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CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust ETF

5/23/2013, 7:51 PM ET

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Thursday, May 23, 4:42 AM Even Japanese stocks are subject to the law of gravity (who knew?) as a confluence of factors sends the Nikkei (EWJ, DXJ) plunging 7.3% on the session (the swing from intraday high to low was ~9%). Yields on JGB 10s (JGBL) spiked above 1% at one point as an already skittish and volatile market was further rattled by what have generally been perceived as hawkish comments out of Ben Bernanke and other Fed officials on Wednesday. Yields pulled back in late trading. Compounding the problem for Japanese stocks was the yen (FXY), which has strengthened some 2% against the dollar to 101.16 most recently. (See also: China HSBC flash PMI shows contraction) 8 Comments [Global & FX, On the Move]
Wednesday, May 22, 10:42 AM Bernanke: Stocks continue with solid gains as the chairman suggests the Fed may never sell the massive assets it's accumulated, instead just letting them roll down. Most interesting are Treasury prices (TLT -1.1%) rolling over - the 10-year yield sunk to 1.89% as Bernanke's soft comments hit the tape, but has reversed to now threaten 2%. Gold (GLD +0.6%) has given up much of its knee-jerk gains, and the dollar (UUP +0.3%) is having none of it, higher across the board, particularly vs. the aussie (FXA -1.1%), yen (FXY -1%), and loonie (FXC -0.6%). 5 Comments
Tuesday, May 21, 11:38 AM In case anyone was curious, Kyle Bass continues to bet on a full-blown Japanese currency (FXY) and government debt (JGBT, JGBL, JGBS, JGBD) crisis. "This gross vs. net argument is just silly," says Bass alluding to large official and other domestic holdings of JGBs. "If they go to try and sell any of those assets, it will create a panic." Bass commissioned a poll of Japanese investors asking their reaction if the government asked them to buy JGBs amid a crisis: 8% said they would buy, 83% said they would "run, not walk" from the paper. 2 Comments [Global & FX]
Monday, May 20, 11:27 AM Silver's (SLV -0.6%) 9% plunge in the first minutes of trading overnight is being linked to hawkish talk from Japanese Economy Minister Akira Amari who warned the yen's (FXY +0.7%) fast decline may be hurting the economy. One fails to see the connection but dollar/yen did dive along with silver and Andrew Wilkinson suggests hedge funds short the yen were forced to raise cash by bailing on stale silver longs. 11 Comments [Commodities, On the Move]
Friday, May 17, 3:46 PM The yen (FXY -0.9%) legs down to a new multi-year low - the dollar now buying ¥103.24 - continuing a truly remarkable move since late last year. It's an instance where politicians told you they were going to devalue, every trader and strategist around told you they were shorting the yen, and sure enough the yen went down ... hard, and in as straight of a line as markets ever allow. Ah, if it were always that easy. Other ETFs: JYN, YCL, YCN. 4 Comments [Global & FX, On the Move]
Friday, May 17, 9:38 AM Did the Fed tighten while we were getting a cup of coffee? The greenback is soaring against all other currencies, with the dollar bull ETF (UUP) gaining 0.6% - an unusually large move for that vehicle. Strength against the yen (FXY -0.3%) and the aussie (FXA -0.9%) are givens of late, but the greenback is up about 1% vs. both the loonie (FXC) and the swissie (FXF), and about 0.6% vs. the euro (FXE) and cable (FXB). Getting hit are Treasurys (TLT -0.5%), the dollar bear ETF (UDN -0.6%) and of course, gold (GLD -0.7%). 5 Comments [Global & FX]
Friday, May 17, 7:29 AM Copy the Goldman aussie forecast to the yen - its quick tumble also forcing the team to revise lower its already bearish forecasts. The analysts now see the dollar buying ¥110 twelve months out vs. ¥105 previously. The yen's (FXY) marginally stronger this morning, the dollar buying ¥102.40. Comment! [Global & FX]
Thursday, May 16, 6:26 AM Unexpectedly weak capital spending marred an otherwise decent Japan GDP report, weighing on the Nikkei (EWJ, DXJ), which fell 0.39% but still held onto the 15,000 level. The yen (FXY) was firm against the dollar for most of session, trading around ¥102, but has since lost ground, falling 0.40% to ¥102.60. Comment!
Wednesday, May 15, 7:32 AM The Nikkei (EWJ, DXJ) soared another 2.3% overnight to top 15K for the first time since 2007 as the yen (FXY) slid 0.3% to a new multi-year low of ¥102.65. Leading was Sony (SNE), up 10% following Dan Loeb's push for a breakup. Toyota (TM) paced the exporters with a 3.7% gain. JGBs (JGBL) were calm, the yield on the 10-year flat at 0.86%. 4 Comments [Global & FX, On the Move]
Monday, May 13, 4:56 AM The yen (FXY) continues its slide , falling to a new four-and-a-half year low against the dollar, helping the Nikkei (NKY) post another triple-digit gain on the session, rising 1.2% to 14782, its highest level since January 2008. The weak yen comes on the heels of the G7's reportedly amicable meeting over the weekend, at which officials were generally supportive of the BOJ's policies and reiterated that Japan's goal is to fight deflation not engage in the targeting of exchange rates. 4 Comments [Global & FX]
Friday, May 10, 11:01 AM One casualty of Friday's yen (FXY) rout are South Korean stocks (EWY -3.6%) as the Kospi falls 1.75% in Seoul. The weaker yen hurts Korea's exporters and Thursday's 25 basis point rate cut is likely no match for the BOJ's monetary bazooka. Comment! [Global & FX]
Friday, May 10, 4:37 AM For the first time since April of 2009, the yen (FXY) fell through the 100-level against the dollar, helping the Nikkei rally nearly 3% on the session and almost 7% on the week. Japanese equities (EWJ) are now trading at levels last seen in January of 2008. Japanese capital flows data finally showed what many had been waiting for since BOJ Governor Kuroda's shot across the bow at deflation: an outflow, as Japanese investors became net buyers of foreign bonds. 6 Comments [Global & FX]
Thursday, May 9, 1:26 PM The yen (FXY -0.8%) has weakened sharply in the last few minutes, with the dollar making another run at ¥100, currently buying ¥99.80. A move into triple digits would be the first time that high for the greenback in 4 years. 4 Comments [Global & FX, On the Move]
Monday, April 29, 3:09 PM Excitement for shorting the yen (FXY) has cooled among BAML's hedge fund clients, according to the firm's latest Macro Monitor. More or less a one-way trade for many months, the dollar hit a ceiling of ¥100 earlier this month and has fallen back (currently ¥98). Another popular short, the British Pound (FXB) has been costing traders money and forcing them to cover, a trend BAML suggests isn't fully played out. Comment! [Global & FX]
Friday, April 26, 11:10 AM The yen (FXY +1.6%) races higher, unwinding a bit of what had been about the world's most one-sided trade for the last 6 months. First comes price action then come excuses, and about the best reasons for today's slide in dollar/yen is the BOJ upping its economic forecast at last night's policy meeting, and the weak U.S. GDP print. The surging yen is hitting the year's hottest ETF, DXJ -1.7%. 2 Comments [Global & FX, On the Move]
Friday, April 19, 3:05 PM The yen weakens further as the G-20 statement (word doc) shows the gang agrees Japan's stimulus efforts are necessary and not aimed at devaluing the yen. Speaking to reporters, however, Canadian finmin Flahery says the yen wasn't discussed. Go figure. FXY -1.4%, with the dollar threatening to push over ¥100Y, now at ¥99.58. Comment! [Global & FX]

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