Thu, Feb. 12, 2:00 PM
- At least six firms have upped their Cisco (CSCO +8.7%) targets in response to the company's FQ2 beat, in-line guidance, and healthy product orders. Shares are at their highest levels since 2007.
- "We came away from the call with greater confidence in Cisco's technology leadership, execution and recovery trajectory," writes Oppenheimer (Buy). "While the headwinds in emerging markets and service provider are likely to remain in place, we believe that by now they are well reflected in estimates."
- William Blair (Outperform): "While Cisco clearly benefited from easy comparisons across its business and several major product cycles, we nonetheless walked away with increased confidence in the company's business momentum, growth prospects and strategic positioning."
- Sterne Agee (Buy): "The biggest takeaway that should drive incremental support in the stock near term is the improving tone on emerging markets (India plus 11%, Mexico plus 21%) along with U.S. commercial strength up 12% against a relatively tough comp (total Americas up 7% along with EMEA up 7%)."
- Deutsche (Buy) believes Cisco businesses responsible for half of sales - data center switching, security, services, and Wi-Fi - can post growth "2x or higher" than GDP growth. Credit Suisse (Underperform) remains bearish on a belief SDN will begin having a bigger impact on Cisco's sales and margins over the next 12-18 months.
- John Chambers mentioned yesterday Cisco now has 300+ customers for its APIC SDN controller. The remarks come after VMware reported paid customer count for its rival NSX platform rose 60% Q/Q in Q4 to 400+. Facebook, meanwhile, has just revealed a new modular switch platform for its open-source Open Compute Project.
- Prior Cisco earnings coverage
Thu, Feb. 12, 11:03 AM
- Cisco (NASDAQ:CSCO) beat FQ2 estimates on the back of 8% Y/Y product growth (aided by favorable comps), offered in-line guidance (better than feared, given forex pressures), and reported a 5% increase in product orders. Enterprise, SMB, and public sector orders respectively rose 10%, 8%, and 7%, and service provider orders dropping 1% (compares with a 10% FQ1 service provider drop).
- Cisco still isn't modeling a rebound in service provider or emerging markets demand for several quarters, and forecasts global service provider capex will be down by a mid-single digit % in 2015. But it's more optimistic about enterprise, public sector, U.S., and EMEA demand.
- Telecom and networking equipment vendors, many of whom have been hit hard by capex pressures, are rallying following Cisco's numbers, as are a couple of component/chip suppliers. The Nasdaq is up 0.7%.
- Notable gainers include Alcatel-Lucent (ALU +4.7%), Aruba (ARUN +3.4%), Ruckus (RKUS +5.1%), Sonus (SONS +3.4%), Extreme Networks (EXTR +3.4%), Brocade (BRCD +1.9%), Adtran (ADTN +3%), Infoblox (BLOX +2.7%), Finisar (FNSR +2.1%), Cavium (CAVM +2%), Ixia (XXIA +1.9%), and Mavenir (MVNR +3.4%).
- Cisco's 18% Y/Y wireless product sales growth appears to be going over well with Aruba and Ruckus investors, and its 11% switching growth with Extreme and Brocade investors.
Thu, Feb. 12, 9:15 AM
Wed, Feb. 11, 5:00 PM
- Cisco (NASDAQ:CSCO) guides on its FQ2 CC (webcast) for 3%-5% FQ3 revenue growth and EPS of $0.51-$0.53, in-line with a consensus of 4% growth and $0.52.
- John Chambers notes Cisco isn't modeling a rebound in emerging markets and service provider sales for several more quarters. As is the case for other enterprise tech giants, forex is acting as a headwind.
- Product orders rose 5% Y/Y in FQ2, an improvement from FQ1's 1%; book-to-bill was above 1. Americas orders +8% (U.S. +7%) and EMEA +7%, but Asia-Pac -6%, with a 19% Chinese decline more than offsetting 11% Indian growth.
- Enterprise orders +10%, with Cisco's 28 largest enterprise accounts growing over 30%. Commercial (SMBs) +8% and public sector +7%. Service provider orders fell 1%, but that's a big improvement from FQ1's 10% drop.
- Product segment performance: Switching revenue +11% to $3.62B (lifted by Nexus 3K/9K data center switch growth); routing +2% to $1.76B; collaboration +10% to $990M (improved from recent quarters); data center (UCS servers) +40% to $846M; service provider video -19% to $776M (set-top share loss); wireless +18% to $611M (Meraki sales doubled); security +6% to $416M.
- FQ2 results, dividend hike/details
Wed, Feb. 11, 4:20 PM
- Cisco (NASDAQ:CSCO) uses its FQ2 report to state it's upping its quarterly dividend by $0.02 to $0.21/share; that's good for a 3.1% yield at current levels. The next dividend will be paid on April 22 to shareholders on record as of the April 2 close.
- With the help of favorable comps - sales declined sharply a year ago - product revenue rose 8% Y/Y in FQ2 to $9.08B, a marked improvement from FQ1's flat growth and driving the revenue beat. Services revenue rose 5% to $2.86B.
- Gross margin was 61.7%, down from 63.3% in FQ1 but up from 61.3% a year ago, and in-line with guidance of 61%-62%. GAAP operating expenses rose 4% to $4.47B; R&D totaled $1.53B, sales/marketing $2.31B, and G&A $490M.
- $1.2B was spent on buybacks, up from FQ1's $1B. CC at 4:30PM ET, guidance should be provided.
- CSCO +1.5% AH to $27.31.
- FQ2 results, PR.
Wed, Feb. 11, 4:07 PM
Tue, Feb. 10, 5:35 PM
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Tue, Feb. 10, 2:13 PM
- In response to a Bloomberg headline stating Arista (ANET +4.8%) scored a favorable ITC ruling regarding Cisco's (NASDAQ:CSCO) infringement complaint against the company, Cisco states Arista merely obtained "a mandatory stay of our 12-patent district court case because there are two cases proceeding on the exact same patents rapidly in the ITC," something that it's entitled to by law.
- Cisco adds it filed "a statement of non-opposition" for Arista's request for a mandatory stay, and that its ITC case is "proceeding apace."
- Arista offered the following brief remarks: "Our recent statement on the case was in our earnings date announcement posted Friday, Feb. 6. We will not be commenting on every routine or procedural item related to this case." Its shares remain sharply higher on an up day for equities.
Fri, Feb. 6, 5:27 PM
- Arista (NYSE:ANET) fell 6.3% in regular trading today, leaving shares at their lowest levels since June 10, just four days after the company's blockbuster IPO. The post-IPO low is $55.00.
- Today's decline came after MKM (launched coverage at Buy in October) cut its target by $25 to $80, albeit while keeping its bullish rating. Shares fell hard on Wednesday after a Citi downgrade.
- After the close, Arista announced its Q4 report will arrive on the afternoon of Thursday, Feb. 19. Consensus is for revenue of $166.6M (+45% Y/Y) and EPS of $0.38.
- Arista used the announcement to declare the ITC's decision to investigate Cisco's (NASDAQ:CSCO) infringement complaints against the company (filed shortly after Cisco sued Arista in early December) "lack merit," and that Cisco's "unorthodox methods of publicizing them suggest a deliberate effort by Cisco to use the courts to gain a marketing opportunity."
Thu, Jan. 29, 2:59 PM
- Cisco's (CSCO +1.1%) FQ2 report will arrive after the close on Wednesday, Feb. 11. CC (likely to feature guidance) at 4:30PM ET.
- Consensus is for revenue of $11.8B (+5.7% Y/Y) and EPS of $0.51. The networking giant is up 9% since providing an FQ1 beat and light FQ2 guidance on Nov. 12.
- Separately, Cisco has unveiled its ONE software licensing program, which (echoing programs from Microsoft, VMware, and others) places a variety of products previously sold piecemeal into bundles created for managing corporate campus, data center, and WAN hardware. A cloud management bundle is also launching, as is an option to buy the bundles via subscriptions.
- "Most people don't think of Cisco as a software company per se, but we'd be the fifth largest software company in the world based on revenue," says exec Don Lohmeyer. Back in 2012, Cisco set a goal of doubling software sales by 2017.
Tue, Jan. 27, 12:11 PM
- Cisco (CSCO -4.2%) is among the biggest large-cap tech decliners not named Microsoft after the software giant reported weaker-than-expected Windows and traditional Office license figures, and provided a conservative calendar Q1 outlook. 24.7M shares have already been traded; the 3-month daily average is 29.5M.
- The networking giant's FQ2 report arrives on Feb. 11. Piper hiked its target by $7 last week to $33, citing positive survey data.
Thu, Jan. 1, 2:19 AM
- Dow: INTC +41%; UNH +35%; HD +28%; CSCO +25%; MSFT +25%.
- S&P 500: LUV +125%; EA +106%; EW +95%; AGN +92%; AVGO +91%.
- Nasdaq: AAL +112%; EA +106%; AVGO +91%; GMCR +78%; ILMN +68%.
Dec. 31, 2014, 8:43 AM
- Among the more interesting is the idea of North Korea hackers attacking the infrastructure of the NYSE and Nasdaq, precipitating a gigantic one-hour drop in stocks.
- Others include: 1) Significantly higher Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) estimates, making it the first $1T market cap company, the best-performing large-cap in 2015, and a "must own." 2) Falling home prices in H2, making shorts of homebuilders (ITB, XHB) a good play 3) Bank stocks (NYSEARCA:XLF) have a hard time of it 4) Calling Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) his new Netflix, Carl Icahn amasses a sizable position, forcing a bidding war for the company between Google and Facebook 5) Google (NASDAQ:GOOG) becomes more shareholder friendly, cutting spending and launching a buyback program 6) Activists take aim at Cisco (NASDAQ:CSCO), forcing John Chambers out 7) Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, BRK.B) makes its largest-ever acquisition, and its not in consumer goods, but instead in energy, retail, or construction/equipment.
- The full piece is here.
Dec. 18, 2014, 2:04 PM
- With the help of stronger-than-expected hardware sales, Oracle (ORCL +9.2%) beat FQ2 estimates in spite of a 400 bps forex headwind (twice what was originally expected). FQ3 guidance was conservative after taking forex pressures into account.
- The numbers have been good enough for Oracle to surge to new highs and receive a slew of target hikes, and to lead many enterprise tech names to outperform amid a big market rally. The Nasdaq is up 1.9%.
- Microsoft (MSFT +3.2%), Cisco (CSCO +2.3%), EMC (EMC +3.7%), VMware (VMW +5.1%), and beaten-down IBM (IBM +2.8%) are among the enterprise tech names outperforming today. Others: SPLK +4.6%. CA +3.5%. RHT +3.4%. VRNS +6.3%. PCTY +5.8%. JIVE +4.6%. VMEM +5.2%. SAAS +4.7%. BRCD +3.8%.
- Oracle's healthy cloud software numbers are drawing attention: While traditional software license revenue fell 4% Y/Y, its SaaS/PaaS revenue rose 41%. SaaS/PaaS bookings totaled $170M, and are expected to be "well over" $1B in FY16 (ends May '16). Fusion cloud app bookings rose over 100%.
- On the CC (transcript), Oracle performed its customary trash-talking of cloud app rivals. "We are clearly growing faster than Salesforce (CRM +4%) and were more than three times the size of Workday (WDAY +3.2%)." Both firms are posting solid gains.
- Oracle's numbers come as Bloomberg reports the Chinese government is looking to "purge most foreign technology from banks, the military, state-owned enterprises and key government agencies by 2020." IBM, Cisco, and other U.S. firms have already seen their Chinese sales fall sharply following last year's NSA spying uproar.
Dec. 18, 2014, 7:24 AM
Dec. 12, 2014, 2:28 AM
- Cisco (NASDAQ:CSCO) is planning a big jump into big data as it searches for more sources of revenue growth amid a slowdown in sales.
- Differentiating itself from the many companies that compete in data-analysis technology, Cisco plans to offer software that runs not only on servers in corporate or commercial data centers but on it’s own networking equipment.
CSCO vs. ETF Alternatives
Cisco Systems Inc is engaged in designing, manufacturing and selling of Internet Protocol (IP) based networking products and services related to the communications and information technology (IT) industry.
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