Cheesecake Factory Inc. (CAKE)

All Comments on CAKE

  • commenter
    BuyingRT
    Apr 15 10:36 AM
    Casual Dining Sector Offers Up Compelling Plays Like Ruby Tuesday [view article]
    I've been following this as well. I recently graduated form college, and I am just beggining my own investment portfolios.

    I have actually bought 100+ shares multiple times in the past few months in the $6-$7 range. Each time I sold them off again at a higher price. Most recently at 8.11, just prior to the Q3 earnings report. In 3 months I have managed to make $150 on an initial $650 investment, and I still hold 110 shares (10 more then I started with).

    I just wish I had more capital to play with. Long term I plan to keep my shares, but realistically I don't see the stock making a large turn-around for at least another year.     Reply
  • commenter
    Bernard2222
    Apr 15 10:33 AM
    Casual Dining Sector Offers Up Compelling Plays Like Ruby Tuesday [view article]
    Well done Daniel, I agree with your thesis. What's interesting to see also is that although it hasn't always been reflected in earnings, RT accumulates a lot of cash from operations every year.

    Now that they've finished renovating their restaurants and that their strategy will be to stop growth expenditures (no new restaurants) for the next 3 years, there will be a lot of free cash flow coming in. The CapEx per year is projected to go down from $150M to $20M! This will leave them with a lot of cash to repay their debt, which is probably the market's main concern at this point.     Reply
  • commenter
    Daniel
    Jacome
    Apr 14 05:47 PM
    My Website
    Short Interest at Record Levels [view article]
    We did it again:

    March 30th we said:

    "1) CROX is dead: someone out there knows something, otherwise the stock wouldn't be trading at such a low PEG ratio; also don't expect a pop unless sales pick up drastically and as we all know, they are DECELERATING....."...

    Today -- CROX - 30% in after hrs on nasty guidance, we expected nothing less from arguably the creepiest management in the footwear space
     Reply
  • commenter
    SeekingAlpha
    Editors
    Apr 06 05:18 AM
    My Website
    General Discussion on CAKE
    Is this a buy or a sell? Reply
  • commenter
    User 171852
    Apr 03 12:04 AM
    Raw Data Report: Family Restaurants [view article]
    If you would like to see more surveys like these on a daily basis you can find them at tickermine.com.
    Casey Ryan
    CEO
    TickerMine
    casey@tickermine.com     Reply
  • commenter
    Trading
    Goddess
    Mar 31 04:56 AM
    My Website
    Short Interest at Record Levels [view article]
    I love CROX! A shoe fit for a Goddess! Go buy a pair. Do it! Because I said so! Reply
  • commenter
    pitchforkpau
    l
    Mar 30 10:05 PM
    Short Interest at Record Levels [view article]
    Gaucho is accurate on most of his comments! The dividend though is estimated at 0.67 this quarter in the article I read... They are truly pulling a wedgee on the shorts:) Yes I am long on CALM. Reply
  • commenter
    Mikebrah
    Mar 30 01:55 PM
    Short Interest at Record Levels [view article]
    PS - Long CROX...if that wasn't obvious. Initiated position at 18.95 and have been accumulating. Reply
  • commenter
    Mikebrah
    Mar 30 01:47 PM
    Short Interest at Record Levels [view article]
    shortsqueeze.com has a lot of helpful short information available for free, and a subscription service with even more info.

    Is CROX dead, or is it being murdered? Personally, I think its the latter. I could understand the skepticism if it were still in the $70s, but at $17 it seems this short is over.

    40% short interest in a stock that has 30% forward earnings growth? 6.5x forward earnings? Chairman just bought $5m worth of stock at $20/share? Rampant international growth...I just fail to see the justification for an OVERWHELMINGLY bearish view of this company.

    Are the shoes ugly? Yeah, but they're really comfortable and extremely versatile and functional.

    The decelerating growth rate was a valid argument when the stock was in the 60s and 70s, but at $17 with its current valuations, the decelerating growth is irrelevant if they continue to grow at 20-30%.

    Anyway, just my $.02
    MM     Reply
  • commenter
    gaucho
    Mar 30 01:42 PM
    My Website
    Short Interest at Record Levels [view article]
    I short that I am now accumulating is CALM. IT currently has 78% of the float shorted and the price action is amazing. LOOK AT THE MONTH GRAPH They are due to report Monday. If this news is as good as many people expect then the top could fly off this one.

    Management has gotten aggressive recently in fighting the shorts.

    First they have announced that they will pay 1/3 of all profits as dividends!! The latest earnings estimate is well over 2.00 this quarter.

    Second they have announced a 4 million shares buy back!!

    Third they are making it clear that they are taking on the shorts by making news announcement about the dividend and the buyback.

    Fourth They have a huge growth rate..

    Fifth The shorts were under water after 8.00 per share!! It is now 38 per share. With over 12 million short they are looking at being under water over 300 million dollars!!

    This is not a pump please conduct your own due diligence. Do a Google search these guys could go is to a short squeeze of epic proportions. No my works but those of a recent news commentator.
    Reply
  • commenter
    Daniel
    Jacome
    Mar 30 01:02 PM
    My Website
    Short Interest at Record Levels [view article]
    1) CROX is dead: someone out there knows something, otherwise the stock wouldn't be trading at such a low PEG ratio; also don't expect a pop unless sales pick up drastically and as we all know, they are DECELERATING.

    2) The other point is that when pessimism is this high, it tends to demarcate a bottoming in the markets; consumer confidence is at a 5Y low, and hopefully you guys can pull up some data from past CC levels and point out what the markets did afterward......
     Reply
  • commenter
    Marol
    Mar 30 02:13 AM
    Short Interest at Record Levels [view article]
    Tom (TM) -- thanks for the NYSE short list. I find it useful to see these lists, esp if something I own or want to own is on them -- helps to decide, and also to be more alert to the danger of their falling after a short squeeze. (I try to keep a note to myself of those things I have that are in a short squeeze.)

    However, I think that Howard's question points to far more useful information -- how long it would take to cover the squeeze. This is something that Altucher et al. include in their short squeeze lists, so there must be some way to find it out w/o too much trouble.

    Can anyone tell me how? I can really use such info.

    --Thanks.     Reply
  • commenter
    Lio
    Mar 30 12:53 AM
    Short Interest at Record Levels [view article]
    What about professionals being long ETFs and short the stocks ? Don't you consider that the disparition of the short selling rule now allows more arbitrages (no synthetic exposure by name) ? Reply
  • commenter
    goatfarmer
    Mar 29 09:20 AM
    My Website
    Short Interest at Record Levels [view article]
    The first chart, percentage of float, appears to show a little more than a year. That's not a long time for an all time high. Reply
  • commenter
    THUMPHREY
    Mar 28 04:56 PM
    Short Interest at Record Levels [view article]
    Check with the guru of short interest...Erlanger Research. Phil will let you know exactly whats up or consequently down with shorts..... Reply
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