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Friday, May 24, 9:06 AM After spending years and billions eliminating their hedge books, gold producers (GDX) may need to return to their old habit - selling production forward - thanks to the metal's (GLD) sharp decline. "We think producers are under pressure to put on hedging," says SocGen's Robin Bhar. "The problem is it needs a cultural change ... Guys who used to hedge have lost their jobs." Renewed producer selling could put even more pressure on prices. 10 Comments [Commodities]
Thursday, May 23, 2:46 PM Gold's sharp rise today can be attributed to the dollar's drop vs. the yen; when the dollar drops, gold should rise, as their correlation during the past 24 days has hit -86%. A stock sector that's standing out is emerging market gold miners: South Africa’s Sibanye (SBGL), Harmony (HMY) and AngloGold (AU), plus Peru's Buenaventura (BVN) are stronger, even as their corresponding country ETFs (EZA; EPU) are in the red. 5 Comments [Commodities, On the Move]
Wednesday, May 22, 3:59 PM Prospects for gold mining stocks (GDX +1.2%) could be turning around at least in the short term, MKM Partners' Katie Stockton says. She would consider adding some exposure to take advantage of a short-term relief rally within the downtrend, adding "the trade is likely to play out in the near term or not at all, so we expect to know if it is working in the next week or two." 8 Comments [Commodities]
Monday, May 20, 12:57 PM As precious metals prices turn around, share prices of gold (GDX +4.7%) and silver miners (SIL +3.1%) surge: ABX +5.9%, GG +4.5%, KGC +6.4%, NEM +4.7%, SLW +4%. Even South African producers turn mixed, despite the call from the country's mine workers union for big pay increases: AU -0.8%, GFI +1.5%, HMY -0.5%. 2 Comments [Commodities, On the Move]
Friday, May 17, 3:22 PM Gold miners (GDX -3.2%) take another beating as gold continues to lose its allure amid disclosures of reduced bets by hedge funds, a World Gold Council report showing gold demand at a three-year low, and a surging dollar. For the miners, it's an ugly world of lower production, higher costs and falling prices. At least nine miners hit 52-week lows: NEM -3%, GG -2.7%, AUY -4.8%, HMY -6.3%, AU -2.5%, BVN -1.1%, ANV -7.4%, NG -2.7%, GSS -5.8%. 18 Comments [Commodities, On the Move]
Friday, May 10, 12:23 PM The mini-recovery in gold and metals mining stocks is stopped as gold prices sink 3% today to ~$1,425/oz. after closing higher in each of the past two weeks. A breach of key chart levels is prompting heavy selling of gold futures, already under pressure from a stronger dollar and rising stock markets. Among big miners: ABX -3%, NEM -2.1%, GG -1.6%, KGC -3.8%, SLW -2.7%, FCX -1.8%. Comment! [Commodities, On the Move]
Thursday, May 9, 11:00 AM Global X sets for May 15 reverse splits on 6 ETFs, some - but not all of which - have dropped sharply in value over the last year: 1-for-4 on the Gold Explorers ETF (GLDX), 1-for-3 on the Uranium ETF (URA), 1-for-3 on the Junior Miners ETF (JUNR), 1-for-2 on the Argentina 20 ETF (ARGT), 1-for-2 on the China Materials ETF (CHIM), and 1-for-2 on the Pure Gold Miners ETF (GGGG). Comment!
Wednesday, May 8, 2:05 PM Today's dead-cat bounce in the mining sector looks like a reaction to the overwhelming bearishness, expressed in the options market yesterday by heavy buying of GDX puts. Volume in the gold miners ETF (GDX +4.8%) is only about average so far, indicating mere short-covering and no stampede back into gold stocks, Randall Forsyth writes. ABX +7.6%, GG +4.5%, NEM +4%. 5 Comments [Commodities, On the Move]
Tuesday, May 7, 2:10 PM Some big moves in today’s options trading make it appear that investors are banking on another drop in the gold miners ETF (GDX -3%), already -36% YTD. Volume in GDX options is heaviest in the June $27 strike puts, where nearly 40K puts have traded vs. open interest of ~16K contracts. Big miners are broadly lower: HMY -5.5%, GFI -5.2%, AU -3.2%, ABX -3.1%, EGO -2.8%, NEM -2.2%, GG -2%. 3 Comments [Commodities, On the Move]
Wednesday, May 1, 10:41 AM Gold miners (GDX) risk becoming a “barbarous relic” to equity investors unless they return more money to shareholders, warns BlackRock's Evy Hambro, whose commodities funds hold ~$7B in gold-related assets. Big miners have been "care free" in financing their expansion by issuing shares while gold prices were high; profitability per share has fallen, hurting long-term shareholders. (ETFs: GLDX, PSAU, NUGT, DUST, GGGG, RING, GDXJ) 1 Comment [Commodities]
Monday, April 29, 11:39 AM Gold miners (GDX) have been smacked by plunging gold prices, but Citigroup and HSBC think they have further to fall. Citi worries about AngloGold (AU) because negative free cash flow would hit its "already stretched balance sheet," but Harmony Gold (HMY) has the balance sheet to weather similar problems; Gold Fields (GFI) is its sector favorite. HSBC cuts GFI, Agnico Eagle (AEM) and many others. 1 Comment [Commodities, Quick Ideas]
Monday, April 22, 12:33 PM Encouraged by the efforts of gold miners to be more transparent about costs, Andrew Bary of Barron’s over the weekend makes the case for owning beaten gold-mining stocks. The more accurate - i.e., higher - cost estimates aren’t just about trying to be more shareholder-friendly, they're about trying to avoid shakedowns by revenue-hungry emerging market governments. 10 Comments [Commodities]
Wednesday, April 17, 3:15 PM One of the stranger outcomes of gold's collapse is to make gold miners look more expensive, which Nomura says means more downside for the miners. "Lower levels of investment demand have the equilibrium point for the gold price at still lower levels. [If so], the equities should still have further to retrace." It's another down day for South African miners: HMY -5.6%, GOLD -4.5%, AU -4%, GFI -1.2%. (also) 6 Comments [Commodities, On the Move]
Monday, April 15, 10:37 AM It was difficult enough to maintain a profitable mine when the price of gold was relatively stable; with gold plummeting, there’s likely even more pain ahead. Citi’s Johann Steyn, who covers South African gold miners, downgrades his target price and earnings outlook for the entire sector, and cuts Harmony Gold (HMY -8.2%) to Sell. For what it's worth, he calls Gold Fields (GFI -3.2%) his favorite. 3 Comments [Commodities, On the Move]
Monday, April 15, 5:01 AM Gold futures leg down to $1,401, -6.1%. Silver -9.8% to $23.74. ETFs to watch: GLD, IAU, DGP, SGOL, UGL, PHYS, AGOL, DGL, UBG, DZZ, GLL, DGZ, UGLD, DGLD, DBP, GLDI, GDX, GDXJ, NUGT, AGQ, GLDX, PSAU, DUST, GGGG, RING, SLV, PSLV, SIVR, ZSL, DBS, USV, USLV, DSLV, SILJ, SIL, SLVP. 2 Comments [Breaking News, Commodities, On the Move]
Monday, April 15, 4:20 AM A number of reasons have been given for gold's (GLD) sudden free-fall, chief among them the ECB's pressurization of Cyprus' central bank to sell its gold reserves to help pay for the country's bailout. That has raised expectations that other distressed eurozone members might be forced to sell gold as well. Other factors include bearish forecasts such as from Goldman Sachs, the slow improvement in the U.S. economy, and the perception that gold is no longer needed as a safe haven. Gold -4.1% and silver -7.4%. 15 Comments [Commodities, On the Move]

GLDX Global X Gold Explorers ETF

GLDX

Global X Gold Explorers ETF