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CLY vs. ETF Alternatives
The iShares 10+ Year Credit Bond Fund seeks results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance before fees and expenses of the long-term, investment-grade U.S. corporate and Yankee bond markets as defined by the BofA Merrill Lynch 10+ Year US Corporate & Yankees Index, which includes debt securities issued publicly by U.S. corporations and U.S. dollar-denominated, publicly issued debt of non-U.S. corporations, non-U.S. government debt and supranational debt.
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Country: United States
Thursday, Apr 1010:39 AM
Thursday, Apr 1010:39 AM| Comment!
- "The good ole' days are gone," says UBS, cutting its recommendation for U.S. corporate bonds to "small underweight" ahead of what's expected to be the beginning of a rate hike cycle in about a year.
- With spreads already so tight, any further gains from spread tightening will be marginal at best and not enough to make up for rate increases, says the team, which is bearish on both investment-grade and high-yield corporate debt.
- ETFs: HYG, JNK, LQD, HYLD, HYS, VCSH, SJNK, VCIT, VCLT, CORP, PHB, CSJ, CIU, SJB, CFT, HYHG, SCPB, LWC, ANGL, CLY, ITR, QLTA, HYLS, UJB, XOVR, THHY, IGHG, SHYG, QLTC, PFIG, SLQD, HYZD, IGS, HYND, CBND, QLTB, IGU
Tuesday, Apr 13:27 PM
Tuesday, Apr 13:27 PM| Comment!
- Investment-grade corporate paper returned 2.7% in in Q1 vs. a 1.42% gain for the MSCI World Index of stocks, the first time debt beat equities since Q2 of 2012. This follows stock gains of 27% last year while bonds fell 1.45%, and a near-universal outlook at the start of the year to rotate out of fixed-income and into equity.
- Junk bonds returned 2.86% in Q1.
- Helping, of course, is the decline in benchmark Treasury yields, but corporate balance sheets have improved, with at least some of that related to the rollicking stock market narrowing pension fund deficits.
- ETFs: LQD, VCSH, VCIT, VCLT, CORP, CSJ, CIU, CFT, SCPB, LWC, BSCE, BSCF, CLY, ITR, QLTA, BSCH, BSCG, IGHG, BSCI, PFIG, SLQD, IBCE, IBCB, BSCK, IGS, IBCC, BSCJ, BSCM, CBND, IBDC, IBDA, QLTB, IBCD, IBDB, BSCL, IBDD, IGU
Friday, Mar 72:14 AM
Friday, Mar 72:14 AM| 4 Comments
- General Electric (GE) has taken advantage of continued low rates with a $3B bond sale comprising $2.25B of 30-year notes and $750M in 10-year paper.
- The auction attracted strong demand, mainly due to the not-so-common opportunity to buy debt from the parent company rather than GE Capital. The last time the parent sold bonds was in October 2012.
- GE is rate at AA+ at S&P.
- Meanwhile, following shareholder feedback, GE will end dividend payments to senior management on new stock that has yet to vest.
- ETFs: LQD, VCSH, VCIT, CORP, VCLT, CSJ, CIU, CFT, SCPB, LWC, CLY, ITR, QLTA, IGHG, PFIG, SLQD, ENGN, IGS, CBND, QLTB, IGU
Monday, Mar 34:32 PM
Monday, Mar 34:32 PM| Comment!
- Eyeing better growth and sustained low interest rates, Moody's projects the global default rate to drop to 2.2% this year or 61 companies globally, from 2.9% or 66 companies in 2012.
- "Additional factors that support our view of a low default rate in 2014 are the continuous accommodative monetary environment together with ample liquidity, which has and will continue to allow distressed companies to access the capital market and reduce refinancing risk in the near future."
- For perspective, the average default rate since 1983 is 4.7%. It is indeed a golden age for corporate borrowers.
- Related ETFs: LQD, VCSH, VCIT, CORP, VCLT, CSJ, EMCB, CIU, CFT, EMCD, SCPB, LWC, GHYG, CLY, IBND, ITR, CEMB, PICB, QLTA, GLCB, IGHG, SLQD, PFIG, IGS, CBND, IGU, QLTB
Wednesday, Feb 124:50 PM
Wednesday, Feb 124:50 PM| 3 Comments
- "The default rate is non-existent," he says, agreeing that fundamentals in high-yield look good. "Instead of a default cycle, we've had a refinance cycle." The issue, however, is valuation. At the end of 2013, the 30-year Treasury yielded about 4%, while BB corporates "unbelievably" yielded just 4.5% - a "remarkably low incremental yield."
- His feelings about overvaluation extend to the investment grade corporate market (LQD) as well.
- Most curious to Gundlach is how universally the long bond is hated at 4%, while junk yielding 4.5% gets so much love.
- Besides Treasurys, Gundlach sees value in emerging market bonds. The risk is in the currency, but this can be eliminated by buying dollar-denominated paper.
- High yield ETFs: HYG, JNK, HYLD, HYS, SJNK, PHB, BSJF, SJB, BSJE, HYHG, BSJG, BSJI, ANGL, BSJH, HYLS, XOVR, THHY, UJB, QLTC, SHYG, BSJK, HYZD, BSJJ, HYND
- Investment grade ETFs: LQD, VCSH, VCIT, CORP, VCLT, CSJ, CIU, CFT, SCPB, LWC, CLY, ITR, QLTA, IGHG, PFIG, SLQD, IGS, CBND, IGU, QLTB
- EM bond ETFs: EMB, PCY, ELD, EMLC, EMCB, VWOB, EMCD, ILB, HYEM, EMHY, LEMB, ITIP, EMAG, EBND, GTIP, PFEM, EMSH, SEMF, IEMF, LEMF
Thursday, Nov 72013, 1:28 PM
Thursday, Nov 72013, 1:28 PM| 1 Comment
- Open for trade today is the ProShares Investment Grade Interest Rate Hedged ETF (IGHG) whose underlying index tries to achieve a duration of zero by offseting corporate debt holdings with a short position in Treasurys.
- ProShares this summer launched a similarly hedged fund, but one aimed at high yield, the ProShares HighYield Interest Rate Hedged ETF (HYHG).
- IG corporate bond ETFs: LQD, VCSH, VCIT, VCLT, CORP, CSJ, CIU, CFT, SCPB, LWC, CLY, ITR, QLTA, PFIG, IGS, SLQD, CBND, QLTB, IGU