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- Tuesday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets [view article]
- Friday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets [view article]
- Global Liquidity Crisis: What Now? [view article]
- Atyant Capital (an Indian Hedge Fund) on India vs. China (IFN, IIF) [view article]
- Thursday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets [view article]
- Tuesday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets, More [view article]
- India's Sensex Likely To Trade in 11-13K Range Through 2008 [view article]
- India's Recent Economic Growth Causing Infrastructure Problems [view article]
- Thursday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets [view article]
- Tuesday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets [view article]
- Wednesday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets [view article]
- India Overview: Inflation, Exports, the Trade Deficit, the Rupee and FX Reserves [view article]
Recent IFN Articles
- Tuesday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets
- Global Liquidity Crisis: What Now?
- Friday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets
- Thursday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets
- Tuesday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets, More
- Another Day, Another Dollar
- Thursday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets
- India's Recent Economic Growth Causing Infrastructure Problems
- Wednesday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets
- Tuesday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets
- Full List of Articles »
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Thursday Outlook: Where's the Big Fall? [view article]
diversifyordie.com ReplyThursday Outlook: Where's the Big Fall? [view article]
Mr Fry.Yours is one of my most veiwed daily posts on Seeking Alpha . I really like your use of charts , and it saves me lots of time as well , getting an overview of things . Your Mar 20th post outdoes them all, great job!!
thank you
Bill Reply
Thursday Outlook: Where's the Big Fall? [view article]
Clue me in: The beach deal sounds good to me but I lived on one for 35 years and I'm "fryed" so... As to having "all the money" well...Poet1: I'll contemplate the "fry line" and thanks.
Reply
Thursday Outlook: Where's the Big Fall? [view article]
Thank you for the informative article, with accompanying charts.What these portend, along with the volatility, is that the markets are schizophrenic...and that a true bottom with a capitulation sell-off has not been accomplished so far. This is a rotational bear market, and sector switching is trading dollars looking for what is "safe". I expect another sucker rally next week, and then...the big kahuna. DOW will be propped somewhat by flight to safety and size, but secondary markets of smallcaps and midcaps will suffer
most.
This will be precipitated by late filers not getting the refunds they anticipated and/or their having to pay more in realized cap gains caused by creating events last year. This will then create another wave of selling to raise cash to pay the IRS.
I could be wrong, but this has happened before. Too many people panic at the same time. ( They could always file for an extension, and raise cash systematically over a period of months, but they are too human for that...most of them anyway. )
No crystal ball, just a rear view mirror. Reply
Thursday Outlook: Where's the Big Fall? [view article]
Quant funds make money in very short term swings, make up half the volume day-to-day. They can continue to step in and make money on the way up and down. Even in days with 100 point hourly, three hundred point daily swings. No human can do these sorts of trades. Two-hundred-factor models running on servers in Weekawken can.To quote Ted Nugent, "I got you in a stranglehold, Baby. You best get out of the way." Reply
Thursday Outlook: Where's the Big Fall? [view article]
buyitcheap- short term bottom? whats short? 6 months. and a 10-15% move up isnt really squat, since everything has dropped soooo low. i say, CYA. do nothing until after june's mortgage rates kick in/up & until citi's quarterly comes out. nothing crazy will happen before april 15. ReplyThursday Outlook: Where's the Big Fall? [view article]
poet1 - if we're really heading even lower, 90% cash + 10% ultrashort ETFs? Just a thought... I don't believe we're are, I think we're at a short term bottom and we're going to move higher here. If you look at the S&P cash (SPX) the volume supports a move 10-15% higher. (and no I'm not smoking anything.) ReplyThursday Outlook: Where's the Big Fall? [view article]
PS- So what does on do now? Hold cash? Buy more gold on the low? Sell off all stocks? Go bottom fishing? ReplyThursday Outlook: Where's the Big Fall? [view article]
Please define: THE FRY LINE : _____________________ thanks! ReplyThursday Outlook: Where's the Big Fall? [view article]
'Clue me in' , you have it. This is the proper question to ask all gurus, bloggers and analysts. If these insights are any good ,what are you doing behind a desk giving the info away?By now you should be an a beach down islands.
Reminds me of the famaous notice outside the Physcics Association.
"Meeting postponed due to unforeseen circumstances" Reply
Thursday Outlook: Where's the Big Fall? [view article]
Everytime I read a good analysis, I wonder why that person doesn't have all the money. ReplyThursday Outlook: Where's the Big Fall? [view article]
OH , for a crystal ball. ReplyThursday Outlook: Where's the Big Fall? [view article]
All good points to be sure. ReplyThursday Outlook: Where's the Big Fall? [view article]
The primary difference between 1998 and today is the approach the Fed is taking to handling the markets. Currently the moves seem to be an attempt to moderate the overall rate of change. ReplyThursday Outlook: Where's the Big Fall? [view article]
It is amazing that the author did not comment on the fact that ALL of the world stock market indexes are already below their 200 day moving average. This is easy to follow if you use Yahoo Finance, Day Watch chart with the indexes and the 200 day moving average listed, as well as the decline today and the change from the high, etc.With all the exchanges below their 200 day moving average and making new lows.... How can anyone be positive on this market? All of the emerging markets are included in this statement. In my opinion the market is in total denial when it continues to make a big case for a bottom here. More "dead cat bounces" are ahead! Reply