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- By Any Definition, a Crash [view article]
- 80% Down for the Year [view article]
- 36-Month ETF Correlations with Russell 3000 [view article]
- Welcome to Nirvana for Nibblers [view article]
- A 360 View of Returns (July 2008) [view article]
- Global Investing: Get Past the Noise [view article]
- REITs Pop While Commodities Flop [view article]
- Most Heavily Shorted ETFs [view article]
- Mid-Year Report: Is a Summer Turn-around Still Possible? [view article]
- No Present Tense in the Stock Market [view article]
- Russell 3000 Sheds Nearly $2 Trillion in Cap Value [view article]
- A Month of Seeing Red [view article]
Recent IWV Articles
- By Any Definition, a Crash
- 80% Down for the Year
- Liquidity Review of U.S. Stock, Sector ETFs
- Welcome to Nirvana for Nibblers
- Global Investing: Get Past the Noise
- Short-Term Returns for the Major Asset Classes
- REITs Pop While Commodities Flop
- A 360 View of Returns (July 2008)
- Most Heavily Shorted ETFs
- No Present Tense in the Stock Market
- Full List of Articles »
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Mid-Year Report: Is a Summer Turn-around Still Possible? [view article]
Blame the congress, the president, Republicans, big-oil?Come on. Grow up. The world is far too complex and competitive for any one group to create or manage this situation, let alone be able to change its course. The world changes; sometimes by a lot. This is one of those times.
You would all be better off to stop whining and lean to trade the short side. Reply
Mid-Year Report: Is a Summer Turn-around Still Possible? [view article]
sagesteve: Come the revolution, baby, up against the wall! ReplyMid-Year Report: Is a Summer Turn-around Still Possible? [view article]
"we can always be dull and safe and make 20% a year"Yeah, that would be so boring, barely at a Warren Buffett level. Reply
Mid-Year Report: Is a Summer Turn-around Still Possible? [view article]
Phil - Have you read about King Hubbert and his peak oil theory? www.hubbertpeak.com/Hu.../ It doesn't sound like you have. King was a scientist, not a politician. Our civilization could have solved the energy crisis with conservation and ingenuity but we behaved like stupid sheep and let the oil industry and the Republicans convince us that cheap oil would last forever and there was no reason to change our wasteful ways. It's too late now. There is nothing anyone can do to make a dent in the 86 million barrels of oil that are used every day to fuel the 800 million motor vehicles that are on the road today. The problem with the price of oil is well documented, it's a declining resource and as such the price will go up for the rest of time and there is nothing anyone can do to stop it! Here are some events to watch out for in the near future: food riots, energy riots, death by freezing, hoarding of oil and coal, chaos and war. I think you should stop trading and put in some canned beans and ammo, things are going to get pretty nasty. ReplyMid-Year Report: Is a Summer Turn-around Still Possible? [view article]
It's not the speculators so much as the need to force change in the energy sector to alternative energy sources. Price can be driven by those that seek to gain from the evolution in order to gain a presence of this market share economy by providing alternative energy products.On a local level, sure, some can buy/sell heating oil and make mega bucks. Only, at the same time more home owners are switching to other sources for heat and heaving the oil burners... It's a scenario that is often repeated where local energy supply can better supplement the past standards of fossil fuels.
We might be on the verge of a conspiracy where the work place is compromised in order to keep more Dads’ at home. The more choice that is given to values and the cost of those values, then the means to attain them will be the efficiency sought. (energy tax credits and grants)
The mid-year report is good only left inconclusive. It fails to mention a target and the goal for the year. The positions have to lock on a goal to properly hedge the valuation of the work place in which they must earn their livelihoods or risk cost that are greater than the risk reward they are positioned within now.
How can a 42% return be applied to restructuring their company’s energy needs, and how much will restructuring cost, is the ultimate value of their investments return. Right now, based on today’s returns your energy dollars might see you through to next spring.
Reply
Mid-Year Report: Is a Summer Turn-around Still Possible? [view article]
Thank you Bruno. I could have said that, but probably not as well ReplyMid-Year Report: Is a Summer Turn-around Still Possible? [view article]
It's Admiral Yamamoto, not Yakamoto. And the story of him saying that is apochryphal.www.japan-101.com/hist... Reply
Mid-Year Report: Is a Summer Turn-around Still Possible? [view article]
More "predictions"... pulled out that are either right or wrong, yet these guys never stop trying to make short term predictions. I note how they never crow about being wrong. It's a sad profession, relying on claims of being great prognosticators to get people to use your services.Anyway, I can tell he doesn't compltely understand gold and oil. He says gold has fallen 50% vs oil. Maybe true. But doesn't he understand that the world runs on oil, not gold, and that that fact means that while investors may want gold, the vast majority of the earth with nothing to invest wants oil NOW, and given a choice of buying gold or oil, has to buy oil now, so it will rise faster, and gold will only catch up later.
And all asset classes can be seen in short term snapshots and given a distorted meaning. Last summer he could have been crowing about US stocks with the Dow being over 14,000. That doesn't mean they'll stay there. Just as it doesn't mean the ratio of oil-gold will remain the same. Which one today has more upside potential? The one that ran up dramatically or the one that stubbornly rose much slower? Reply
Hawthorne
Mid-Year Report: Is a Summer Turn-around Still Possible? [view article]
Those who blame the speculators just haven't done their homework and are lapping up the BS the politicians are so quick to dish out rather than face the music. Remember "Tricky Dick" Cheney's secret meetings with his oil-patch cronies to establish an energy policy back in the early days of this administration? The sad truth is that the chickens are simply coming home to roost!BTW, Phil; whatever happened to that Market Bottom you called back on June 13th??????? Reply
speculator
Mid-Year Report: Is a Summer Turn-around Still Possible? [view article]
The market will end the year down. Maybe we will have a crash latter in the year. I think we will see another 1%-10% down from here. Eli Broad thinks this is the worst recession since WWII. ReplyMid-Year Report: Is a Summer Turn-around Still Possible? [view article]
User 80322 - Congratulations on your success. I hope you find true happiness "burning" your money. ReplyMid-Year Report: Is a Summer Turn-around Still Possible? [view article]
I own three Hummers, a Lambo and a AC Cobra clone (625 horse....REEEEEEALLY fast!!) My gas econo is a Lotus. I just don't care about the gas prices. I'm REALLY rich and I just don't care. I run the AC on my house in Arizona ALL the time (6,200 sq ft home). I water all the time. I basically fart money...I DON'T CARE!!!!! Do like I did and get out and WORK. I semi-retired when I was 32 and retired when I was 43...I'm 61 now. Guess what? My money is going to my kids and they're just like me! Get over it. ReplyMid-Year Report: Is a Summer Turn-around Still Possible? [view article]
Everyone should read the link posted by jjason. In addition to the obvious conclusions it provides about the ICE problem, there is an additional troubling aspect. The Fed is now in a position to fund oil speculation and drive oil prices higher.A major unregulated market for oil futures is ICE and ICE is backed by several oil companies and investment banks, including Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs. With the new Fed policy orchestrated in the Bear Stearns rescue, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs can borrow from the Fed window. Whether they do this or not to fund oil speculation is immaterial, because they have the window available to back up futures bets when needed. Thus, they can risk more in this arena because they have the Fed back-up available if ever needed. Conclusion: oil futures prices are being driven higher by the "full faith and credit of the U.S. government".
If there is any consolation, even the "full faith and credit of the U.S. government" is unlikely to support a bubble forever. Thus, there will be a sharp reversal in oil prices at some point. The perpertrators (the backers of ICE and other unregulated "dark" markets) will be able to control their losses. Pension funds, mutual funds, endowments and individual investors may not. And, in the case of investment banks, the losses, if any, can be mitigated at the Fed window.
Seldom have so many suffered at the hands of so few! And the suffers are, through the Fed, providing financial support to their tormentors. Reply
Mid-Year Report: Is a Summer Turn-around Still Possible? [view article]
Very nice wrap-up Phil. I also share your concerns and guarded optimism. ReplyMid-Year Report: Is a Summer Turn-around Still Possible? [view article]
I agree with Phil. Please contact your US Congressmen and Senators to do something to solve this problem. Copy:www.star-telegram.com/...
and send it to everyone you know. Reply