Q3 2009 Earnings Call

November 6, 2009 10:30 am ET

• GM U-turn on Opel sparks German road rage. German officials were outraged by GM's surprise decision to keep Opel, its European arm, abandoning a long-expected sale to a Magna- (MGA) led group that the German government had agreed to back with €4.5B of state aid. GM said improving business conditions and the strategic importance of Opel had prompted the move, which came after the EU forced GM's board to revisit the deal over concerns Germany had influenced its decision. GM expects restructuring Opel to cost about €3B; it's unclear whether the German government will help it restructure.
• Buffett joins Goldman in bid for tax credits. Sources say Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) has joined Goldman Sachs (GS) in a bid to buy $3B in tax credits from Fannie Mae (FNM), adding a twist to a politically sensitive deal. The credits are virtually worthless to Fannie Mae, and require it to take losses each quarter as their value declines, while profitable companies could use them to offset taxes. The government, which controls Fannie, is thought to be reluctant to approve a deal that would allow Goldman to save on taxes, given the firm's already tenuous standing with lawmakers and on Main Street; taking widely-respected Buffett as a partner could reduce the tension.
• Berkshire bets big. Warren Buffett says his $100/share bid for Burlington Northern Santa Fe (BNI) was his first and only offer, stressing that the deal is "not a bet on next month or next year. We're going to own it forever." Berkshire (BRK.A) will pay about 60% cash and 40% stock for the railroad, taking on $8B in debt and depleting its cash store to about $20B, leaving it almost fully-invested according to its standards, which analysts say could result in strategic divestments in the future. Berkshire will split its so-called Baby Berkshire shares (BRK.B) by 50 to enable small Burlington stakeholders to participate in the share swap, which will help bring its famously pricey stock within the means of retail investors.
• Obese healthcare premiums. A Senate probe found U.S. health insurers (AET, CI, CVH, HUM, UNH, WLP) are spending considerably less of their premiums on medical care than official industry estimates - an average of $0.70/dollar instead of the $0.87 cited by industry group AHIP. The report also singled out Cigna for mis-categorizing $5B worth of clients. "The American people and I are asking a serious question and one that deserves a straight answer – why are health insurance costs going up each year?" Sen. Jay Rockefeller said. "While health-care costs are spiraling upwards, consumers are paying more and getting less, and the health insurance industry doesn't want anyone to know what they are up to."
• Regulators fret Asia bubble. The World Bank warned Tuesday that the sudden reappearance of billions of dollars in investment capital in East Asia is "raising concerns about asset price bubbles," while the IMF cited "a risk" that surging Hong Kong asset prices are being driven by a flood of capital "divorced from fundamental forces of supply and demand." About $53B has gone into emerging-market stock funds this year.
• China backs Shanghai Disney. Beijing gave Disney (DIS) the go-ahead to build a $4B theme park in Shanghai, allowing the media giant to establish a presence in a massive market that has presented substantial hurdles to foreign entertainment companies. The park has been discussed for close to a decade. Disney already operates a theme park in Hong Kong.
• Oracle awaits EU veto. Oracle (ORCL) is expecting a formal objection to its planned $7.4B acquisition of Sun Microsystems (JAVA) from the EU Commission within days, sources say. Despite concerns over the deal's impact on the database market, Oracle has refused to make any concessions to European regulators.
• Bain in exclusive talks to buy Citi's Bellsystem. Private-equity group Bain Capital is reportedly in exclusive negotiations with Citigroup (C) to buy its Japanese telemarketer Bellsystem24 in a deal that could be worth more than $1B. A team of CVC Capital and Blackstone (BX) also made an offer in the final round of bidding, which closed last Friday. Citigroup put Bellsystem24 up for sale as part of its efforts to raise cash; it has already sold its retail broker Nikko Cordial Securities and asset management firm Nikko Asset Management in Japan.
• Car sales show spark. U.S. vehicle sales declined less than 1% in October, the first signs of a recovery without the aid of government incentives. The drop made October the year's strongest month aside from August, which received a lift from the cash-for-clunkers program. The seasonally adjusted annual sales rate was 11.2M. "Thinking of where we've come from, it's certainly a positive signal," J.D. Power's Jeff Schuster said. GM's sales rose 5% - the first gain since Jan. 2008. Ford's (F) grew 3%.
• Second IPO nixed. Aviv REIT Inc. (AVI) became the second U.S. company in less than a week to pull its IPO after pricing and demand failed to meet investors' expectations, dealers said. September and October's 18 IPOs have collectively beaten the S&P 500 by just 0.3% during their first month of trading - the worst showing on record.
• Mortgage apps rise. Mortgage applications increased 8.2% from a week ago, MBA said, led by a 14.5% jump in refinancing. The average rate for 30-year fixed mortgages declined to 4.97% from 5.04%.
• Oct. Challenger Job-Cut Report: Announced layoffs fell to 55,679 vs. 66,404 in September, the lowest total since March 2008. As recently as October 2008, the number stood at 113K.

Earnings: Wed. Before Open

• Agrium (AGU): Q3 EPS of $0.16 in-line. Revenue of $1.84B (-40.8%) vs. $2.07B. (PR)
• Ambac (ABK): Q3 EPS of $7.58 vs. consensus of -$4.43. Revenue of $23.6M (-24.6%) vs. $23.4M. Says results "reflect significant unrealized mark-to-market gains in the credit derivatives portfolio and gains resulting from reinsurance cancellations during the quarter." Shares +30% premarket. (PR)
• Automatic Data Processing (ADP): FQ1 EPS of $0.56 beats by $0.06. Revenue of $2.1B (-3.6%) in-line. (PR)
• Aqua America (WTR): Q3 EPS of $0.25 in-line. Revenue of $181M (+2.1%) vs. $189M. Increases quarterly dividend by $0.01 (7.4%) to $0.145. Says results were negatively impacted by eighth wettest summer in 137 years. (PR)
• Baker Hughes (BHI): Q3 EPS of $0.26 misses by $0.10. Revenue of $2.23B (-26%) in-line. Says international results were negatively impacted by price discounting. Expects to complete acquisition of BJ Services (BJS) in Q1 2010. (PR)
• Becton Dickinson (BDX): FQ4 EPS of $1.25 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $1.9B (+5%) in-line. (PR)
• Comcast (CMCSA): Q3 EPS of $0.33 beats by $0.08. Revenue of $8.8B (+3%) in-line. Declares quarterly dividend of $0.0675. (PR I, II)
• Devon Energy (DVN): Q3 EPS of $1.10 beats by $0.20. Revenue of $2.1B (-64.9%) in-line. O&G production is up 8% YTD. Shares +4.3% premarket. (PR)
• Diedrich Coffee (DDRX): FQ1 EPS of $0.07 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $15.8M (+52%) vs. $13.2M. Diedrich is being acquired by Peet's Coffee & Tea (PEET). (PR)
• Foster Wheeler (FWLT): Q3 EPS of $0.71 beats by $0.08. Revenue of $1.22B (-29.2%) vs. $1.29B. (PR)
• Garmin (GRMN): Q3 EPS of $1.02 beats by $0.03. Revenue of $781M (-10.2%) vs. $704M. Gross margin 52%. Operating margin 30% from 25% last year. (PR)
• Huntsman (HUN): Q3 EPS of -$0.24 misses by $0.16. Revenue of $2.11B (+13%) vs. $1.95B. Says expansion of Asian ops "has allowed us to take advantage of markets less affected by the ongoing global recession." Anticipates economic recovery will continue. (PR)
• IAMGOLD (IAG): Q3 EPS of $0.18 beats by $0.08. Revenue of $235M (+3.7%) vs. $224M. Shares +3.5% premarket. (PR)
• Liz Claiborne (LIZ): Q3 EPS of $0.43 misses by $0.23. Revenue of $770B (-24.1%) vs. $790B. Says it's seeing "significantly improved comparable store sales results" Q4 to date. (PR)
• Marsh & McLennan (MMC): Q3 EPS of $0.48 beats by $0.22. Revenue of $2.52B (-10.5%) vs. $2.6B. (PR)
• Martha Stewart Living Omnimedia (MSO): Q3 EPS of -$0.22 misses by $0.13. Revenue of $49.8M (-25.1%) vs. $51.3M. Shares -8.1% premarket. (PR)
• MFA Finanacial (MFA): Q3 EPS of $0.25 misses by $0.01. Shares +0.3% premarket. (PR)
• Molson Coors (TAP): Q3 EPS of $1.14 beats by $0.16. Revenue of $854M (-7.3%) vs. $834M. (PR)
• Pulte Homes (PHM): Q3 EPS of -$1.15 misses by $0.46. Revenue of $1.09B (-30%) vs. $1.23B. Says results "reflect a homebuilding industry that continues its transition toward more stable market conditions as lower prices and historically low mortgage rates are helping to support homebuyer demand. Challenges remain, however, as economic weakness, foreclosures, rising unemployment and recent uncertainty over the expiration of the federal tax credit continue to influence buyer behavior." (PR)
• Quanta Services (PWR): Q3 EPS of $0.32 beats by $0.11. Revenue of $781M (-25.6%) vs. $858M. (PR)
• R.R. Donnelley & Sons (RRD): Q3 EPS of $0.54 beats by $0.09. Revenue of $2.5B vs. $2.4B. (PR)
• Time Warner (TWX): Q3 EPS of $0.61 beats by $0.08. Revenue of $7.13B (-5.9%) in-line.(PR I, II)
• Transocean (RIG): Q3 EPS of $2.65 misses by $0.02. Revenue of $2.82B (-11.6%) in-line. (PR)
• TRW Automotive (TRW): Q3 EPS of $0.68 beats by $0.52. Revenue of $3.11B (-13.5%) vs. $2.87B. Sees Q4 revenue of $3.2B vs. $3B. "The cautious optimism that has emerged for the industry is supported by the increasing vehicle production forecasts. Although it appears the bottom of the financial crisis has been reached, full recovery will be a long and gradual process." (PR)
• Tyco Electronics (TEL): Q3 EPS of $0.30 beats by $0.03. Revenue of $2.7B (-24.6%) vs. $2.6B. (PR)
• Watson Pharmaceuticals (WPI): Q3 EPS of $0.66 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $662M (+3.3%) vs. $688M. (PR)
• XTO Energy (XTO): Q3 EPS of $0.86 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $2.29B (+7.7%) in-line. (PR)

Earnings: Tue. After Close

• Anworth Mortgage Asset (ANH): Q3 EPS of $0.27 misses by $0.04. Interest income of $63M (-14%). Shares +2% AH. (PR)
• CBL & Associates Properties (CBL): Q3 FFO of $0.50 beats by $0.03. Revenue of $263M (-8%) vs. $255M. Shares -0.8% AH. (PR)
• Con-Way (CNW): Q3 EPS of $0.39 misses by $0.20. Revenue of $1.1B (-18%) in-line. Shares +0.1% AH. (PR)
• Crown Castle International (CCI): Q3 EPS of -$0.13 misses by $0.09. Revenue of $429M (+12%) vs. $419M. Sees full-year EPS of -$0.58 to -$0.49 vs. -$0.45, on revenue of $1.54B vs. $1.66B. Shares -6.3% AH. (PR)
• Digital River (DRIV): Q3 EPS of $0.42 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $99.4M (+3%) vs. $98.3M. Sees Q4 EPS of $0.30-0.34 vs. $0.42. Shares -1.3% AH. (PR)
• Discovery (DISCA): Q3 EPS of $0.22 misses by $0.05. Revenue of $854M (+1%) vs. $850M. Shares -0.1% AH. (PR)
• Excel Maritime (EXM): Q3 EPS of $0.81 beats by $0.68. Revenue of $174M (-25%) vs. $101M. Shares +6% AH. (PR)
• Exco Resources (XCO): Q3 EPS of $0.20 misses by $0.02. Revenue of $131M (-70%) vs. $229M. Shares -0.5% AH. (PR)
• Hartford Financial (HIG): Q3 core EPS of $1.56 beats by $0.45. Results exclude highly variable realized gains/losses. Raises full-year EPS guidance to $0.85-1.05 from $0.00-0.20, vs. $0.50. Shares +4.8% AH. (PR)
• Kraft (KFT): Q3 EPS of $0.55 beats by $0.07. Revenue of $9.8B (-6%) vs. $10.3B. "Our volume/mix, profit margin and cash flow trends are strengthening as we successfully execute our growth plan." Shares -2.9% AH. (PR)
• Onyx Pharmaceuticals (ONXX): Q3 EPS of $0.35 beats by $0.13. Revenue of $69M (+36%) vs. $65M. Shares -0.7% AH. (PR)
• Pioneer Natural Resources Company (PXD): Q3 EPS of -$0.06 misses by $0.13. Revenue of $410M (-32%) vs. $400M. Shares -0.2% AH. (PR)
• STEC (STEC): Q3 EPS of $0.50 beats by $0.03. Revenue of $98M (+54%) vs. $97M. Shares -31.9% AH. (PR)
• Unum Group (UNM): Q3 EPS of $0.64 in-line. Revenue of $2.52B (+3%) vs. $2.56B. (PR)
• Vivus (VVUS): Q3 EPS of -$0.30 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $4.3M (-2%) vs. $5.3M. Shares -3.7% AH. (PR
• Yamana Gold (AUY): Q3 EPS of $0.12 misses by $0.01. Revenue of $333M (+50%) vs. $358M. Shares -2% AH. (PR)

Today's Markets

Overseas markets posted solid gains Wednesday after U.S. markets rebounded from early weakness to finish off Tuesday flat. Futures are higher in moderate overnight trading.

This is the second quarter 2009 edition of our ongoing hedge fund portfolio tracking series. Before reading this update, make sure you check out our series preface on hedge fund 13F filings.

It's been a week or two since we last checked in on 13F filings and our apologies for those of you anxiously awaiting the next installment. Unfortunately, there has been such a slew of 13D and 13G filings from various funds we track that we have been swamped. However, we are here again to cover a few more funds via 13F to give you an entire portfolio snapshot of their long U.S. equity positions. The last manager we covered in our 13F analysis was Bret Barakett and Tremblant Capital Group. This time around, we'll kick it back off with Chris Shumway's hedge fund, Shumway Capital Partners.

How to Play Earnings: Kroger (KR), Best Buy (BBY), Adobe (ADBE), Palm (PALM), Apple (AAPL), Salesforce (CRM), Ralcorp (RAH), Treehouse Foods (THS), Wal-Mart (WMT), Carnival (CCL), Discover Financial (DFS), Oracle (ORCL)

United States Natural Gas Fund Is Terrible Paper (UNG), Devon (DVN), Apache (APA), Anadarko (APC), Linn Energy (LINE), First Trust’s ISE-Revere Natural Gas (FCG)

This is the second quarter 2009 edition of our ongoing hedge fund portfolio tracking series. Before reading this update, make sure you check out our series preface on hedge fund 13F filings.

Next up is John Griffin's hedge fund Blue Ridge Capital. Griffin is very similar to Stephen Mandel (whom we also just covered) in that they were both some of Julian Robertson's top men at legendary hedge fund Tiger Management. They both went on to form their own funds and as such are labeled 'Tiger Cubs.'

This is the second quarter 2009 edition of our ongoing hedge fund portfolio tracking series. Before reading this update, make sure you check out our series preface on hedge fund 13F filings.

Next up is David Stemerman's hedge fund Conatus Capital. This is just the third time we've covered Conatus' portfolio because this is literally only its third 13F filing. It is obviously a newer fund, but its manager and analysts certainly have quite the pedigree. Conatus raised $2.3 billion and began trading last year after David Stemerman left Lone Pine Capital to start his own hedge fund. Conatus is an interesting story to follow because, as we all know, Stemerman's old employer, Lone Pine Capital, is a prominent 'Tiger Cub' hedge fund. And now many years later, Lone Pine is seeing its own progeny spin off their own funds. Matt Iorio also left Lone Pine to start his own firm, White Elm Capital, which we will also track for the first time in the coming days. We find it appropriate to track these two gentlemen because they are well-versed in the successful bottom-up 'Tiger' investing style and have contributed to Lone Pine's solid track record.

Q2 2009 Earnings Call

July 30, 2009 10:30 am ET

• Reactions to Microhoo. Reactions to the Microsoft (MSFT) and Yahoo (YHOO) search deal announced yesterday have been mixed. Some investors wondered why Yahoo agreed to a deal with no upfront fee, after previously saying any deal would be conditioned on 'a boatload of cash,' and doubts about the deal's benefits to Yahoo helped pull shares down 12% (Microsoft closed up 1.4%, and the deal may mark an important turning point for CEO Steve Ballmer). Still, others felt "dropping the dead weight of search isn’t a horrible idea" for a company that has no realistic chance of beating Google (GOOG). The deal could face antitrust concerns but will likely be approved.
• TARP exit for AmEx. American Express (AXP) has officially exited TARP after repurchasing warrants from the government for $340M. The company said the warrant buyback, along with $74.4M of dividend payments it made, provided taxpayers with an annualized 26% return. Analysts noted the repurchase price was in line with the $1.1B Goldman Sachs (GS) paid, indicating the Treasury has indeed taken a tougher negotiating stance on the warrant purchases in light of congressional pressure.
• FDIC to break up banks. In an effort to entice more buyers, the FDIC is poised to start breaking up failed banks into good and bad pieces. The goal is to sell the most distressed parts of failed banks to private equity firms and other investors that are willing to take a larger risk on bad assets. The 'good' pieces of failed banks, including deposits and branches, could then be sold to traditional banks.
• Sanofi buys out Merck's JV stake. Sanofi-Aventis (SNY) agreed to buy Merck's (MRK) half of their joint Merial animal-health venture for $4B in cash, and said the companies may work together again in the future to form the world’s largest maker of animal treatments. Sanofi and Merck had collaborated on Merial for over ten years, building it into a company with $2.6B in annual sales. The deal should help Merck allay antitrust concerns over its proposed purchase of Schering-Plough (SGP). Premarket: SNY -0.9% (7:00 ET).
• Mortgage fraud probe includes Goldman, Deutsche. A Senate panel reportedly subpoenaed financial firms including Goldman Sachs (GS) and Deutsche Bank (DB) in search of evidence of mortgage fraud during last year's market meltdown. The probe is focused on whether bankers had private doubts about the financial soundness of the mortgage-related securities they were publicly promoting. Washington Mutual, now largely owned by JPMorgan Chase (JPM), may also have been among the firms that received a subpoena.
• Citi advances asset sales. Citigroup (C) is 'moving extremely fast' on asset sales, said CEO Vikram Pandit. Citigroup announced today it had agreed to sell its stake in a Japanese asset management unit to Sumitomo Trust & Banking, Japan’s fifth-largest bank, for ¥112.4B ($1.18B).
• New help for homeowners. The White House is planning to announce new guidelines today to help homeowners struggling with Federal Housing Administration-insured mortgages. The guidelines will narrow the gap between the FHA's mortgage-modification program and the White House's foreclosure-prevention plan, and will "offer borrowers an opportunity to stay in their homes, make payments that are manageable and defer [payment of] the money owed to a later time when, hopefully, home values have improved."
• Fidelity signs IPO pact with Deutsche. Fidelity Investments struck a deal with Deutsche Bank (DB) allowing Fidelity's individual investors to participate in initial public offerings underwritten by Deutsche as of this week. Fidelity reached a similar deal last month with private equity group Kohlberg Kravis Roberts, but the Deutsche deal carries more weight because Deutsche is one of the 10 busiest underwriters of stock offerings in the U.S. For Deutsche, access to Fidelity's customers will broaden the range of IPOs it can land.
• Beige Book sees recession moderating. The Federal Reserve's Beige Book was released yesterday, and noted the recession seems to be growing less severe. Some regions said the downturn's pace has moderated, and others reported that activity is stabilizing. Retail sales are still sluggish, and wages and benefits are steady or falling in most districts. (Read the Fed's Beige Book summary)
• China seeks to reassure on monetary policy. In a volatile day of trading, Chinese stocks managed to close up 1.7% after China's central bank released a statement aimed at calming jittery investors. After the Chinese stock market fell 5% on Wednesday, its largest daily drop in eight months, the central bank pledged to maintain loose monetary policy in order to support an economic recovery and to ensure sustainable credit growth, seemingly without relying on a strict, central bank-directed quota system used in the past.
• Boeing gets squeezed. British Airways (BAIRY.PK) is pressuring Boeing (BA) to renegotiate installment payments on its 787 Dreamliner orders. Predelivery payments can total tens of millions of dollars per jetliner, and as airlines find it increasingly difficult to bankroll the payments, plane makers like Boeing are getting squeezed. In other bad news for Boeing, a contractor said yesterday that the Dreamliner's braking system is still incomplete because of a dispute over who should pay for the work, and S&P downgraded Boeing's credit rating by one notch over concerns of additional production cuts due to airline order deferrals and cancellations.
• PennyMac a few pennies short on IPO. PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust, the distressed-mortgage investment company run by former Countrywide No. 2 Stanford Kurland and 10 other former Countrywide officials, raised $320M in its initial public offering, $80M less than planned. The company sold 16M shares at $20 each.

Earnings: Thursday Before Open

• AmerisourceBergen (ABC): FQ3 EPS of $0.42 beats by $0.03. Revenue of $18.39B (+2.2%) vs. $18.11B. (PR)
• Aon (AOC): Q2 EPS of $0.76 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $1.9B (-4%) in-line. (PR)
• Art Technology Group (ARTG): Q2 EPS of $0.06 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $44M (+6%) in-line. Shares +3.2% premarket (8:20 ET). (PR)
• AstraZeneca (AZN): Q2 EPS of $1.64 beats by $0.24. Revenue of $8B (+0%) vs. $7.8B. Shares +3.5% premarket (6:40 ET). (AstraZeneca's press release (.pdf))
• Automatic Data Processing (ADP): FQ4 EPS of $0.45 in-line. Revenue of $2.1B (-4.5%) in-line. Issues downside guidance for FY '10, sees EPS of $2.29-2.39 vs. $2.44 consensus, sees revenue down 1-4%, or to roughly $8.51-8.78B, vs. $8.94B consensus. (PR)
• Avon (AVP): Q2 EPS of $0.38 beats by $0.04. Revenue of $2.47B (-9.7%) in-line. (PR)
• Barrick Gold (ABX): Q2 EPS of $0.49 beats by $0.11. Revenue of $2B (+3%) vs. $1.9B. Shares +3.5% premarket (8:10 ET). (PR)
• Becton, Dickinson and Co. (BDX): FQ3 EPS of $1.30 beats by $0.06. Revenue of $1.8B (-2%) in-line. (PR)
• BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (BCRX): Q2 EPS of -$0.23 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $4.8M (+80%) vs. $4.1M. R&D expenses decreased to $11.2M from $13.4M a year ago. (PR)
• CIGNA (CI): Q2 EPS of $1.14 beats by $0.18. Revenue of $4.5B (-8%) vs. $4.8B. (PR)
• Cincinnati Financial (CINF): Q2 EPS of -$0.03 misses by $0.21. Revenue of $874M (-5%) vs. $912M. (PR)
• CMS Energy (CMS): Q2 EPS of $0.26 misses by $0.02. Reaffirms guidance for FY '09, sees EPS of $1.25 vs. $1.27 consensus. (PR)
• Colgate-Palmolive Company (CL): Q2 EPS of $1.07 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $3.75B (-5.5%) in-line. Gross margin increased 2 points to 58.8%, driven by easing raw and packaging material costs, and continued benefit from higher prices already implemented and its ongoing aggressive savings programs. (PR)
• CONSOL Energy (CNX): Q2 EPS of $0.62 misses by $0.19. Revenue of $1.1B (-12%) in-line. (PR)
• Covidien (COV): FQ3 EPS of $0.74 beats by $0.08. Revenue of $2.5B (-3%) in-line. (PR)
• Cummins (CMI): Q2 EPS of $0.30 beats by $0.04. Revenue of $24.3B (+525%) vs. $2.5B. (PR)
• Digital Realty Trust (DLR): Q2 FFO of $0.71 in-line. Revenue of $155M (+25.2%) vs. $161M. (PR)
• Dow Chemical (DOW): Q2 EPS of $0.05 beats by $0.14. Revenue of $11.3B (-40%) vs. $13B. (PR)
• Eastman Kodak (EK): Q2 EPS of -$0.71 misses by $0.34. Revenue of $1.77B (-28.9%) vs. $1.83B. Sees loss from continuing ops at the low end of its previous $200-400M range. Shares -0.9% premarket (8:00 ET). (PR)
• Endo Pharmaceuticals (ENDP): Q2 EPS of $0.73 beats by $0.06. Revenue of $373M (+22%) vs. $358M. (PR)
• ExxonMobil (XOM): Q2 EPS of $0.84 misses by $0.18. Revenue of $74.46B (-46.1%) vs. $71.29M. Production was down 3%. Lower margins reduced earnings by $1B. Shares -1.8% premarket (8:30 ET). (PR (.pdf))
• GrafTech International Ltd (GTI): Q2 EPS of $0.12 beats by $0.08. Revenue of $158M (-51%) vs. $143M. (PR)
• International Paper (IP): Q2 EPS of $0.20 beats by $0.20. Revenue of $5.8B (-0.1%) in-line. (PR)
• Iron Mountain (IRM): Q2 EPS of $0.25 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $746M (-3%) vs. $741M. (PR)
• KBR Inc. (KBR): Q2 EPS of $0.42 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $3.1B (+17%) vs. $2.9B. (PR)
• Kimco Realty (KIM): Q2 EPS of $0.31 misses by $0.01. Revenue of $189M (+3%) in-line. (PR)
• Mack-Cali Realty (CLI): Q2 EPS of $0.87 beats by $0.06. Revenue of $173M (-3%) vs. $167M.
• MasterCard (MA): Q2 EPS of $2.67 beats by $0.25. Revenue of $1.28B (+2.7%) in-line. Net revenue was up 7% on a constant currency basis. Gross dollar volume was down 0.6%; purchase volume was down 0.7%. Shares +7.2% premarket (8:30 ET). (PR)
• Motorola (MOT): Q2 EPS of -$0.01 beats by $0.03. Revenue of $5.5B (-32%) vs. $5.6B. Issues downside guidance for Q4 (Dec), sees EPS of -$0.01 to $0.01 vs. $0.05 consensus. Shares +7.3% premarket (7:45 ET). (PR)
• Mylan (MYL): Q2 EPS of $0.32 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $1.3B (+5%) vs. $1.2B. (PR)
• Newell Rubbermaid (NWL): Q2 EPS of $0.47 beats by $0.12. Revenue of $1.5B (-18%) in-line. (PR)
• Noble Energy (NBL): Q2 EPS of $0.66 beats by $0.11. Revenue of $491M (-59%) vs. $588M. (PR)
• NRG Energy (NRG): Q2 EPS of $1.56 vs. consensus of $0.74 (may not be comparable). Revenue of $2.2B (+70%) vs. $2.1B. (PR)
• NYSE Euronext (NYX): Q2 EPS of $0.51 beats by $0.06. Revenue of $1.1B (+9.5%) in-line. (PR)
• OfficeMax (OMX): Q2 EPS of $0.04 beats by $0.03. Revenue of $1.66B (-16.5%) in-line. "Given the projected weak economic climate and our anticipation of a soft Back-to-School season, OfficeMax remains very cautious in its expectations for the second half of 2009." (PR)
• Oshkosh Truck (OSK): FQ3 EPS of -$0.30 misses by $0.12. Revenue of $1.23B (-36.1%) vs. $1.38B. "For Q4, we expect solid performance from our defense and fire & emergency segments, while we expect that our access equipment and commercial segments will both continue to face tough market conditions." (PR)
• Parker-Hannifin (PH): FQ4 EPS of $0.31 beats by $0.09. Revenue of $2.2B (-34%) in-line. Shares -1% premarket (7:50 ET). (PR)
• Patterson-UTI Energy (PTEN): Q2 EPS of -$0.12 in-line. Revenue of $161M (-69%) vs. $167M. (PR)
• Regal Entertainment Group (RGC): Q2 EPS of $0.26 misses by $0.03. Revenue of $789M (+17%) vs. $769M. (PR)
• Rockwell Collins (COL): FQ3 EPS of $0.91 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $1.1B (-9%) in-line. (PR)
• Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A): Q2 EPS of $0.62 vs. consensus of $0.93 (may not be comparable). Revenue of $63.9B (-51%) vs. $60.5B. Shares -0.65% premarket (6:50 ET). (PR)
• Sally Beauty (SBH): FQ3 EPS of $0.16 in-line. Revenue of $673M (-0.5%) vs. $684M. (PR)
• Sony (SNE): FQ1 net loss of ¥37.1B ($390M) vs. consensus of -¥110B and vs. a net profit of ¥35B a year ago. Still sees full-year loss of ¥120B. Revenue fell 19% to ¥1.6T. Shares +7.2% premarket (8:10 ET). (DJ)
• Spirit AeroSystems (SPR): Q2 EPS of $0.61 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $1.1B (-0.2%) in-line. Shares +2.3% premarket (8:00 ET). (PR)
• Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM): Q2 EPS of $0.14 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $2.2B (-23%) in-line. (PR)
• Travelers (TRV): Q2 EPS of $1.26 misses by $0.02. Revenue of $6.2B (-2%) in-line. (PR)
• Tyco International (TYC): FQ3 EPS of $0.58 beats by $0.13. Revenue of $4.2B (+0.6%) vs. $4.3B. (PR)
• Ventas (VTR): Q2 FFO of $0.68 beats by $0.06. "Our high-quality, diversified healthcare and seniors housing assets are performing very well due to demographic and need-driven demand." (PR)
• Waste Management (WMI): Q2 EPS of $0.52 misses by $0.02. Revenue of $2.95B (-15.5%) vs. $3B. Company is changing its ticker symbol to WM as of August 5, 2009. Issues downside guidance for FY '09, sees EPS of $1.95-1.99 vs. $2.02 consensus. (PR)
• Xcel Energy (XEL): Q2 EPS of $0.25 in-line. Revenue of $2B (-23%) vs. $2.6B. (PR)

Earnings: Wednesday After Close

• AFLAC (AFL): Q2 EPS of $1.20 beats by $0.06. Revenue of $4.3B (flat) vs. $4.7B. Announced planned acquisition of Continental American for $100M. (PR)
• Agnico-Eagle Mines (AEM): Q2 EPS of $0.01 misses by $0.11. Revenue of $139M (+58%) vs. $126M. EPS includes noncash currency loss of $0.12/share and stock option expense of $0.03/share. (PR)

• Akamai Technologies (AKAM): Q2 EPS of $0.40 misses by $0.01. Revenue of $205M (-2.7%) vs. $211M. (PR)

Infinera (INFN) is reported to have lost 40Gigb/S packet optical transporter system (P-OTS) bids to Huawei with Level 3 Communications (LVLT). INFN had been LVLT's sole provider of 40G; LVLT had provided 24 percent of INFN's revenues. INFN shares are down and at least one analyst has downgraded them to $6.50.

Verizon (VZ) is planning to replace routers with P-OTS; that is bad news for Cisco (CSCO) and Juniper (JNPR), who are now likely to either try to build their own P-OTS, or buy an experienced vendor like Tellabs (TLAB) [my own baseless speculation].

This is the 1st Quarter 2009 edition of our ongoing hedge fund portfolio tracking series. Before reading this update, make sure you check out the Hedge Fund 13F filings series preface.

Next up is David Stemerman's Conatus Capital. This is only the second time we've covered Conatus and is a new addition to the group of funds we cover. Conatus filed its first 13F ever in our last tracking series and so we finally get to see what it's been up to comparatively speaking. David Stemerman left Stephen Mandel's Lone Pine Capital to run his own fund, as we noted here. The result is Conatus Capital which raised $2.3 billion and started trading last year. Numerous other prominent funds have seen managers leave to start their own funds and we're also monitoring those as well.

By David Russell

Options action turned bearish on Crown Castle International (CCI) on Friday, preceding a late-day dumping of the stock.

This is the 1st Quarter 2009 edition of our ongoing hedge fund portfolio tracking series. Before reading this update, make sure you check out the Hedge Fund 13F filings series preface.

Next up, we have John Griffin's Blue Ridge Capital. Now, Griffin is similar to Andreas Halvorsen of Viking Global and Stephen Mandel at Lone Pine Capital in that they are all 'Tiger Cubs' (pupils of Julian Robertson during their time at Tiger Management). Griffin though, is more well-known because he was Julian Robertson's right hand man. So needless to say, he knows his stuff.

Q1 2009 Earnings Call

April 30, 2009 10:30 am ET

• Chrysler Ch. 11 imminent. Talks between Chrysler lenders and the Treasury broke down Wednesday, making it all but certain that the automaker will file for bankruptcy today. Government officials say everything is in place to ensure the company makes it through court quickly, possibly in as little as a few weeks. Even as the automaker prepares for a likely bankruptcy, Obama said he's hopeful Chrysler will be able to push forward with a Fiat alliance.
• GM bondholders prep counteroffer. General Motors' (GM) bondholders plan to reject GM's April 27 debt exchange offer, and to present a counteroffer that would give them control of the automaker. Sources say the counteroffer proposes that bondholders and a UAW retiree medical fund both exchange all their claims for equity stakes of 58% and 41% respectively. Common shareholders would be left with 1% ownership. A committee representing bondholders will present the alternative plan to the auto task force today. Shares +3.9% premarket (7:00 ET).
• FOMC: recession is easing. As expected, the FOMC kept rates steady at 0-0.25%. The committee pointed to signs of economic improvement, and forecast a gradual recovery amid market weakness: "Although the economic outlook has improved modestly since the March meeting, partly reflecting some easing of financial market conditions, economic activity is likely to remain weak for a time. Nonetheless, the Committee continues to anticipate that policy actions to stabilize financial markets and institutions, fiscal and monetary stimulus, and market forces will contribute to a gradual resumption of sustainable economic growth in a context of price stability." Even as the FOMC took note of some 'green shoots' in markets, it left the door open to boosting emergency financial programs if necessary. (Read the FOMC statement)
• 100+ PPIP applications. More than 100 firms applied to participate in PPIP, the Treasury's toxic-asset purchase program. At least five will get preliminary approval by May 15, at which point they can begin raising the expected minimum of $500M in private capital. (Read the Treasury's statement)
• Lewis ousted as chairman. A shareholder proposal removed Bank of America (BAC) CEO Ken Lewis from his position as chairman of the board, a possible precursor to his eventual replacement as CEO. The proposal passed narrowly, with 50.34% of the vote. Board member Walter Massey will assume the chairman's post.
• State Street probed over mortgage securities. Massachusetts' top securities regulator launched a probe into whether State Street Corp (STT) misled pension funds over the risk level of certain investments. In particular, regulators are investigating whether State Street represented mortgage-backed securities as low-risk vehicles, and whether funds marketed as safe held 'potentially inappropriate' derivatives, swaps and other securities. A State Street spokeswoman declined to comment.
• FBI probes Freddie losses. The FBI is reportedly investigating possible accounting violations at Freddie Mac (FRE), trying to determine whether the mortgage giant improperly delayed the recognition of billions of dollars of losses. The losses, incurred from 2001-2004, were connected to derivatives contracts and are due to be gradually recognized in quarterly earnings statements over the next several years.
• IBM offers pre-stimulus financing. IBM (IBM) is offering $2B in financing to customers who want to invest in broadband and healthcare technologies but are waiting to receive government stimulus funds. Since much of the government funding won't reach companies until 2010 or later, IBM sees this as a way to "jump-start those investments and jump-start the benefits."
• Budget approved. Congress approved a $3.5T budget outline for 2010, which includes special funds to pay for sweeping changes in health care, education and energy. Democrats said their budget outline will cut the deficit by more than 50% in five years. Republicans argued the reduced deficit projections omit costs, such as disaster relief, from future-year expenditures.
• IACI goes match-making. IAC/InterActiveCorp (IACI) is in talks to buy Yahoo Personals, Yahoo's (YHOO) online dating service. Yahoo has considered selling the matchmaking site in the past, and CEO Carol Bartz has expressed her interest in selling or shuttering non-core businesses. The dating site could be worth around $500M.
• Time Warner, AOL prepare to part. Time Warner (TWX) said it's preparing to move ahead with a spinoff of all or part of its struggling AOL unit, and a decision is expected 'very soon.' The company also plans to buy back Google's (GOOG) 5% stake in AOL.
• Visa beats forecast on cost cuts, debit use. Visa (V) posted better-than-expected quarterly results (see details below) as the company increased prices and cut costs. The company also benefited from consumers' increased reliance on debit cards The number of Visa-branded cards grew 8% globally to more than 1.7B, while the number of transactions processed on its network climbed 9%.
• Starbucks to focus on value. Starbucks (SBUX) narrowly beat expectations for quarterly earnings (see details below) on cost cuts. Trying to re-brand itself for the economic times, Starbucks plans to launch a multimillion dollar campaign challenging the view that coffee is an expensive luxury. The company will also selectively lower prices on some of its popular drinks while slightly raising prices on larger, more complex beverages.
• MGM finds project financing. MGM Mirage (MGM) and Dubai World reached an agreement with lenders to fully finance their $8.5B CityCenter project in Las Vegas, and Dubai World dismissed its lawsuit against MGM. The project is on track to open in December 2009.
• Apple builds chip-design team. Apple (AAPL) is shifting strategy with plans to build its own team for chip design. The company hopes the move will shield Apple's work from rivals and lead to the development of exclusive features for its gadgets.
• GDP worse than expected. Advanced Q1 GDP was -6.1% vs. consensus of -4.7% and last quarter's -6.3%. Personal consumption increased 2.2% vs. consensus of +0.9% and prior -4.3%. The price index rose 2.9% vs. consensus of +1.8% and prior +0.5%.
• BoJ holds rates steady. Bank of Japan kept its benchmark rate unchanged at 0.1%. The bank will release its economic outlook today, and will likely forecast a deeper contraction than the 2% drop predicted three months ago.

Earnings: Thursday Before Open

• Alliant Energy (LNT): Q1 EPS of $0.30 misses by $0.24. (PR)
• Ashland (ASH): FQ2 EPS of $0.64 beats by $0.34. Revenue of $2.0B (-3.4%) vs. $2.1B. (PR)
• BorgWarner (BWA): Q1 EPS of -$0.12 beats by $0.08. Revenue of $819.5M (-45.3%) vs. $854M. (PR)
• Cardinal Health (CAH): FQ3 EPS of $0.97 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $24.9B (+8.9%) vs. $24.0B. (PR)
• Celgene (CELG): Q1 EPS of $0.44 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $601M (+29.9%) vs. $602M. (PR)
• CIGNA (CI): Q1 EPS of $0.69 misses by $0.22. Revenue of $4.8B (+4.5%) in-line. (PR)
• CMS Energy (CMS): Q1 EPS of $0.30 in-line. Revenue of $2.1B (-3.6%) in-line. (PR)
• Colgate-Palmolive (CL): Q1 EPS of $0.97 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $3.5B (-5.7%) vs. $3.6B. (PR)
• Comcast (CMCSA): Q1 EPS of $0.27 beats by $0.04. Revenue of $8.4B (-5%) vs. $8.8B. (PR)
• Covidien (COV): FQ2 EPS of $0.69 misses by $0.16. Revenue of $2.7B (+11.3%) vs. $2.6B. (PR)
• Digital Realty Trust (DLR): Q1 EPS of $0.70 beats by $0.03. Revenue of $149M (+30.2%) vs. $147M. (PR)
• Dominion Resources (D): Q1 EPS of $0.97 beats by $0.09. Revenue of $4.8B (+9.8%) vs. $4.1B. (PR)
• Dow Chemical (DOW): Q1 EPS of $0.12 beats by $0.33. Revenue of $9.1B (-38.7%) vs. $11.7B. Shares +1.4% premarket (6:50 ET). (PR)
• Eastman Kodak (EK): Q1 EPS of -$1.34 misses by $1.01. Revenue of $1.5B (-29.4%) vs. $1.6B. (PR)
• Entegris (ENTG): Q1 EPS of -$0.34 misses by $0.09. Revenue of $59M (-60.2%) vs. $71M. (PR)
• EQT Corp. (EQT): Q1 EPS of $0.55 misses by $0.01. Revenue of $260M (-1.6%) vs. $310M. (PR)
• ExxonMobil (XOM): Q1 EPS of $0.92 misses by $0.03. Revenue of $64.03B (-45.2%) vs. $54.03B. Shares +0.6% premarket. (AP)
• GrafTech International Ltd (GTI): Q1 EPS of $0.04 beats by $0.03. Revenue of $134M (-53.8%) vs. $153M. (PR)
• International Paper (IP): Q1 EPS of $0.08 beats by $0.12. Revenue of $5.7B (+0%) vs. $6.3B. (PR)
• Iron Mountain (IRM): Q1 EPS of $0.20 beats by $0.08. Revenue of $723M (-3.5%) vs. $722M. (PR)
• KBR (KBR): Q1 EPS of $0.48 beats by $0.05. Revenue of $3.2B (+27%) vs. $2.9B. (PR)
• Kellogg (K): Q1 EPS of $0.89 beats by $0.10. Revenue of $3.2B (-2.7%) in-line. (PR)
• Kimco Realty (KIM): Q1 EPS of $0.43 misses by $0.01. Revenue of $194M (+2.7%) vs. $191M. (PR)
• LKQ Corp. (LKQX): Q1 EPS of $0.23 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $518M (+5.3%) vs. $523M. (PR)
• LM Ericsson Telephone (ERIC): Q1 EPS of $0.54 misses by $0.17. Revenue of $49.6B (+12.2%) vs. $42.3B. Shares -5.8% premarket (6:50 ET). (PR)
• Motorola (MOT): Q1 EPS of -$0.10 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $5.4B (-27.9%) vs. $5.55B. Shares -16% premarket (7:00 ET). (PR)
• Mylan Laboratories (MYL): Q1 EPS of $0.33 beats by $0.05. Revenue of $1.2B (+12.6%) in-line. (PR)
• Newell Rubbermaid (NWL): Q1 EPS of $0.20 beats by $0.12. Revenue of $1.2B (-16%) in-line. (PR)
• Newmont Mining (Holding Company) (NEM): Q1 EPS of $0.44 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $1.55B (-20.1%) vs. $1.40B. (PR)
• Noble Energy (NBL): Q1 EPS of $0.59 beats by $0.15. Revenue of $441M (-57%) vs. $598M. (PR)
• NRG Energy (NRG): Q1 EPS of $0.70 beats by $0.25. Revenue of $1.7B (+27.3%) vs. $1.2B. (PR)
• NYSE GROUP (NYX): Q1 EPS of $0.43 beats by $0.04. Revenue of $1.1B (+0.2%) in-line. (PR)
• OfficeMax (OMX): Q1 EPS of $0.23 beats by $0.07. Revenue of $1.91B (-17%) vs. $1.95B. (PR)
• Omnicare (OCR): Q1 EPS of $0.64 beats by $0.03. Revenue of $1.6B (+0.3%) in-line. Shares +3.3% premarket (8:10 ET). (PR)
• Oshkosh Corporation (OSK): FQ2 EPS of -$0.24 misses by $0.04. Revenue of $1.3B (-26.9%) vs. $1.5B. (PR)
• Owens Corning (OC): Q1 EPS of $0.04 beats by $0.08. Revenue of $1.1B (-20.6%) vs. $1.2B. (PR)
• Patterson-UTI Energy (PTEN): Q1 EPS of $0.11 misses by $0.03. Revenue of $296M (-41.3%) vs. $319M. (PR)
• Pennsylvania Real Estate Investment Trust (PEI): Q1 EPS of $0.71 beats by $0.03. Revenue of $73M (-0.8%) vs. $67M. Shares +1.2% premarket (8:10 ET). (PR)
• Pride International (PDE): Q1 EPS of $0.87 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $549M (+1.7%) vs. $555M. (PR)
• Procter & Gamble (PG): FQ3 EPS of $0.84 beats by $0.04. Revenue of $18.4B (-8%) vs. $18.9B. Shares +2.1% premarket (8:00 ET). (PR)
• Rayonier (RYN): Q1 EPS of $0.33 beats by $0.04. Revenue of $274M (-0.3%) vs. $286M. (PR)
• Regal Entertainment Group (RGC): Q1 EPS of $0.14 misses by $0.02. Revenue of $666M (+6.2%) vs. $651M. (PR)
• Sepracor (SEPR): Q1 EPS of $0.85 beats by $0.16. Revenue of $330M (+2.9%) vs. $329M. (PR)
• Spirit AeroSystems (SPR): Q1 EPS of $0.45 beats by $0.05. Revenue of $887M (-14.4%) vs. $859M. (PR)
• Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide (HOT): Q1 EPS of $0.14 beats by $0.10. Revenue of $1.1B (-23.7%) in-line. (PR)
• Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM): Q1 EPS of $0.01 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $1.2B (-57.9%) vs. $1.1B. Shares +4.5% premarket (8:00 ET). (PR)
• The Travelers Companies (TRV): Q1 EPS of $1.34 beats by $0.03. Revenue of $5.7B (-8.0%) vs. $6.1B. (PR)
• Tyco International (TYC): FQ2 EPS of $0.55 beats by $0.14. Revenue of $4.15B (-14.7%) vs. $4.2B. (PR)
• Viacom(B): Q1 EPS of $0.29 beats by $0.03. Revenue of $2.9B (-6.8%) vs. $3.0B. (PR)
• Watson Pharmaceuticals (WPI): Q1 EPS of $0.58 beats by $0.09. Revenue of $667M (+6.5%) vs. $638M. Shares +6.0% premarket (8:05 ET). (PR)
• Xcel Energy (XEL): Q1 EPS of $0.38 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $2.7B (-11%) vs. $3.1B. (PR)

Earnings: Wednesday After Close

• AFLAC (AFL): Q1 EPS of $1.22 beats by $0.06. Revenue of $4.82B (+12%) in-line. Total investments and cash of $61.7B down 1.7% Y/Y. Shares -2% AH. (PR)
• Agnico-Eagle Mines (AEM): Q1 EPS of $0.35 beats by $0.26. Revenue of $111M (-10.5%) vs. $72M. Shares +1.7% AH. (PR)
• Akamai Technologies (AKAM): Q1 EPS of $0.43 beats by $0.03. Revenue of $210M (-1%) in-line. Announces $100M share repurchase. Shares +5.1% AH. (PR)
• Annaly Capital Management (NLY): Q1 EPS of $0.56 beats by $0.01. Shares +1.1% AH. (PR)
• Assurant (AIZ): Q1 EPS of $1.17 misses by $0.26. Revenue of $2.09B (-4.1%) vs. $2.24B. Shares -3.7% AH. (PR)
• Biomed Realty Trust (BMR): Q1 FFO of $0.51 beats by $0.06. Revenue of $94M (+39.4%) vs. $85M. (PR)
• Boston Properties (BXP): Q1 FFO of $1.36 beats by $0.11. Revenue of $377M (+1.6%) vs. $366M. (PR)
• CB Richard Ellis Group (CBG): Q1 EPS of -$0.03 misses by $0.05. Revenue of $890M (-27.7%) vs. $983M. Shares -0.15% AH. (PR)
• Cliffs Natural Resources (CLF): Q1 EPS of -$0.07 beats by $0.07. Revenue of $465M (-6%) vs. $528M. Shares -2.5%. (PR)
• Citrix Systems (CTXS): Q1 EPS of $0.32 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $369M (-2.1%) vs. $359M. Announces up to $300M share buyback. Shares +5.1% AH. PR)
• Covance (CVD): Q1 EPS of $0.63 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $441M vs. $429M. Sees full-year EPS of $2.50-2.70 vs. consensus of $2.88. Shares flat AH. (PR)
• Crown Castle International (CCI): Q1 EPS of $0.02 beats by $0.08. Revenue of $403M (+8.7%) vs. $392M. Shares +7% AH. (PR)
• Duke Realty (DRE): Q1 FFO of $0.50 in-line. Revenue of $238M (+5%) vs. $219M. Sees full-year FFO of $1.85-2.15 vs. $1.81. Shares flat AH. (PR)
• Equity Residential (EQR): Q1 FFO of $0.57 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $515M (+2.5%) vs. $523M. Shares flat AH. (PR)
• Express Scripts (ESRX): Q1 EPS of $0.86 beats by $0.04. Revenue of $5.42B (-1.2%) in-line. Full-year guidance in-line. Shares +1.3% AH. (PR)
• First Solar (FSLR): Q1 EPS of $1.99 beats by $0.48. Revenue of $418M (+112.4%) vs. $403M. Shares +13.4% premarket. (PR)
• Flextronics International (FLEX): FQ4 EPS of $0.03 misses by $0.01. Sees FQ1 revenue of $5-6B vs. $6.2B consensus. Shares -3.3% AH. (PR)
• Genco Shipping (GNK): Q1 EPS of $1.32 beats by $0.06. Revenue of $96.7M (+5.4%) vs. $96M. Shares +0.5% AH. (PR)
• Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (GMCR): FQ2 EPS of $0.50 beats by $0.14. Revenue of $193M (+60%) vs. $178M. Sees full-year EPS of $1.47-1.53 vs. $1.31. Shares +20.4% AH. (PR)
• Harman International (HAR): FQ3 EPS of -$0.84 misses by $0.40. Revenue of $598M (-42.1%) vs. $668M. Suspends dividend. Shares -4.7% AH. (PR)
• JDS Uniphase (JDSU): FQ3 EPS of -$0.03 in-line. Revenue of $281M vs. $285M. Sees FQ4 revenue of $265-285M vs. consensus of $290M. Shares -12% AH. (PR)
• Kaiser Aluminum (KALU): Q1 EPS of $0.81 vs. consensus of $0.42. Revenue of $266M (-33.4%) vs. $277M. Shares +1.7% AH. (PR)
• LSI Logic (LSI): Q1 EPS of -$0.03 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $482M vs. $469M. Shares -0.2% AH. (PR)
• Northeast Utilities (NU): Q1 EPS of $0.60 beats by $0.05. Revenue of $1.59B (+4.8%) in-line. Shares -4.9% AH. (PR)
• Oceaneering International (OII): Q1 EPS of $0.80 beats by $0.12. Revenue of $435M (-0.2%) vs. $461M. Shares flat AH. (PR)
• O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY): Q1 EPS of $0.47 beats by $0.07. Revenue of $1.16B (+80.1%) in-line. Shares +3% AH. (PR)
• Owens-Illinois (OI): Q1 EPS of $0.55 beats by $0.19. Revenue of $1.52B (-22.5%) vs. $1.66B. Shares +11.3% AH. (PR)
• ProLogis (PLD): Q1 EPS of $0.66 misses by $0.04. Revenue of $455M vs. $245M. Shares -3.5% AH. (PR)
• Realty Income (O): Q1 EPS of $0.45 misses by $0.01. Revenue of $82.9M vs. $81.9M. (PR)
• Ryland Group (RYL): Q1 EPS of -$1.76 misses by $0.74. Revenue of $265M (-36.3%) vs. $235M. Shares -1.8% AH. (PR)
• Skechers (SKX): Q1 EPS of $0.18 beats by $0.27. Revenue of $343M (-10.8%) vs. $333M. "We are continuing to monitor our expenses and inventory levels to ensure maximum profitability in this soft economic environment, which we believe will continue to negatively impact our business." Shares +5.6% AH. (PR)
• Smith & Nephew (SNN): Q1 EPS of $0.13 misses by $0.49. Revenue of $865M (-5%) vs. $902M. Shares +0.45% premarket. (PR)
• Starbucks (SBUX): FQ2 EPS of $0.16 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $2.3B in-line. Shares +1.5% AH. (PR)
• STMicroelectronics (STM): Q1 EPS of -$0.31 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $1.66B (+33%) in-line. (PR)
• Taubman Centers (TCO): Q1 EPS of $0.70 beats by $0.12. Revenue of $158M (+0.2%) vs. $146M. Shares -0.3% AH. (PR)
• Teradyne (TER): Q1 EPS of -$0.38 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $121M (+59.4%) in-line. Shares +3.7% AH. (PR)
• Unum Group (UNM): Q1 EPS of $0.62 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $2.45B vs. $2.57B. Shares -0.1% AH. (PR)
• Visa (V): FQ2 EPS of $0.73 beats by $0.09. Revenue of $1.65B (+13.4%) in-line. Affirms full-year outlook - high-single digits in 21009 and the lower range of 11-15% in 2010. Volume growth of $675B down 1% Y/Y. Shares -0.1% AH. (PR)
• Walter Industries (WLT): Q1 EPS of $1.36 beats by $0.51. Revenue of $290M (+20.7%) vs. $316M. Shares +6.6% AH. (PR)
• Whiting Petroleum (WLL): Q1 EPS of -$0.92 misses by $0.20. Revenue of $164M in-line. (PR)

Today's Markets

Overseas markets posted strong gains Thursday, and futures are sharply higher.

It turns out that the world is not ending. Another datapoint? Goldman Sachs (GS) put a note out yesterday observing that the high yield market is rallying along with the equity market (which makes sense, btw). Seventeen percent implied yields are still higher than a couple of years ago, but the rally gives credibility to the belief that institutions are not running away from the secondary credit markets.

Don’t draw a direct line between strength in the secondary market and your ability to raise new cheap debt, however. At least not just yet. Buyers will tell you that they’d usually prefer existing, liquid, double digit yielding BB+ rated paper over a new issue.

The market has been under the media’s microscope since the phrase “credit crunch” shot to the top of the lexicon league tables. The causes and cures for how we got here and how we get back to even are daily fodder for the forecasters, pundits and practitioners.

Through all of this it is important to keep in mind that actions will always speak louder than words. In the marketplace those actions are the prices where buyer meets seller at a single point in time, plain, pure and simple.

This is the Fourth Quarter 2008 edition of our ongoing, hedge fund portfolio tracking series. Before reading this update, make sure you check out the Hedge Fund 13F filings, preface.

We've already covered: