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PowerShares DB Commodity Index Tracking ETF

5/23/2013, 3:31 AM ET

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Tuesday, May 14, 10:42 AM "Contrarians should start buying emerging markets (EEM, DEM, VWO) and think about global energy (XLE) and material companies (XLB) and commodities (DBC)," says BAML's John Bilton, noting a "marked uptick" in concern about China (FXI, CAF) in his firm's latest fund manger survey. One-in-four now consider a Chinese hard landing as the biggest risk to their investment. Where respondents are not fearful? Japan (EWJ, DXJ). (previous) 4 Comments [Global & FX, Commodities]
Tuesday, May 14, 7:21 AM An early look at the BAML May fund manager survey shows hedge fund equity exposure (VTI) at the highest in 7 years, +45%. Commodity exposure (DBC) is a negative 29%. Cash is at 4.3%. Sectors: It's a record-low exposure to energy (XLE) at -17%. Japan (EWJ, DXJ) at +31% is the highest in 7 years. 1 Comment
Wednesday, May 8, 2:52 PM The recent selloff in commodities (DBC) is not a correction, says Stan Druckenmiller, now on stage at Ira Sohn, but instead the end of the supercycle. Avoid commodity markets - Brazil (EWZ, BRF, BRL), South Africa (EZA, SZR), Canada (EWC, FXC). "Frankly, I'd short the aussie (FXA)." His largest equity holding? "I can't imagine a better position than Google (GOOG)" - selling for 16x earnings and no exposure to China. 4 Comments [Quick Ideas]
Monday, May 6, 8:31 AM The commodity boom (DBC) is over, writes Morgan Stanley global macro chief Ruchir Sharma, as massive overinvestment - mostly to feed China's voracious demand - comes online just at the time said demand becomes considerably less voracious. Not only are China and emerging markets in general slowing, but the countries are striving to become more efficient (USO) as well. "If historical pattern holds, we are now entering a long period of falling commodity prices, which could last two decades." 2 Comments [Commodities]
Wednesday, May 1, 10:41 AM Commodities are lit up bright red as weak economic data (here and in China) is a good excuse to end the bounce of the last few sessions. Gold (GLD -1.8%), Silver (SLV -3.6%), WTI Crude (USO -2.6%). Copper (JJC -3.3%) moves to its lowest level in about 18 months at $3.08/lb. The metal hasn't had a 2-handle since the start of 2011. Broad commodity gauge (DBC -1.8%). 5 Comments [Commodities, On the Move]
Friday, April 19, 10:45 AM It's the dreaded "impossible trinity." Commodities, stocks, and bonds are all giving conflicting signals on the global economy, says BAML's David Woo, and their resolution could be a source of a "major realignment" of prices. Commodities (DBC) signal slow down, stocks (VTI) price in strong consumer spending, and bonds have completely lost it - government paper (TLT) says run for the hills, while credit spreads (LQD, HYG, JNK) say things are rosy. 11 Comments
Thursday, April 18, 3:14 PM The bear market in a gold is a signal China, emerging markets, and commodities (DBC) in general are through leading the markets, argues BAML, which reminds the peak for the metal occurred nearly 2 years ago. "In all scenarios, it's good for the U.S. dollar (UUP)." Looking back at 9 other sharp declines in gold since 1975, the team finds equities rally, led by consumer (XLP, XLY) and energy stocks (XLE) once the metal stabilizes. 1 Comment [Commodities, Global & FX]
Monday, April 15, 10:02 AM Underperforming today as commodities (DBC -1.7%) take a beating is Canada, the TSX -1.5%. Also seeing little love is the loonie (FXC -0.6%). The move in the MSCI Canada Index ETF (EWC -2.4%) reflects both the loss in shares and the currency. EWC is now off 5% YTD, trailing the S&P 500 by 1500 basis points. Comment! [Global & FX, On the Move]
Monday, April 15, 5:03 AM Mining stocks are taking a bit of a hiding following China's slowing GDP growth and the sell-off in precious metals. Rio Tinto (RIO) -4.5% premarket, BHP Billiton (BHP) -3.6%, Barrick Gold (ABX) -3.6%, AngloGold (AU) -5.2%, IAMGold (IAG) -1.2%, Gold Fields (GFI) -5%, Goldcorp (GG) -3.9%, Kinross (KGC) -5.1%, Seabridge Gold (SA) -2.8%, Newmont Mining (NEM) -3.4%, Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold (FCX) -2.85% and Anglo American (AAUKF.PK) -3.9% in London. NovaGold (NG) fell 13% on Friday. 3 Comments [Commodities, On the Move]
Friday, April 12, 10:52 AM A slide in commodity prices turns into a rout: GLD -3.2%, SLV -4.2%, USO -3%, Copper (JJC) -2.2%. At $1,506/oz., gold is threatening a $1,400 handle for the first time in nearly 2 years. After an early bounce, stocks move to session lows, the S&P 500 -0.7%. The long bond gains three-quarters of a full point, its yield down to a 2013 low of 2.93%. Update at 11:05: Now off 4.3%, gold slips below $1,500. 54 Comments [Commodities, On the Move]
Thursday, April 4, 3:17 PM BNP Paribas will close its lone ETF, BNPC, on April 12 as it failed to generate significant investor interest in the 10 months since it launched, gathering roughly $20M in AUM. More popular commodity funds that could gain assets as a result of the closure (expense ratio in parenthesis) are DBC (1.26%), USCI (0.95), GSC (0.85) and RJI (0.75). Comment! [Commodities]
Monday, March 11, 8:24 AM Speculators cut net long positions in commodity contacts by 9.2% last week, according to CFTC data. At 406K contracts, it's the lowest net long position since the epic March 2009 bottom. Not surprisingly, the positioning is following the trend in commodity prices, which have tumbled over the past few weeks. Goldman last week: Buy the dip. DBC thus far this year. 3 Comments [Commodities]
Friday, March 8, 7:06 AM Buy the dip in commodities, says Goldman, raising its 3-month outlook for raw materials after the recent price dip. "The recent selloff in commodities on worries about Chinese growth is overdone in our view and we upgrade to overweight on a 3-month horizon," says the bank's commodities research chief. DBC -2.4% YTD. Comment! [Commodities]
Wednesday, February 20, 11:28 AM Non-agricultural commodities sell off sharply across the board. GLD -1.4%, SLV -2.3%, USO -2%, JJC -1.1%. Lumber futures -2.5%. Chatter circulates of a troubled hedge fund being forced to exit. Broad commodity ETF: DBC -0.9%. 10 Comments [Commodities]
Wednesday, February 6, 11:36 AM Institutional investors pull back from commodity bets as the sector fails to deliver on its key appeal as an effective hedge against volatile stocks. Influential Calpers - which led the way into commodities a decade ago - leads the way out, pulling 55% of its holdings after years of losses. DBC flat Y/Y. 2 Comments [Commodities]
Wednesday, January 30, 11:10 AM This just in, commodity prices are falling, writes technician Michael Kahn. The CRB index is lower now than when the Fed launched QE∞ in September, and down 18% over a roughly 2-year period. Though still in tight supply, the grains (JJG) are off 16% since late summer, and softs like coffee, sugar, and cocoa are in multi-month bear markets. 4 Comments [Commodities]

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