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Friday, May 24, 4:11 AM German Ifo index of business confidence rises to 105.7 in May from 104.4 in April and tops estimates of 104.5. Current conditions 110 vs 107.3 and 107.2. Expectations static at 101.6, as forecast. The euro (FXE) spikes vs the dollar is now +0.1% after being lower, while the DAX is +0.1%. Comment! [Global & FX, Top Stories]
Friday, May 17, 9:38 AM Did the Fed tighten while we were getting a cup of coffee? The greenback is soaring against all other currencies, with the dollar bull ETF (UUP) gaining 0.6% - an unusually large move for that vehicle. Strength against the yen (FXY -0.3%) and the aussie (FXA -0.9%) are givens of late, but the greenback is up about 1% vs. both the loonie (FXC) and the swissie (FXF), and about 0.6% vs. the euro (FXE) and cable (FXB). Getting hit are Treasurys (TLT -0.5%), the dollar bear ETF (UDN -0.6%) and of course, gold (GLD -0.7%). 5 Comments [Global & FX]
Friday, May 17, 8:37 AM First the move then the news? The euro takes a quick tumble, dropping about 50 pips to $1.2821. There's not much in the news other than the recycling of an old story Germany's Constitutional Court might reject the ECB's OMT plan, and chatter the central bank has been calling around to float the idea of negative deposit rates. FXE -0.5% premarket. Comment! [Global & FX]
Thursday, May 16, 11:34 AM The euro tumbles about 30 pips as European Industry Commissioner Antonio Tajani tabs the currency as too strong and calls on the ECB to manage its level to better-help exports. FXE now up just 0.1%. Comment! [Global & FX, On the Move]
Wednesday, May 15, 8:24 AM The euro (FXE) falls 0.5% against the dollar after reports indicate France slipped into recession during Q1 and data out of Germany shows the eurozone's largest economy narrowly avoided a similar fate. Meanwhile, sterling (FXB) retraces earlier gains (posted after BOE's Mervyn King sounded an upbeat tone on the prospects for the U.K. economy) to trade flat against the greenback. Comment!
Monday, May 13, 6:20 AM The ECB's Ignazio Visco revives the discussion of negative deposit rates after Ewald Nowotny sought to dismiss the notion as largely out of the realm of near-term possibilities earlier this month. Visco tells CNBC that the ECB is "technically prepared" to institute the policy and goes so far as to say that in his opinion, "the economy is now capable of taking it on board." In the wake of the ECB's most recent policy meeting, Mario Draghi said he has an "open mind" to the policy, a statement which sent the euro (FXE) tumbling. Comment!
Thursday, May 9, 3:06 PM The dollar (UUP +1%) is soaring across the board (not just against the yen, where it's now spiked through ¥100 to ¥100.56). The greenback is threatening parity vs. the aussie (FXA -1.1%) for the first time since last summer, and the euro (FXE -1.1%), swissie (FXF -1.4%), loonie (FXC -0.5%), and pound (FXB -0.6%) are seeing sizable declines as well. Commodities? Red. Gold (GLD -1.1%), Silver (SLV -1.2%), Oil (USO -0.6%), Copper (JJC -0.8%). 5 Comments [Global & FX, Commodities, On the Move]
Monday, May 6, 10:44 AM The euro (FXE -0.4%) tumbles as Mario Draghi - in prepared remarks in Rome - says the ECB is ready to act again in coming weeks. The comments are not a whole lot different than what he said post-rate cut at his press conference last Thursday. 1 Comment [Global & FX, On the Move]
Thursday, May 2, 9:16 AM It tells you all you need to know, says Danske's Owen Callan, that the ECB would consider negative deposit rates rather than buying government paper. Draghi saying he has an "open mind" on negative deposit rates looks to be what sent the euro tumbling about 100 pips on one 5-minute bar. FXE -0.6% premarket. 5 Comments [Global & FX, On the Move]
Thursday, May 2, 9:07 AM "There was a very strong prevailing consensus towards an interest rate cut," says Draghi, now taking questions at his press conference. The answer suggests the vote wasn't unanimous (Weidmann?). As Draghi points to higher stock prices as one measure of the ECB's success, markets turn tail, the Stoxx 50 (FEZ) now off 0.5%, and the euro (FXE) really tumbling, -0.8%. 1 Comment [Global & FX, On the Move]
Thursday, May 2, 8:50 AM Inflation risks are "broadly balanced" and economic risks remain "on the downside," says ECB chief Mario Draghi at his press conference (following the rate cut this morning). Draghi ends his introductory remarks by throwing the baton to EU governments, saying they must continue with fiscal consolidation and target competitiveness. Future rate cuts, however, are not ruled out. European stocks (FEZ) remain moderately higher, the euro (FXE) about flat. 1 Comment [Breaking News, Global & FX]
Thursday, May 2, 7:46 AM The ECB cuts its benchmark rate 25 basis points to 0.5%, a move expected my most, but not all economist forecasts. The euro (FXE) is about flat on the session. Comment! [Global & FX, Breaking News, Top Stories]
Wednesday, May 1, 12:41 PM Buy the dips in the euro (FXE) ahead of tomorrow's ECB policy meeting, says Credit Suisse (what dips, the euro's at a 2-month high). A rate cut is expected and SOP is for currencies to decline after, but the cut could be construed as stimulative for growth and thus supportive of the euro. A rate is expected, but not a slam-dunk as yet. 1 Comment [Global & FX]
Monday, April 29, 3:15 PM More from BAML on currencies: Holding against the crowd a bit, the bank argues an ECB rate cut is not coming this week, but could come in June if the data remain weak. BAML also suggests the bank may try to maximize the impact of a rate cut by combining it with looser collateral requirements. The euro (FXE) has held its own of late despite increasing signals of easier monetary policy. Comment! [Global & FX]
Friday, April 26, 7:18 AM New data from the ECB strengthen the case for a rate cut as loans in the eurozone private sector fell 0.8% Y/Y in March. Maybe a bit of light - lending to nonfinancial firms rose for the first time since July, but the small increase followed huge declines in January and February. Separately, Pimco's Rich Clarida says the ECB will indeed cut rates next week. The euro (FXE) is flat, continuing its tight range over the past few days. 2 Comments [Global & FX]
Wednesday, April 24, 7:04 AM Momentum is building for the ECB to cut rates 25 basis points at its meeting next week, reports Reuters, citing senior sources at the central bank. The meeting is taking place away from the bank's Frankfurt home and the ECB rarely moves at away games, but recent data paint a bleak enough picture for action, says one official. The euro (FXE) is flat and buying $1.3019. 2 Comments [Global & FX]

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