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International Business Machines Corporation (IBM)

- NYSE
  • Oct. 20, 2014, 7:09 AM
    | 14 Comments
  • Oct. 19, 2014, 5:30 PM
  • Aug. 7, 2014, 7:12 PM
    • Following its FQ1 beat, CSC is still targeting FY15 (ends March' 15) EPS from continuing ops of $4.35-$4.55; consensus is at $4.49.
    • Global business services revenue -3% Y/Y in FQ1 to $1.09B, with $1.2B in contract awards Global infrastructure services +1% to $1.13B, with $1.2B in contract awards. North American public sector -3% to $1.02B, with only $300M in contract awards.
    • Op. margin fell to 7.7% from 8.3% a year ago. Free cash flow was $70M, below net income of $146M. $148M was spent on buybacks.
    • CSC has also announced it's expanding an existing partnership with IBM, with a focus on providing new cloud, mobile, and big data/analytics offerings. Among other things, CSC will create a "center of excellence" for IBM offerings, and integrate its ServiceMesh Agility cloud management platform with Big Blue's SoftLayer cloud infrastructure (IaaS) platform.
    • FQ1 results, PR
    | Comment!
  • Jul. 18, 2014, 5:24 PM
    • IBM's (IBM - unchanged) Q2 hardware sales (-11% Y/Y vs. -23% in Q1,) "delivered meaningful upside" to Cantor's estimates, says analyst Brian White, while reiterating a Buy. Favorable comps and healthy mainframe/storage demand allowed the hardware unit to grow 39% Q/Q, or more than twice historical seasonal growth.
    • White also thinks IBM's Chinese revenue (-11%, hurt by NSA issues) has bottomed out. On the CC (transcript), IBM said it saw "a pretty good sequential improvement" in China and India, though it added other parts of Asia-Pac remained weak.
    • Citi's Jim Suva is less enthusiastic than White: He observes a one-time asset gain boosted EPS by $0.10, that Global Business Services outsourcing (-9%) remains weak due to price pressure and contract negotiations, and that services signings are down 33% (partly due to tough comps). He also notes mainframe growth isn't expected to continue.
    • Credit Suisse's Kulbinder Garcha, meanwhile, has doubts about "the quality" of IBM's forecast for $20 in 2015 EPS, given "results continue to be driven less by revenue growth and more by non-operational items."
    • Some bright spots: 1) With the help of SoftLayer, IBM's "cloud delivered as a service" revenue is now on a $2.8B run rate. That's roughly equal to 3% of total revenue. 2) Ahead of the Apple deal, "mobile revenue" (a nebulous term) is up over 100% YTD.
    • Prior IBM earnings coverage.
    | Comment!
  • Jul. 17, 2014, 5:00 PM
    • With the help of easier comps, IBM's hardware/chip sales fell 11% Y/Y in Q2, a notable improvement from Q1's 23% and Q4's 26%. Mainframe sales -1%, Power servers (UNIX-focused) -28%, x86 servers (due to be sold to Lenovo) -3%, storage -12%, chips (reportedly on the block) -18%.
    • Global Technology Services -1% vs. -3% in Q1. Global Business Services -2% vs. flat Q1 growth. The services backlog stood at $136B, -1% Y/Y after backing out the sale of IBM's customer care outsourcing ops to Synnex.
    • Software revenue +1% vs. +2%. OS sales (hurt by server weakness) fell 13%, while key branded middleware rose 1%. Global financing +4% vs. +3%.
    • Big Blue spent $3.7B on buybacks, less than the whopping $8.2B spent in Q1. Gross margin rose 40 bps Y/Y to 49.1%. Q2 free cash flow was $3B, less than net income of $4.3B (continuing a recent trend).
    • Americas revenue -1%, EMEA +1%, Asia-Pac (weak in recent quarters) -9%. "Growth markets" -7%, and BRIC countries -2%.
    • Tax rate was 20%, even with Q1 but down from 22% a year ago. IBM ended Q2 with $9.7B in cash, and $17.1B in non-Global Financing debt.
    • IBM now -1.1% AH. Q2 results, PR.
    | 2 Comments
  • Jul. 17, 2014, 4:10 PM
    • IBM (NYSE:IBM): Q2 EPS of $4.32 beats by $0.03.
    • Revenue of $24.36B (-2.2% Y/Y) beats by $230M.
    • Guidance for full-year EPS of at least $18 is reiterated. Consensus is at $17.87.
    • Shares +2.4% AH. CC at 4:30PM ET.
    • Press Release
    | 15 Comments
  • Jul. 16, 2014, 5:35 PM
  • Apr. 16, 2014, 4:31 PM
    • IBM is reiterating full-year guidance for EPS of at least $18 (consensus is at $17.84).
    • Big Blue spent an eye-popping $8.2B on buybacks in Q1, up from $5.8B in Q4. That allowed EPS to nearly meet estimates in spite of a $450M revenue miss. On the other hand, IBM's tax rate (the subject of recent scrutiny) rose to 20% from Q4's 11% and Q3's 16%. A 90 bps Y/Y increase in gross margin to 47.6% also boosted EPS.
    • Hardware/chip sales remain bleak: They fell 23% Y/Y vs. 26% in Q4.  Software +2% vs. +3%, global technology services -3% vs. -4%, global business services flat vs. +1%, global financing +3% vs. flat. The services backlog stood at $138B at quarter's end, down $5B Q/Q and $3B Y/Y.
    • Asia-Pac remains a weak spot: Sales fell 12% Y/Y. Americas were down 4%, and EMEA up 4%. "Growth markets" and BRIC sales each fell 11%.
    • Q1 free cash flow was just $0.6B, well below net income of $2.6B. Cash on hand fell to $9.7B from $11.1B at the end of Q4, and non-global financing debt rose to $15.7B from $12.2B.
    • Q1 results, PR
    | 8 Comments
  • Apr. 16, 2014, 4:12 PM
    • International Business Machines Corporation (IBM): Q1 EPS of $2.54 misses by $0.01.
    • Revenue of $22.48B (-4.0% Y/Y) misses by $450M.
    • Shares -2.3%.
    • Press Release
    | 19 Comments
  • Apr. 16, 2014, 12:10 AM
  • Apr. 15, 2014, 5:35 PM
  • Jan. 21, 2014, 6:27 PM
    • IBM, which has already carried out a string of job cuts in recent quarters, expects to record a fresh $1B workforce rebalancing charge in Q1.
    • The news follows a quarter in which a 5.5% Y/Y revenue drop led IBM's SG&A spend to rise to 21.6% of revenue from 20.2% a year earlier, and its R&D spend to rise to 5.7% of revenue from 5.4%.
    • In addition to its huge buybacks, much attention is being given to the role an 11% tax rate (down from 16% in Q3) played in boosting IBM's earnings. Fund manager Mike Bergen estimates EPS would've been $0.80 lower if Big Blue's tax rate was at the 23% level expected by analysts.
    • Software (+3% Y/Y) was a relative bright spot, thanks to healthy middleware (+15%) and database (+5%) sales. "Cloud revenue," a catch-all phrase covering a variety of hardware, software, and services sales, rose 69% Y/Y to $4.4B, boosted by the SoftLayer acquisition.
    • 2013 free cash flow was $15B, less than net income of $18B. IBM ended Q4 with $11.1B in cash, and $12.2B in non-global financing debt. CEO Ginni Rometty insists IBM is on track to hit its 2015 EPS goal of "at least" $20.
    • IBM -2.9% AH.  More on IBM's Q4.
    | 3 Comments
  • Jan. 21, 2014, 4:24 PM
    • IBM has established 2014 EPS guidance of $18, slightly above a $17.97 consensus.
    • Revenue continues to be pressured by nosediving hardware/chip sales, which declined 26% Y/Y in Q4 after dropping 17% in Q3 and 12% in Q2. Mainframes -37%, Power servers (UNIX-driven) -31%, x86 servers (reportedly on the block again) -16%, storage -13%, chips -33%. The numbers suggest share loss to H-P, Dell, TSMC, and others.
    • Global Technology Services revenue -4%, same as Q3 and Q2. Global Business Services +1%. Services backlog is at $143B, +1% Q/Q and +2% Y/Y. Software +3% vs. +1%, global financing flat vs. +6%.
    • $5.8B was spent on buybacks, up from $1.9B in Q3 and providing a big lift to EPS. Gross margin, which has been steadily rising in recent years, rose 30 bps Y/Y to 52.6%.
    • Asia-Pac sales, pressured by NSA fallout, were soft again, declining 12% Y/Y; they dropped 15% in Q3. Americas fell 3%, and EMEA was up 1%. Sales to "growth markets" declined 5% after falling 9% in Q3.
    • IBM -2.2% AH. CC at 4:30PM ET.
    • Q4 results, PR
    | 38 Comments
  • Jan. 21, 2014, 4:07 PM
    • International Business Machines (IBM): Q4 EPS of $6.13 beats by $0.13.
    • Revenue of $27.7B (-5.5% Y/Y) misses by $560M.
    • Press Release
    | Comment!
  • Jan. 21, 2014, 12:10 AM
  • Jan. 20, 2014, 5:35 PM
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Company Description
International Business Machines Corp is an Information Technology (IT) company. It creates business value for clients and solves business problems through integrated solutions that leverage information technology & knowledge of business processes.