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- Thursday Outlook: The Good and the Bad
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Mid-Year Report: Is a Summer Turn-around Still Possible? [view article]
lksseven must be drinking a lot of that "Koolaid" if he believes what he just posted.Unfortunately the Democrats do not have a veto-proof majority. If they did we would not have had Senate Republicans halt a $32 billion package of tax breaks for renewable energy that would have been financed mostly by new taxes on big oil, on June 21, 2007. President Bush threatened to veto the final legislation because, he argued, it discouraged domestic oil and gas production, and increases the tax burden on the oil industry
Opening up ANWAR and the OCS is literally a drop in the bucket; not even a good stopgap measure. "Opening up offshore areas to oil exploration...might cut the price of gas by 3 to 4 cents a gallon at most, according to the Natural Resources Defense Council."
www.time.com/time/busi...
The right wing of the Republican party is only starting to talk the renewable talk because it is good politics. They don't have a history of walking the renewable walk.
The only way we'll stop sending $700 Billion of America's net worth EVERY YEAR to the oil exporters is to change the politics in Washington. Based on track record Republicans are for more of the same, which is hurting our economy.
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Mid-Year Report: Is a Summer Turn-around Still Possible? [view article]
I do not agree that oil is rising due to speculation. There is certainly the law or supply and demand in effect; Anyone who can't see this must be blind. Also, there are so many trillions of USD sitting in far away places, earning nothing and seeing their buying power go down moment by moment. Is it not wiser to buy something you can use, whether it be iron, manganese, oil, wood, cement, anything is better than the USD ReplyGlobal Market Performance: Nowhere to Hide [view article]
good article with valid conclusions, but: the indices, more than ever hide the true picture. most stocks have lost way more from their highs than the averages suggest. if it were not for a few sectors like oil, gas, energy, certain ITs, agriculture and other commodity related stuff then the averages would have been down way, way more.the point i want to make is that the downside in many individual stocks is rather limited from here (beyond panic-induced short-term spikes down), short interest is sky high for many stocks (even if accounting for a growing number of long-short funds) and the SEC's naked short regulations have achieved the well to be expected zero-effect so far with stocks being on the regshoe-list for many months experiencing ever higher short ratios - something that certainly is a clear sign of manipulation and no-enforcment of rules.
bottom line: at one point a lot of stocks will stop falling down and go up rather sharply, triggered in all likelihood by a drop in oil prices. which, in turn will bring the so far strong performing sectors sharply down, even if just temporarily. the effect will be a subdues rally in the indexes but a quite sharp one in certain sectors. Reply
Mid-Year Report: Is a Summer Turn-around Still Possible? [view article]
It's not the Republicans and it's not the Democrats, it's us. We want to hear a bedtime story, while sucking on a lolly pop and they give it to us while helping their friends sell us down the river. I'm sure sagesteve will continue to do fine, his sons will be in charge of the Chinese Reeducation Camps Corporation (Symbol CRCC in the SSE), Iksseven will be teaching Conversational Chinese and denying he ever liked Dick Cheney and Phil's mantra will be Nancy Who?I hope Phil is right and Americans refuse to use any more oil but that which is absolutely necessary during a break neck transition to all the alts mentioned, but I doubt it. We've become, fat and lazy, have an absurd feeling of entitlement and are ripe for any demagogue to lead us to perdition with reassuring fairy tales. Reply
Mid-Year Report: Is a Summer Turn-around Still Possible? [view article]
As investors can you blame President Bush or our Vice President Cheney or those almost billionaire Congressmen, who are all lawyers or at least a law degree as credentials....come on, get over the stripes of red, white, and blue, apple pies, chevys and kissing babys....that is for suckers.........just keep electing your own party member and the same ole congressman/woman/othe... in case of California and say it is everyone else party and congressmen who is the problem.....Go America.... ReplyMid-Year Report: Is a Summer Turn-around Still Possible? [view article]
I think sagesteve is hilarious. I also think he's b.s.ing us just to get a rise, which he did. ReplyMid-Year Report: Is a Summer Turn-around Still Possible? [view article]
sagesteve: money certainly doesn't buy wisdom as your behavior evidences. ReplyMid-Year Report: Is a Summer Turn-around Still Possible? [view article]
BrunoT - a little slack pls, the 'k' and 'm' keys are so close...but all authors should proof-read or enter in MSWord with spellcheck.good article and discussion, btw. I am long AMAT and their SunFab tool...give them a year or two and $1/W will be old news. Reply
Mid-Year Report: Is a Summer Turn-around Still Possible? [view article]
Phil, you say "we don’t have an economic crisis in this country so much as a crisis of leadership. We already see new leaders rising to the challenge, people in Congress, people in Finance, ... are not going to sit idly by while the whole world falls apart and polls suggest the American people aren’t going to stand for it either." ...............Who, exactly, are the new leaders in Congress who are NOT sitting idly by ? What exactly have the "new leaders" (Phil-speak for "Democrats") in Congress accomplished in the last 2 years they've been in control? Which party is calling for drilling in the Outer Continental Shelf, in ANWR, and fast-tracking new nuclear power plants, new refineries, as well as big pushes in solar and wind? (hint - it isn't the Democrats). It's too bad Congress (both Democrats and Republicans) in 2001 didn't heed VP Cheney's energy plan - we'd be enjoying tremendous prosperity now, and much much lower oil prices, and much less dependence on foreign oil ... witness www.usatoday.com/news/...
Vice President Cheney offered a preview Monday of a Bush administration energy plan that will be long on increased development of domestic oil, natural gas and nuclear power, but short on conservation.
Also missing will be what he called "quick fixes which never fix anything": price controls, use of strategic reserves and new federal agencies.
Among Cheney's proposals:
• Increased domestic production of crude oil.
• Stepped-up construction of natural gas pipelines.
• Massive expansion of the electrical power grid.
• Renewed construction of nuclear, hydroelectric, oil- and coal-fired power plants.
Cheney, a former oil services company executive, called alternative fuels such as ethanol or solar power promising but still "years down the road."
He said the administration will push for oil drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge. He said advances in technology drastically reduce the risks of harming the environment. But getting that oil to market will likely be years down the road as well.
"As a country, we have demanded more and more energy. But we have not brought on line the supplies needed to meet that demand," the vice president said.
The plan was called "shortsighted&quo... and "leaning too heavily to the oil side" by Rep. Jerry Costello, D-Ill., a member of the House subcommittee on energy. "We need to conserve energy and explore alternative fuels such as ethanol and clean-coal technology."
Speaking in Toronto at an annual meeting of the Associated Press, Cheney outlined what may be the most ambitious energy plan since the late 1970s when President Carter promoted conservation to combat Arab oil embargoes.
Cheney said telling Americans to do more with less is not enough. "Conservation may be a sign of personal virtue, but it is not a sufficient basis for a sound, comprehensive energy policy," he said.
Democrats and environmentalists say Cheney's energy plan is more about rewarding contributors to the Bush campaign. Reps. John Dingell of Michigan and Henry Waxman of California have asked federal Comptroller General David Walker to investigate whether private interests are influencing Cheney's Energy Task Force, which has been meeting in secret. Reply
Mid-Year Report: Is a Summer Turn-around Still Possible? [view article]
Blame the congress, the president, Republicans, big-oil?Come on. Grow up. The world is far too complex and competitive for any one group to create or manage this situation, let alone be able to change its course. The world changes; sometimes by a lot. This is one of those times.
You would all be better off to stop whining and lean to trade the short side. Reply
Mid-Year Report: Is a Summer Turn-around Still Possible? [view article]
sagesteve: Come the revolution, baby, up against the wall! ReplyMid-Year Report: Is a Summer Turn-around Still Possible? [view article]
"we can always be dull and safe and make 20% a year"Yeah, that would be so boring, barely at a Warren Buffett level. Reply
Global Market Performance: Nowhere to Hide [view article]
Maybe you should look closer to home than far away and smaller Australia i.e. Canada! ReplyGlobal Market Performance: Nowhere to Hide [view article]
I know you know I meant to say "course", even if cursed it is! ReplyGlobal Market Performance: Nowhere to Hide [view article]
So then, ultimately the credit is extended to doomsayers.That being so, the market may never correct upwards as generally desired. This being so, the process is not and never was a gamble. The general public continues to rely on conditional snippits of info and the big dogs continue to playout their strategies.
Well researched estimations we may trust concerned observers to offer if so inclined. But ultimately, when XYZ desires to corner a given market utilizing disposable fronts-we are mostly left as bit players in that charade. Just like Bear Sterns. You know, I actually thought there was something unholy involved in that event. It seemed that unheard of, oh
the lamentations. In at 2 and out at 30, by now I could have stuffed tt in all my bill collectors mouths.
But the truth is, it is a gamble. Even when it appears
to be relaying the facts. Of curse the whole world can end at any time, but in hindsight (We're always forced to look at "In The Mean Time") as having been the real issue. Therefore my present strategy has been modified to simplistic terms. "Keep an eye on the food chain (whats eating who and who'se eating what), then place your bets accordingly". That is, assuming you entertain the notion of survival!
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