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Fri, Jul. 25, 3:42 PM
- "We think the likelihood of a rise in government bond yields has increased and see this as a key aspect of the near-term macro outlook," says analyst Anders Nielsen as Goldman Sach's Global Opportunity Asset Locator (GOAL) downgrades equities to Neutral over the next 90-day period.
- This is a short-term call, says Nielsen, reminding his team's continuing to be Overweight equities over the next 12 months.
- The outlook for corporate credit is a bit more dour, with that asset class being downgraded to Underweight over both the next 3 and 12 months. Most at risk, says Nielsen, are investment grade credits given that spreads there are the tightest.
- Broad equity ETFs: VV, SCHX, FEX, JKD, EQL, IWL, EEH, ERW, FWDD, SYE
- IG Bond ETFs: LQD, CORP, CRED, QLTA, COBO, IGS, CBND, IGU, QLTB
Fri, Jul. 25, 11:14 AM
- Withdrawals from high-yield funds accelerate, hitting about $4.8B this week, according to EPFR Global - that's the 3rd largest weekly outflow since June of 2013.
- Investment-grade funds, on the other hand, saw inflows of roughly $4.2B, their 31st consecutive week of inflows.
- Jim Reid's Deutshce notes high-yield has been struggling this month, but no signs of stress have emerged. Indeed, the high-yield issuance market remains open for business, with another $1.3B priced just yesterday.
- High-yield ETFs: HYG, JNK, HYLD, SJB, IHY, ANGL, HYLS, PGHY, HYXU, UJB, XOVR, QLTC, IJNK
- IG ETFs: LQD, CORP, CRED, PICB, IBND, QLTA, COBO, IGS, CBND, IGU, SUBD, QLTB
Mon, Jun. 16, 3:51 PM
- Concerned about a run on the $10T corporate bond market, the Fed is considering imposing exit fees on bond funds, reports the FT.
- "So much activity in open-end corporate bond and loan funds is a little bit bank like,” Fed Governor Jeremy Stein told the FT just before he stepped down last month. “It may be the essence of shadow banking is ... giving people a liquid claim on illiquid assets.”
- Needless to say, the fees would be unpopular for investors, but fund managers may feel differently, and BlackRock, for one, has called for international rules on exit fees for some funds. Implementing exit fees would be easier said than done as a rule change by the SEC would be necessary, and some commissioners are reportedly set to put up a fight.
- ETFs: LQD, CORP, CFT, QLTA, COBO, IGS, CBND, IGU, QLTB
Wed, May. 28, 11:53 AM
- The iShares Interest Rate Hedged Corporate Bond ETF (LQDH) is an active ETF which will invest primarily in the iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (LQD) while mitigating the fund's interest rate risk exposure.
- The iShares Interest Rate Hedged High Yield Bond ETF (HYGH) is an active ETF which will invest primarily in the iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) while mitigating the fund's interest rate risk exposure.
- Two target maturity date ETFs will also launch on the 29th: the iSharesBond Dec 2016 Corporate Term ETF (IBDF) and the iSharesBond Dec 2018 Corporate Term ETF (IBDH).
- Other high yield corporate bond ETFs: JNK, HYLD, SJB, HYHG, ANGL, HYLS, UJB, XOVR, THHY, QLTC
- Other corporate bond ETFs: CORP, CFT, QLTA, IGHG, COBO, IGS, CBND, IGU, QLTB
- Other target date corporate bond ETFs: BSCE, BSCF, BSCH, BSCG, BSCI, IBCE, IBCB, BSCK, IBCC, IBDC, BSCJ, BSCM, IBCD, IBDA, IBDB, BSCL, IBDD
Fri, May. 23, 6:35 PM
- Regional transmission organization PJM says its recent auction to procure power supplies for 2017-18 resulted in a clearing price for resources - which includes generation, annual demand response and energy efficiency - which rose to $120/MW-day for most of its deliverability area.
- PJM, which coordinates the movement of wholesale electricity in all or parts of 13 states and D.C., says the auction continued an overall trend toward more gas-fired generation and increasing diversity of resources.
- PPL, Exelon (EXC), American Electric Power (AEP), Duke Energy (DUK), Dominion Resources (D) and FirstEnergy (FE) are all up ~1% AH.
- Earlier, Barclays downgraded the entire electric sector of the U.S. high-grade corporate bond market to underweight, saying it sees long-term challenges to electric utilities from solar energy which aren't yet priced in.
- ETFs: XLU, LQD, IDU, VPU, CORP, CFT, UPW, FUTY, RYU, FXU, QLTA, SDP, IGHG, COBO, IGS, CBND, IGU, QLTB
Thu, Jan. 16, 3:32 AM
- The number of foreclosure filings dropped to the lowest level since 2007 last year, declining 26% to 1.36M properties, RealtyTrac says. The figure is less than half of the peak of 2.9M properties in 2010.
- States with the highest foreclosure rates in 2013 were Florida, Nevada, Illinois, Maryland and Ohio.
- The number of foreclosure processes started plunged 33% to 747,728, the lowest since RealtyTrac began tracking the data in 2006. Bank repossessions plummeted 31% to 462,970 properties, the least since 2007. (PR)
- Relevant tickers: PHM, MHO, TOL, KBH, RYL, HOV, SPF, FNMA, FMCC
- ETFs: ITB, XHB, MBB, MBG, VMBS, CMBS, COBO
Sep. 11, 2013, 6:49 AM
- Richmond in California has approved a plan for the city to become the first in the country to forcibly acquire underwater mortgages using the power of "eminent domain," which enables governments to seize private property for a public purpose.
- The idea is for the council to work with investor group Mortgage Resolution Partners to buy delinquent mortgages at deep discounts to the associated properties' market valuations, make the loans more affordable for home owners and avert foreclosure.
- However, critics fear that the program could hurt the market for mortgage-backed securities, provoke lawsuits and endanger Richmond's finances.
- The FHFA has said it will press Fannie Mae (FNMA.OB) and Freddie Mac (FMCC.OB) to limit or cease business where eminent domain is approved, a move that would shut off most mortgage financing in the affected areas.
- ETFs: MBB, MBG, VMBS, CMBS, COBO
Jun. 21, 2013, 5:45 AMHolders of mortgage bonds may be facing billions of dollars of undisclosed losses after a review of investor documents showed that individual houses are being reported as being in foreclosure long after they've been sold or the loans paid off. The reporting lag has enabled banks and servicers to continue charging investors monthly fees, and could lead to new litigation. The companies involved include Bank of New York Mellon (BK), Wells Fargo (WFC), Ocwen Financial (OCN) and Bank of America (BAC). | 6 Comments
Jul. 5, 2012, 5:50 AMCalifornia's San Bernardino County and two of its biggest cities, Ontario and Fontana, want to use the concept of eminent domain to forcibly buy underwater mortgages from investors, lower the loan principal to match the value of the property, and then resell the reduced mortgages. Proponents believe they have a strong legal case, but mortgage investors are unsurprisingly opposed. (See Shiller) | 5 Comments
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