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- All Comments on GKE
- General Discussion on GKE
- Ameristock to Close Five Failing Bond ETFs [view article]
- Treasuries: Profiting From the Bear's Next Victim [view article]
- ETF Fund Revenues: A View from the Bottom [view article]
- Which Treasury Bond Should I Buy? [view article]
- Response to Roger Nusbaum on Bond ETFs [view article]
- Five New Bond ETFs, and Why They May Not Be for You [view article]
- Ameristock Launches Five Targeted Treasury ETFs In Challenge To iShares Lehman [view article]
- US Government Bond ETFs [view article]
Recent GKE Articles
- Ameristock to Close Five Failing Bond ETFs
- Treasuries: Profiting From the Bear's Next Victim
- ETF Fund Revenues: A View from the Bottom
- Adjusted for Inflation, 30-Year Yields Are Collapsing
- Which Treasury Bond Should I Buy?
- ETF Year in Review: Total Assets Rose 51% Y/Y
- Response to Roger Nusbaum on Bond ETFs
- Five New Bond ETFs, and Why They May Not Be for You
- Ameristock Launches Five Targeted Treasury ETFs In Challenge To iShares Lehman
- US Government Bond ETFs
- Full List of Articles »
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Ameristock to Close Five Failing Bond ETFs [view article]
The ETF shake-out begins. Too many index ETFs are insufficiently differentiated. And some (GLD and IAU; SPY and IVV) are identical. Replyg1s
Treasuries: Profiting From the Bear's Next Victim [view article]
TO atauber:that means ALL rates will go up, not just inter bank.
mortgages are keyed off the 10year treasury.
Reply
Treasuries: Profiting From the Bear's Next Victim [view article]
that's a lot of if's, if $ goes into stocks, if inflation wins over deflation, if the regular guy in 401's stillis prohibited (by lack of choice) of directly buying his or her own treasuries, if the current rally's not a bear market counter rallynot saying all, or most, or some, of those if's might just go ahead and happen, but for anyone in their late 40's, 50's, 60's, and up, is that a risk worth banking on?
is that what investment banks and the fed are hoping? that we'll "give up" and pile back into stocks and hope and a whim?
why not just back-stop us the way the market's been backstopped?
that'd be interesting
anyway, 'preciate your views; always good to hear different from what one thinks, so's to think it through again :-)
Reply
Treasuries: Profiting From the Bear's Next Victim [view article]
Direxion funds also has a 2.5X Inverse Bear & Bull for the 10 year note. Just wish there were such an ETF. ReplyTreasuries: Profiting From the Bear's Next Victim [view article]
no that has to do with rates have to pay to the bank ReplyTreasuries: Profiting From the Bear's Next Victim [view article]
IF the treasury market plunges it automatically implies that rates will go up. What will that mean for the housing market? Total collapse? ReplyTiedeman
ETF Fund Revenues: A View from the Bottom [view article]
Nice data! Thanks! ReplyEditors
General Discussion on GKE
Is this a buy or a sell? ReplyGuy
Which Treasury Bond Should I Buy? [view article]
Any thoughts on (a) TIPS and (b) the new foreign treasury bond ETF (BWX)? ReplyMcClatchy
at
ETFzone.com
Response to Roger Nusbaum on Bond ETFs [view article]
Agreed. The yield bounces around with GKD, but at least the interest rate risk profile remains the same. It remains a long bond and does not morph into a shorter term bond. Unfortunately for some of your clients, when the long bond expires, they will have to reinvest and then they could be in trouble unless they plan on living only so many years. ReplyMcClatchy
at
ETFzone.com
Response to Roger Nusbaum on Bond ETFs [view article]
If a bond fund owns 10-year bonds, you will certainly "get back par" in an economic sense even if the fund sells the bond before maturity. That is because the person who buys the bond buys to the right to "get back par". There is no economic penalty to a bond for selling, all else being equal. ReplyNusbaum
Response to Roger Nusbaum on Bond ETFs [view article]
Variable rate...If you buy GKD today you have no idea what it will yield at any point in the future. The yield goes up and down in the future; variable so to speak.In trying to manage a portfolio for growth and income something that lessens predictability of income stream is less desirable.
Your GKD is the winner comment doesn't really apply or appeal in the real world of people living off their portfolios which is who my clients are and what we all will probably need to do at some point. Reply
McClatchy
at
ETFzone.com
Response to Roger Nusbaum on Bond ETFs [view article]
What's with the variable rate/variable price stuff? Funds which own Treasuries act like Treasuries. Treasuries are fixed rate instruments. Their price fluctuates with interest rates, inversely. ReplyMcClatchy
at
ETFzone.com
Response to Roger Nusbaum on Bond ETFs [view article]
Ssorry about the mispelling, Roger.I am happy to be in the minority. ETFzone considers its main mission to dispelling myths regarding ETFs. Let's follow your example in your blog:
"If the yield on the ten year was 6% and you thought that was pretty good, you risk getting a lower rate with GKD if the yield in the marketplace goes down. That which might yield 6% today could yield 4% next year. If you buy an individual treasury, your yield will be whatever it was when you bought it -- which makes managing this portion of your portfolio much easier."
After one year GKD, which maintains a constant 10-year average maturity, still has a 10-year maturity. But the individual Treasury is now equivalent to a 9-Year maturity because it has 9 years left. If as you say the marketplace yield (essentially interest rate) for a 10-year bond goes from 6% to 4%, then the value of both holdings will rise, because both entitle the holder to many more years of 2% higher-than-market interest. The longer maturity GKD will get a bit more of a boost from its extra year. So actually, in your example GKD is the winner at that moment in time. Each month at Treasury auction as GKD turns over its holdings for new 10 year Treasuries, GKD takes its winnings (or losses) and plows them into the next batch.
I have no idea what you mean by "variable rate aspect to the treasury portion of a fixed income portfolio". GKD is not a variable rate product. It contains only fixed rate 10-year Treasuries. It does turn over its portfolio to maintain that 10-year duration, but that is not a variable rate as most people understand it.
My main point is that investors need to be clear whether they are maintaining a portfolio with set asset allocation targets, or if they are saving for a balloon payment or steady income over a known period. Most pension funds asset allocate with set targets, as do most investors saving for retirement. Clearly if one is saving for balloon payments such as college education or if one has set income requirements over a known period and no longer, then an individual bond is perfect. But when you essentially say that "average" investors should not asset allocate with bonds, I worry about how that advice will be taken. Reply
Response to Roger Nusbaum on Bond ETFs [view article]
I think it is the difference between managing for income and managing for total return. Bond funds/ETF's make it easy to alter duration, credit risk etc. That is if you are manging to a total return mandate. If you don't have a specific time horizon at the end, you are only going to roll that treasury into something else. I agree with Will. Reply