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Thursday, May 16, 6:26 AM Unexpectedly weak capital spending marred an otherwise decent Japan GDP report, weighing on the Nikkei (EWJ, DXJ), which fell 0.39% but still held onto the 15,000 level. The yen (FXY) was firm against the dollar for most of session, trading around ¥102, but has since lost ground, falling 0.40% to ¥102.60. Comment!
Wednesday, May 15, 3:26 PM The Japanese bull market is too big of a deal to try and get cute, says Jeff Gundlach (video), advising not to try and time a market up 66% in 6 months. If QE is your reason for owning U.S. stocks, he says, why not pile into Japan (EWJ) where the asset purchase program is far larger? Maybe as leveraged as anything to the Japanese bull market is American ETF provider WisdomTree (WETF +3.5%), more than doubling this year as its hedged Japan equity fund (DXJ) reels in billions in assets. 4 Comments [Global & FX]
Wednesday, May 15, 7:32 AM The Nikkei (EWJ, DXJ) soared another 2.3% overnight to top 15K for the first time since 2007 as the yen (FXY) slid 0.3% to a new multi-year low of ¥102.65. Leading was Sony (SNE), up 10% following Dan Loeb's push for a breakup. Toyota (TM) paced the exporters with a 3.7% gain. JGBs (JGBL) were calm, the yield on the 10-year flat at 0.86%. 4 Comments [Global & FX, On the Move]
Tuesday, May 14, 7:21 AM An early look at the BAML May fund manager survey shows hedge fund equity exposure (VTI) at the highest in 7 years, +45%. Commodity exposure (DBC) is a negative 29%. Cash is at 4.3%. Sectors: It's a record-low exposure to energy (XLE) at -17%. Japan (EWJ, DXJ) at +31% is the highest in 7 years. 1 Comment
Monday, April 22, 2:55 PM The rally in Japanese equities is just getting started, Morgan Creek's Mark Yusko told a Grant's conference last week. Stocks there remain cheap by any number of metrics and, a bonus, companies have dealt with persistent deflation by relentlessly slashing costs - meaning strong profits on any incremental business. All that's needed is a little growth and "Abenomics" should cure that. DXJ +27.5% YTD. 3 Comments [Global & FX]
Tuesday, April 16, 10:48 AM Bumping its position in Japanese equities to 16% overweight from 6%, Credit Suisse says stock prices remain cheap, there is little constraint on how much the BOJ can pump, and it will do so until dollar/yen hits ¥110. Watch money pour into stocks, says CS, once pension funds and retail investors realize inflation is set to rise. EWJ +16% YTD. Comment! [Global & FX]
Tuesday, April 16, 8:28 AM After continuing to strengthen sharply in early trade overnight, the yen is back in full retreat, down more than 1% vs. the dollar which is now buying ¥97.88. Along with the big reversal came a big swing in the Nikkei, which fell more than 2% at one point, but closed down just 0.4%. FXY -1.1%, EWJ +0.6%, DXJ +0.5% premarket. Comment! [Global & FX, On the Move]
Monday, April 8, 3:36 PM Satisfied fans of WisdomTree's Japan Hedged Equity Fund (DXJ) might have interest in a currency-hedged Japan fund doing even better (and now starting to garner serious assets), the DBJP. The difference is DBJP's cap-weighted approach which tilts it towards larger companies more likely to export and thus benefit off the plunging yen. Comment! [Global & FX, Quick Ideas]
Monday, April 8, 1:34 AM The Bank of Japan has started its new aggressive asset-buying program, saying it will acquire ¥1T ($10.3B) of Japanese government bonds with maturities of 5-10 years, and ¥200B of bonds with maturities exceeding 10 years. The purchases are part of the BOJ's plan to inject $1.4T into the economy in under two years. The Nikkei is +2.5% and yen is -1% vs the dollar. 2 Comments [Global & FX, On the Move]
Sunday, April 7, 8:31 PM The yen (FXY) tumbles another 1% vs. the dollar as a new report suggests the BOJ plans to move fast and move big with JGB purchases. Buying less than ¥93 moments before the BOJ announced aggressive new easing measures Thursday, the dollar this moment is worth ¥98.51. The Nikkei adds 2.8% in early Tokyo trade, giving it a middling 8.6% gain since Thursday. 16 Comments [Global & FX, On the Move]
Thursday, April 4, 11:03 AM It's a true "regime change" at the BOJ, says Citigroup, commenting on the central bank's new easing measures overnight. Gone is any hint of concern about monetizing government paper, and up next may be additional stimulus in the form of equity purchases and loans to small and medium-sized enterprises. The yen (FXY -3.6%) continues a whopper of a move lower, the dollar now at a session-high ¥96.38. The currency-hedged Japan stock ETF (DXJ) gains 7.5% vs. the unhedged EWJ +3.8%. 4 Comments [Global & FX, On the Move]
Thursday, April 4, 2:07 AM The Nikkei (NKY) surges and the yen (FXY) plummets after the Bank of Japan starts firing the heavy artillery in its battle against deflation. Under new Governor Haruhiko Kuroda, the BOJ is changing its target when setting policy from the overnight call rate to the monetary base, which the bank aims to double within two years by purchasing ¥60-70T of assets a year, including government bonds of all maturities and not just short-term debt. The plan is open-ended and was unanimously approved. The Nikkei is +1.3% after being lower earlier, while the dollar is +1.5% vs the yen. (PR) 14 Comments [Global & FX, Top Stories, On the Move]
Wednesday, April 3, 3:07 AM Haruhiko Kuroda has been chairing his first board meeting as the Governor of the Bank of Japan, with expectations high that the BOJ will push ahead with more powerful easing. However, prior to the two-day meeting, which ends tomorrow, Kuroda was reportedly finding it difficult to build a consensus about how far the bank should go. Kuroda might be able to force through his ideas but he risks dividing the board. Comment! [Global & FX, Top Stories]
Tuesday, April 2, 10:23 AM "It's too good of a long-term strategic play to try and get cute," says Jeff Gundlach, advising not to try and time his long Japanese stocks/short yen idea even as it's seemingly run too far too fast. The DXJ - maybe the ETF story of the year (along with sponsor WETF) - tumbled 5% yesterday, hit by a combination of a diving Nikkei and rising yen (FXY). Comment! [Global & FX, Quick Ideas]
Tuesday, April 2, 7:58 AM The yen surged and Nikkei dove following the Japanese PM's caution about reaching his 2% inflation target, but both are recovering (Nikkei futures at least as Tokyo is now closed). Not a softening in his hard line about devaluation, Abe's comments can be better read as "expectations management," writes David Keohane. The yen (FXY) is back to flat on the session. EWJ +0.4%, though the Nikkei fell 1% overnight. Comment! [Global & FX]
Monday, April 1, 12:20 PM Disappointing economic reports in both the U.S. and Japan are helping the yen post gains against the dollar. Japanese stocks, which have been highly correlated to movements in the dollar-yen pair of late, fell more than 2% to a 3-week low leading some to question whether the rally in Japanese-focused ETFs is now a thing of the past. 1 Comment [Global & FX]

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iShares S&P/TOPIX 150 Index ETF