Is IEF a buy? - Seeking Alpha

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HEADLINES:

Upside Breakouts Everywhere
Cam Hui • Wed, May 15 • 17 Comments
Is A QE Exit Really Scary?
Calafia Beach Pundit • Tue, May 14 • 140 Comments
Easy In, Hard Out (Updated)
David Merkel • Fri, May 10 • 2 Comments
Treasury Yield Snapshot: 10 Year Yield Up 15 Basis Points From Last Thursday
Doug Short • Fri, May 10
The Evidence Still Favors Low Volatility ETFs
Gary Gordon • Mon, May 6 • 3 Comments
Fund Flows Show Investors Still Cautious
Calafia Beach Pundit • Mon, May 6 • 1 Comment
Treasury Yields In Perspective
Doug Short • Mon, May 6 • 1 Comment
The 10-Year Yield May Be Flashing A Warning Sign
David Fabian • Sun, May 5 • 5 Comments
Market Valuation, Inflation And Treasury Yields: Clues From The Past
Doug Short • Fri, May 3 • 1 Comment
Treasury Yield Snapshot: 10 Year Yield At Its 2013 Closing Low
Doug Short • Fri, May 3
The FOMC Statement - A Brief Comment
Pater Tenebrarum • Thu, May 2 • 1 Comment
ETF Strategy For Rising Rates: Sector Allocation
Matt Tucker • Tue, Apr 30 • 2 Comments
Macro-Markets Risk Index Indicates Business Cycle Risk Remains Low
James Picerno • Tue, Apr 30 • 1 Comment
What's Ahead For U.S. Interest Rates?
Malay Bansal • Sun, Apr 28 • 53 Comments
Invest In U.S. Treasuries
John M. Mason • Wed, Apr 24 • 18 Comments
Can Treasury Bonds Predict Inflation?
Prasad Capital Management • Tue, Apr 23 • 2 Comments
Emerging Market Bonds For Increased Returns
John Dowdee • Mon, Apr 22 • 7 Comments
Daily State Of The Markets: Are The Charts Telling The Real Story?
David Moenning • Thu, Apr 18
Bonds: Born to Be Mild
AllianceBernstein • Wed, Apr 17 • 1 Comment
Investing In Equities Now - Learn From May 1946
Daniel R Moore • Tue, Apr 16 • 20 Comments

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Cyclical Cross-Currents In Treasuries: Which Way To Swim?
John Overstreet • Mon, Apr 8
Are We Driving Bond Bulls Over A Fiscal Cliff?
John Overstreet • Thu, Sep 27, 2012 • 11 Comments
5-Year Cycles: About Time To Chuck Treasuries?
John Overstreet • Thu, Jul 5, 2012 • 32 Comments
Bonds Indicate Liquidity Is Plentiful
portfoliV • Fri, May 18, 2012 • 5 Comments
When Rates Rise: How A Bond ETF Reacts
Matt Tucker • Tue, Mar 27, 2012 • 5 Comments
Measuring Inflation: All Signs Pointing Up
James Picerno • Thu, Apr 7, 2011
Outlook for Medium-Term Treasuries
James Picerno • Mon, Mar 21, 2011 • 1 Comment
Government Bonds: Buyer Beware
Prieur du Plessis • Thu, Feb 10, 2011 • 3 Comments
Bond Market Development Suggests Higher Prices and Higher Borrowing Costs to Come
TraderMark • Fri, Feb 4, 2011 • 6 Comments
European Sovereign Debt Impacting the 10-Year Treasury Bond Yield
John M. Mason • Wed, Jan 12, 2011 • 4 Comments
China's Treasury Holdings: Recent Data Less Worrisome Than You Think
Clean Energy Intel • Thu, Dec 16, 2010 • 2 Comments
End of Low Interest Rates No Grounds for Panic
Dean Baker • Wed, Dec 15, 2010 • 1 Comment
Treasury Yield Snapshot: QE2 and the 2-10 Spread
Doug Short • Tue, Nov 16, 2010 • 1 Comment
Japan and the U.S. Ten Year
Bruce Krasting • Mon, Nov 15, 2010 • 30 Comments
Treasury Yield Snapshot: QE2 Already a Disaster?
Doug Short • Sun, Nov 14, 2010 • 5 Comments
Treasury Yield Snapshot: Check Out the Long End
Doug Short • Wed, Nov 10, 2010 • 1 Comment
QE2: Revisiting Milton Friedman's Advice
James Picerno • Sun, Oct 24, 2010 • 16 Comments
Ten Year Bond Action
The Housing Time Bomb • Fri, Oct 22, 2010 • 2 Comments
Treasury Yield Snapshot: Anxiety Continues to Increase
Doug Short • Mon, Oct 11, 2010
Treasurys and Stocks Cannot Both Continue To Rise
Avi Morris • Mon, Oct 4, 2010

Upside Breakouts Everywhere
Cam Hui • Wed, May 15 • 17 Comments
Is A QE Exit Really Scary?
Calafia Beach Pundit • Tue, May 14 • 140 Comments
Easy In, Hard Out (Updated)
David Merkel • Fri, May 10 • 2 Comments
Treasury Yield Snapshot: 10 Year Yield Up 15 Basis Points From Last Thursday
Doug Short • Fri, May 10
The Evidence Still Favors Low Volatility ETFs
Gary Gordon • Mon, May 6 • 3 Comments
Fund Flows Show Investors Still Cautious
Calafia Beach Pundit • Mon, May 6 • 1 Comment
Treasury Yields In Perspective
Doug Short • Mon, May 6 • 1 Comment
The 10-Year Yield May Be Flashing A Warning Sign
David Fabian • Sun, May 5 • 5 Comments
Market Valuation, Inflation And Treasury Yields: Clues From The Past
Doug Short • Fri, May 3 • 1 Comment
Treasury Yield Snapshot: 10 Year Yield At Its 2013 Closing Low
Doug Short • Fri, May 3
The FOMC Statement - A Brief Comment
Pater Tenebrarum • Thu, May 2 • 1 Comment
ETF Strategy For Rising Rates: Sector Allocation
Matt Tucker • Tue, Apr 30 • 2 Comments
Macro-Markets Risk Index Indicates Business Cycle Risk Remains Low
James Picerno • Tue, Apr 30 • 1 Comment
What's Ahead For U.S. Interest Rates?
Malay Bansal • Sun, Apr 28 • 53 Comments
Invest In U.S. Treasuries
John M. Mason • Wed, Apr 24 • 18 Comments
Can Treasury Bonds Predict Inflation?
Prasad Capital Management • Tue, Apr 23 • 2 Comments
Emerging Market Bonds For Increased Returns
John Dowdee • Mon, Apr 22 • 7 Comments
Daily State Of The Markets: Are The Charts Telling The Real Story?
David Moenning • Thu, Apr 18
Bonds: Born to Be Mild
AllianceBernstein • Wed, Apr 17 • 1 Comment
Investing In Equities Now - Learn From May 1946
Daniel R Moore • Tue, Apr 16 • 20 Comments

There are no Transcripts on IEF.

Cracks Starting to Show in Bond Funds

at CNBC.com (Mar 8, 2013)
Why Indices Are Flat on Dismal GDP Report

at CNBC.com (Jan 30, 2013)
Will QE3 Move Money Out of Bonds, Into Stocks?

at CNBC.com (Sep 13, 2012)
Jonathan Burton's Life Savings: No-load funds for no-nonsense investors

at MarketWatch.com (Jul 9, 2012)
The march of the bear trade in March

at MarketWatch.com (Mar 1, 2012)
Jon Markman's Speculations: Don’t ditch those Treasurys yet

at MarketWatch.com (Aug 30, 2011)
John Nyaradi's ETF Edge: Looking at a scary September

at MarketWatch.com (Aug 30, 2011)
John Nyaradi's ETF Edge: Get ready for a Jackson Hole surprise

at MarketWatch.com (Aug 23, 2011)
John Nyaradi's ETF Edge: Get ready for Great Recession 2.0

at MarketWatch.com (Aug 9, 2011)
Weekend Investor: How 2011’s top money ideas have fared so far

at MarketWatch.com (Jun 24, 2011)
Money Talks: 5 money moves one market timer is making now

at MarketWatch.com (Jun 20, 2011)
Weekend Investor: What to buy when everyone else is selling stocks

at MarketWatch.com (Apr 15, 2011)
The Guru's Corner: April strength makes for a great market exit

at MarketWatch.com (Apr 1, 2011)
U.S. long bonds to outperform 10-year notes

at MarketWatch.com (Mar 25, 2011)
Cramer: Sell Bonds, Switch Into These Dividend Payers

at CNBC.com (Dec 9, 2010)
All Clear? Bond Funds Post First Outflow in 2 Years

at CNBC.com (Dec 3, 2010)

IEF vs. ETF Alternatives

IEF Description

The iShares Barclays 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Fund seeks to approximate the total rate of return of the intermediate-term sector of the United States Treasury market as defined by the Barclays Capital U.S. 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Index.
See more details on sponsor's website

Country: United States

Key Info

In Your Portfolio: Broad U.S. Bond ETFs, A Guide to U.S. Government Bond ETFs
Asset Class Performance: Bonds

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| Earnings
| Dividends
| M&A
| On the move

Thursday, May 16, 10:10 AM More on Philly Fed: The big miss is another in a line of weak data points this morning. The decline was led by a steep drop in shipments to -8.5 from +9.1. Also notable is a big jump in inventories to +4.1 from -22.2. Employment worsened to -8.7 from -6.7. The percentage of firms reporting employment decreases was 22% vs. those reporting increases at 14% - a number sure to cross the desk of the FOMC doves this morning. Treasurys have had a tough May, but they're bouncing today, TLT +1.2%. The leveraged bear ETF: TBT -2.4%. Stocks give up early gains (DIA -0.2%). 6 Comments [U.S. Economy]
Thursday, May 16, 8:38 AM SPY -0.3% premarket, giving up small early gains after a big jump in jobless claims and a rather shocking decline in housing starts. Starts were off 16.5% from March, but up 13.1% Y/Y. On a more hopeful note, building permits were up 14.3% from March, up 35.8% Y/Y. Treasurys catch a bid, TLT +0.5% premarket. Homebuilders ETF: XHB -0.2%. Comment!
Monday, May 13, 8:50 AM Stock index futures move to session highs following the big beat on retail sales, SPY -0.1% premarket. Excluding a 4.7% decline in gasoline sales, retail spending grew 0.6% in April. Bond prices continue their recent slide, the 10-year note off half of a point. The yield may challenge 2% today. TLT -0.9% premarket. 4 Comments [U.S. Economy]
Friday, May 10, 10:35 AM Bill Gross (BOND) attempts to ring a bell, calling the 30-year bond bull market over as of April 29, 2013 (while pushing Pimco as the one to help navigate in this new world). The 30-year Treasury yield touched 2.8% at April's end. Including a 9 bp pop today, the yield now stands at 3.08%. TLT -1%, TBT +1.9%. 6 Comments [U.S. Economy]
Thursday, May 9, 1:47 PM Massive doesn't begin to describe the move into the ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury ETF (UST) last Wednesday as the $12M AUM fund went to $833M overnight. It was accompanied by a 53% increase in the $3.75B iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEI), suggesting someone (or ones) making a large bet targeting the middle of the Treasury curve. The moves came following FOMC minutes at which it indicated a readiness to increase QE as needed. 6 Comments [U.S. Economy]
Thursday, May 9, 6:23 AM "Today government bonds should come with a warning about interest rate risk," a university fund manager tells FT, which says many university endowments have slashed their U.S. Treasury (TLT, TBT) holdings from as high as 30% of AUM during the crisis to as low as zero currently ("everyone" has less than 5%, one manager claims). Holding fast to larger allocations may require a fleetness of foot going forward in order to avoid capital losses if (or when) rates rise, a style of investing not suited to endowment managers. 1 Comment
Wednesday, May 8, 12:29 PM "There is no safe haven in today's markets," says Paul Singer, speaking at the Ira Sohn conference, and blaming the distorting effects of QE. While not yet advocating shorting Treasurys (TLT, TBT), Singer says those long need to know they're trading at the wrong price, perhaps 50-100 basis points too low. 1 Comment [Breaking News, U.S. Economy]
Monday, May 6, 3:29 PM This time is different for Treasurys (TLT, TBT)? "The Fed has been very transparent and their transparency should help offset the risks that were experienced in 1994," says JPMorgan's head of rates Edward Fitzpatrick. He's joined in this opinion by others who ought to know better, including Templeton's Michael Materasso and Vanguard's Gemma Wright-Casparius, all of whom attribute the 1994 rout to communication, not a crazed buildup in leverage. 2 Comments [U.S. Economy]
Friday, May 3, 3:13 PM "Bonds are acting like the bond market is manipulated ... because it is," says Jeff Gundlach, as QE is far more of a put on Treasury prices (TLT -2.3%) than it is on stocks. A salve to bond bulls on a day when the yield on the 30-year is 14 bps higher, Gundlach says yields won't go on a sustained rise anytime soon because QE is going nowhere. A favorite of the bond bears, TBT +4.6%. 7 Comments
Thursday, May 2, 8:36 AM More on the big drop in jobless claims: At 324K, it's the lowest level since January 2008. The 4-week moving average fell 16K to 342,250. S&P 500 futures remain +0.5%. Treasury prices slip, TLT -0.6%, TBT +1.2% premarket. 18 Comments [U.S. Economy]
Tuesday, April 30, 9:07 AM "View the 'fruit' debt the way we used to view IBM issues ... perfectly timed in retrospect," says Kevin Ferry, tweeting about Apple's prospective debt offering. Back in the day when rates actually fluctuated, IBM had a remarkable knack for issuing at the cycle lows in yield. The 10-year Treasury yield hits another YTD low, -2 bps to 1.65%. TLT +0.4% premarket. 1 Comment [Financials]
Friday, April 26, 8:45 AM More on the Q1 GDP (first estimate) miss: Government spending slowdown continues, with real federal government spending off 8.4% vs. 14.8% in Q4; defense spending off 11.5% vs. 22.1%. Real PCE +3.2%. Nonresidential fixed investment +2.1%. Real exports +2.9%, Real imports +5.4%. Real final sales +1.5% vs. 1.9% in Q4. Inventories added 103 bps to GDP in Q1 after subtracting 152 bps in Q4. SPY -0.3% premarket. The long bond pops half of a point. TLT +0.8% premarket. (full report) 68 Comments [U.S. Economy]
Thursday, April 25, 10:16 AM SocGen's Al Edwards doesn't disappoint his fans, believing the S&P is headed to 450 and gold to $10K. Most interesting is this chart on bond yields vs. forecasts. Forecasts in the deeper past essentially matched actual yields, yet for the last decade estimates have consistently called for "normalization," i.e. higher rates, but it's never happened. "Consensus has still not accepted that we remain locked in an Ice Age environment that will see U.S. (and U.K. and German) yields (TLT, TBT) converge to Japanese sub-1%." 1 Comment [U.S. Economy]
Wednesday, April 24, 8:47 AM The long bond moves higher (yield declines) following the soft durable goods report. In addition to the weak March print, February's 5.6% gain was revised down to 4.3%, with nondefense ex-transport orders revised down to -4.7% from -2.7%. Higher previously, the 30-year yield is now off one basis point to 2.9%. TLT flat premarket. Comment! [U.S. Economy]
Friday, April 19, 1:20 PM BlackRock fixed-income chief Rick Rieder tells the WSJ he was a big buyer of the long bond (TLT) in early April, believing the BOJ's massive easing and weak U.S. economic data would ensure a firm bid for the paper. Bonds, of course, have rallied strongly since then. Well played? In an April 8 interview with the FT, Rieder said he was worried about higher rates and favoring shorter durations. Check. 2 Comments [U.S. Economy]
Wednesday, April 17, 1:19 PM The 10-year Treasury yield touches a YTD low of 1.67% as the world's most hated asset confounds the bears again. How long before TBT is renamed the widow-maker trade a la JGBs? Trailing the S&P 500 in 2013 by 1500 basis points not long ago, TLT has narrowed the margin to about 650 bps. 2 Comments [Financials, U.S. Economy]

whidbey
Summer Break: $IVOO, $BYD,$OFF. are place holders +$IEF. Expect ECB, Japan and China to fill the screen. Sept may be worth the wait.
May 6, 11:12 AM
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The Financial Lexicon
$AGG, $LQD, $TLT, $IEF Are bond investors chasing past performance? Here's my take: http://bit.ly/Z0dI7y
Apr 18, 10:26 AM
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The Financial Lexicon
$AGG, $HYG, $LQD, $TLT, $IEF, Q1 Bond Market Review - The 'Great Rotation' That Never Was. My article: http://bit.ly/17b8iZw
Apr 2, 11:48 AM
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Option Millionaires
Free SA exclusive webinar on bond market analysis Fri. at 2 PM. $TIP, $IEF, inflation related topics covered! http://bit.ly/UCBK2x
12/12/12
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Option Millionaires
Elliott Wave International's new free report on bonds and default risk. Just read it. Wow. IEF, TIP, JNK http://bit.ly/UhjDSQ
9/20/12
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Christopher Diodato
Quantifying the Bernanke's policy's effect on inflation. This winter's gonna be nasty! TIP, IEF, GLD, IAU http://bit.ly/QWZheC
9/18/12
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Option Millionaires
Bernanke's Friday speech - Future inflation & expectations leading tendencies. IEF, TIP, SPY, TLT, GLD http://bit.ly/SI3Ag6
8/27/12
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Dr. Kris
Ugly day for Treasury bond funds: Breaking support levels are $TLT, $TLO, $TLH, $IPE, $TIP, $IEF, $ITE.
8/15/12
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neobliviscar: I had the top figured for 4th quarter. Looks like I was wrong for now. But then everyone was calling a top in March.
8/15/12
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Michael A. Gayed
Latest Week in Review Now Available - Can 10 Year Treasuries hit 1%? $IEF http://seekingalpha.com/p/ibrf
7/15/12
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DaLatin: Yes it can and if it does market isn't making 30 to 40% up in 2012 ! Remember all my posts on your talks !
7/15/12
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Michael A. Gayed
My Bloomberg segment making the case for why its exactly like 2009 discussing $TLT $IEF: http://bloom.bg/KybVQu
6/4/12
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Dorky: TLT starts to underperform.
6/5/12
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Garfield23: yup
6/5/12
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LATEST REPLIES

Dr. Kris
Ugly day for Treasury bond funds: Breaking support levels are $TLT, $TLO, $TLH, $IPE, $TIP, $IEF, $ITE.
8/15/12
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neobliviscar: I had the top figured for 4th quarter. Looks like I was wrong for now. But then everyone was calling a top in March.
8/15/12
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Michael A. Gayed
Latest Week in Review Now Available - Can 10 Year Treasuries hit 1%? $IEF http://seekingalpha.com/p/ibrf
7/15/12
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DaLatin: Yes it can and if it does market isn't making 30 to 40% up in 2012 ! Remember all my posts on your talks !
7/15/12
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Michael A. Gayed
My Bloomberg segment making the case for why its exactly like 2009 discussing $TLT $IEF: http://bloom.bg/KybVQu
6/4/12
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Dorky: TLT starts to underperform.
6/5/12
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Garfield23: yup
6/5/12
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Michael A. Gayed
This is how scary credit spreads looked last week in JNK EMB IEF: http://bit.ly/KwS1Bf
5/22/12
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Default to Reality: Thanks for the charts Michael. With the German auction today the flight to safe haven looks like it is excellerating.......
5/23/12
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Michael A. Gayed: Agreed.
5/23/12
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Michael A. Gayed
One of my best Bloomberg interviews discussing Europe, bonds IEF, stocks SPY, Spring Switch, Bear Paradox: http://bit.ly/J1YHVA
5/9/12
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mitrado: May 10, CIC, China's sovereign wealth fund has stopped buying European government debt cause of concerns about economic crisis in the region
5/10/12
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wimdw: What alternative do they have then left...guess
5/10/12
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Michael A. Gayed
Great debate on Minyanville between me and Peter Tchr about Spring Switch out of bonds IEF and into stocks SPY. Check homepage for hilarity.
5/3/12
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Josh Krause: Switch will require a change in management at the Fed. Long bond won't go up till Bernanke is shown the door.
5/7/12
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Josh Krause: Even then they will likely not let it rise too much to keep debt servicing costs low. I think I'm turning Japanese, I really think so.
5/7/12
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Michael A. Gayed
So Fed dampens QE3 expectations which means no further bond purchases...and yet TLT is up, IEF is up, TIP is up. Who needs the Fed?
4/4/12
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OneLongTrade: know what they want you to know.
4/4/12
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USisCorrupt: The FED should have a TRUE Audit and that would fix things in a New York Minute. Is that better?
4/4/12
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Michael A. Gayed
For those that just saw me on Bloomberg for the last 2 hours, any thoughts/feedback about ratios on TLT, IEF, SPY, EEM, IWM?
3/30/12
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DettoTheSecond: Bullish x5! I am still very surprised the majority are not bullish as you claim. See you at 1700+ soon!
3/30/12
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Michael A. Gayed
Bloomberg appearance on why stocks could rally a lot more...discussing TLT and IEF: http://bloom.bg/GVa0BW
3/26/12
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x oil -field: Mike it was a bold & bullish call we at SA like bold once again ''you are ahead of the curve'' congratulations.TY X
3/27/12
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Garfield23: yup, long TLT is the smart move
3/27/12
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Michael A. Gayed
Looks like Leap Day is throwing off the bulls in stocks SPY IVV and bonds TLT IEF. At least National Bank of Greece NBG is up! :)
2/29/12
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Michael A. Gayed: What makes you think that may not already be in price?
2/29/12
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Josh Krause: The market will not turn until AAPL turns as it is a large portion of of the market now. March 7 is the first possible turning point
2/29/12
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Michael A. Gayed
First time discussing an actual relative price ratio chart live on-air on Bloomberg: http://bloom.bg/AuXDnj TIP/IEF
2/28/12
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Michael A. Gayed: Thanks.
2/28/12
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Michael A. Gayed
Will be on Bloomberg TV at around 3:30 PM EST for "Chart Attack" discussing TIP/IEF and Oil (USO) + on Bloomberg Rewind Tonight at 8PM EST
2/27/12
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Benvest99: Here's the link to Michael's interview on Chart Attack : http://bloom.bg/AuXDnj
2/28/12
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Michael A. Gayed: Thanks! Went ok?
2/28/12
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Michael A. Gayed
My length interview at NASDAW discussing bnds TLT, IEF and stocks SPY EEM EFA starts around 10:45 mark at http://bit.ly/xWhehI
2/18/12
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Josh Krause: Irrational exuberance. Will end.in tears as it always does. Bermanke will not be held accountanle for this upcoming bubble.
2/18/12
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Canary Cash: KK, it will be called the Bernanke Yank
2/18/12
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Michael A. Gayed
Long bonds rising with TLT down (TBT up) - good sign for SPY IWM EEM and EFA. TIP down less than IEF. Reflationary signs everywhere.
2/7/12
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realornot: XLF is taking the uphill battle now.
2/7/12
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nasalpancho: ahhh IWM finally caught a little bid
2/7/12
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Michael A. Gayed
Another day which is "risk-off" with yields falling, yet TIP up more than IEF. Inflation expectations getting priced in still.
2/6/12
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nasalpancho: IWM and XLF underperforming today though
2/6/12
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Michael A. Gayed: Yes - market confusion. IWM and XLF has spikes so probably healthy...see my Lead-Lag Report on Minyanville.
2/6/12
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IEF iShares Barclays 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF

IEF

iShares Barclays 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF