Oct. 29, 2014, 7:40 PM
- Precious metals miners and the ETFs that track them were slammed today as the Fed moved to end its bond purchase program.
- Today’s 4.3% swoon in the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA:GDX) drives the price below $20 for the first time since Oct. 2008, and the Global X Silver Miners ETF (NYSEARCA:SIL) tumbled 3.5% to its lowest finish since its launch in April 2010.
- The Fed action was expected, but paired with a more upbeat assessment of the U.S. labor market, gold’s appeal is further dampened vs. income generating assets, Barron's Chris Dieterich writes.
- Among individual names today: ABX -5.1%, NEM -4.7%, GG -4.1%, GFI -3.2%, SLW -3.3%, AGI -3.4%, AEM -4.7%, AUY -4.1%, IAG -4.6%, KGC -2.9%, NGD -4.3%, AU -3.3%, RGLD -4.8%, GOLD -2.5%.
- Other ETFs: GLD, SLV, GDXJ, NUGT, AGQ, IAU, DUST, USLV, SIVR, JNUG, SGOL, ZSL, UGL, GLDX, DGP, GLL, UGLD, DZZ, JDST, DSLV, SLVP, OUNZ, DGL, DBS, SILJ, DGZ, RING, DGLD, AGOL, SGDM, PSAU, USV, UBG, BAR, BARS
Oct. 20, 2014, 12:54 PM
- Gold Fields (GFI -0.2%) says it remains on track to achieve its production guidance for FY 2014 of ~2.2M gold equiv. oz., and expects full-year costs to come in below earlier guidance; GFI sees FY 2014 costs at ~US$1,090/oz. vs. its previous outlook for $1,125/oz. and all-in costs of ~$1,130/oz. from its prior guidance of $1,150/oz.
- Attributable gold equivalent production for Q3 is seen at ~559K oz. at all-in sustaining costs of $1,074/oz. and all-in costs of $1,096/oz.
Oct. 9, 2014, 3:58 PM
- The price of gold may be rising, but gold mining stocks are getting hammered today; after all, "they are still stocks," Barron's Johanna Bennett writes.
- Gold prices rallied today to $1,234/oz., their highest level since Sept. 23, a day after the dovish minutes from the Fed’s September policy meeting excited gold bugs, but shares of the mining companies are falling along with the broader market selloff.
- Among the top mining names: IAG -6.9%, KGC -6.2%, SLW -5.9%, NGD -5.5%, AU -4.9%, GG -4.7%, ABX -3.9%, AUY -3.9%, GFI -2.8%, BTG -2.7%, RGLD -2.6%, AGI -2.1%, GOLD -1.8%.
- ETFs: GLD, SLV, GDX, GDXJ, NUGT, AGQ, IAU, DUST, SIL, USLV, SIVR, JNUG, SGOL, ZSL, UGL, GLDX, DGP, GLL, UGLD, DZZ, JDST, SLVO, GLDI, DSLV, SLVP, DGL, DBS, SILJ, DGZ, RING, OUNZ, GGGG, DGLD, AGOL, SGDM, PSAU
Oct. 8, 2014, 6:20 PM
- No investment sector benefited more today from the dovish take on the FOMC meeting minutes than precious metals miners, as the Fed's worries over weakening world economies and a strong U.S. dollar offer hope for gold bulls that the Fed will not rush to raise interest rates.
- Gold mining ETFs surged past those linked to the commodity price, with GDX +7.4% and GDXJ +9.6% while GLD +1%; among leveraged ETFs, NUGT +21.5%.
- Among major miners: BTG +14.4%, AGI +13.6%, GG +8.6%, RGLD +8.6%, SLW +8%, NGD +7.6%, IAG +7.5%, GFI +7%, AUY +6.9%, ABX +5.2%, AU +4.8%, KGC +3.5%.
- Other ETFs: SLV, AGQ, IAU, DUST, SIL, USLV, SIVR, JNUG, SGOL, ZSL, UGL, GLDX, DGP, GLL, UGLD, DZZ, JDST, SLVO, GLDI, DSLV, SLVP, DGL, DBS, GLTR, SILJ, DGZ, RING, OUNZ, GGGG, DGLD, AGOL, DBP, SGDM, WITE, PSAU
Oct. 6, 2014, 2:45 PM
- Gold prices bounce off 15-month lows to reclaim $1,200/oz. as the dollar rally pauses, helping strengthen shares of precious metals miners: AU +4.4%, GFI +3%, IAG +1.9%, BTG +3%, GG +2.2%, NGD +1.5%, KGC +1.6%, AGI +1.6%, RGLD +1%, SLW +2.1%.
- Sterne Agee analysts Michael Dudas and Satyadeep Jain foresee gold and silver prices trending higher, with gold averaging $1,400/oz. in 2015 and $1,450 in 2016 and silver averaging $19 next year and $21 in 2016, as “global demand remains firm, liquidity remains ample and the dollar appears overbought.”
- With investor sentiment still skeptical, Sterne thinks any supportive macro news flow could provide fuel for a rally; the firm rate Newmont Mining (NEM +1.5%), Agnico-Eagle Mines (AEM +2.4%), Coeur Mining (CDE +1.3%) and Gold Resource (GORO +0.2%) as Buys, with Barrick Gold (ABX +0.5%), Hecla Mining (HL +4.3%) and Pan American Silver (PAAS +1.5%) rated Neutral.
- ETFs: GLD, SLV, AGQ, IAU, USLV, SIVR, SGOL, ZSL, UGL, DGP, GLL, UGLD, DZZ, SLVO, GLDI, DSLV, DGL, DBS, DGZ, OUNZ, DGLD, AGOL, DBP, TBAR, USV, UBG, JJP, GLDE, BAR, GYEN, GEUR, RGRP, BARS, GGBP, BLNG
Sep. 11, 2014, 5:35 PM
Aug. 21, 2014, 7:58 AM
- Gold Fields (NYSE:GFI) reports a 7% increase in Q2 operating profit to $311M and a 4% rise in revenue to $747M, as a result of higher gold sales which were partially offset by the lower gold price.
- Adjusted earnings from continuing operations totaled $25M, up from $21M in Q1 and a $36M loss in the year-ago quarter.
- Says safety interventions at South Deep during the quarter masked what was a better quarter as a whole, in terms of costs, margins and cash flows.
- Exceeded 15% cash flow margin target for the first time by achieving a free cash flow margin of 18%, up from 13% in Q1.
- All-in sustaining costs were $1,050/oz. from attributable gold equiv. production of 586K oz., up 5% Q/Q.
- Output at the Granny Smith mine in Australia rose to 85K oz. from 65K oz. while all-in costs fell to $692/oz.
Aug. 19, 2014, 8:33 AM
- Buenaventura (NYSE:BVN) is taking full control of the Chucapaca gold deposit in Peru by buying a 51% stake in the project from partner Gold Fields (NYSE:GFI), raising its stake from 49%.
- BVN, which is paying $81M plus royalties, says it will develop the deposit as an underground mine instead of as an open-pit project the two companies once deemed too costly.
- Chucapaca has been estimated to produce 500K oz. of gold per year once up and running.
Jul. 14, 2014, 11:29 AM
- Precious metals miners are broadly lower as gold futures head for their biggest daily drop of 2014, plunging $29.30, or 2.2%, to $1,308.10/oz.
- Physical demand has remained short of expectations, Commerzbank's Eugen Weinberg says, and India's decision to maintain a 10% import duty on gold and silver likely will dampen future gold demand expectations from the country.
- Barclays, which expects gold to drop to $1,200/oz. by Q3, also expresses caution, saying recent gains across the metals complex look toppy.
- ABX -1.2%, NEM -1.7%, GG -2.4%, KGC -1.8%, AEM -1.4%, AUY -1.4%, EGO -3%, NGD -2.8%, FNV -2.4%, AGI -2.6%, AU -2.2%, IAG -1.9%, GFI -3.4%, BTG -2.1%, NG -0.7%, SLW -2.1%.
- ETFs: GLD, SLV, GDX, NUGT, AGQ, IAU, DUST, SIL, USLV, SIVR, SGOL, ZSL, UGL, DGP, GLDX, GLL, UGLD, DZZ, SLVO, GLDI, DSLV, SLVP, DGL, DBS, GLTR, DGZ, RING, AGOL, DGLD, OUNZ, DBP, GGGG, WITE, PSAU, TBAR, USV, UBG, JJP, GLDE, GYEN, GLDL, RGRP, GLDS, GEUR, GGBP, BLNG
Jul. 10, 2014, 10:54 AM
- Eldorado Gold (EGO -0.6%) is downgraded to Hold from Buy with a $9 price target at Canaccord, which notes that shares have outperformed gold miner competitors by 14%.
- The firm says EGO is experiencing a closing gap in valuation due to its expansion plan with its Kisladag, Olympias and Skouries assets, leading it to take a more conservative approach on the shares.
- EGO is one of the few major gold miners not sporting a gain in early trade, as overseas events have boosted the sector: NEM +1%, GG +1.2%, ABX +1.3%, KGC +1%, AEM +1.5%, AUY +2.4%, NGD +3.2%, FNV +1.9%, AGI +0.9%, AU +0.5%, BTG +0.3%, GFI -0.5%, IAG -1.3%.
Jul. 9, 2014, 12:40 PM
- Gold Fields (GFI +2.8%) issues a Q2 guidance update, now seeing attributable gold equivalent production of ~547K oz., with respective all-in sustaining costs and all-in costs of $1,055/oz. and $1,095/oz.
- GFI says the results show it remains on track to achieve its FY 2014 guidance of ~2.2M oz. of gold equivalent production at an AISC of $1,125/oz. and an AIC of $1,150/oz.
Jun. 19, 2014, 3:35 PM
- Beaten-up gold miner stocks are strong across the board as precious metal prices move sharply higher and take out key technical resistance levels; Comex gold jumped $41.40 (+3.3%) to settle at $1,314.10/oz., the highest level since April 14, and silver added $0.87 (+4.4%) to end at $20.65/oz..
- Among today's winners: EGO +8.5%, AGI +8.5%, BTG +8.1%, SBGL +8.1%, SLW +5.5%, AUY +5.3%, AUY +5.2%, KGC +5.2%, GG +4.8%, NG +4.4%, AU +4.1%, ANV +4%, GFI +3.8%, ABX +3.2%, NEM +2.8%, IAG +1.7%.
May. 30, 2014, 12:54 PM
- Gold Fields (GFI -1.1%) plans to cut more than 500 workers, or 13% of the workforce, at the South Deep mine, according to the mineworkers' union, as it attempts to get the development of its key South African project back on track.
- The move comes after two people were killed at the mine this month in two different accidents, leading to a government mine review and the temporary stoppage of most output.
- GFI CEO Nick Holland said yesterday the company needs to "right-size the equipment underground and as a consequence the people that go with it." without offering specifics.
May. 29, 2014, 10:37 AM
- Citigroup is bearish on the gold mining sector but it does prefer some miners to others, namely Buy-rated Goldcorp (GG -0.7%) and Barrick Gold (ABX +0.4%) as well as Neutral-rated Newmont Mining (NEM +0.8%).
- Citi sees GG as one of the few large gold producers set to deliver meaningful low-cost production growth over the next several years, and management continues to expect positive free cash flow beginning in Q4 at $1,200/oz. gold; the firm thinks ABX is in a better position to manage free cash generation after divesting high-cost assets, focusing on cost reductions and dialing back major project spending; NEM expects to generate positive free cash flow in 2014 at $1,250/oz. gold and has done a good job managing costs and dialing back capex.
- The firm slaps Sell ratings on Gold Fields (GFI -0.7%), Harmony Gold (HMY +1.1%) and Sibanye Gold (SBGL +1%).
May. 29, 2014, 9:55 AM
- Gold Fields (GFI -1.2%) stops most production at its South Deep mine in South Africa following two recent deaths, the latest blow to the development of the world’s second-biggest gold deposit.
- GFI will hold a four-month safety review and reassess how it operates its underground workshops, meaning South Deep will lose ~64K oz. of gold production, 16% of the mine’s total for 2013.
- GFI has said South Deep is its “most important value driver,” yet the mine has been beset by delays and safety problems since its inception in 1990.
May. 15, 2014, 5:53 PM
- John Paulson maintained his place as the biggest shareholder in the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD) as of the end of Q1, keeping his 10.2M-share stake valued at nearly $1.3B while tinkering around the edges of some single-company bets in the mining sector.
- Paulson cut his stake in Freeport McMoRan (FCX) by a third and in AngloGold Ashanti (AU) by ~10%, while holding steady on positions in Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM), Allied Nevada (ANV), Gold Fields (GFI), Iamgold (IAG) and Randgold Resources (GOLD).
- His biggest new positions came in Verizon (VZ), buying ~8.75M shares worth $415.9M, and CBS, acquiring a ~4.47M-share stake worth $276.6M; he more than doubled holdings in (GM, $138M) and Cobalt Energy (CIE, $499M) while cutting his stake in Hess (HES) by 62%.
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