Seeking Alpha
 

International Business Machines Corporation (IBM)

- NYSE
  • Wed, Jan. 14, 1:02 AM
    • The z13, declared by IBM (with typical enterprise sales boastfulness) to be "the most powerful and secure system ever built," is the first major refresh for the System z mainframe line since 2012. It supports up to 141 CPU units - a custom 8-core CPU is used - 10TB of memory, and 8K virtual servers. (datasheet - .pdf)
    • Other features include faster/more reliable I/O connectivity, cryptography and compression co-processors for each CPU, and architecture changes meant to boost analytics workload performance. Like other System z hardware, it runs both Linux and IBM's proprietary z/OS (updated to offer faster analytics and data serving). IBM claims the z13 can handle 2.5B transactions/day.
    • The refresh doesn't come a moment too soon: IBM's hardware division sales fell 15% Y/Y in Q3 amid share losses to HP, Dell, EMC, and many smaller rivals. With customers waiting for a new model, System z sales fell 35%. Hardware sales, of course, drive a sizable amount of software/services revenue.
    • Though IBM's mainframe line still claims a large enterprise/government base that swears by its scalability, reliability, and partitioning features, x86 servers have been steadily gaining ground against proprietary platforms. HP recently launched x86 hardware for its rival Superdome and NonStop server lines, and age-old mainframe competitor Unisys (NYSE:UIS) is embracing x86 as well.
    • Previously: IBM slides following 2015 estimate cuts
    | 23 Comments
  • Mon, Jan. 12, 2:34 PM
    • Jefferies, Deutsche, and Stifel have slashed their 2015 IBM (IBM -1.9%) estimates. Shares are underperforming on a down day for equities.
    • Jefferies' James Kisner (Underperform) has cut his 2015 revenue and EPS estimates to $87B and $15.85 from $89.75B and $16.30, while citing a strong dollar. His Q4 estimates have been cut to $24.6B and $5.27, below a consensus of $24.93B and $5.48.
    • "We believe revenue growth will be significantly challenged for IBM over the next few years," says Deutsche's Sherri Scribner, cutting her 2015 EPS estimate by $0.40 to $15.90. She notes cloud revenue (on a $3B/year run rate) is only ~3% of total sales, and that  free cash flow has trailed GAAP EPS during the last three years (previous).
    • Stifel's David Grossman has cut his 2015 EPS estimate all the way to $15.17, but maintains a Buy. "Headwinds from the hardware business should abate as 2015 progresses and product issues are being addressed; the cyclical issues are harder to predict, but comparisons get much easier in 2015, particularly in the second half."
    • The estimate cuts follow a report from The Register stating CEO Ginny Rometty is planning a major reorg "that will see IBM try to shed the dusty hardware, software and services silo structure." Microsoft did something similar in 2013.
    • IBM's main post-reorg units will reportedly "include Research, Sales & Delivery, Systems, Global Technology Services, Cloud, Watson, Security, Commerce, [and] Analytics." Such an approach would allow Big Blue to more easily break out the performance of faster-growing businesses (cloud, Watson, security, etc.) from slower-growing ones.
    • Q4 results arrive on Jan. 20.
    | Comment!
  • Thu, Jan. 1, 2:19 AM
     
    | 17 Comments
  • Dec. 18, 2014, 2:04 PM
    • With the help of stronger-than-expected hardware sales, Oracle (ORCL +9.2%) beat FQ2 estimates in spite of a 400 bps forex headwind (twice what was originally expected). FQ3 guidance was conservative after taking forex pressures into account.
    • The numbers have been good enough for Oracle to surge to new highs and receive a slew of target hikes, and to lead many enterprise tech names to outperform amid a big market rally. The Nasdaq is up 1.9%.
    • Microsoft (MSFT +3.2%), Cisco (CSCO +2.3%), EMC (EMC +3.7%), VMware (VMW +5.1%), and beaten-down IBM (IBM +2.8%) are among the enterprise tech names outperforming today. Others: SPLK +4.6%. CA +3.5%. RHT +3.4%. VRNS +6.3%. PCTY +5.8%. JIVE +4.6%. VMEM +5.2%. SAAS +4.7%. BRCD +3.8%.
    • Oracle's healthy cloud software numbers are drawing attention: While traditional software license revenue fell 4% Y/Y, its SaaS/PaaS revenue rose 41%. SaaS/PaaS bookings totaled $170M, and are expected to be "well over" $1B in FY16 (ends May '16). Fusion cloud app bookings rose over 100%.
    • On the CC (transcript), Oracle performed its customary trash-talking of cloud app rivals. "We are clearly growing faster than Salesforce (CRM +4%) and were more than three times the size of Workday (WDAY +3.2%)." Both firms are posting solid gains.
    • Oracle's numbers come as Bloomberg reports the Chinese government is looking to "purge most foreign technology from banks, the military, state-owned enterprises and key government agencies by 2020." IBM, Cisco, and other U.S. firms have already seen their Chinese sales fall sharply following last year's NSA spying uproar.
    | 4 Comments
  • Dec. 12, 2014, 12:23 PM
    • IBM (IBM -2.7%) is among the biggest large-cap tech decliners on a day the Nasdaq is down 0.6%, and the S&P 0.9%.
    • Shares -16% YTD. They now trade for just 10x 2015E EPS after factoring net debt. Price/free cash flow multiples are likely a little higher.
    | 24 Comments
  • Dec. 10, 2014, 9:32 AM
    • The first ten iOS apps to stem from Apple's (NASDAQ:AAPL) alliance with IBM are now "available to enterprise customers in banking, retail, insurance, financial services, telecommunications and for governments and airlines." Initial clients for the products, offered under the IBM MobileFirst for iOS label, include Citi, Air Canada, and Sprint.
    • As promised when the partnership was first announced, the apps feature embedded analytics, and are integrated with IBM cloud services built specifically for them. Initial apps include Advise & Grow (for bankers with small business clients), Retention (for insurance agents), Sales Assist (for retail workers), and Case Advise (for government caseworkers). They'll be offered by IBM's massive services arm.
    • The solutions bolster Apple's growing enterprise sales push, as the company tries to win over traditionally wary CIOs, fend off Google and Samsung's enterprise efforts, and maintain an outsized share of corporate smartphone/tablet activations. Reuters reported in November Apple is also working with various startups to bring enterprise iOS apps to market.
    | 26 Comments
  • Dec. 4, 2014, 7:04 PM
    • With a corporate upgrade cycle and Web/cloud demand boosting sales, IDC estimates global server revenue rose 4.8% Y/Y in Q3 to $12.7B, an improvement from Q2's 2.5% growth and Q1's 2.2% decline. Gartner is more conservative, estimating revenue only rose 1.7%.
    • "IDC has seen increasing market influence from Greater China, hyperscale datacenters, ODMs and native Chinese OEMs, all of which grew sharply in the third quarter," says VP Matt Eastwood. Like others, IDC expects Intel's recent Grantley Xeon CPU launch, together with the pending end of Windows Server 2003 support, to keep demand healthy.
    • Thanks to weak demand for its high-end, Itanium-based, Integrity servers, market leader H-P's (NYSE:HPQ) share fell 140 bps Y/Y to 26.5%, after having risen 40 bps in Q2. H-P just rolled out Integrity servers running (x86-based) Intel Xeon CPUs in an attempt to stop the bleeding.
    • #2 IBM's share fell 500 bps to 18.2%, thanks to both high-end (mainframe/Power) and x86 weakness. The sale of IBM's x86 server unit to Lenovo closed early in Q4. #3 Dell's share rose 80 bps to 17.8%.
    • Cisco (NASDAQ:CSCO) passed Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) to take the #4 slot: Cisco's share rose 130 bps to 6.2% on the back of 31% revenue growth, while Oracle's was flat at 4.1% (3.4% revenue growth). Today, Cisco and IBM announced a converged hardware solution that pairs the former's UCS servers with the latter's Storwize storage arrays.
    • As expected, white-label servers sold to Internet giants (called ODM Direct by IDC) continued gaining ground: Their share rose 250 bps to 8.9%. Everyone else saw their share collectively rise 210 bps to 18.4%.
    • Related tickers: SMCI, MLNX, QLGC, ELX
    | 9 Comments
  • Dec. 2, 2014, 6:02 PM
    • WPP (NASDAQ:WPPGY), the world's biggest ad company in terms of revenue, has given IBM a 7-year, $1.25B contract to "transform and manage WPP's global technology platform." (PR)
    • The deal, which expands an existing alliance between the companies, covers the building of a "hybrid cloud infrastructure" that IBM asserts will allow WPP to expand its use of big data/analytics, and to more quickly deploy new products/services (details are vague).
    • IDC observed last year IBM will increasingly "collaborate and compete" with ad giants such as WPP, Omnicom, and Publicis, as it tries to profit from a shift in IT spend towards CMOs.  Big Blue has made a string of marketing-related software acquisitions, looking to better compete against Oracle, SAP, Salesforce, and others chasing the opportunity.
    • Yesterday: IBM strikes multi-billion dollar services deal with ABN Amro
    | 7 Comments
  • Dec. 1, 2014, 5:54 PM
    • IBM's deal with the Dutch banking giant is good for 10 years. It covers "the implementation of a private IBM cloud," as well as "fully managed services for mainframe, servers, storage, end-user computing, help desk as well as application support." Its exact price tag is undisclosed.
    • The agreement comes on the heels of a $1.25B, 7-year deal with Lufthansa. IBM's services backlog was at $128B at the end of Q3, down 7% Y/Y.
    | 5 Comments
  • Nov. 24, 2014, 3:43 PM
    • Twenty-two spinoffs have been completed in 2014, the most in a decade, and another 28 have been announced. Among the catalysts are activist investors, so Credit Suisse screened for companies with multiple business segments, slow growth, and stocks trading for lower multiples than peers, in other words, "good, quality companies that are struggling to grow."
    • The list is heavy on big media names like Time Warner (NYSE:TWX) and Twenty-First Century Fox (NASDAQ:FOXA), big tech like Oracle (NYSE:ORCL), Symantec (NASDAQ:SYMC), and IBM, and big industry like Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT), Ingersoll-Rand (NYSE:IR), and Raytheon (NYSE:RTN), but just two financial names - Travelers (NYSE:TRV) and Torchmark (NYSE:TMK).
    • The rest: MO, CA, WU, DPS, PBI, SJM, HRS, SWK, EMR, WLP, MAT, GE, SNA, LLL, ITW, STJ, PDCO, HPQ, DLPH, HAS, NAVI, GME, CBS, JNJ, SLB.
    | 18 Comments
  • Nov. 18, 2014, 5:17 PM
    • Hoping to differentiate itself from Microsoft, Google, and other business e-mail rivals, IBM has launched Verse, an e-mail solution that integrates calendar data, IMs, social media updates, video chats, and file-sharing tools. The product will be offered both through the Web, and via Android/iOS apps, on a freemium basis.
    • Verse relies on integrated analytics to learn a user's priorities, and to quickly provide important material (e-mails or otherwise) in an "at-a-glance" view. IBM will also include an option to conduct Watson queries (previous).
    • Exec Carolyn Pampino says IBM is trying to differentiate Verse by having "more of a focus on people" and relevant conversations than rival solutions. "[Verse is] an easy and fast way to immediately filter on a person’s name."
    • The product has some things in common with Google's recently-launched Inbox app, which tries to intelligently place e-mails into bundles and surface content such as photos, phone numbers, and appointment times. However, Google's solution is consumer-focused for now.
    • Shares fell 1.4% today, and remain close to a 52-week low of $160.05 The Nasdaq was up 0.7%
    | 6 Comments
  • Nov. 18, 2014, 6:44 AM
    • IBM (NYSE:IBM) has won a €1B ($1.25B) outsourcing contract from Lufthansa (OTCQX:DLAKY), as the latter looks to restructure and cut costs to compete with fast-growing rivals in both Europe and the Gulf.
    • Under the seven-year deal, IBM will take over the airline's information technology infrastructure services division, saving Lufthansa ~€70M a year. Around 1,400 Lufthansa Systems employees will now transfer to IBM.
    • Previously: Lufthansa, IBM in talks over IT infrastructure unit sale
    | 7 Comments
  • Nov. 14, 2014, 11:34 AM
    • The Department of Energy has awarded $325M in contracts to IBM (IBM +0.6%) to create two GPU-accelerated supercomputers declared to be at least 3x more powerful than any existing system.
    • The systems will rely on IBM's Power CPUs, Nvidia's (NVDA +0.5%) Tesla GPUs and NVlink GPU interconnects, and Mellanox's (MLNX +2.1%) 100Gb/s InfiniBand interconnects. Installation is expected in 2017.
    • IBM asserts the systems will lower energy consumption by limiting data movement. The deal acts as a nice reference win for Power - Big Blue is trying to stem Power's share losses to Intel's Xeon CPUs by selling to 3rd-party server OEMs and licensing the architecture to other chip developers. Its powerful Power8 CPU (12 cores supporting 96 simultaneous threads) began shipping earlier this year.
    • Separately, the DOE says it will invest $100M in FastForward2, an R&D program to create more powerful/energy-efficient supercomputers. IBM, Nvidia, Intel, AMD, and supercomputer maker Cray (CRAY +0.1%) are among the companies taking part.
    • PRs: IBM, Nvidia, Mellanox
    | 5 Comments
  • Nov. 4, 2014, 2:13 AM
    • IBM (NYSE:IBM) is replacing the head of its struggling technology-services unit, the latest move by CEO Ginni Rometty to get Big Blue growing again.
    • Martin Jetter, who currently heads IBM's operations in Japan, has been named head of its global technology services unit, effective immediately.
    • Last month, IBM paid $1.5B to Globalfoundries to take over its loss-making semiconductor unit.
    | 5 Comments
  • Nov. 3, 2014, 3:38 PM
    • 11 days after Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) disclosed its main AWS reporting segment saw revenue rise 15% Q/Q and 40% Y/Y in Q3, Synergy Research estimates the company's combined cloud infrastructure (IaaS) and app platform (PaaS) revenue share totaled 27% in Q3, still more than 2x that of any rival.
    • Nonetheless, competitors are gaining ground. Synergy thinks Microsoft (MSFT +0.9%), which saw 128% Y/Y Commercial Cloud growth in Q3 (covers both Azure and other services), saw its share rise above 10%. IBM (IBM -0.1%), which reported an 80% Y/Y Q3 increase in "cloud delivered as a service" revenue, is assigned a 7% share. Google, Salesforce, and Rackspace are close behind.
    • In a PR, IBM states Synergy declared it to be "the #1 hybrid and private cloud provider for the enterprise." Big Blue has committed $1.2B to building up to 15 new data centers from which to deliver IaaS/PaaS services.
    • Hybrid clouds are also pivotal to Microsoft's efforts to gain ground against Amazon. Last month, the company unveiled a new hardware platform (to be sold by Dell) that can handle Azure private cloud services, and link with Microsoft's public cloud services to create a hybrid cloud.
    • Synergy thinks industry IaaS/PaaS revenue rose 49% Y/Y on a rolling annualized basis, and that trailing 12-month revenue has topped $14.5B. IDC expects public IT cloud services revenue (IaaS, PaaS, and SaaS) to post a 22.8% CAGR from 2014-2018, growing from $56.6B to over $127B.
    | 5 Comments
  • Oct. 31, 2014, 6:49 PM
    • Tencent's (OTCPK:TCEHY) MyApp Android app store is now seeing 100M daily downloads, up from just 76M in July. The figure covers both apps downloaded directly from the MyApp store, and from Tencent's WeChat and Mobile QQ messaging platforms.
    • Qihoo and Baidu's 91 Wireless unit remain the leaders in China's fragmented Android app store market - 91 Wireless averaged 130M downloads/day in Q2. But the near-ubiquitous reach of WeChat/QQ within China, together with Tencent's mobile gaming clout, is helping Tencent gain ground.
    • Separately, Tencent, which is best known for its consumer offerings, has signed an MOU with IBM to jointly sell cloud apps and related services to Chinese SMBs. Tencent's cloud services unit will host the apps, and IBM will provide consulting and IT services.
    | 2 Comments
Visit Seeking Alpha's
IBM vs. ETF Alternatives
Company Description
International Business Machines Corp is an Information Technology (IT) company. It creates business value for clients and solves business problems through integrated solutions that leverage information technology & knowledge of business processes.