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iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEF)

  • May. 2, 2013, 8:36 AM
    More on the big drop in jobless claims: At 324K, it's the lowest level since January 2008. The 4-week moving average fell 16K to 342,250. S&P 500 futures remain +0.5%. Treasury prices slip, TLT -0.6%, TBT +1.2% premarket.
  • Apr. 30, 2013, 9:07 AM
    "View the 'fruit' debt the way we used to view IBM issues ... perfectly timed in retrospect," says Kevin Ferry, tweeting about Apple's prospective debt offering. Back in the day when rates actually fluctuated, IBM had a remarkable knack for issuing at the cycle lows in yield. The 10-year Treasury yield hits another YTD low, -2 bps to 1.65%. TLT +0.4% premarket.
    | 1 Comment
  • Apr. 26, 2013, 8:45 AM
    More on the Q1 GDP (first estimate) miss: Government spending slowdown continues, with real federal government spending off 8.4% vs. 14.8% in Q4; defense spending off 11.5% vs. 22.1%. Real PCE +3.2%. Nonresidential fixed investment +2.1%. Real exports +2.9%, Real imports +5.4%. Real final sales +1.5% vs. 1.9% in Q4. Inventories added 103 bps to GDP in Q1 after subtracting 152 bps in Q4. SPY -0.3% premarket. The long bond pops half of a point. TLT +0.8% premarket. (full report)
  • Apr. 25, 2013, 10:16 AM
    SocGen's Al Edwards doesn't disappoint his fans, believing the S&P is headed to 450 and gold to $10K. Most interesting is this chart on bond yields vs. forecasts. Forecasts in the deeper past essentially matched actual yields, yet for the last decade estimates have consistently called for "normalization," i.e. higher rates, but it's never happened. "Consensus has still not accepted that we remain locked in an Ice Age environment that will see U.S. (and U.K. and German) yields (TLT, TBT) converge to Japanese sub-1%."
    | 1 Comment
  • Apr. 24, 2013, 8:47 AM
    The long bond moves higher (yield declines) following the soft durable goods report. In addition to the weak March print, February's 5.6% gain was revised down to 4.3%, with nondefense ex-transport orders revised down to -4.7% from -2.7%. Higher previously, the 30-year yield is now off one basis point to 2.9%. TLT flat premarket.
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  • Apr. 19, 2013, 1:20 PM
    BlackRock fixed-income chief Rick Rieder tells the WSJ he was a big buyer of the long bond (TLT) in early April, believing the BOJ's massive easing and weak U.S. economic data would ensure a firm bid for the paper. Bonds, of course, have rallied strongly since then. Well played? In an April 8 interview with the FT, Rieder said he was worried about higher rates and favoring shorter durations. Check.
  • Apr. 17, 2013, 1:19 PM
    The 10-year Treasury yield touches a YTD low of 1.67% as the world's most hated asset confounds the bears again. How long before TBT is renamed the widow-maker trade a la JGBs? Trailing the S&P 500 in 2013 by 1500 basis points not long ago, TLT has narrowed the margin to about 650 bps.
  • Apr. 15, 2013, 6:28 PM
    China increased its holdings of U.S. Treasuries by $8.7B in February according to the Treasury Department. Meanwhile. Japan unloaded $6.8B of U.S. government debt, bringing its stash to $1.097T, a one year low. Analysts attributed some of the selling by the Japanese to positioning ahead of the BOJ's monumental easing campaign. China's holdings sat at a 15-month high going into March. 
  • Apr. 15, 2013, 7:45 AM
    The dive in commodities and selling in equities is generating a bid for Treasurys, the 10-year yield falling 3 bps to a YTD low of 1.69%. The long bond yield falls 2 bps to 2.89%. After a big selloff to start 2013, TLT - up 0.35% premarket - is in the green for the year. Treasury bears - for now - are foiled again: TBT -1% premarket, -4.1% YTD.
    | 1 Comment
  • Apr. 12, 2013, 8:45 AM
    The 10-year Treasury yield falls 5 basis points on the session to 1.74% following the weak retail sales print. TLT +1.1% premarket, with the last month's big rally in bond prices bringing it back to flat YTD. S&P 500 (SPY) futures dip to a session-low, -0.5%. The QQQoff 0.5% premarket.
    | 1 Comment
  • Apr. 9, 2013, 3:41 PM
    Bill Gross says he has changed his mind on Treasury bonds maturing in 10-years or less thanks to Japan's epic monetary easing. The premise: yields that look meager to U.S. investors look rich to the Japanese. "They [Treasurys] yield 125 basis points more" than what investors are getting on a 10-year JGB. (Previously: JGB yields plummet) 
  • Apr. 8, 2013, 3:18 PM
    Calling QE a "large and dull hammer" distorting markets, BlackRock fixed income chief Rick Rieder - formerly bullish on long-dated Treasurys - is shortening the duration in his portfolio and calling on the Fed to wind it down. The economy is on "reasonably strong footing," says Rieder and unemployment faces "structural headwinds" only overcome with time - a view not at all shared by Bernanke.
  • Apr. 5, 2013, 9:16 AM
    The 10-year Treasury yield sinks to 1.68% - the lowest level since December - in wake of the jobs report. The so-called Great Rotation out of fixed income and into equities has reversed dramatically over the past 5 weeks. TLT +2.4%, SPY -1.2% premarket. Today's WSJ has a piece about bond-oriented hedge funds reshaping themselves into equity players. Can't make this stuff up.
  • Apr. 4, 2013, 1:28 PM
    The 10-year Treasury yield dips 5 bps to 1.76%, bringing its level back to where it started the year after rising as high as 2.07% less than a month ago. Stocks hang at record highs, dovish Fed officials are hinting about QE's end, and the Treasury market parties. Something doesn't fit. TLT +1%, TBT -2.1%.
    | 1 Comment
  • Apr. 3, 2013, 10:23 AM
    Bonds bounce. The near-continuous calls for a bear market in Treasurys are dashed again for the time being, with the 10-year yield - after a quick surge higher to start 2013 - back to 1.84%, not far from where it started the year. Today's buying comes as ADP and ISM reports disappoint, and the banking sector (XLF -0.9%) gets a bit wobbly. TLT +0.6% today, -2.1% YTD.
  • Mar. 26, 2013, 10:57 PM
    Another sentiment-related warning sign for stocks (previous) is heavy bearish opinion on Treasurys. CFTC data show small speculators net short at levels typically preceding an imminent bull move in bond prices, writes The Fat Pitch. Professionals? A BAML survey finds 53% of fund managers underweight bonds, the lowest weighting in Treasurys since May 2011 - a pretty fair time to get long.
IEF vs. ETF Alternatives
IEF Description
The iShares Barclays 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Fund seeks to approximate the total rate of return of the intermediate-term sector of the United States Treasury market as defined by the Barclays Capital U.S. 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Index.
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Country: United States
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