster prefers junior miners to larger companies, as "the large caps have really gotten too big for their own good,” singling out Rio Alto Mining (NYSE:RIOM), thanks in past to its success with lower-cost heap leaching; RIOM recently acquired another heap leach operation in Peru.
- He also prefers regional miners, because geographic focus allows companies to better handle the local regulatory and political situation; Foster likes Randgold (NASDAQ:GOLD), which operates mostly in west Africa and has one of the most successful discovery track records in the industry.
- Rounding out Foster's five favorites: B2Gold (NYSEMKT:BTG), Eldorado Gold (NYSE:EGO) and Torex Gold Resources (OTCPK:TORXF).
Nov. 14, 2014, 6:09 AM
Oct. 9, 2014, 3:58 PM
- The price of gold may be rising, but gold mining stocks are getting hammered today; after all, "they are still stocks," Barron's Johanna Bennett writes.
- Gold prices rallied today to $1,234/oz., their highest level since Sept. 23, a day after the dovish minutes from the Fed’s September policy meeting excited gold bugs, but shares of the mining companies are falling along with the broader market selloff.
- Among the top mining names: IAG -6.9%, KGC -6.2%, SLW -5.9%, NGD -5.5%, AU -4.9%, GG -4.7%, ABX -3.9%, AUY -3.9%, GFI -2.8%, BTG -2.7%, RGLD -2.6%, AGI -2.1%, GOLD -1.8%.
- ETFs: GLD, SLV, GDX, GDXJ, NUGT, AGQ, IAU, DUST, SIL, USLV, SIVR, JNUG, SGOL, ZSL, UGL, GLDX, DGP, GLL, UGLD, DZZ, JDST, SLVO, GLDI, DSLV, SLVP, DGL, DBS, SILJ, DGZ, RING, OUNZ, GGGG, DGLD, AGOL, SGDM, PSAU
Oct. 8, 2014, 6:20 PM
- No investment sector benefited more today from the dovish take on the FOMC meeting minutes than precious metals miners, as the Fed's worries over weakening world economies and a strong U.S. dollar offer hope for gold bulls that the Fed will not rush to raise interest rates.
- Gold mining ETFs surged past those linked to the commodity price, with GDX +7.4% and GDXJ +9.6% while GLD +1%; among leveraged ETFs, NUGT +21.5%.
- Among major miners: BTG +14.4%, AGI +13.6%, GG +8.6%, RGLD +8.6%, SLW +8%, NGD +7.6%, IAG +7.5%, GFI +7%, AUY +6.9%, ABX +5.2%, AU +4.8%, KGC +3.5%.
- Other ETFs: SLV, AGQ, IAU, DUST, SIL, USLV, SIVR, JNUG, SGOL, ZSL, UGL, GLDX, DGP, GLL, UGLD, DZZ, JDST, SLVO, GLDI, DSLV, SLVP, DGL, DBS, GLTR, SILJ, DGZ, RING, OUNZ, GGGG, DGLD, AGOL, DBP, SGDM, WITE, PSAU
Oct. 6, 2014, 2:45 PM
- Gold prices bounce off 15-month lows to reclaim $1,200/oz. as the dollar rally pauses, helping strengthen shares of precious metals miners: AU +4.4%, GFI +3%, IAG +1.9%, BTG +3%, GG +2.2%, NGD +1.5%, KGC +1.6%, AGI +1.6%, RGLD +1%, SLW +2.1%.
- Sterne Agee analysts Michael Dudas and Satyadeep Jain foresee gold and silver prices trending higher, with gold averaging $1,400/oz. in 2015 and $1,450 in 2016 and silver averaging $19 next year and $21 in 2016, as “global demand remains firm, liquidity remains ample and the dollar appears overbought.”
- With investor sentiment still skeptical, Sterne thinks any supportive macro news flow could provide fuel for a rally; the firm rate Newmont Mining (NEM +1.5%), Agnico-Eagle Mines (AEM +2.4%), Coeur Mining (CDE +1.3%) and Gold Resource (GORO +0.2%) as Buys, with Barrick Gold (ABX +0.5%), Hecla Mining (HL +4.3%) and Pan American Silver (PAAS +1.5%) rated Neutral.
- ETFs: GLD, SLV, AGQ, IAU, USLV, SIVR, SGOL, ZSL, UGL, DGP, GLL, UGLD, DZZ, SLVO, GLDI, DSLV, DGL, DBS, DGZ, OUNZ, DGLD, AGOL, DBP, TBAR, USV, UBG, JJP, GLDE, BAR, GYEN, GEUR, RGRP, BARS, GGBP, BLNG
Aug. 14, 2014, 6:11 AM
Jul. 14, 2014, 11:29 AM
- Precious metals miners are broadly lower as gold futures head for their biggest daily drop of 2014, plunging $29.30, or 2.2%, to $1,308.10/oz.
- Physical demand has remained short of expectations, Commerzbank's Eugen Weinberg says, and India's decision to maintain a 10% import duty on gold and silver likely will dampen future gold demand expectations from the country.
- Barclays, which expects gold to drop to $1,200/oz. by Q3, also expresses caution, saying recent gains across the metals complex look toppy.
- ABX -1.2%, NEM -1.7%, GG -2.4%, KGC -1.8%, AEM -1.4%, AUY -1.4%, EGO -3%, NGD -2.8%, FNV -2.4%, AGI -2.6%, AU -2.2%, IAG -1.9%, GFI -3.4%, BTG -2.1%, NG -0.7%, SLW -2.1%.
- ETFs: GLD, SLV, GDX, NUGT, AGQ, IAU, DUST, SIL, USLV, SIVR, SGOL, ZSL, UGL, DGP, GLDX, GLL, UGLD, DZZ, SLVO, GLDI, DSLV, SLVP, DGL, DBS, GLTR, DGZ, RING, AGOL, DGLD, OUNZ, DBP, GGGG, WITE, PSAU, TBAR, USV, UBG, JJP, GLDE, GYEN, GLDL, RGRP, GLDS, GEUR, GGBP, BLNG
Jul. 10, 2014, 10:54 AM
- Eldorado Gold (EGO -0.6%) is downgraded to Hold from Buy with a $9 price target at Canaccord, which notes that shares have outperformed gold miner competitors by 14%.
- The firm says EGO is experiencing a closing gap in valuation due to its expansion plan with its Kisladag, Olympias and Skouries assets, leading it to take a more conservative approach on the shares.
- EGO is one of the few major gold miners not sporting a gain in early trade, as overseas events have boosted the sector: NEM +1%, GG +1.2%, ABX +1.3%, KGC +1%, AEM +1.5%, AUY +2.4%, NGD +3.2%, FNV +1.9%, AGI +0.9%, AU +0.5%, BTG +0.3%, GFI -0.5%, IAG -1.3%.
Jun. 27, 2014, 5:36 PM
Jun. 20, 2014, 3:22 PM
- It's a good idea to have exposure to gold stocks in one's portfolio, say JPMorgan analyst John Bridges and team, but beware of sector plays (GDX -1.3%), and instead pick and choose carefully.
- Goldcorp (G +0.1%) is a "simple decision stock," says the team, thanks to its strong balance sheet, growth profile, and disciplined management. Names like Barrick (ABX -1.2%), Newmont (NEM +1.1%), and Kinross (KGC -1.9%) would fare better in a gold bull market, but today's "back-to-basics phase" means valuations are driven by strong operations and accretive deals.
- Another theme is to own players with operations in the safest locations, an idea paying off for Agnico (AEM +0.7%), but the team also recently initiated B2Gold (BTG +1.1%) with positive coverage on the idea some companies can learn how to operate successfully in "more complex locations."
- Another favorite is laggard Buenaventura (BVN -0.5%) which is likely to see improved results in H2.
BTG vs. ETF Alternatives
B2Gold Corp is a gold producer with three operating mines, two in Nicaragua and one in the Philippines. It operates the Libertad Mine and the Limon Mine in Nicaragua, the Masbate Mine in the Philippines and the Otjikoto Mine in Namibia.
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