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Bespoke's Commodity SnapshotBespoke Investment Group • Tue, Jun 18
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U.S. Dollar: Expect Volatility And Trend ReversalAmod Saul • Sun, Jun 16
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at MarketWatch.com (Mon, 4:41PM)
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Key Info
- In Your Portfolio: A Guide to Commodity ETFs and ETNs
- Asset Class Performance: Commodities
- All
- | Earnings
- | Dividends
- | M&A
- | On the move
- Thursday, April 25, 10:44 AM Gold's reaction to Tuesday's fake AP tweet illustrates a "new reality" for the metal says Deutsche's Jens Johansen, who notes the price reacted last (vs. stocks and currencies) and barely budged. His team feels this lends support to their bearish thesis for gold and an expectation it's headed to $1,300 before stabilizing. GLD +1.7%. 10 Comments [Commodities]
- Thursday, April 25, 7:46 AM Central banks look to have top-ticked gold (GLD), buying their largest amount of the metal since 1964 in 2012, according to the World Gold Council. Many of the buyers are the same ones who sold during the nineties at less than $400/oz. Are they continued buyers on the dip this year? 6 Comments [Commodities]
- Thursday, April 25, 7:03 AM The bounce in precious metals continues, gold (GLD) +1.6% and silver (SLV) +2.1% as buyers of the physical apparently used the rout to load up and - if anything - global central banks are leaning towards even easier monetary policy. A survey shows low bond yields are no longer doing it for central bankers and they're now looking at loading their balance sheets with equities. 18 Comments [Commodities, On the Move]
- Tuesday, April 23, 7:57 AM Goldman closes its gold short, the metal's move back above $1,400 triggering a stop. Still bearish though: "Our bias is to expect further declines in gold prices on the combination of continued ETF outflows ... as well as our economists' forecasts for a re-acceleration in U.S. growth later this year." GLD -0.3% premarket. 11 Comments [Commodities]
- Monday, April 22, 9:13 AM A massive wave of Asian buying of precious metals is emptying dealer shelves across the region. "I haven't seen this (kind of) gold rush for over 20 years," says the head of the HK Gold & Silver Exchange, adding that old-timers haven't seen anything like this for 50 years. GLD +2%, SLV +1.4%. 34 Comments [Commodities, On the Move, Top Stories]
- Monday, April 22, 8:27 AM Precious metals claw back another chunk of recent panicky losses, gold +2.5% to $1,430/oz., and silver +2.2% to $23.47. GLD +2.4%, SLV +1.9% premarket. 5 Comments [Commodities, On the Move]
- Monday, April 22, 7:28 AM JPMorgan suggests big changes in CFTC futures positions were behind the sell-off in gold. There are three [available] high frequency flow indicators (CFTC futures positions, gold ETFs, and gold coin sales in the U.S) the bank says. "There has not [historically] been a strong correlation between ETF flows and gold prices," while "sales of American Eagle gold coins … have actually risen sharply over the past two weeks." That leaves CFTC managed money futures positions, data for which was only available through April 9 at the time JPM opined on the issue. 6 Comments [Commodities]
- Thursday, April 18, 6:35 PM As analysts debate where gold prices are headed, what's the metal worth as an investment? A Credit Suisse study says 1% a year since 1900 - a bit higher than Treasury bills, lower than Treasury bonds; stocks have averaged 5.4% during the period. To make matters worse, gold’s volatility is 2.5x that of bills, two percentage points higher than bonds and about two-thirds of stocks. 19 Comments [Commodities]
- Thursday, April 18, 7:16 AM Gold retakes $1,400/oz. after falling as low as $1,337 overnight. Coincident with any big macro move are rumors George Soros is on the right side of it to the tune of hundreds of millions in profits. "Gold was destroyed as a safe haven, proved to be unsafe." GLD +1.5%, SLV +0.9% premarket. 8 Comments [Commodities, On the Move]
- Wednesday, April 17, 7:42 AM The Dow (DIA), priced in gold (GLD), has broken out of a 14-year down channel. (Chart of the Day) 7 Comments [U.S. Economy]
- Wednesday, April 17, 7:31 AM Gold slides again with yesterday's bounce now near-erased, off 1% at $1,373/oz. Silver tumbles 2.2% to $23.12. GLD is actually a bit higher premarket thanks to gold being above the level it stood at the 4 PM close of stock trading. SLV -1.2% premarket. 9 Comments [Commodities, On the Move]
- Tuesday, April 16, 6:45 PM Gold at $800 maybe doesn't sound so funny anymore after plunging $200 in two days. Mark Hulbert points to a study from Claude Erb and Campbell Harvey, who looked at gold’s long-term correlation with inflation and declared gold should be trading at ~$800/oz. The study was dismissed when it was released last year, but now it's getting a fresh look. 12 Comments [Commodities]
- Tuesday, April 16, 3:37 PM A steady slide has brought gold (GLD) down $40 from this morning's highs and to about flat for the session at $1,362/oz. "There are two types of crashes - those when fundamentals change, and corrections in an ongoing bull market," says Guggenheim CIO Scott Minerd. "Gold's in the latter." 32 Comments [Commodities]
- Tuesday, April 16, 10:21 AM Goldman remains bearish on gold, lowering its stop to $1,400/oz as the latest data show an acceleration of gold ETF liquidation. That the pressure on Cyprus to sell its gold might spread to other debt-addled EU states could be the catalyst for the recent big move, suggests Goldman. Hedge-funder and hedged gold bull John Burbank notes many long the metal are very much un-hedged (i.e., John Paulson - famously long both the metal and the miners). GLD +1.2%. 10 Comments [Commodities]
- Tuesday, April 16, 8:24 AM Most of this morning's biggest premarket gappers come from yesterday's downtrodden mining losers: GFI +7.8%, AU +6.6%, GOLD +6.1%, KGC +4.8%, ABX +4.1%, AG +4%, HMY +3.2%, HL +3.1%, AUY +2.8%, EGO +2.6%, SLW +2.5%, RIO +2.3%, NEM +2%, MT +1.9%. ETFs: GDX +2.8%, SLV +2.8%, GLD +2.3%. Comment! [Commodities, On the Move]
- Tuesday, April 16, 7:02 AM After continuing to slide sharply early in overnight trade, gold is bouncing, +1.8% to $1,388/oz. (it touched $1,322 at its low point). Silver +0.6% to $23.50 after dropping as low as $22.01. GLD +2.5%, SLV +3.4% premarket. 6 Comments [On the Move, Commodities]
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Jason Burack
Wall St drastically overreacted on $GLD withdrawals of metal. Asian demand 4 physical metal absorbed it http://reut.rs/ZsTmoN - View all 0 replies
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Mark Scheffler
$SPY $IYR $VWO $QQQ $GLD $EEM $TLT Think the economic recovery is based on anything other than endless stimulus? http://stks.co/pESq - View all 0 replies
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Jason Burack
$GLD $PHYS If there's so much above ground gold available 4 purchase, how come GLD is shorted to get people to cough up physical? - View all 1 replies
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bd4uandu: Very good questions. Maybe things are not quite what they seem?
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Jason Burack
$GLD $PHYS If there's so much above ground gold available 4 purchase, how come Germany has 2 wait 7+ years 2 get a tiny amount of gold back? - View all 0 replies
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Jason Burack
$GLD $PHYS If there is so much above ground gold available for purchase, how come allocated accounts being raided & defaulted on? - View all 0 replies
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bd4uandu: Everything seems to be taking a breather. Tuesday mornings vroom vroom then yawn nap time. -
LATEST REPLIES
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Will Erlandson: "Breeze up off the NUGT's, buy calls in GLD's." -Snoop Dogg
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Brian58: actually any of them are good at these levels as long as FED/Europe/Japan keep the press alive
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Overanalytical: Everyone is supposed to buy silver today to "fight manipulators" and force the price up. http://bit.ly/13MfAjg
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x oil -field
$INR As $GOLD prices crash, market gaze turns to quality of gold loan portfolio. New Delhi http://bit.ly/17nxrgG $GLD $GDX $STT $NUGT - View all 10 replies
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x oil -field: ..its a balloon about to pop.I've taken heat ringing the bell to no avail.Folks just wish to blow harder on the balloon,& all know.. -
x oil -field: ..what happens when a balloon has to much air! All I can say now is ..boyz and girlz hang on for the rough ride.
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Jason Burack: Most shorts do not study accurate fundamentals though & think all info is in the charts. -
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realornot: will drop more ..... I am buying the next big dip!!!! Good for my car. Really durable stuff... http://bit.ly/11Isor2
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bear2bull2bear: The oldtimer buying all he could get last week was right! Central Banks bought 5 tons this month alone! Physical flying out doors even in US
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bd4uandu: Goldman seems to be the one doing all of the signaling. Bankster in chief. -
Jason Burack: Lol. Gold is showing like it wants to hold $1400 and maybe move higher.
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Jason Burack
Interview I did w gold hedge fund manager Dave Kranzler about $GLD $PHYS $GDX $GDXJ $SLV $PHYS http://bit.ly/12GT7VQ - View all 18 replies
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Jason Burack: Unlike most mining company CEOs, most American CEOs have been very efficient and aggressive cutting costs. Very shrewd. -
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Overanalytical
Bought 7 ounces of silver yesterday, which is a big purchase for me. (Thats like a months worth of gas!) $SLV $GLD - View all 7 replies
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Ghosts of Kariela: Maples are real nice, i love the canadian coins, the grizzlys are really good looking as well same with the moose. -
Overanalytical: Ive been hearing a lot about grizzlies but in the picture I just couldn't resist the maple. Im sure I'll get the others eventually
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jason2713: I thought $1410 was the recent "ceiling" that should have been sold into? -
Chines33: I would be selling there, but 450 is MAX upside in my opinion. I'd take a shot short there.
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Jason Burack
Podcast I did about $GLD $SLV $GDX $GDXJ $SIL If the correction continues some miners will go bust http://bit.ly/ZCIv9v - View all 5 replies
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evan.prospect: I just bought a Jan 2015 call option on SLW...I may buy some if I can free up more cash. -
Jason Burack: I would keep stacking physical silver bullion too. You are buying it close to or below production cost for many miners.






