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- The Indian Economy and Gold Imports [view article]
- Don't Write off the Gold and Commodities Bull Run [view article]
- Atyant Capital (an Indian Hedge Fund) on India vs. China (IFN, IIF) [view article]
- India's Sensex Likely To Trade in 11-13K Range Through 2008 [view article]
- India's Growth Rate Slows Further In Q2 2008 [view article]
- India Overview: Inflation, Exports, the Trade Deficit, the Rupee and FX Reserves [view article]
- India Inflation Woes May Continue [view article]
- A 360 View of Returns (July 2008) [view article]
- Outlook for the Indian Economy [view article]
- Indian Inflation Accelerates Again [view article]
- Single Country Emerging Markets ETFs, ETNs and Closed-End Funds [view article]
- India: Emerging Market Opportunity [view article]
Recent IIF Articles
- India Overview: Inflation, Exports, the Trade Deficit, the Rupee and FX Reserves
- India's Growth Rate Slows Further In Q2 2008
- Indian Inflation Accelerates Again
- Don't Write off the Gold and Commodities Bull Run
- Outlook for the Indian Economy
- The Indian Economy and Gold Imports
- ETFs In Greatest Demand: Financials, Healthcare/Biotech; India's Signs of Life
- India Inflation Woes May Continue
- A 360 View of Returns (July 2008)
- India's Sensex Likely To Trade in 11-13K Range Through 2008
- Full List of Articles »
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Is India's Economy Overheating? [view article]
I definitely don't agree that the economy can take another rate hike in it stride. Already, one can observe slowdown in the Auto sector because of the higher interest rates.Also the real estate sector is showing first signs of crack with realty rates dropping by 20-25% in places like Bangalore and Delhi.
Add the rupee rise of almost 10% has resulted in most IT companies feeling nervous.
It is a wait and watch situation.
sagecapital.wordpress..../ Reply
srivastava
Is India's Economy Overheating? [view article]
Interesting poser Mr.Delfeld. My take is that indian economy can take a many more bouts of interest rate hikes in its stride. But is it required?..an answer to it lies with RBI.Well i hope they wait it out for another quarter or two before indulging in such an exercise. It seems they have their mind made up and we might see a hike more so on political compulsion.India has a new problem at hand....the increase in salaries of middle-class......whic... can more than handle/offset interest rates hike,if any.Some sectors will see an impact. Indian economy is definitely on a roll and rise in rupee will be there for years to come. So,any foreign investment in core sectors will reap high returns. Returns will multiply as rupee gets stronger.Subsidising exports is no answer from now on.Competition will now unleash the true character of indian exports.As of imports,indian masses do deserve cheaper foreign products and variety at their disposal.Expansion of internet and media has made indians aware of products available and worldwide flavour. So,i guess rupee needs to strengthen which incidently will have a positive political impact at ground level. ReplyMulay
Is India's Economy Overheating? [view article]
Unfortunately most people on the ground do not want to accept the reality. They probably havent seen down turns, and its essential to get rid of the lunch break investors. Need of correction is dire, it might strengthen the economy. ReplyIs India's Economy Overheating? [view article]
Higher rupee might also be hurting imports from indian companies, particularly while dollar is dropping.creating-wealth.blogsp.../ Reply
Investing in India: Can Market Timing Help? [view article]
This is a great post. Lots of important numbers to look at about Investing in India. I found an article on here that was just as good the other day, take a look if you're interested in India's market potential.Investing in India"
This may OPEN your eyes...Cjheers! Reply
Editors
Single Country Asia ETFs, ETNs and Closed-End Funds [view article]
Did we miss anything out here (they're only Asia; we'll do Europe etc. next)? If so, please leave a comment! Replysrivastava
Is a Rising Rupee Really That Bad? [view article]
Sir, since independence we been taught that a strong dollar is good for us.So,what we have in india today is wealth is on the side of sectors/people involved with exports.The move from strong dollar to a strong rupee will have to be gradual and also be based on the mindset of policy makers of the day.I do foresee a clear shift to a strong rupee as india is now been touted as a high consumption place.Consumption patterns will need to be closely watched between US and India...one obese,the other starved.I wonder whether there is any need to watch fall in dollar,as rising rupee does not necessarily mean a fall in dollar. ReplyIs a Rising Rupee Really That Bad? [view article]
Great Analysis! Can you please share insights into how rising rupee will affect the stock market in next one year period.Thanks,
Anand Reply
The Long Case for India [view article]
Matthews India (MINDX):1) Is up 5% this year while the Sensex is down the above-mentioned 5%.
2) Is a good example of active management sometimes being worth the premium.
3) Just lowered its expense ratio to 1.41% from the above-mentioned 2%.
Lookin' good. Reply
Diversification and Asset Allocation in the Indian Market [view article]
This is good work. I think that you should also consider holding period in your calculation. i.e. calculate 15 year rolling returns every month for each category you have presented (if you can get data going back another 10-15 years). Then calculate the average returns and std deviation. I will bet you that 100% stocks has highest returns and the lowest std deviation. For your very long-term holdings, stocks are much better investments than any other investment, as they offer you the lowest risk - lower even than bonds - as well as the highest returns. ReplyThe Long Case for India [view article]
There are a lot of other companies - Tata Motors, HDFC Bank, WIpro etc. Besides a lot of call centres - WNS etc. are getting listed in the US. Any opinions on them? ReplyIndian ADR Week-in-Review: Buying Opportunity Missed? [view article]
if you have invest international markets this is my top pick:Bharti Airtel Limited Symbol: BHARTIARTL-BY (C000080767)
Bharti Airtel (National India) -INDNT - BHARTIARTL.EQ-IN
H-5/12 Mehrauli Road Exchange: INDNT CUSIP: S&P GICS: 50102010
New Delhi, DELHI 110 030 IND Sector: Telecommunications SEDOL: 6442327 Wireless Telecommunication Services
www.bhartiairtel.in Industry: Mobile Telecommunications Company Status: Active
Business Description
Bharti Airtel Limited Formerly known as Bharti Tele-Ventures Limited. The Group's principal activity is to provide mobile telecommunication services in India. The Group also provides fixed-line, VSAT, Internet and broadband services. The Group has commenced offering national and international long distance services. The Group operates in four segments: Mobile, Fixed Line, Long Distance and Broadband Services.
its been great and I only expect it to continue Reply
Dhamodharan
India Investment Options (Part 1) [view article]
Good article,look forward to reading your next part in this series.I recently wrote about investment options for India, including some options not listed here.
randv.blogspot.com/200...
Also check out the post about BRIC ETFs in the market and their India exposure.
randv.blogspot.com/200... Reply
Shenoy
Equity Investors in India Poised for Disappointment [view article]
hi Vivek,The Sensex data you use does not use trailing 4 Q earnings. It uses the last annual reported earnings.
See my article on how I figured that out.
The P/E expansion is not as much as you might assume. At current values the BSE reports a P/E of 19, but it's actually around 16.4 considering last 4Q earnings. Do you think it'll still stay unattractive at a 16.4 PE? Reply
Dhamodharan
Comparing India Funds: INP is Clearly the Best Option [view article]
I agree with the comment from Gerald. I did some more detailed analysis taking the dividend distributions into account and posted a complete comment here. Comment page is not flexible enough to post additional charts.randv.blogspot.com/200... Reply