Mar. 12, 2014, 6:56 PM
- While steep drops in copper, iron ore and coking coal prices have spooked investors, KGHM chief Derek White says there's no need for mining executives to panic - at least not yet.
- There's no real threat to copper mining operations at a long-term copper price ~$3/lb., White says, but that could change if the price drops below $2.50 for a prolonged period.
- Iron ore prices have performed better than expected in recent years, and this week’s drop brings them closer to many forecasts; analysts believe most iron ore projects are fine at a long-term price above $100/metric ton.
- Coking coal's current $110/metric ton is still not low enough to disrupt most operations, with some exceptions; TD Securities expects Teck Resources (TCK) to defer its Quintette project in British Columbia until the market recovers.
- ETFs: XME, COPX, CU, JUNR, PICK, JJC, DBB, CPER, RJZ, BOM, BOS, JJM, BDD, CUPM, RGRI, UBM, BDG, USMI, HEVY
Mar. 11, 2014, 12:02 PM
- A continued wave of morning selling has brought copper lower by 4.3% on the session to $2.95 per pound, the weakest level since the summer of 2010.
- Copper started the year at $3.40 and its swift decline this week comes amid horrid Chinese export numbers, a plunging price of iron ore, and chatter about defaults and banks calling in loans in China.
- JJC -3.1%
- Other copper ETFs: CPER, CUPM
- Copper producer ETFs: COPX, CU
Mar. 7, 2014, 2:34 PM
- Copper futures slumped to their biggest loss in more than two years as investors worried about slowing growth in China, which accounts for 40% of the world's copper demand.
- Traders were spooked by China's first default on a bond traded in the mainland, which comes amid broader fears about the impact of China's economic slowdown on demand for industrial metals.
- Copper prices have lost 9.2% YTD as signs of faltering growth in China have raised the outlook for a surplus.
- Top publicly traded producer Freeport McMoRan (FCX) -4.8%.
- ETFs: JJC, CPER, CUPM
Mar. 7, 2014, 8:58 AM
- A check of asset markets following what's currently being interpreted as a strong nonfarm payroll report (175K jobs added vs. 154K expected; UE rate up to 6.7%): Flat ahead of the number, stock index futures are up by 0.5%; gold is down 1.1%, silver down 3.2%, copper off 2.9%; the dollar is up a bit, but mostly against the loonie after a weak jobs number in Canada.
- DIA +0.5%, GLD -1%, SLV -2.9%, JJC -3%, UUP +0.15%
- Previously: Treasury yields fly higher after payroll report.
- Related ETFs: GLD, SLV, DIA, AGQ, IAU, PHYS, UUP, SIVR, USLV, ZSL, SGOL, UDN, UGL, DGP, DOG, GLL, DXD, JJC, DZZ, UDOW, UGLD, SDOW, DSLV, DDM, DGL, DBS, GLDI, DGZ, DBV, AGOL, DGLD, SLVO, FORX, TBAR, UDNT, UUPT, USV, UBG, CPER, GLDE, GYEN, CUPM, GEUR, USDU, GGBP
Feb. 4, 2014, 3:28 PM
- Copper's posting a middling gain of 0.4% in afternoon action, but it's enough to break a nine-session losing streak - the longest going back to December 1995. No mystery - the selloff came thanks to global growth worries brought on by a mini-meltdown in emerging markets and weak numbers in the States. Today's gain comes as equity markets stabilize.
- At $3.20 per pound, the metal has fallen from about $3.40 at the start of the year, but remains within the $3-$3.40 range it's been in since April.
- Related ETFs: JJC, CPER, CUPM
Jan. 10, 2014, 8:58 AM
- Commodities have their tails in the air following the slow payroll number, with gold up 1% to 1,240 per ounce, silver up 2.2% to $20.80, copper gaining 1.2%, and crude oil ahead 1.7% to $93.21.
- With this morning's gain, gold is up more than 3% on the year.
- Related ETFs: GLD, SLV, USO, IAU, AGQ, OIL, PHYS, UCO, SIVR, USLV, ZSL, SGOL, UGL, DGP, SCO, GLL, JJC, DZZ, DBO, DTO, UGLD, DGL, DSLV, DBS, CRUD, DGZ, AGOL, GLDI, DGLD, USL, SLVO, DNO, TBAR, SZO, UWTI, USV, OILZ, UBG, CPER, DWTI, OLO, CUPM, OLEM, TWTI
Dec. 27, 2013, 4:29 AM
- The WSJ shines a light onto "shadow warehouses," a hidden system of facilities that store tens of millions of tons of aluminum, copper, nickel and zinc across the globe for banks, hedge funds and commodity merchants.
- The warehouses operate outside the London Metal Exchange's system, are unregulated, and don't provide details of their holdings. As a result, it's unclear how much metal is held in the shadow system. This lack of visibility could cause major price swings.
- The WSJ article follows allegations that warehousing companies have artificially boosted the price of metals, particularly aluminum.
- Companies that operate metals warehouses include Goldman Sachs (GS), Glencore Xstrata (GLCNF) and JPMorgan (JPM), although the latter is looking to sell its commodities unit.
- Relevant tickers include VALE, AA, AWC, KALU, MNSF, CENX, NOR, BHP, RIO, ACH.
- ETFs: DBC, JJC, DBB, DJP, GSG, RJI, GCC, USCI, CFD, JJN, JJT, BOM, RGRC, CPER, CTF, RJZ, GSC, LSC, GSP, JJU, DEE, BDD, BOS, JJM, DYY, DDP, DJCI, LD, CMD, BCM, CUPM, UCI, RGRI, UCD, UBM, FOIL, BDG, LEDD, CMDT, SBV, USMI, DPU, NINI, FTGC, CSCB, CSCR, HEVY
Nov. 18, 2013, 11:40 AM
- Freeport McMoRan (FCX) has agreed to pay nearly a third more in annual processing charges to China's leading copper smelters, likely increasing the pressure on rival BHP to raise its own offer on the charges, Reuters reports.
- China's top copper producer reportedly agreed with FCX to treatment and refining charges of $92/metric ton and $0.092/lb. for term copper concentrate shipments in 2014, setting the benchmark for the region, vs. $70/metric ton and $0.07/lb. charged by the smelters from Freeport this year.
- BHP, whose opening offer of $80 and $0.08 offer to Chinese smelters last week now looks low, is meeting the smelters for a second round of talks this week.
- ETFs: JJC, CPER, CUPM.
Nov. 13, 2013, 10:05 AM
- Copper futures tumble to their lowest level in more than three months on concerns about the pace of Chinese economic growth; December futures fall more than $0.06 (-2%) to $3.17/lb., hitting their lowest level since late July.
- Copper and other base metals are suffering from rumors that the China will lower its 2014 growth target to 7%, says Commerzbank commodities strategist Eugen Weinberg.
- Meanwhile, China's eagerly awaited Third Plenum offered little support for markets, outlining only vague economic goals.
- ETFs: JJC, CPER, CUPM.
- U.S.-traded copper miners: FCX -0.8%, SCCO -1.8%, TCK, GMO, SVBL, TLR.
Jul. 28, 2013, 2:27 PM
- BHP Billiton (BHP) is betting strong returns from its copper business, even though copper prices are unlikely to rise in the near term, CEO Andrew Mackenzie says in an interview today.
- The China shift to a consumer-led economy from a construction-led economy will reduce demand, but it might not be as bad as had been thought. "I don't like to comment on prices, but we have to prepare for a copper outlook around the current price, or perhaps a bit lower, that is around $3 per pound," he says.
- Copper ETFs: JJC, CPER, CUPM
- U.S.-traded copper miners: SCCO, FCX, TCK, GMO, SVBL, TLR
Apr. 15, 2013, 4:49 AMChina's GDP miss and disappointing industrial production data are sending global equity markets lower, as well as copper and oil, which is also suffering from the IEA slightly cutting its demand outlook last week. Japan -1.6%, Hong Kong -1.4%, China -1.1%, India +0.6%. EU Stoxx 50 -0.2%, London -1%, Paris -0.8%, Frankfurt -0.8%, Milan -0.2%, Madrid -0.4%. Oil -2.4%, copper -1.5%. | 1 Comment
Jul. 18, 2012, 5:53 PMAnalysts are slashing predictions of a copper glut as producers from Chile to Indonesia contend with aging mines and strikes at a time of record demand. The global surplus will total 18.5K metric tons, according to a Bloomberg survey, 85% less than a January forecast of 124K tons; the survey also says prices will rally as much as 14% to $8,700/ton by year's end. | 2 Comments
Jun. 8, 2012, 5:54 PMCopper closed the week at a six-month low, as traders shed their initial positive reaction to China's rate cut to focus on the move as a sign of weak Chinese economic growth. Barclays says any boost in demand from Beijing’s pro-growth measures might not be felt until Q4, and the “magnitude of support... is not seen as being anywhere near the same scale as the stimulus of 2008-09." | Comment!
May 30, 2012, 7:38 AMShort-covering of copper by Chinese firms may actually be driving the world price lower as the country's largest producer is exporting the metal to LME warehouses to cover its shorts. The move makes sense as the sluggish economy has dragged the price of copper lower in China than at the LME. | Comment!
May 25, 2012, 3:50 PMU.S. Commodity Funds is cutting the management fee on its Copper Index Fund (CPER) by 31.5% to better compete against iPath's Pure Beta Copper ETN (CUPM). Both funds are tiny - less than $3M in assets (JJC is the gorilla in the sector) - but CPER is an ETF as opposed to the ETN structure of the other offerings. | Comment!
May 14, 2012, 3:43 AM
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