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- By How Much Have Foreign Bank Stocks Fallen? [view article]
- Next Up: Lehman Brothers? [view article]
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akov
By How Much Have Foreign Bank Stocks Fallen? [view article]
This news item, just reported , is exactly the type of growth I was talking about in my last post...www.guardian.co.uk/bus...
On Sep 02 11:13 AM Menachem Ben Yakov wrote:
> HSBC hit a low on Feb.11th and I doubled my position on that date
> at $69.50/ADR. The low on that day was $69.25/ADR. Those shares have
> subsequently paid dividends totaling $3.75/ADR. I do not expect the
> share price to return to those levels ever.
> In my opinion the ADR share price will close the year at or about
> $120/ADR. That price may seem overly optimistic to some but the fundamentals
> support my analysis. I also expect new revenue streams out of Korea
> and China as ventures in those areas begin to show results. It is
> also quite possible that there will be an announcement in the second
> quarter of 2009 that no further provisions for write downs will need
> to be made as they have been fully accounted for.
> Just my opinion of course and folks should do their own homework.
> Reply
akov
By How Much Have Foreign Bank Stocks Fallen? [view article]
HSBC hit a low on Feb.11th and I doubled my position on that date at $69.50/ADR. The low on that day was $69.25/ADR. Those shares have subsequently paid dividends totaling $3.75/ADR. I do not expect the share price to return to those levels ever.In my opinion the ADR share price will close the year at or about $120/ADR. That price may seem overly optimistic to some but the fundamentals support my analysis. I also expect new revenue streams out of Korea and China as ventures in those areas begin to show results. It is also quite possible that there will be an announcement in the second quarter of 2009 that no further provisions for write downs will need to be made as they have been fully accounted for.
Just my opinion of course and folks should do their own homework.
On Sep 02 10:42 AM andyn wrote:
> with Britain weak, HSBC should go down to less than 70 Reply
By How Much Have Foreign Bank Stocks Fallen? [view article]
with Britain weak, HSBC should go down to less than 70 ReplyBy How Much Have Foreign Bank Stocks Fallen? [view article]
The British banks have serious dividends ( at this price level ), and also do not suffer dividend withholding tax.Is it time to get a few shares?
Or are we waiting for armageddon?
I already messed with BCS too early, but it should come right bye and bye. Reply
By How Much Have Foreign Bank Stocks Fallen? [view article]
holy crap. ReplyEditors
General Discussion on DBSDY.PK
Is this a buy or a sell? ReplyKnow
Next Up: Lehman Brothers? [view article]
Lehman has stying power; yes, they made some BIg MBS mistakes but have written down the value by almost 100%. They'll continue to get slapped around but will survive this and be stronger for it in '09 and going forward. ReplyNext Up: Lehman Brothers? [view article]
LEH can park their MBS with Uncle Ben for six months now. There will be no liquidity crisis in LEH. The spreads on MBS are also narrowing so the chance of a margin run on LEH are low. Plus unlike BSC they have been working on getting other sources of funding.It took BSC's fall for Uncle Ben to act though. Reply
Jacome
Next Up: Lehman Brothers? [view article]
Good day to trade MF -- catching a bounce here; also hearing Fed will cut @ 3pm today, still checking ReplyJacome
Next Up: Lehman Brothers? [view article]
Barclays is already in talks with them according to someone inside ReplyNext Up: Lehman Brothers? [view article]
Salem Witch Trials. I think 6 months at the Fed Trough will fix them up. ReplyNext Up: Lehman Brothers? [view article]
Rating agencies to investment banks are as Arthur Anderson to Enron... ReplyNext Up: Lehman Brothers? [view article]
This is probably a pretty accurate way to measure risk for financial firms in particular. After all, the biggest piles of money moving against Lehman on the short side, buying puts, and so on, are going to be those of their Wall Street bretheren -- those most in the know about what's really going on at Lehman... who's trading with them and who's not, etc.In fact, using public equity share price as a risk indicator is pretty much an admission that investment bank stocks move due to asymmetries of material non-public information -- that is to say, insider trading. Reply
Next Up: Lehman Brothers? [view article]
"an important driver of the risk rating of a business is the action of its stock"This is what we engineers call a positive feedback loop. Risk rises as a result of poor stock action. As a result, institutions are forced to minimize exposure to the risk, thus creating more poor stock action. Positive feedback is almost always the enemy of stability. Reply