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Tuesday, April 16, 11:00 AM BAML's fund manager survey shows a slide in exuberance with just 49% of respondents expecting a stronger global economy in the next year - a 12 point drop from last month. Particularly noteworthy is the 30-point, 2-month decline in emerging market (EEM. DEM, VWO) confidence - at the lowest level in 2 years and with a small majority now underweight. 1 Comment
Monday, March 25, 3:59 PM Correlations are breaking down as the global rally isn't keeping emerging stocks from their worst Q1 performance since 2008. It's the first time the sector hasn't outperformed during a bull market since 1998. Money managers are cutting exposure first, asking questions later, with a BAML survey showing them selling emerging markets to boost S&P 500 holdings. 2 Comments [Global & FX]
Tuesday, March 19, 11:01 AM More on the BAML survey: Just 14% of respondents expect the Chinese economy to be stronger a year from now, representing "one of the sharpest falls in this reading in the survey's history." The thinking is behind a shift out of emerging equity markets (EEM. DEM, VWO) and into developed - notably the U.S. and Japan. It also coincides with a sharp correction in Chinese stocks (FXI, CAF) over the last month. 1 Comment [Global & FX]
Monday, February 11, 9:17 AM "Why are you excluding the small cap space," asks Index Universe's Matt Hougan of the two largest emerging markets ETFs (EEM, VWO). His top pick for the space is the new iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (IEMG). It offers small cap exposure with expenses (0.18%) way-below its big-brother EEM, and even less than Vanguard's VWO. (earlier from the IU Conference) 3 Comments [Global & FX, Quick Ideas]
Thursday, February 7, 2:53 PM WisdomTree's (WETF) dividend-weighted approach has its emerging-market dividend ETF (DEM) smoking its better-endowed competition (EEM, VWO). Up 7.7% annualized over 5 years (compared to about 2% for the other two), DEM's approach has it tilting to smaller value stocks with high yields. It's working for WisdomTree the stock as well, +46% YTD. 5 Comments [Global & FX]
Thursday, January 10, 10:23 AM Investors are still underweight emerging market equities, but big flows into EM ETFs (EEM, DEM, VWO) suggest a lot of catching up has taken place in the last few weeks, says a nervous JPMorgan. The bank also notes its clients have started asking about lower-quality names that haven't yet rallied. "Investors want to find the next thing, not a good thing." Comment! [Global & FX]
Friday, December 21, 2012, 1:17 PM Headed into the year's final sessions, the iShares Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) - +13.7% - has caught up to and barely passed the S&P 500. Next year's excitement in emerging markets, writes Josh Brown, could be in their government debt (see ELD), where the fiscal metrics look far better than those of developed nations. 1 Comment [Global & FX]
Thursday, November 15, 2012, 11:42 AM A striking reversal, Vanguard's Emerging Markets ETF (VWO) suffered $700M in outflows last week in the wake of its plan to switch benchmarks from MSCI to FTSE. The iShares competitor (EEM) - remaining with MSCI - pulled in $850M. Prior to this, the vast majority of emerging market ETF flows this year had gone into VWO (far lower fees). Institutional investors are clearly skittish about the new benchmark. 1 Comment [Global & FX]
Monday, October 22, 2012, 4:48 PM BlackRock rolls out four new ETFs for its so-called core series featuring expense ratios under 0.2%. The MSCI EAFE ETF (IEFA) and the MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (IEMG) are notable because they seemingly compete with other iShares offerings - EFA and EEM. The other two are the MSCI Total International Stock ETF (IXUS) and the Core Short-Term U.S. Bond ETF (ISTB). Comment! [Financials]
Tuesday, July 17, 2012, 3:19 AM Emerging-market stocks are rising on "bets of more stimulus measures and policy cooperation by key global economies," says fund manager Chu Moon Sung. "Much of the woes over Europe’s debt crisis and the slowing global economy appear to be priced in." But short-term price rises and possible long-term benefits don't mean the in-between will be smooth sailing. 1 Comment [Global & FX]
Friday, June 29, 2012, 11:11 AM With inflows looking to have returned to emerging market ETFs, Paul Weisbruch singles out one - the WisdomTree EM High Yielding (DEM) - noting it's added about 3% AUM in the past few sessions. DEM is dividend weighted, giving it less exposure to the BRICs than the market-cap weighted EEM and VWO. Comment! [Global & FX]
Wednesday, June 27, 2012, 11:33 AM This week's EU summit "is unlikely to resolve the crisis," opines Fitch in its bi-annual Global Credit Outlook. "Upward momentum in emerging market sovereign ratings has stalled," says the agency, though adding it hasn't yet reversed to worsening credit. 2 Comments [Global & FX]
Friday, June 15, 2012, 8:07 AM More on the BRICs: A consensus forms. After pulling out funds for 8 of the last 10 weeks, asset managers have their lowest exposure to emerging markets since October, according to a BAML survey. The MSCI BRIC Index is off 25% Y/Y and the rupee, ruble, and real are the 3 worst-performing currencies in Q2, according to Bloomberg. (Emerging markets are gaining appeal) 1 Comment [Global & FX]
Thursday, June 14, 2012, 7:44 AM Emerging markets are starting to regain some of their investment appeal. Shares are beginning to look cheap after falling nearly 20% from the year's highs and investors are encouraged that central banks in China, Brazil and elsewhere are taking steps to boost growth. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index could gain over 30% by year-end, says Morgan Stanley. 3 Comments [Quick Ideas]
Friday, June 8, 2012, 11:27 AM An alternative to cap-weighted funds like VWO and EEM for investors interested in broad emerging markets exposure would be dividend-weighted funds like DEM, writes Dennis Hudachek. The fund's methodology leaves it with a large yield and quite different country exposures - China, Korea, and India nearly disappearing, and Brazil and Taiwan becoming more prominent. Comment! [Global & FX, Quick Ideas]
Monday, April 23, 2012, 3:23 PM Where's the rally, asks Scotty Barber, who notes the BRICs - during periods when their central banks are cutting rates - outperform developed markets. Brazil's 75 point cut (with more to come) was the loudest move, but policy is easing in the others as well. As of yet there's been no rally in either absolute or relative terms. Comment! [Global & FX]

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SPDR S&P Emerging Markets ETF