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Business Wire (Jun 25, 2014)
EQL vs. ETF Alternatives
The ALPS Equal Sector Weight ETF is an ETF of ETFs that delivers exposure to the US Large Cap Equity market by investing equal proportions in each of the 9 Select Sector SPDRs, and rebalancing quarterly. The nine Sector SPDRs are Materials (XLB), Health Care (XLV), Consumer Staples (XLP), Consumer Discretionary (XLY), Energy (XLE), Financials (XLF), Industrials (XLI), Technology (XLK) & Utilities (XLU). EQL delivers moderate, yet meaningful exposure to every sector of the market, providing investors with the following potential advantages: Diversification, Opportunity to participate in a market rally in any sector, Reduction in the negative impact of a crash in any individual sector & Transparent sector allocations.
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Country: United States
- In Your Portfolio: A Guide to Equal Weight ETFs, Core Building Blocks: A Guide to ETFs That Divide the U.S. Stock Market by Market Cap
- Asset Class Performance: Market Cap
Tue, Jun. 10, 3:19 PM
- "Relative to the past 50 years, this stock market has been abandoned and orphaned even as it had made participants wealthy," writes Bill Smead, drawing on a Howard Gold report showing only 37.7% of global investable assets were in equity at the end of 2012, the lowest since 1959 when records first began being kept.
- Why? The mass movement to fixed income, the trendy move towards wide-asset allocation at the expense of plain-vanilla large-cap U.S. equities, the rise of alternative investing, and the echo-boomers - born between 1977 and 1996 - have been much slower to get married, have kids, buy houses, and invest in stocks than previous generations.
- Smead's prediction: As rates rise over the next 10 years, fixed-income will sour and equity dividend payout ratios will normalize. Further returns from commodities and other esoteric asset classes won't match their once-in-a-lifetime moves from 1999-2012 and investors will lose interest. Rising rates will make LBOs less economic and private equity returns will decline.
- "The lack of affection for US large cap equities will mute declines and reward patient long-duration owners of quality common stocks."
- ETFs: VUG, VTV, VV, SCHX, SCHG, SCHV, PWV, FEX, JKD, EQL, JKE, IWY, PWB, EZY, IWX, FTC, EEH, JKF, IWL, SFK, RWG, ERW, IELG, FWDD, GVT, SYG, SYE, SYV
Thu, May. 15, 7:46 AM
- "I'm not saying go short, I'm just saying don't be too fricking long right now," David Tepper tells hedge fund colleagues at SkyBridge Capital's SALT conference in Vegas.
- Among his concerns are lame growth in the U.S. and an ECB which has sat on its hands too long as deflation takes over in Europe. "The ECB - they better ease in June ... I don't know how far behind the curve, but I think they're really, really far behind the curve."
- "There's times to make money and there's times not to lose money. This is probably (a time when) you're supposed to think about preserving some of your money ... I think it's nervous time."
- ETFs: PRF, VV, SCHX, NY, FEX, JKD, EQL, SPXH, EEH, TRSK, PXLC, ERW, FWDD, ALTL, SYE
Thu, May. 1, 11:18 AM
- If Pfizer is successful in acquiring U.K.-based AstraZeneca, its plan to redomicile there will save it millions in corporate taxes. The tax arbitrage scheme, called an inversion, creates a holding company in the foreign country with the lower tax rate. Britain's corporate tax rate is 21% (20% next year) which is substantially lower than the U.S.'s top rate of 35% (up to 40% when state and local taxes are included).
- About 24 U.S. companies have employed this strategy since 2008. Ireland, Canada, Switzerland and the Netherlands are also popular destinations for redomiciling.
- According to Reuters, many of the m&a deals this year have been driven, at least in part, by tax inversions.
- Predictably, investment bankers are working feverishly to generate deals in various industries that take advantage of the loophole before Congress acts to close it.
- Some lawmakers say that the best solution is to reform the U.S. business tax code.
- ETFs: SPY, QQQ, SH, DIA, SSO, SDS, PSQ, VOO, IVV, SPXU, UPRO, SPLV, TQQQ, SPXL, QID, PRF, SPXS, RSP, SQQQ, DOG, QLD, DXD, RWL, EPS, UDOW, SDOW, USMV, DDM, VV, SCHX, IWB, OEF, SPHB, NY, MGC, BXUB, QQEW, QQQE, VONE, FEX, JKD, XLG, TRND, SFLA, EQL, QQXT, SPLX, BXUC, ROLA, BXDB, EEH, TNDQ, SPXH, ONEK, IWL, TRSK, PXLC, EWRI, ERW, FWDD, LGLV, FMK, ALTL, SYE
Tue, Apr. 29, 8:05 AM
- If Pfizer (PFE) is successful in its plan to acquire AstraZeneca (AZN) and redomicile in the U.K., it will join a growing list of other U.S. firms who have executed similar transactions in order to lower their tax bills.
- Members of Congress say that the moves are symptomatic of the need to revamp the U.S. tax code.
- The U.K. corporate tax rate is 21% compared to the top U.S. rate of 35%. American firms must also pay taxes when they repatriate foreign profits after receiving credits for foreign taxes. This is why the ex-U.S. corporate cash horde is so large.
- Pfizer's 2013 tax rate was 27%.
- ETFs: SPY, QQQ, SH, DIA, SSO, SDS, PSQ, VOO, IVV, SPXU, UPRO, SPLV, TQQQ, SPXL, QID, PRF, SPXS, RSP, SQQQ, DOG, QLD, DXD, RWL, EPS, UDOW, SDOW, USMV, DDM, VV, SCHX, IWB, OEF, SPHB, NY, MGC, BXUB, QQEW, QQQE, VONE, FEX, JKD, XLG, TRND, SFLA, EQL, QQXT, BXUC, SPLX, ROLA, BXDB, EEH, TNDQ, SPXH, ONEK, IWL, TRSK, PXLC, EWRI, ERW, FWDD, LGLV, FMK, ALTL, SYE
Fri, Apr. 11, 10:34 AM
- Bull markets don't end with such high cash levels and low leverage, says BAML chief investment strategist Michael Hartnett. What we're seeing now is a "hard reversal" period, with "extreme positions" being quickly eliminated. To wit, the Nikkei's worst 5-day stretch this week since the earthquake/tsunami of 2011, while money flows into previously-hated emerging markets (EEM -0.3%). EM equities, says Hartnett, have outperformed the Nikkei by nearly 1K basis points since mid-March.
- He expects to hear policy doves again make themselves heard as markets slip. “The biggest risk is that markets lose trust in vacillating Fed, the only policy maker the market truly trusts."
- The real correction, says Hartnett, comes this fall, as the Fed wraps up QE and the idea of rate hikes really begins to come into focus.
- ETFs: PRF, VV, SCHX, NY, FEX, JKD, EQL, EEH, SPXH, TRSK, ERW, PXLC, FWDD, ALTL, SYE
Tue, Mar. 18, 3:43 PM
- "Buying stocks with the proceeds from a home equity loan diversifies the portfolio," writes Jonathan Yates, in an article appearing on MSN's Money website.
- The low rates on mortgages allow homeowners an arbitrage play, borrowing at say, 3.25% to buy the stock of REITs with higher yields. What could possibly go wrong?
- Broad market ETFs: PRF, VV, SCHX, NY, JKD, FEX, EQL, EEH, SPXH, TRSK, FWDD, PXLC, ERW, ALTL, SYE
Sat, Mar. 15, 9:00 AM
- They're still playing sports highlights at the greasy spoons in Boston, says Jeremy Grantham, not too worried about stocks being in a bubble. Harking back to a real bubble, Grantham remembers 2000, when the Celtics were displaced by CNBC's breathless coverage at these same joints.
- Numbers make the same argument: The S&P 500 at 1,860 is only about 1-2 standard deviations outside the normal distribution of stock levels. To get to a two-sigma event - and a bubble - would require an S&P 30% higher than where it is now.
- "There is an enormous creative tension for a sensible investor," says Grantham. The market is overvalued, but not absurdly so, and then there's the Fed backstop. "On a shorter time horizon, you can get whacked around the head, as we have been frequently."
- So what's he buying? Emerging markets and value stocks in Europe are only selling at about fair value. In the U.S., high-quality stocks are not nearly as overpriced as the rest of the market (isn't the S&P 500 supposed to be "high-quality" stocks?). The Wells Fargo Advantage Absolute Return Fund (managed by GMO) has a 49% global equity allocation - high considering GMO's belief stocks are so overvalued - but Grantham expects the weighting to move down to 38% by October, which would be more inline with GMO's expectations of future equity returns.
- Broad large-cap ETFs: PRF, VV, SCHX, NY, JKD, FEX, EQL, EEH, SPXH, TRSK, FWDD, PXLC, ERW, ALTL, SYE
Fri, Mar. 14, 7:37 AM
- "The creaks and groans in the copper price reflect the sound of the tunnel supports giving way," writes SocGen professional bear Al Edwards. "Decoupling" is the "most dangerous word in finance," he says, and slumping metals prices isn't just about some temporary local issues in China. "Do not rely on decoupling. Do not rely on central bank liquidity. Do not reply on hope. Hope is a false friend in these markets."
- The price of copper has slid to about a 4-year low this week (though it's up 1% this morning), amid China's slowing economy and fears of a for-the-books credit bust-up.
- Copper ETFs: JJC, CPER, CUPM
- Broad market ETFs: PRF, VV, SCHX, NY, JKD, FEX, EQL, EEH, SPXH, TRSK, FWDD, PXLC, ERW, ALTL, SYE
Mon, Mar. 3, 12:27 PM
- The contrarian read flashes a "buy" signal when the sell-side shows extreme bearishness (it's been in buy mode for about the last two years), and hollers "sell" when the pros get too bullish (the last sell signal was 2007).
- Sharply rising since late year, the indicator is near crossing from "buy" territory to neutral, but hasn't gotten there yet after coming in at 54 for the 2nd straight month.
- Broad large-cap ETFs: PRF, VV, SCHX, NY, FEX, JKD, EQL, EEH, SPXH, TRSK, FWDD, PXLC, ERW, ALTL, SYE
Fri, Feb. 21, 2:48 PM
- Maybe sensing the moderate early-2014 selloff is done with, investors poured $13.4B into equities in the latest week, according to BAML - the strongest in 12 weeks and bringing YTD equity asset-gathering back to flat.
- Emphasizing the risk appetite theme, flows into high-yield bonds of $2.4B were the highest in 17 weeks, and money-market funds saw outflows of $40.45B after receiving inflows of $11.55B the previous week.
- Still, emerging market debt and equity continues to be sold. In fact, outflows from EM equities over the past four weeks have risen to 2.2% of AUM - just shy of the 3% level which signals a contrarian "buy" signal, says BAML.
- Turning into a pretty good contrarian signal himself, is Hugh Hendry, who dropped his multi-year caution in December to get "long pretty much anything." His Eclectica Fund subsequently lost 3.6% in January - its worst monthly tally ever.
- Related ETFs: PRF, VUG, VTV, SDOG, VV, SCHX, MGK, DEF, NY, SCHG, SCHV, PWV, FLAG, MGV, DOD, JKD, FEX, EQL, IWY, PWB, JKE, EZY, IWX, FTC, EEH, SPXH, JKF, SFK, TRSK, RWG, FWDD, FNDX, PXLC, ERW, PXLV, GVT, SYG, ALTL, PXLG, SYE, SYV, IELG
Tue, Feb. 11, 10:07 AM
- Making the rounds on trading desks is this chart of the DJIA (DIA) of the last 18 months superimposed on a chart of the index during the same time frame in 1928-1929. The short version: If form holds, the market is set for another epic crash.
- In the more nuanced version, the chart says little except for again proving the hardwired tendency of the human brain to see patterns where none exist, and one is reminded of similar exercises over the past few years making the case for the Dow breaching its financial crisis lows.
- Technical guru Tom DeMark, however, is starting to believe: “Originally, I drew [the chart] for entertainment purposes only ... Now it’s evolved into something more serious.”
- Tom McClellan: "There is no guarantee that the market has to continue following through with every step of the 1929 pattern. But between now and May 2014, there is plenty of reason for caution.”
- Large-cap ETFs: SPY, QQQ, SH, DIA, SSO, SDS, PSQ, IVV, SPXU, UPRO, VOO, SPLV, TQQQ, QID, PRF, SPXL, SPXS, RSP, DOG, SQQQ, QLD, DXD, RWL, EPS, UDOW, SDOW, USMV, DDM, VV, SCHX, IWB, NY, SPHB, BXUB, QQEW, QQQE, JKD, FEX, VONE, TRND, SFLA, EQL, BXUC, ROLA, QQXT, BXDB, EEH, ONEK, SPXH, TRSK, FWDD, EWRI, TNDQ, PXLC, LGLV, ALTL, SYE
Wed, Feb. 5, 1:46 PM
- A contrarian indicator? With equities selling off hard, AAII's sentiment survey for the week ending Jan. 29 shows a 590 bps drop in bullish sentiment to 32.2%, and a 900 bps increase in bearish sentiment to 32.8%. Neutral sentiment is down 310 bps to 35.1%.
- Bullish sentiment is now well below a long-term average of 39%, and bearish sentiment moderately above a long-term average of 30.5%.
- ETFs: PRF, VV, SCHX, JKD, EQL, EEH, SPXH, TRSK, FSE, PXLC, FSU, FWDD, ALTL
Mon, Feb. 3, 12:55 PM
- BAML's Sell Side Consensus indicator - reliably flashing a Buy on stocks for more than a year - still reads a Buy, but barely so. The indicator is a contrarian signal - when readings show extreme bearishness on equities, it's bullish for stocks.
- Rising bullishness among the sell-side has brought the gauge to nearly a Neutral reading, but it remains far below the level necessary to generate a Sell call.
- Broad large-cap ETFs: PRF, VV, SCHX, NY, JKD, FEX, EQL, EEH, SPXH, TRSK, FWDD, PXLC, ALTL, SYE
Tue, Jan. 7, 1:12 PM
- The future looks like the recent past to Citi Private Bank, which - in its 2014 outlook - says stocks have room to run, but beware fixed income. Citi's projections are based on its Adaptive Valuation Strategies which looks at long-term valuation averages to gauge what an asset might offer in the coming decade.
- "Our long-term AVS return estimates for government, investment-grade corporate and high-yield bonds are only 1.9%, 3.4% and 2.9% respectively. The recent rise in bond yields has helped emerging markets where estimated returns have now risen to 5.1%."
- Don't toss away fixed-income entirely, says Citi, but instead cut duration exposure, look for credit risk instead of rate risk, diversify into MLPs, REITs, and dividend stocks, and favor floating-rate investments.
- Broad fixed-income ETFs: AGG, BOND, BND, BSV, BIV, BLV, SCHZ, LAG, SAGG, ILTB, ISTB, GVI, GBF, FWDB, MINC, GIY, AGND, AGZD
- Broad equity ETFs: PRF, VUG, VTV, SDOG, VV, SCHX, MGK, DEF, SCHG, SCHV, PWV, MGV, FLAG, DOD, JKD, FEX, IWY, EQL, JKE, EZY, PWB, IWX, FTC, EEH, JKF, SPXH, TRSK, SFK, PXLC, FWDD, RWG, FNDX, PXLV, ALTL, GVT, PXLG, IELG
Dec. 26, 2013, 9:35 AM
- Bulls in the AAII Investor Sentiment Index rose 7.6 points to 55.1% in the week ended yesterday, the highest level since early January 2011. The long-term bullish average is 39%.
- Bearish sentiment slumped 6.5 points to 18.5%. The long-term average is 30.5%.
- Broad market ETFs: PRF, VUG, VTV, SDOG, VV, SCHX, MGK, DEF, SCHG, SCHV, PWV, FLAG, MGV, DOD, JKD, FEX, EQL, IWY, EZY, JKE, PWB, IWX, FTC, EEH, JKF, SPXH, TRSK, SFK, PXLC, FWDD, PXLV, ALTL, GVT, RWG, FNDX, PXLG, IELG
Dec. 11, 2013, 12:08 PM
- "2014 is the year to squeeze more juice out of risk assets. But investors should be ready to discard the fruit when it starts running dry," says BlackRock's Ewen Cameron Watt in the firm's 2014 Investment Outlook. "Beware of traffic jams: easy to get into, hard to get out of."
- Behind the view is the idea central banks (U.S., U.K, Canada, China, to name a few) are poised to begin tightening monetary policy.
- BlackRock doesn't believe stocks are yet in a bubble, but its "risk indicator" - measuring enterprise value against earnings adjusted for volatility - is nearly as high as just before the dotcom bust. "The ratio of the two is the key. High valuations combined with low volatility can make for a lethal mix. This market gauge sounded the alarm well before the Great Financial Crisis."
- Broad large-cap ETFs: PRF, VUG, VTV, SDOG, VV, SCHX, MGK, DEF, SCHG, SCHV, PWV, FLAG, MGV, DOD, JKD, FEX, EQL, IWY, EZY, JKE, PWB, IWX, FTC, JKF, EEH, SPXH, TRSK, SFK, FWDD, PXLC, ALTL, PXLV, GVT, RWG, FNDX, PXLG, IELG
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