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- Global Market Roundup: Will the Bailout Work? [view article]
- Irate Icahn - Fast Money Recap (9/19/08) [view article]
- Global Stock Markets: In the Grip of the Bear [view article]
- Short Cut to Profits? A Closer Look at Inverse Funds [view article]
- Don’t Blame Wall Street - At Least Not Completely [view article]
- Tuesday Outlook: Bailout Brouhaha [view article]
- ROI, Paulson's Plan, and the Rise of Neo-Mercantilism [view article]
- 36-Month ETF Correlations with Russell 3000 [view article]
- Buffett's Bailout: Let's Call it 'Trickle-Up' Economics [view article]
- Friday Options Update: MS, XLF, GFG, MTB, XLB, BMRN, IWM [view article]
- Global Stock Markets: Surviving the Most Turbulent Week Since 1987 [view article]
- Market Rewind: Exceptional Range [view article]
Recent IWM Articles
- Wednesday Outlook: Approaching Capitulation?
- Tuesday Outlook: Capitulation? Not Yet
- Global Market Roundup: Will the Bailout Work?
- Global Stock Markets: In the Grip of the Bear
- Friday Outlook: Investors Finally Giving Bad Data Its Due
- Thursday Outlook: Dysfunctional Politics
- Tuesday Outlook: Bailout Brouhaha
- Don’t Blame Wall Street - At Least Not Completely
- Short Cut to Profits? A Closer Look at Inverse Funds
- Weekly Market Rewind: Deal or No Deal?
- Full List of Articles »
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Wednesday Outlook: Bears Beware [view article]
what if the "floor" is groundwork that only protects floors up to certain level, and after that, it's "let it come down as it may, we'll be ok" type thinking (even if flawed)? just wondering.... ReplyToday's Key ETF Performances: Financials Lead, Commodities Lag [view article]
Just more market volatility. ReplyToday's Key ETF Performances: Financials Lead, Commodities Lag [view article]
Let's see...investments banks need to raise capital. Those who choose to do this by issuing more shares will benefit most if their share prices are high. They can borrow at 2.5% against mortgages that in most cases have defaulted or soon will. Now, let's see, what should they do?I've got it: borrow heavily against worthless assets, buy futures in the morning market to put on a gap-open short squeeze, then buy each others' shares all day. Meanwhile, get the commodities exchanges to increase margin requirements and whisper to their desperate hedge fund clients that the Fed would really prefer their long positions there to be closed out so if they'd like to share in the benefits of access to the printing press then this would be a good time to do so. The hedgies dump hard assets and join the financials rally, the shorts get the shaft, the bankers go home winners, and the PPT get Black medals all 'round.
Can't prove it but I'd be shocked if most of this isn't happening. There is simply no rational explanation for news of another $19b write-down and an ISM reading still indicating contraction to be greeted by a 4% rally. I could believe the commodities sell-off is a response to "deleveraging&quo... or recession fears, but then why such a large rally in equities, especially financials for which the fundamentals have not improved a whit? Nope, sorry. This is manipulation by the Fed, the Treasury, the PPT, and the banks. Simple as that. Reply
Considine
Portfolio Theory Vindicated [view article]
Aquater:QPP is perhaps the best documented portfolio management tool ever built. There are over 800 pages or tests and analysis available at quantext.com. It does not make sense to describe the tool in depth in every article.
Geoff Reply
Friday Outlook: Watching Paint Dry [view article]
I think instead of window dressing, we are seeing window breaking (as termed by Art Cashin on CNBC). Hedge funds are massively short the market and want their shorts to go back further before the quarter end. The rumors about LEH/ML seem to strengthen the thesis, that there are some significant money trying to get the some high profile under performing stocks to go down further.So the securities under pressure in the second half of this week might see more pressure on Monday and then rally into the rest of the week as the hedgies rush to reduce their short exposure.
After the big up day earlier this week, the market listlessly drifted down with very little conviction in any direction. This is really an odd behavior and suggests that the traditional window-dressing is being supplemented by sometime more, and newer. Reply
Fixing Target Date Strategies: 'Target Date Folios' [view article]
Geoff;As an addendum to this paper I would like to see a comparison of the cumulative life time fees associated with the seven target date funds mentioned compared to forecasted return. How much and what percent 'draw down' do the fees have on each fund mentioned?
Reply
Friday Outlook: Watching Paint Dry [view article]
Couldn't agree more David. In fact, we saw some serious window dressing in Japan and across Asia today. Very appropriate for Japan given its fiscal year-end on Monday. A/D was very strong and volume recovered on a jump in foreign net-buying, including a reported influx of long oil money. Still, there was quite a large intra-day spread. Will be interesting to see what happens from Tuesday. ReplyFriday Outlook: Watching Paint Dry [view article]
Here in suburban Georgia local sales tax revenues for the prior month were down 31%.As to the point about portfolio managers reporting losses for the quarter, it might be better to take as much of that now as is reasonable to make next quarter's returns look better.
We're in a 50/50 situation for today. Reply
Friday Outlook: Watching Paint Dry [view article]
Seems that the concensus is to be bearish. Time to look forward. Here, in MA, it is difficult to find parking at the malls on weekends. ReplyFriday Outlook: Watching Paint Dry [view article]
In the broad market, I think what you are looking at is an intermediate term uptrend as we hover around our 50 day MA, but absolutely we still have a LT downtrend in stocks. I don't see how stocks could be higher one year out (give or take), since the consumer is no where to be found (stores are empty), home prices are falling, and the consumer is 70% of our GDP (itself a national disgrace). ReplyFriday Outlook: Watching Paint Dry [view article]
Tape paiters need an up day today! :-) ReplyLiss, SA
Editor
Portfolio Theory Vindicated [view article]
If you look on the author's bio page, there is a brief explanation of QPP as well as a link to his site with a much more in depth explanation. ReplyPortfolio Theory Vindicated [view article]
Not clear what is QPP precisely based on. Unless that is specified, the impression will remain that speculation and hindsight are at work. Why can't the author come up with a brief description of QPP or say that it is proprietary and cannot be revealed?Reply
Fixing Target Date Strategies: 'Target Date Folios' [view article]
It appears that IYE, which is listed as one of the 17 ETFs components in your article, is not included in the 16 ETFs universe that serves the Folio's. Any reason for the departure? ReplyWednesday Outlook: Spin Doctors [view article]
6000 is a bit low............... Reply