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DDM Forum Topics
- All Comments on DDM
- General Discussion on DDM
- Stock Markets Nearing Important Bottom [view article]
- The Case Against Leveraged ETFs [view article]
- $120 Oil's Struggle with the Dow Industrials [view article]
- The Case Against Investing in the Dow Industrials (For Now) [view article]
- ETF Update: Leveraged and Inverse ETFs, Short ETFs, Microcaps [view article]
- ProShares UltraShort and UltraLong ETFs [view article]
- Dow's Next Move: A Technical and Fundamental Look [view article]
- ProShares ETFs: Why Volume Trading Makes a Difference [view article]
- ProShares ETFs: Strongest Technical Buy and Sell Signals [view article]
- Leveraged Market Cap ETFs [view article]
- Ultra and Inverse ETFs: The Downside of Doubling Up [view article]
loading ...Recent DDM Articles
- $120 Oil's Struggle with the Dow Industrials
- The Case Against Investing in the Dow Industrials (For Now)
- ETF Update: Leveraged and Inverse ETFs, Short ETFs, Microcaps
- Stock Markets Nearing Important Bottom
- Dow's Next Move: A Technical and Fundamental Look
- Sharp Short Covering Rally Due During Options Expiration
- ProShares UltraShort and UltraLong ETFs
- ProShares ETFs: Why Volume Trading Makes a Difference
- ProShares ETFs: Strongest Technical Buy and Sell Signals
- Ultra and Inverse ETFs: The Downside of Doubling Up
- Full List of Articles »
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Stock Markets Nearing Important Bottom [view article]
Good work-but K, this will be a short rally. Gale is close to right on. Banks won't even lend to other banks. In fact they say not to buy (our stock)for at least 18 months-they are not buying back their own shares yet! Why? ReplyThe Case Against Leveraged ETFs [view article]
Excelent article! By far the best that I've seen on the subject.I'm in the same position as Benjamin Washington above and have been invested in these type products in my IRAs for about five years on the same theory that he stated. Can anyone come up with a counter argument?
Note that IRAs (1) have tax deferred status, so capital gains distributions don't matter (2) prohibit margin borrowing and most options strategies.
As someone who has a very long time horizon for my money, it seems to me that a beta of 1.0 that I would get from an index fund is simply too conservative, but IRA rules prohibit me from increasing my systemic risk to what I consider to be an appropriate level. Reply
$120 Oil's Struggle with the Dow Industrials [view article]
Compliments Mr. Hansen. If you note my comments since March, you'll notice about every other comment me reminding investors about the market earthquake, tsunami effect.I feel it is a responsibility to remind the investor community that after every market shock (March - Financial, June - Oil) That the real financial pain happens 3 or so years out. I remember 1987 and my food service teacher in high school showing me this. He was a retired Air Force base commander and a fine man.
The investor community has become more aware of bubble economics but historically the comparisons of now and then seem 1970's based on charts at this point and becoming the 1930's. I hate doom & gloom but love facts and research. The best money can be made in massive booms and massive busts. It seems you can become fabulously wealthy or fabulously poor and the research becomes very critical in which camp you find yourself in.
Your correct, regression models and other comparative research is not always perfect, but they are major indicators. This economy seems like it shed about half it's excess capacity from the March crash (shock, whatever you prefer) and the we saw a tipping point on consumer spending of more permanent demand destruction.
From here it seems it will be in a slow deflation over a three year period, cumulating to depressionary conditions and then based on Washington response, perhaps a recovery occuring in 2012 and Bull by 2013. Historically, global money problems create big military misadventure so my forecast may change based on such unpredictable geopolitical side effects/events. Thank you for taking your time to educate! Reply
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$120 Oil's Struggle with the Dow Industrials [view article]
even china was growing rice in those times is a very interesting comparison, including a weakened US financial position after aexpensive war (there is any cheap one?), the consequense is clear, we are just starting to experience inflation and the interest rate increase to 15% is 10 years in the future, gold must look cheap for Steven. Reply
$120 Oil's Struggle with the Dow Industrials [view article]
Agree with conclusion. Interesting comparision of Dow and oil price trends in the 1970s and now. Conclusion of a very tough time in the years ahead is well supported by numerous other writers who analyse other factors like financial instability in the economy, cycle analysis. No wonder Steven can retire at 45 and stay retired, what with his practical philosophy of making money in the short term and long term, investing with the flow of the market. Reply$120 Oil's Struggle with the Dow Industrials [view article]
Nah we will not use dark ages fossil fuel too much of a headache and too polluting, we gonna switch to new age technologies such as electric and hydorgen-water techs. ReplyThe Case Against Investing in the Dow Industrials (For Now) [view article]
You could have made the 14,164.53 high on 10/9/2007 as the end of the growth cycle. It is true that the NASDAQ and S&P 500 showed their last top in early 2000, but you indicated you were discussing the DJIA.That being said, very stimulating article. Reply
The Case Against Investing in the Dow Industrials (For Now) [view article]
In his book "The Roaring 2000s", Harry S. Dent,Jr. correctly predicted the bust in 2008. His basic theme was that "We" innovate and grow in spurts, followed by a period of assimilation (little growth). Its a very interesting postulation, and has certainly worked out many times. ReplyThe Case Against Investing in the Dow Industrials (For Now) [view article]
Steven,A very interesting article ! Reply
The Case Against Investing in the Dow Industrials (For Now) [view article]
Steven,A very interesting article! Reply
Tiedeman
ETF Update: Leveraged and Inverse ETFs, Short ETFs, Microcaps [view article]
UYG is the single best way to invest in the beaten down financials. I have very expectation that this ETF will outperform the market by a wide margin over the next 24 months. This ETF must not be missed by the serious investor. ReplyETF Update: Leveraged and Inverse ETFs, Short ETFs, Microcaps [view article]
When you talk about UYG, you call it an ultra short when in fact it is an ULTRA long. ReplyETF Update: Leveraged and Inverse ETFs, Short ETFs, Microcaps [view article]
Leveraged and inverse ETFs appear to be as close to gambling as you can get outside of Las Vegas. They are OK as an overall portfolio hedge, but many will be hurt by making a large, wrong bet. ReplyGeneral Discussion on DDM
Why DDM finished lower today when the actual DOW index was up by .19% ? I was expecting to DDM to be up by around .38%is it because many investors may have sold this ETF today, or is there someother technical reasons?
I'm new to this ETF Reply
Stock Markets Nearing Important Bottom [view article]
people got drunk seeing the house they are living in they could not believe it. now they will pay fre and fnm at a reasonable rate . this is AMERICA . THANK YOU PRESIDENT BUSH. I THINK YOU STARTED TO LOOK LIKE YOU FATHER TRHE BLOOD LINE CAN NOT FAIL . thank you for not vetoing this bill ytou have help your people remember we are the beARD BASKEK OF THE WORLD . ASK YOUR MOTHER. LOOK MR PRESIDENT YOU ARE A HUMAN BEING YOU DID GOOD . YOU GOOD iraq NO FORIGNCOUNTRY HAS CAPTURE iraq THANK YOU FOR HELP YOUR PEOPLE AND COTINUING TO PRESS IRAN . NO NUKE ......................... for NORTH KOREA STANDING you got them by the ball thank you CON RICE Reply