Thu, Apr. 30, 3:15 PM
- A big rise in interest rates early in the session made for a good excuse to sell REITs, but - with the averages sharply lower - rates have reversed course. Still, the sector can't catch a bid, with many of the bigger names down way more than the broader market.
- Equity REITs: Realty Income (O -2.3%), Health Care REIT (HCN -3.2%), Ventas (VTR -3.2%), HCP (HCP -3.1%), Equity Residential (EQR -2.6%), Silver Bay Realty (SBY -2.5%), General Growth Properties (GGP -2.4%), Retail Opportunity (ROIC -3.9%), Boston Properties (BXP -2.4%), Hospitality Properties (HPT -2.9%)
- Mortgage REITs: Armour Residential (ARR -5.6%) - which reported another weak quarter overnight, Two Harbors (TWO -1.1%), Western Asset (WMC -1.3%), Arlington Asset (AI -2.8%), PennyMac (PMT -1.5%). When things get tough, money does have a tendency to flow into the sector giants though: Annaly Capital (NLY -0.4%) and American Capital Agency (AGNC +0.3%) are notable outperformers on the session.
- ETFs: IYR, VNQ, DRN, URE, REZ, SCHH, ICF, SRS, RWR, KBWY, DRV, REK, FRI, FTY, PSR, FREL, WREI
Tue, Apr. 28, 4:36 PM
- Q1 normalized FFO per share of $0.79 vs. $0.71 one year ago. Dividend is $0.55.
- Revenues up 5% on a same-store basis and expenses up 1.4%, leading to NOI growth of 7%.
- No properties acquired in Q1. Three sales totaling 550 units for $145.4M at a weighted-average cap rate of 5.3%. The sales generated an IRR of 11.9%.
- Q2 guidance: Normalized FFO of $0.82-$0.86 per share - higher than Q1 thanks to higher same-store NOI and lower G&A costs.
- Full-year guidance is boosted to $3.37-$3.45 per share from $3.35-$3.45.
- Conference call tomorrow at 11 ET
- Previously: Equity Residential misses by $0.01, misses on revenue (April 28)
- EQR -0.1% after hours
Tue, Apr. 28, 4:26 PM| 1 Comment
Mon, Apr. 27, 5:35 PM
- ACGL, ACHC, AEGN, AFL, AHGP, AKAM, AMCC, ANIK, ARI, ARLP, AUY, AZPN, BGFV, BLDP, BMR, BOOM, BWLD, BXMT, CALX, CBL, CEB, CGI, CHE, CINF, CLF, CMRE, CNL, CRUS, DDR, DHT, EEFT, EIX, EPIQ, EPR, EQR, ESRT, ESRX, EXAC, FARO, FEIC, GNW, GPRE, GPRO, HAWK, HELE, HIW, HLIT, HURN, IACI, INAP, IPHI, KALU, KBR, KRFT, LOGM, MRCY, MSTR, MTSI, MWA, NANO, NATI, NCR, NVDQ, OHI, OI, OTEX, PEI, PNRA, RNG, RPXC, RRC, RSYS, SKT, SLCA, SWI, TAHO, TE, TPX, TSS, TWTR, ULTI, VRSK, WDC, WRI, WSH, WYNN, X, XCO, XOOM
Wed, Apr. 22, 10:02 AM
- Deals in the REIT space are picking up steam, with the latest being today's sale of Associated Estates to a Brookfield fund for $2.5B. Associated Estates has been under activist pressure for a number of months, and one wonders if any other apartment names might be next in line.
- Sector giants Equity Residential (EQR +1.3%), AvalonBay (AVB +1.2%), and Essex Property (ESS +1.2%) don't seem like likely targets, but are nicely higher on the session.
- Others: Post Properties (PPS +1.7%), UDR (UDR +1.6%), Aimco (AIV +1.3%), Camden Property (CPT +1.2%), Home Properties (HME +1.4%), Mid-America Apartments (MAA +1.1%), Investors Real Estate (IRET +0.8%).
- ETFs: IYR, VNQ, DRN, URE, SCHH, ICF, SRS, RWR, KBWY, DRV, REK, FRI, FTY, PSR, FREL, WREI
Tue, Apr. 14, 7:15 PM
- Goldman Sachs offers three criteria on how to pick stocks to short: Look for individual stocks with high valuations that have a tendency to underperform; take hints from mutual funds as they do a good job of selecting shorts; and look for stocks that are likely to move on company-specific factors and are less prone to moving with general market and sector trends.
- Among the overvalued stocks Goldman thinks could drop are CELG, ORLY and RHT; stocks underweight by mutual funds that could fall are HST, CTL and EQR; and likely to deviate from the broad market and their sectors are KLAC, JEC and COH.
- Rounding out Goldman's 19 stock recommendations that could reward short sellers: ARG, DO, DISCA, FLS, KSS, MOS, NDAQ, NVDA, TDC, WU.
Thu, Apr. 9, 10:30 AM
- "We expect apartment fundamentals to remain stronger for longer given favorable demographics, solid job and wage growth, little impact from for-sale housing, and lower gasoline costs," says analyst Robert Stevenson, anticipating renters will continue to absorb 5%+ rental rate hikes this year.
- His two favorite names in apartment REITs are Home Properties (HME -1.1%) and Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA -1.5%) - they're the cheapest in the sector, he says, and he sees no reason to pay a premium price for others with similar growth characteristics.
- Risks: Spiking long-term bond yields and oversupply, but Stevenson believes the apartment companies are better-positioned to deal with both than the rest of the residential REIT sector.
- Bullish on HME and MAA, Stevenson gives Neutral ratings to Aimco (AIV -1.5%), AvalonBay (AVB -1.6%), Camden Property (CPT -1.5%), Equity Residential (EQR -1.7%), Essex Property (ESS -1.7%), Post Properties (PPS -1%), and UDR (UDR -1.7%).
- Source: Barron's
Wed, Apr. 8, 10:28 AM| Comment!
Tue, Mar. 17, 9:56 AM
- Launching coverage on the multi-family sector, Baird starts UDR (UDR -0.1%), Camden Property (CPT -0.1%), Mid-America Apartment (MAA +0.5%), and Aimco (AIV) at Outperform.
- Started at Neural are AvalonBay (AVB -0.3%), Post Properties (PPS -0.7%), Essex Property (ESS -0.2%), and Equity Residential (EQR -0.7%).
- Manufactured housing community operator Sun Communities (SUI +0.2%) rates a Neutral, as do campus housing players American Campus Communities (ACC) and Education Realty (EDR -0.2%).
- Equity Lifestyle Properties (ELS -0.6%) is started at Outperform.
Mon, Mar. 16, 9:56 AM
- The 10-year Treasury yield is lower by five basis points to 2.07% in early action as crude oil takes out new multi-year lows, industrial production falls for the third straight month, and capacity utilization declines to its lowest level in a year.
- Outperforming the averages is the iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR +1.2%).
- Among some individual players: Kimco (KIM +1.6%), Federal Realty (FRT +1.5%), Realty Income (O +1.3%), Omega Healthcare (OHI +1.3%), HCP (HCP +1.4%), Equity Residential (EQR +1.6%), General Growth Properties (GGP +1.4%), Public Storage (PSA +1%), Boston Properties (BXP +1.5%), Hospitality Properties (HPT +1.2%), Liberty Property Trust (LPT +0.8%), American Campus Communities (ACC +1.2%).
- ETFs: IYR, VNQ, DRN, URE, SRS, ICF, SCHH, RWR, KBWY, DRV, REK, FRI, FTY, PSR, WREI, FREL
Thu, Mar. 12, 5:17 PM
Tue, Mar. 10, 3:08 PM
- With the averages having a tightening tantrum - the Dow down nearly 300 - money is cautiously flowing into some income plays, notably the REITs. The iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (NYSEARCA:IYR) is flat on the session.
- Among the larger caps: Simon Property (SPG +0.2%), General Growth (GGP +0.7%), Health Care REIT (HCN +0.9%), HCP (HCP +0.4%), Equity Residential (EQR +0.5%), AvalonBay (AVB +0.6%), Boston Properties (BXP +0.2%), American Capital Agency (AGNC +0.2%), Annaly Capital (NLY -0.8%)
- ETFs: IYR, VNQ, DRN, URE, SRS, ICF, SCHH, RWR, KBWY, DRV, REK, FRI, FTY, PSR, WREI, FREL
- Previously: Yields tumble alongside stocks (March 10)
Thu, Mar. 5, 9:47 AM| Comment!
Tue, Feb. 24, 3:32 PM
- The 10-year Treasury yield has tumbled back beneath 2% amid Janet Yellen's congressional testimony and some weak economic data, but there's no bid for income favorites like equity REITs.
- The iShares DJ U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR -1.9%).
- Realty Income (O -2.9%), National Retail Properties (NNN -2.7%), Senior Housing Properties (SNH -2.2%), Ventas (VTR -3.8%), HCP (HCP -3.6%), Equity Commonwealth (EQC -2.3%), Vornado (VNO -1.9%), Equity Residential (EQR -2.5%), AvalonBay (AVB -2.7%), Simon Property (SPG -1.8%), General Growth (GGP -2.1%), Kimco (KIM -3%), Sovran Self Storage (SSS -2%), Boston Properties (BXP -2%), Hospitality Properties (HPT -2.7%), LaSalle Hotel (LHO -2.8%), Liberty Property Trust (LPT -2.7%), American Campus Communities (ACC -1.7%).
- ETFs: IYR, VNQ, DRN, URE, SRS, ICF, SCHH, RWR, KBWY, DRV, REK, FRI, FTY, PSR, WREI
Wed, Feb. 18, 12:47 PM
- Including dividends, apartment REITs returned 39.7% in 2014, the best among all real estate sectors, according to Nareit, which says REITs overall returned a still-pleasing 28%.
- REITs in general have cooled of late - off 1.7% in February, with apartments off 1.1% as some analysts ring the register.
- Morgan Stanley's Haendel St. Juste says slowing growth combined with pricey stock prices isn't the best combination. He notes the names are trading at 10-15% premiums to NAV vs. 10-15% discounts one year ago.
- Then there's oversupply, especially in company towns like D.C. and in the Texas oil belt. Over the past six months, builders have broken ground on multifamily apartments at an average pace of 357K units per year - 26% more than the 30-year average.
- Names of interest: EQR, AVB, ESS, PPS, UDR, AIV, CPT. HME, MAA, TSRE, AEC, IRET
Wed, Feb. 4, 12:02 PM
- Affirming Equity Residential's (EQR +1.3%) credit ratings, Moody's revises the outlook to positive from stable, suggesting an upgrade could be at hand in the near future.
- The agency takes note of EQR's stronger cash flow metrics, lower leverage, and meaningful improvements in portfolio quality. Also worth mentioning are favorable demographic trends driving continued strong demand for apartments.
- Previously: Equity Residential guides for growth in FFO and dividend (Feb. 4)
- Previously: Equity Residential beats by $0.04, revenue in-line (Feb. 3)
EQR vs. ETF Alternatives
Equity Residential is a real estate investment trust engaged in the acquisition, development and management of apartment properties in the U.S. It owns and manages 400 properties located in Boston, New York, Washington, DC and South Florida, among others.
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