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Monday, June 17, 12:47 PM Bullish on gold miners (GDX), Felix Zulauf - at the Barron's mid-year roundtable - suggests a speculative trade is in order given the beating the sector has taken. A purchase of December $30 calls partially financed with the sale of December $40 calls could be a 3 or 4-bagger with a moderate bounce in the index. 1 Comment [Commodities, Quick Ideas]
Wednesday, June 12, 2:18 PM Gold miners (GDX +1%) turn positive as gold climbs past $1,390/oz.: ABX +0.9%, GG +1.1%, NEM +1.2%, IAG +2.1%, GFI +1.3%, AUY +2.4%, NGD +1.3%. The link between gold miners and gold has been strong lately: The 24-day correlation between the spot price of gold and GDX has remained above 90% for five days, the longest such streak since July 2012. 5 Comments [Commodities, On the Move]
Friday, June 7, 7:15 PM Many gold miners still offer attractive dividends, but Newcrest Mining's (NCMGF.PK) likely dividend cut and Newmont Mining's (NEM) earlier dividend reduction have sector investors wondering if their stock is next. Miners are widely cutting exploration and capex to boost cash flow and try to return cash to shareholders, but dividend levels often are linked to gold prices. If prices keep falling, it seems sure that dividends would follow. 2 Comments [Commodities]
Friday, June 7, 2:09 PM Gold miners large (GDX -4.1%) and small (GDXJ -5.3%) alike are suffering a beat-down after jobs data from both the U.S. and Canada beat estimates; gold's gains for the week are entirely erased, and the metal "could melt even faster" if the global recovery continues. ABX -4.2%, AEM -6.7%, NEM -2.8%, GG -4.5%, AU -5.5%, EGO -5%, KGC -5.3%. SLW -2.8%, SSRI -7.3%, EXK -5.9%. GLD -2%, SLV -4.1%. 39 Comments [Commodities, On the Move]
Thursday, June 6, 9:35 AM An interesting note on gold (GLD) from JPMorgan notes the curious disconnect between the futures and physical markets - where the price is at a record premia to spot in China and India, and the U.S. mint can't keep up with demand. In good news for miners (GDX) trying to control costs, reports from Australia speak of mining equipment makers offering discounts and lead times for trucks falling from 2 years to 2 weeks. 10 Comments [Commodities]
Monday, June 3, 3:28 PM Gold mining stocks (GDX) could be reaching an inflection point, Barclays believes, pointing to early signs of performance improvement through the many cost reduction programs begun this year, plus compelling valuations. Goldcorp (GG +2.1%) is the firm's top pick among North American miners because it has the best growth profile and expected operating and capital cost declines in 2014. 2 Comments [Commodities, Quick Ideas, On the Move]
Thursday, May 30, 11:59 AM South African gold miners enjoy another strong performance, aided by rising gold prices and fresh lows in the rand; the rand-price of gold is up almost 10% in the last two weeks. Harmony Gold (HMY +9.9%) and Sibanye Gold (SBGL +5.9%), which own primarily South African assets, are surging; shares with more international exposure also post healthy gains: GFI +4.5%, AU +6.6%. 1 Comment [Commodities, On the Move]
Friday, May 24, 9:06 AM After spending years and billions eliminating their hedge books, gold producers (GDX) may need to return to their old habit - selling production forward - thanks to the metal's (GLD) sharp decline. "We think producers are under pressure to put on hedging," says SocGen's Robin Bhar. "The problem is it needs a cultural change ... Guys who used to hedge have lost their jobs." Renewed producer selling could put even more pressure on prices. 10 Comments [Commodities]
Thursday, May 23, 2:46 PM Gold's sharp rise today can be attributed to the dollar's drop vs. the yen; when the dollar drops, gold should rise, as their correlation during the past 24 days has hit -86%. A stock sector that's standing out is emerging market gold miners: South Africa’s Sibanye (SBGL), Harmony (HMY) and AngloGold (AU), plus Peru's Buenaventura (BVN) are stronger, even as their corresponding country ETFs (EZA; EPU) are in the red. 5 Comments [Commodities, On the Move]
Wednesday, May 22, 3:59 PM Prospects for gold mining stocks (GDX +1.2%) could be turning around at least in the short term, MKM Partners' Katie Stockton says. She would consider adding some exposure to take advantage of a short-term relief rally within the downtrend, adding "the trade is likely to play out in the near term or not at all, so we expect to know if it is working in the next week or two." 8 Comments [Commodities]
Monday, May 20, 12:57 PM As precious metals prices turn around, share prices of gold (GDX +4.7%) and silver miners (SIL +3.1%) surge: ABX +5.9%, GG +4.5%, KGC +6.4%, NEM +4.7%, SLW +4%. Even South African producers turn mixed, despite the call from the country's mine workers union for big pay increases: AU -0.8%, GFI +1.5%, HMY -0.5%. 2 Comments [Commodities, On the Move]
Friday, May 17, 3:22 PM Gold miners (GDX -3.2%) take another beating as gold continues to lose its allure amid disclosures of reduced bets by hedge funds, a World Gold Council report showing gold demand at a three-year low, and a surging dollar. For the miners, it's an ugly world of lower production, higher costs and falling prices. At least nine miners hit 52-week lows: NEM -3%, GG -2.7%, AUY -4.8%, HMY -6.3%, AU -2.5%, BVN -1.1%, ANV -7.4%, NG -2.7%, GSS -5.8%. 18 Comments [Commodities, On the Move]
Friday, May 10, 12:23 PM The mini-recovery in gold and metals mining stocks is stopped as gold prices sink 3% today to ~$1,425/oz. after closing higher in each of the past two weeks. A breach of key chart levels is prompting heavy selling of gold futures, already under pressure from a stronger dollar and rising stock markets. Among big miners: ABX -3%, NEM -2.1%, GG -1.6%, KGC -3.8%, SLW -2.7%, FCX -1.8%. Comment! [Commodities, On the Move]
Thursday, May 9, 11:00 AM Global X sets for May 15 reverse splits on 6 ETFs, some - but not all of which - have dropped sharply in value over the last year: 1-for-4 on the Gold Explorers ETF (GLDX), 1-for-3 on the Uranium ETF (URA), 1-for-3 on the Junior Miners ETF (JUNR), 1-for-2 on the Argentina 20 ETF (ARGT), 1-for-2 on the China Materials ETF (CHIM), and 1-for-2 on the Pure Gold Miners ETF (GGGG). Comment!
Wednesday, May 8, 2:05 PM Today's dead-cat bounce in the mining sector looks like a reaction to the overwhelming bearishness, expressed in the options market yesterday by heavy buying of GDX puts. Volume in the gold miners ETF (GDX +4.8%) is only about average so far, indicating mere short-covering and no stampede back into gold stocks, Randall Forsyth writes. ABX +7.6%, GG +4.5%, NEM +4%. 5 Comments [Commodities, On the Move]
Tuesday, May 7, 2:10 PM Some big moves in today’s options trading make it appear that investors are banking on another drop in the gold miners ETF (GDX -3%), already -36% YTD. Volume in GDX options is heaviest in the June $27 strike puts, where nearly 40K puts have traded vs. open interest of ~16K contracts. Big miners are broadly lower: HMY -5.5%, GFI -5.2%, AU -3.2%, ABX -3.1%, EGO -2.8%, NEM -2.2%, GG -2%. 3 Comments [Commodities, On the Move]

GLDX Global X Gold Explorers ETF

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Global X Gold Explorers ETF