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Tuesday, June 4, 2:28 PM Copper rallies (JJC +1%) on expectations of tighter supplies, as the potential rises for an extended shutdown at Freeport McMoRan's (FCX -2.5%) Grasberg copper and gold mining operation in Indonesia. If FCX were to declare force majeure, the shutdown could remove 100K-150K metric tons of copper supply from the market, a sizable chunk out of estimates of 600K-800K metric tons. Comment! [Commodities, On the Move]
Monday, April 22, 1:52 PM Goldman Sachs cuts its forecast for copper prices this year, citing rising global stocks and mounting worries regarding China's growth outlook, but says the selloff in Freeport McMoRan (FCX -0.4%) looks overdone. The firm maintains its Buy rating for FCX but lowers its 2013 and 2014 EPS estimates to $3.35 from $4.53 and to $3 from $3.20, respectively. Comment! [Commodities]
Monday, April 22, 7:11 AM Goldman gets bullish on copper albeit at a lower price point. After a 13% YTD decline the selloff is "overdone," according to the investment bank which cut its three-, six-, and 12-month estimates to $7,500, $8,000, and $7,000 per metric ton respectively. Although some demand concerns are warranted given the cooling of China's economy, "underlying cyclical growth is likely stronger than the headline figures suggest." (Previously: a bear market in copper) 1 Comment [Commodities]
Saturday, April 20, 8:25 AM Dr. Copper's diagnosis for the world economy: It isn't well. Copper ended the week wallowing in bear market territory after top copper consumer China reported slower-than-expected economic growth. At this point, weak demand and robust supplies could continue to put pressure on copper prices, or heavy short selling may dry up and spur a strong rebound. 4 Comments [Commodities, Global & FX]
Monday, March 25, 10:42 AM Hedge funds are the most bearish ever on copper as global inventories expand to a nine-year high; speculators raised net short positions in U.S. copper futures and options by 53% to nearly 26K contracts in last week. “We’re sitting on unprecedented stockpiles," BMO's Jack Albin says. “Demand has been pretty tepid... In the global economy, we’re seeing improving growth, but it’s still at a slow rate." Comment! [Commodities, Global & FX]
Monday, March 18, 5:48 PM Copper prices hit a new 2013 low today, tumbling 2.6% as "the Cyprus news highlights what many investors would like to forget: that the region’s debt problems are ongoing... and that a solution continues to be elusive." This adds to continued China worries, as "more and more copper is piling up in warehouses." Unlike in the stock market, the slightest bit of bad news is enough to weigh on copper. Comment! [Commodities, Global & FX]
Wednesday, December 26, 2012, 8:33 AM The SEC pushes back an approval deadline for BlackRock's copper ETF just days after approving JPMorgan's offering. As with the JPM fund, lawmakers and those in the industry worry a physical ETF could draw inventory from the world supply, raising both the price and price volatility. Comment! [Commodities]
Thursday, November 29, 2012, 9:36 AM Copper supply shortages will extend into the first half of next year, Barclays estimates, as an accelerating Chinese economy more than doubles the pace of growth in global consumption. Demand will outpace supply by 316K metric tons in H1, more than all copper in London Metal Exchange warehouses, before a surplus emerges in H2. 6 Comments [Commodities, Global & FX]
Wednesday, November 14, 2012, 5:21 PM Copper prices that have risen fivefold in the past decade are the new normal and are unlikely to fade much, Chile's finance minister says. The price of the metal has averaged $3.61/lb. this year vs. $1.79 in the 2000-09 decade, but the finmin of the world's top copper miner doesn’t think prices will see $2.00-$2.50: "That would happen in the very worst part of the cycle, but not as a structural issue.” Comment! [Commodities, Global & FX]
Tuesday, October 23, 2012, 4:51 PM A growing number of analysts and traders believe the days of copper’s decade-long scarcity could be coming to an end, as the red metal's biggest consumer - China - is struggling and miners are beginning to pick up production. The ICSG predicts mined supply of copper will increase by 6.4% next year, the biggest rise since the mid-1990s. 1 Comment [Commodities, Global & FX]
Wednesday, October 17, 2012, 2:53 PM Copper prices could trade lower next year in an uncertain economic outlook, but the consensus among metals traders and mining execs is that the move is more likely to be a grind than a collapse as supplies remain tight. Even though production is rising, inventories remain low and the mining industry is expected to again fall short of its promised production. 4 Comments [Commodities]
Wednesday, October 10, 2012, 8:27 AM More signs of a mining boom turned bust, Chinalco (ACH) looks set to cut the size of the Hong Kong IPO of its Peruvian copper mining unit to about $400M from $800M (which was a cut from the initial $1B). A market in short supply no more: Chinese copper consumption is set to shrink this year, says Simon Hunt. Comment! [Global & FX, Commodities]
Tuesday, October 9, 2012, 3:22 PM Copper consumption in China is expected to drop 8.5% to 5.6M metric tons this year, contracting for the first time since 2008 before rebounding in 2013, Simon Hunt says: "The safety valve of exports has gone, the domestic economy is slowing down, they have a problem of surplus capacity and cash is extraordinarily tight... There are no signals of a recovery in heavy industry and manufacturing." 2 Comments [Commodities, Global & FX]
Wednesday, August 22, 2012, 2:58 AM BHP Billiton (BHP): H2 profit before items -35% to $7.16B vs. consensus of $6.96B. Abandons $20B Olympic Dam copper expansion and will look at a "less capital intensive option." Won't approve any new projects until at least mid-2013. It's the biggest sign of how China's slowdown has stalled the global mining boom. (PR) 11 Comments [Earnings, Top Stories, Commodities]
Wednesday, July 18, 2012, 5:53 PM Analysts are slashing predictions of a copper glut as producers from Chile to Indonesia contend with aging mines and strikes at a time of record demand. The global surplus will total 18.5K metric tons, according to a Bloomberg survey, 85% less than a January forecast of 124K tons; the survey also says prices will rally as much as 14% to $8,700/ton by year's end. 2 Comments [Commodities]
Tuesday, June 12, 2012, 5:07 AM Some mining companies (including BHP and RIO) that have relied mostly on surface mining are now going deeper, allowing them to continue using mining, processing and transport infrastructure even after the surface deposits are depleted. New technologies and the high price of commodities are making the unusually-deep mines financially feasible, but going deeper isn't without its risks. 9 Comments [Commodities]

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First Trust ISE Global Copper Index ETF