Is FXY a buy? - Seeking Alpha

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HEADLINES:

China Continues To Cut Out The Middle Man - The Dollar
AlphaVN Research • Tue, May 21 • 2 Comments
Gold: Casualty Of Currency Manipulations?
Damir Tokic • Tue, May 21 • 9 Comments
Is The Dollar To Be Given A Bull Run Break Before Ben?
Dean Popplewell • Tue, May 21 • 1 Comment
Powerful Reversal Day In Precious Metals And The Miners
Jeb Handwerger • Tue, May 21 • 7 Comments
Sterling And Yen Wait For No Man
Marc Chandler • Tue, May 21 • 2 Comments
Aussie-Yen (AUD/JPY) About To Take A Dirt Nap
Fiver Capital • Tue, May 21 • 1 Comment
To Sustain The Rally, The Fed Should Start Tapering Now
Eric Parnell • Mon, May 20 • 20 Comments
Fishing For Yield In A World Of Liquidity
AllAboutAlpha • Mon, May 20
FX Outlook: The Week Of A USDJPY Pullback?
Sean Bellamy McNulty • Mon, May 20
Flavor Of The Day In FX: Consolidation
Marc Chandler • Mon, May 20
Central Banks Dominate Forces Of Movement In The Week Ahead
Marc Chandler • Mon, May 20
Rising Treasury Yields: QE Tapering Or Real Selling?
AlphaVN Research • Sun, May 19 • 6 Comments
Dollar Bull Run
Marc Chandler • Sat, May 18 • 5 Comments
Are We Close To Selling The USD?
Ralph Shell • Fri, May 17 • 9 Comments
Next Week's Economic Releases You Don't Want To Miss
FXstreet • Fri, May 17
Japan ETFs Pause After GDP Data
Tom Lydon • Fri, May 17 • 1 Comment
Week In FX Asia - Aussie And Yen Remaining The Whipping Currency Of Choice
Dean Popplewell • Fri, May 17
U.S. Dollar Ends Another 9-Year Down Cycle
Ashraf Laidi • Fri, May 17 • 2 Comments
Strong Finish To Week For U.S. Dollar
Marc Chandler • Fri, May 17
An Aussie Spanking Is Preferred Over A Timid Euro
Dean Popplewell • Fri, May 17

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Aussie-Yen (AUD/JPY) About To Take A Dirt Nap
Fiver Capital • Tue, May 21 • 1 Comment
Japanese Bond Yields: From Wild Turkey To Cold Turkey?
Oriental Trader • Thu, May 16 • 3 Comments
Range Bound Trade Confusing To Traders Of The Yen And The Euro
Ralph Shell • Thu, May 9
Resistance On Yen Caps Risk Assets
Nicholas Pardini • Wed, May 8
A Continually Rising Yen: Reductio Ad Absurdum
Doug Short • Tue, May 7 • 20 Comments
The 3 Stages Of Japanese Yen Devaluation
Oriental Trader • Wed, May 1 • 11 Comments
Japan: Why The Yen Will Move Lower And The Nikkei Will Move Higher
JF Global Investing • Sun, Apr 28 • 6 Comments
Commodity Chart Of The Day: Japanese Yen - Contrarian Play
Matthew Bradbard • Fri, Apr 26 • 10 Comments
Bank Of Japan's Kuroda Goes To Washington
Ralph Shell • Fri, Apr 19 • 4 Comments
Following The Money In Japan Explains Much Of The Yen's Recent Strength
Sean Bellamy McNulty • Tue, Apr 16 • 1 Comment
Japanese Economy And Monetary Policy: What To Expect This Week
Investometrica • Sun, Apr 14 • 1 Comment
Why The Yen Is Now Fairly Valued, Dollar Back As Preferred Funding Currency
George Dorgan • Wed, Apr 3 • 4 Comments
The Nikkei 225 And The Japanese Yen: How Long And How Far Can This Pair Move In Opposite Directions?
Ariel Aharonovich • Mon, Feb 25 • 11 Comments
Did Mrs. Watanabe Make A Killing In The Yen?
Ralph Shell • Tue, Feb 19 • 2 Comments
Kuroda Campaigns For BOJ Head
Marc Chandler • Tue, Feb 12
Yen At 100.00: Would That Be Enough?
FXstreet • Tue, Feb 12 • 2 Comments
Currency Wars Over Before They Begin?
Tim Duy • Fri, Feb 8 • 9 Comments
Is The Yen Still A Sale?
Ralph Shell • Thu, Jan 31 • 2 Comments
Bank Of Japan Vows To Purchase Assets - Next Year
Ralph Shell • Wed, Jan 23 • 7 Comments
Commodity Chart Of The Day: Japanese Yen
Matthew Bradbard • Wed, Jan 23 • 4 Comments

China Continues To Cut Out The Middle Man - The Dollar
AlphaVN Research • Tue, May 21 • 2 Comments
Gold: Casualty Of Currency Manipulations?
Damir Tokic • Tue, May 21 • 9 Comments
Is The Dollar To Be Given A Bull Run Break Before Ben?
Dean Popplewell • Tue, May 21 • 1 Comment
Powerful Reversal Day In Precious Metals And The Miners
Jeb Handwerger • Tue, May 21 • 7 Comments
Sterling And Yen Wait For No Man
Marc Chandler • Tue, May 21 • 2 Comments
To Sustain The Rally, The Fed Should Start Tapering Now
Eric Parnell • Mon, May 20 • 20 Comments
Fishing For Yield In A World Of Liquidity
AllAboutAlpha • Mon, May 20
FX Outlook: The Week Of A USDJPY Pullback?
Sean Bellamy McNulty • Mon, May 20
Flavor Of The Day In FX: Consolidation
Marc Chandler • Mon, May 20
Central Banks Dominate Forces Of Movement In The Week Ahead
Marc Chandler • Mon, May 20
Rising Treasury Yields: QE Tapering Or Real Selling?
AlphaVN Research • Sun, May 19 • 6 Comments
Dollar Bull Run
Marc Chandler • Sat, May 18 • 5 Comments
Are We Close To Selling The USD?
Ralph Shell • Fri, May 17 • 9 Comments
Next Week's Economic Releases You Don't Want To Miss
FXstreet • Fri, May 17
Japan ETFs Pause After GDP Data
Tom Lydon • Fri, May 17 • 1 Comment
Week In FX Asia - Aussie And Yen Remaining The Whipping Currency Of Choice
Dean Popplewell • Fri, May 17
U.S. Dollar Ends Another 9-Year Down Cycle
Ashraf Laidi • Fri, May 17 • 2 Comments
Strong Finish To Week For U.S. Dollar
Marc Chandler • Fri, May 17
An Aussie Spanking Is Preferred Over A Timid Euro
Dean Popplewell • Fri, May 17
U.S. Economy In March - Spring Swoon Has Arrived
Stephen Aniston • Thu, May 16 • 10 Comments

There are no Transcripts on FXY.

The Technical Indicator: S&P extends the break to ‘clear skies’ territory

at MarketWatch.com (May 14, 2013)
Dennis Gartman: Favorite Japan Trade

at CNBC.com (Apr 10, 2013)
Land of the Falling Yen: Japan Cheers Sliding Currency

at CNBC.com (Feb 6, 2013)
Market Extra: Euro finds its niche as a funding currency

at MarketWatch.com (Jul 26, 2012)
EU Crisis Turns Has-Beens Into Hot Currencies

at CNBC.com (Jun 11, 2012)
Stocks, dollar gain; ISM trumps G-7

at MarketWatch.com (Jun 5, 2012)
Dow falls for fourth day, oil edges higher

at MarketWatch.com (Jun 4, 2012)
Stocks, oil tank; Treasurys, gold win big after payrolls

at MarketWatch.com (Jun 1, 2012)
Messy May for stocks, oil; Treasurys end on a high note

at MarketWatch.com (May 31, 2012)
Bond yields, euro hit new lows; stocks, oil drop

at MarketWatch.com (May 30, 2012)
Spain's downgrade hits euro, commodities; stocks gain

at MarketWatch.com (May 29, 2012)
Stocks, bonds, commodities cut into week's moves

at MarketWatch.com (May 25, 2012)
Commodities, bonds reverse; stocks grope for direction

at MarketWatch.com (May 24, 2012)
Dollar, Treasurys gain on Europe uncertainty; stocks rebound

at MarketWatch.com (May 23, 2012)
Stocks lose steam at close; gold, oil end lower

at MarketWatch.com (May 22, 2012)
U.S. stocks, oil break losing streak; bonds extend rally

at MarketWatch.com (May 21, 2012)
Record-low yields, long dollar rally weigh on stocks, oil

at MarketWatch.com (May 17, 2012)
Markets turn on Greece, Fed; dollar index extends win streak

at MarketWatch.com (May 16, 2012)
Dollar's rally pushes stocks lower; Treasury yields near record lows

at MarketWatch.com (May 15, 2012)
Bonds, dollar extend impressive rallies; stocks wimper

at MarketWatch.com (May 11, 2012)

FXY vs. ETF Alternatives

FXY Description

CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust is designed to track the price of the Japanese Yen net of Trust expenses, which are expected to be paid from interest earned on the deposited Japanese Yen.
See more details on sponsor's website

Country: Japan

Key Info

In Your Portfolio: A Guide to Currency ETFs and ETNs
Asset Class Performance: Currencies

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| On the move

Tuesday, May 21, 11:38 AM In case anyone was curious, Kyle Bass continues to bet on a full-blown Japanese currency (FXY) and government debt (JGBT, JGBL, JGBS, JGBD) crisis. "This gross vs. net argument is just silly," says Bass alluding to large official and other domestic holdings of JGBs. "If they go to try and sell any of those assets, it will create a panic." Bass commissioned a poll of Japanese investors asking their reaction if the government asked them to buy JGBs amid a crisis: 8% said they would buy, 83% said they would "run, not walk" from the paper. 2 Comments [Global & FX]
Monday, May 20, 11:27 AM Silver's (SLV -0.6%) 9% plunge in the first minutes of trading overnight is being linked to hawkish talk from Japanese Economy Minister Akira Amari who warned the yen's (FXY +0.7%) fast decline may be hurting the economy. One fails to see the connection but dollar/yen did dive along with silver and Andrew Wilkinson suggests hedge funds short the yen were forced to raise cash by bailing on stale silver longs. 11 Comments [Commodities, On the Move]
Friday, May 17, 3:46 PM The yen (FXY -0.9%) legs down to a new multi-year low - the dollar now buying ¥103.24 - continuing a truly remarkable move since late last year. It's an instance where politicians told you they were going to devalue, every trader and strategist around told you they were shorting the yen, and sure enough the yen went down ... hard, and in as straight of a line as markets ever allow. Ah, if it were always that easy. Other ETFs: JYN, YCL, YCN. 4 Comments [Global & FX, On the Move]
Friday, May 17, 9:38 AM Did the Fed tighten while we were getting a cup of coffee? The greenback is soaring against all other currencies, with the dollar bull ETF (UUP) gaining 0.6% - an unusually large move for that vehicle. Strength against the yen (FXY -0.3%) and the aussie (FXA -0.9%) are givens of late, but the greenback is up about 1% vs. both the loonie (FXC) and the swissie (FXF), and about 0.6% vs. the euro (FXE) and cable (FXB). Getting hit are Treasurys (TLT -0.5%), the dollar bear ETF (UDN -0.6%) and of course, gold (GLD -0.7%). 5 Comments [Global & FX]
Friday, May 17, 7:29 AM Copy the Goldman aussie forecast to the yen - its quick tumble also forcing the team to revise lower its already bearish forecasts. The analysts now see the dollar buying ¥110 twelve months out vs. ¥105 previously. The yen's (FXY) marginally stronger this morning, the dollar buying ¥102.40. Comment! [Global & FX]
Thursday, May 16, 6:26 AM Unexpectedly weak capital spending marred an otherwise decent Japan GDP report, weighing on the Nikkei (EWJ, DXJ), which fell 0.39% but still held onto the 15,000 level. The yen (FXY) was firm against the dollar for most of session, trading around ¥102, but has since lost ground, falling 0.40% to ¥102.60. Comment!
Wednesday, May 15, 7:32 AM The Nikkei (EWJ, DXJ) soared another 2.3% overnight to top 15K for the first time since 2007 as the yen (FXY) slid 0.3% to a new multi-year low of ¥102.65. Leading was Sony (SNE), up 10% following Dan Loeb's push for a breakup. Toyota (TM) paced the exporters with a 3.7% gain. JGBs (JGBL) were calm, the yield on the 10-year flat at 0.86%. 4 Comments [Global & FX, On the Move]
Monday, May 13, 4:56 AM The yen (FXY) continues its slide , falling to a new four-and-a-half year low against the dollar, helping the Nikkei (NKY) post another triple-digit gain on the session, rising 1.2% to 14782, its highest level since January 2008. The weak yen comes on the heels of the G7's reportedly amicable meeting over the weekend, at which officials were generally supportive of the BOJ's policies and reiterated that Japan's goal is to fight deflation not engage in the targeting of exchange rates. 4 Comments [Global & FX]
Friday, May 10, 11:01 AM One casualty of Friday's yen (FXY) rout are South Korean stocks (EWY -3.6%) as the Kospi falls 1.75% in Seoul. The weaker yen hurts Korea's exporters and Thursday's 25 basis point rate cut is likely no match for the BOJ's monetary bazooka. Comment! [Global & FX]
Friday, May 10, 4:37 AM For the first time since April of 2009, the yen (FXY) fell through the 100-level against the dollar, helping the Nikkei rally nearly 3% on the session and almost 7% on the week. Japanese equities (EWJ) are now trading at levels last seen in January of 2008. Japanese capital flows data finally showed what many had been waiting for since BOJ Governor Kuroda's shot across the bow at deflation: an outflow, as Japanese investors became net buyers of foreign bonds. 6 Comments [Global & FX]
Thursday, May 9, 1:26 PM The yen (FXY -0.8%) has weakened sharply in the last few minutes, with the dollar making another run at ¥100, currently buying ¥99.80. A move into triple digits would be the first time that high for the greenback in 4 years. 4 Comments [Global & FX, On the Move]
Monday, April 29, 3:09 PM Excitement for shorting the yen (FXY) has cooled among BAML's hedge fund clients, according to the firm's latest Macro Monitor. More or less a one-way trade for many months, the dollar hit a ceiling of ¥100 earlier this month and has fallen back (currently ¥98). Another popular short, the British Pound (FXB) has been costing traders money and forcing them to cover, a trend BAML suggests isn't fully played out. Comment! [Global & FX]
Friday, April 26, 11:10 AM The yen (FXY +1.6%) races higher, unwinding a bit of what had been about the world's most one-sided trade for the last 6 months. First comes price action then come excuses, and about the best reasons for today's slide in dollar/yen is the BOJ upping its economic forecast at last night's policy meeting, and the weak U.S. GDP print. The surging yen is hitting the year's hottest ETF, DXJ -1.7%. 2 Comments [Global & FX, On the Move]
Friday, April 19, 3:05 PM The yen weakens further as the G-20 statement (word doc) shows the gang agrees Japan's stimulus efforts are necessary and not aimed at devaluing the yen. Speaking to reporters, however, Canadian finmin Flahery says the yen wasn't discussed. Go figure. FXY -1.4%, with the dollar threatening to push over ¥100Y, now at ¥99.58. Comment! [Global & FX]
Tuesday, April 16, 8:28 AM After continuing to strengthen sharply in early trade overnight, the yen is back in full retreat, down more than 1% vs. the dollar which is now buying ¥97.88. Along with the big reversal came a big swing in the Nikkei, which fell more than 2% at one point, but closed down just 0.4%. FXY -1.1%, EWJ +0.6%, DXJ +0.5% premarket. Comment! [Global & FX, On the Move]
Monday, April 15, 2:42 PM Another popular position unwound today is the yen short trade, with much of the move coming in the past 90 minutes. The dollar (UUP) is off a full 1% vs. the yen (FXY +1.2%), but surging against most all other units. Particularly noteworthy are the "commodity currencies" - the aussie (FXA -1.6%), the loonie (FXC -1%). 1 Comment [Global & FX]

Oriental Trader
$FXY Abe on front cover of latest issue of Economist.
Sun, 11:28 AM
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Chris DeMuth Jr.
$FXY at a new 52-week low.
Sat, 10:35 AM
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Chris DeMuth Jr.
$FXY at a new 52-week low this week
Fri, 12:55 PM
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steppppo: Long live Mr. Kuroda!
Fri, 3:02 PM
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Chris DeMuth Jr.
$FXY is at a new 52-week low
May 14, 4:12 PM
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Chris DeMuth Jr.
$FXY @ new 52-weeek low
May 13, 7:44 PM
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Chris DeMuth Jr.
$FXY are at a new 52-week low
May 12, 10:45 AM
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x oil -field
We End The Week With Some Decisive Forex Moves by: Ralph Shell.$FXC $FXE $FXY $UUP http://bit.ly/18AhJSX http://bit.ly/YAjKuj MarketCurrents
May 11, 12:49 AM
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Chris DeMuth Jr.
$FXY at a new 52-week low
May 9, 4:28 PM
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Erick Lee
$FXY, USD/JPY 100 psychological level, will it break this friday on BOJ Kuroda press conference and rate decision? we shall see :D
Apr 23, 2:38 AM
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markrpat
US$ v. Yen. Buy $YCS vs. $FXY puts? Which is best proxy without selling otm calls and buying otm puts? Long May $FXY puts, DIM here.
Apr 10, 10:18 PM
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markrpat: Based on : http://seekingalpha.com/a/44tc. Suggestions?
Apr 10, 10:19 PM
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LATEST REPLIES

Chris DeMuth Jr.
$FXY at a new 52-week low this week
Fri, 12:55 PM
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steppppo: Long live Mr. Kuroda!
Fri, 3:02 PM
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markrpat
US$ v. Yen. Buy $YCS vs. $FXY puts? Which is best proxy without selling otm calls and buying otm puts? Long May $FXY puts, DIM here.
Apr 10, 10:18 PM
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markrpat: Based on : http://seekingalpha.com/a/44tc. Suggestions?
Apr 10, 10:19 PM
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Dr. Kris
Yen ($FXY) breaking below the greenback. Was trading @ $1.30 in 2011. Looks like more pain on horizon. Book your Asian travel now!
Apr 8, 3:05 PM
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bd4uandu: Might be a good year for motorcycle shopping.
Apr 8, 3:45 PM
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Dr. Kris: ...And Prius buying, too--the #1 car in California.
Apr 8, 4:06 PM
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Chris DeMuth Jr.
$FXY @ new 52-week low, likely going much much lower...
Apr 6, 6:21 PM
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Hypnos7: This looks like an actionable breakout.
Apr 7, 5:33 AM
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Chris DeMuth Jr.
This could be a dramatic day for $FXY. Long-dated puts are still very cheap, as the price could decline a lot and volatility could go up.
Apr 4, 7:45 AM
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steppppo: Means a lot coming from you Chris. Thanks for all you do!
Apr 4, 10:18 AM
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prattner: japan is intent on self immolation. 10 jan 2014 puts, 90 strike
Apr 4, 1:14 PM
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Chris DeMuth Jr.
Short ideas at new 52-week lows this week: $VXX, $TVIX, $FXY
Mar 12, 1:16 PM
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TheCompleatAngler: TVIX daily indicative value on 3/20 is reported as being $3.39. Currently trading at $3.80 after gaining $.11 today, as I type this.
Mar 21, 2:53 PM
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Perkins Cove: Angler....where is that place in your avatar? I may need to add it to my bucket list......grin
Mar 21, 2:58 PM
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Tom Guttenberger
$FXY - this level of volatility in the yen seems pretty hard to imagine considering stability of bond market. Sell puts maybe.
Mar 8, 10:33 AM
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Hypnos7: Given the structural problems in the Japanese economy, there's no bottom apparent.
Mar 8, 10:44 AM
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Tom Guttenberger: Yes, apartently not. I personally would like to understand their trade situation with China more thoroughly.
Mar 8, 11:53 AM
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Chris DeMuth Jr.
Some shorts worth considering: $TMF, $FXY, $VXX/$TVIX for 2013
Feb 1, 11:25 AM
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Chris DeMuth Jr.: The constant leverage trap degrades the value of both over time (-1.26% for the bull and -17.92% for the bear over the past year).
Mar 7, 2:19 PM
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Chris DeMuth Jr.: Also, there is risk from the sponsors. And one can front run how they are traded/structured. I have no position in TMV but would short it.
Mar 7, 2:20 PM
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Dr. Kris
BOJ QE is working--Yen ($FXY) shedding 17% since Oct. Time for a trip to Japan? I hear it's lovely in spring.
Feb 5, 2:01 PM
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neobliviscar: Wait for 110-120 yen to the $USD. Deflation o housing prices, elderly populi, etc, and by 2020-2030 Kyoto w/ be nice place 2 retire as expat
Feb 5, 3:54 PM
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Dr. Kris: Similar situation expected here & in Europe since young population is decreasing.
Feb 5, 11:32 PM
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Chris DeMuth Jr.
$FXY @ new 52-week low. Many more BOJ governors to come and go. More lows to break. This short is my favorite for the next ten years.
Feb 5, 2:01 PM
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SKS1586: Awesome - I have the same opinion as you.
Feb 5, 2:19 PM
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Tom Guttenberger
Went long $FXY through calls today. Enough of a nosedive for now I think.
Jan 23, 9:59 AM
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Tom Guttenberger: True, I think the BOJ has gotten the market to react how it had hoped. Probably will return to current account surplus.P/E on EWJ reasonable
Jan 23, 3:23 PM
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Tom Guttenberger: Buying more on double bottom this morning...
Jan 24, 9:37 AM
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Dr. Kris
No miso for you! Japanese Yen etf $FXY gapping lower by 1%, closing in on $117.13 previous low. Strong support @ $115.
12/12/12
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neobliviscar: 2:1 women over men, but yeah SoHo boy toys. Had I to guess, I'd say the strippers would be the DB, UBS, and Blackrock crowd.
12/12/12
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Dr. Kris: Personally, I wouldn't know. I'm basing my guess from what is reported in the media and from friends on Wall Street.
12/12/12
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Dr. Duru
The Japanese Yen Is Reasserting Itself: http://bit.ly/ND1SVF FXY
7/16/12
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DaLatin: Yes sir and how long will it be b 4 they coordinate another useless attack ! Getting 2 b an old ongoing story !
7/16/12
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Hypnos7
Maybe I'm crazy, but it's too early to short QQQ, GLD, SLV ... my FXY and USO shorts I opened at the morning bell doing okay.
6/21/12
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Hypnos7: It had gotten overbought, and swing traders could have entered yesterday afternoon.
6/21/12
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Hypnos7: Or this morning.
6/21/12
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stocknerd
Japan may be too patient. The Yen's strength FXY may be good for Japanese traveling abroad or them buying stuff, it is killing exports.
6/2/12
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Hillbilly Stock Star: I think Japan in deep poo, just wait till Cali sues them!
6/2/12
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Hillbilly Stock Star: Alaska too!
6/3/12
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FXY CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust ETF

FXY

CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust ETF