Wed, Feb. 4, 12:44 PM
Wed, Feb. 4, 9:41 AM
- Though it beat Q4 revenue estimates and posted in-line EPS, Calix (NYSE:CALX) guided on its Q4 CC (transcript) for Q1 revenue of $89M-$93M and EPS of -$0.04 to -$0.09, below a consensus of $94.6M and $0.02.
- Pressuring EPS: Operating expenses are expected to rise to $46.5M-$47.5M from $40.7M a year earlier. Gross margin is expected to be in a 47.5%-48.5% range after totaling 48.1% in Q4 and 45.9% a year earlier.
- CFO William Atkins: "Due to the book, bill and ship nature of our business our visibility can generally be limited to the next 90 days. With Q1 being the most difficult quarter to project given that many of our customers are still finalizing our budgets." JDS Uniphase stated last week 2015 carrier budgets remain in flux.
- Q4 results, PR
Wed, Feb. 4, 9:13 AM
Dec. 9, 2014, 1:52 PM
- Verizon CFO Fran Shammo has promised his company will continue growing wireless capex (albeit while cutting wireline capex) to keep up with data traffic growth. Small cells and smart antennas were mentioned as areas of interest.
- The remarks have been well-received by investors in telecom equipment and component/chip vendors, many of whom have been hit hard by soft North American and (to an extent) European spending. The Nasdaq is up 0.3%.
- Gainers: JDSU +3.6%. FNSR +3.1%. CYNI +10.1%. INFN +2.8%. CIEN +1.9%. AMCC +3.7%. PMCS +3.7%. ZHNE +3%. OCLR +5.4%. AFOP +2.8%. ADTN +2.5%. UBNT +2.2%. XXIA +1.7%. CALX +3.5%. EZCH +2.9%. SONS +2.4%. Sonus is also benefiting from a bullish Wedbush coverage launch.
- The group was pummeled in November after AT&T set a 2015 capex budget of $18B, down from 2014's $21B.
Nov. 13, 2014, 3:28 PM
- Though Cisco is higher after beating FQ1 estimates and issuing soft FQ2 guidance, many telecom equipment and component/chip names are going in the opposite direction.
- At issue: Cisco reported a 10% Y/Y drop in service provider orders (-18% in the U.S.), while stating on its CC (transcript) it "saw dramatically reduced spend at several large U.S. service providers." The networking giant also suggested demand will remain weak during the next couple of quarters.
- The remarks came just a few days after AT&T set a 2015 capex budget of $18B (down from 2014's $21B), prompting a Monday selloff in equipment vendors and their suppliers.
- Today's decliners: ALU -3.8%. CIEN -2.8%. JDSU -3.1%. FNSR -3.7%. JNPR -1.7%. INFN -3.8%. RKUS -3.4%. ZHNE -3.2%. AMCC -4.1%. CALX -2.7%. CYNI -1.8%. ADTN -3.5%. ALLT -2.4%. FN -1.9%.
Oct. 30, 2014, 12:47 PM
Oct. 29, 2014, 4:34 PM
Oct. 24, 2014, 12:32 PM
- Though Ericsson (ERIC -3%) beat Q3 estimates, the mobile infrastructure giant stated North American business activity "slowed down during the quarter as operators currently focus on cash flow optimization." It added North American spending patterns make it tough to judge near-term demand.
- Ericsson's North American sales fell 3% Y/Y to $1.93B, partly offsetting strong growth in China, India (+56%), the Middle East (+38%), and other emerging markets. Top-line figures were boosted some by M&A.
- AT&T and Verizon have been taking cautious approaches to capex, and Sprint (though investing heavily in 4G following the SoftBank deal) has been looking to cut costs under new CEO Marcelo Claure. The U.S. and Japan have been ahead of many other developed markets in ramping 4G coverage.
- Juniper (JNPR -6.3%) offered light Q4 guidance two weeks after delivering a Q3 warning, and reported its service provider sales were down 6% Y/Y due to soft demand from Asia-Pac, EMEA, and (especially) U.S. carriers.
- When the world's #2 carrier router vendor was asked on the CC (transcript) about 2015 sales, CEO Shaygan Keradpir admitted Juniper has poor near-term visibility, and that a rebound could take time. "Because we think these cycles typically take 2 to 4 quarters ... our planning assumption is that growth will return in the second half of 2015."
- Nokia and Infinera recently offered more positive numbers/commentary. Bulls have argued strong data/video traffic growth will lift capex. Bears have argued soft (if not negative) carrier revenue growth will continue pressuring spending.
- Decliners: ALU -1.6%. JDSU -2%. INFN -3.1%. CIEN -2.5%. CALX -2.5%. FNSR -1.8%. ADTN -1.5%. The Nasdaq is up 0.4%.
Oct. 15, 2014, 4:07 PM
- In an encouraging sign for beaten-down telecom equipment and chip/component stocks, Adtran (ADTN +5.7%) managed to rally even though it guided on its Q3 CC (transcript) for a low-to-mid teens Q/Q revenue drop. Consensus (doesn't appear to have fully accounted for Adtran's Q3 warning) was for revenue to drop 2% to $154.9M in Q4.
- Adtran attributed much of its Q3 weakness to "a decline in Europe as a large project there had a seasonal slowdown." Enterprise softness also took a toll.
- The company "[expects] to see an upturn in this business" in 2015, but European sales are expected to remain soft in Q4. Other equipment vendors, such as Juniper (JNPR +2%) and Ciena (CIEN +2.7%), have provided weak guidance blamed on U.S. wireline capex; AT&T is generally seen as a big culprit.
- In addition to Juniper and Ciena, many other industry names have closed with healthy gains. PKT +6.3%. INFN +3.4%. ZHNE +6.7%. ALLT +5.2%. AFOP +4.5%. AMCC +12.5%. CYNI +4%. CALX +3.3%. FNSR +3.1%. UBNT +4.2%. OPLK +3.4%. RKUS +3.3%.
Oct. 8, 2014, 10:10 AM
- Goldman has upgraded broadband/access telecom equipment vendors Adtran (ADTN +2%) and Calix (CALX +2.4%) to Buy.
- The firm likes Adtran's valuation in the wake of last week's warning, and forecasts share gains and continued healthy demand from Deutsche Telekom. It likes Calix's last-mile fiber wins and exposure to CenturyLink's broadband buildout.
- Adtran reports on Oct. 15, and Calix on Oct. 29.
Oct. 3, 2014, 1:37 PM
- Adtran (NASDAQ:ADTN) expects Q3 revenue of $162M-$163M and EPS of $0.23-$0.24, below a consensus of $177.4M and $0.27.
- The company blames a bigger-than-expected Q/Q drop in European sales, and a "softer enterprise spending environment." On the other hand, sales to U.S. carriers (a weak spot for many companies as of late) grew Q/Q, and Adtran forecasts "a re-acceleration in carrier spending both in Europe and the U.S." in 2015.
- Telecom equipment peer Cyan (CYNI -5.4%) is selling off on a day the Nasdaq is up 1%. Calix (CALX -1.1%) is off moderately.
Apr. 16, 2014, 11:53 AM
- Though Adtran (ADTN -6.2%) has reiterated guidance for Q2 revenue of $172M-$180M (consensus is at $174.9M), the telecom equipment vendor is forecasting gross margin will drop to 49%-50% from Q1's 52.9%.
- In addition, Adtran says U.S. carrier spending was slower than usual in seasonally soft Q1.
- Shares are off sharply in response, after opening with just modest losses in response to Adtran's mixed Q1 results. Rival Calix (CALX -0.9%), which reports on April 29, is edging lower on an up day for the Nasdaq.
Apr. 7, 2014, 9:35 AM
- Analog Devices (ADI +0.8%) has been upgraded to Neutral by Goldman. The firm cut ADI to Sell on Jan. 2, when shares were moderately lower.
- Avago (AVGO -1.1%) has been pulled from Goldman's Conviction Buy list, but remains rated a Buy.
- FireEye (FEYE +1.9%) has been started at Outperform by FBN.
- Calix (CALX +2.3%) has been started at Buy by Craig-Hallum.
- Inphi (IPHI +2.7%) has been started at Buy by CRT Capital.
- Align Technology (ALGN +1%) has been upgraded to Outperform by Barrington Research.
Mar. 12, 2014, 6:38 PM
- Goldman's upgrades of Infinera (INFN +14.9%) and Calix (CALX +2.8%) wound up sparking a broader rally telecom equipment and optical component makers. Notable gainers: FNSR +6.2%. UBNT +6.7%. CYNI +5.1%. CIEN +3.8%. JDSU +5.4%. AFOP +3.4%. NPTN +3.4%. ADTN +2.8%. FN +2.2%.
- Goldman's Simona Jankowski believes Infinera, which recently lost a major Verizon deal to Alcatel-Lucent, has regained Level 3 as a client. She also estimates 100G optical system shipments "have approximately a 15% point gross margin advantage" relative to 10G counterparts, and sees this delta boosting Infinera's margins as 100G "increases from mid-50% of total product revenue in 2013 to mid-70% in 2014."
- Regarding Calix, Jankowski reports seeing better spending trends among the tier 2/3 carriers the company leans heavily on, and thinks 2014/2015 estimates now "more accurately reflect" Calix's growth trajectory.
- Today's gains come as the optical networking industry's OFC 2014 conference continues. As usual, the conference has seen a slew of product launches. Ciena has followed Infinera (previous) in launching software tools for intelligently controlling a network's optical layers, and JDS Uniphase is showing off several new components and modules.
Mar. 12, 2014, 9:36 AM| Comment!
Jan. 22, 2014, 4:05 PM
- After reporting an EPS beat and in-line revenue this morning, Adtran (ADTN +4.5%) guided on its CC for Q1 revenue to be flat to down by a mid-single digit percentage Q/Q.
- Though the consensus is for revenue to be down less than 1% Q/Q to $158.8M, investors are taking heart in Adtran's forecast, given it follows warnings from several telecom equipment names.
- A slew of telecom equipment and component/chip vendors followed Adtran higher today. JDSU +3.1%. NPTN +4.6%. FNSR +2.3%. [CIEN] +2.1%. ALLT +2.6%. PKT +1.8%. CALX +1.7%.
CALX vs. ETF Alternatives
Calix, Inc., offers broadband communications access systems and software for fiber- and copper-based network architectures that enable communications service providers, to connect to its residential and business subscribers in North America.
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