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- Housing Prices: Bottom or Temporary Bear Break? [view article]
- Credit Suisse: Housing Bottom More Than a Year Away [view article]
- A 360 View of Returns (July 2008) [view article]
- Declines from Peaks in Housing Show Big Disparity [view article]
- Thursday's Stock Rally Means Little to Trends [view article]
- June Case-Shiller Housing Numbers [view article]
- What the Homebuilders Are Telling Us [view article]
- Wednesday Outlook: Low Volume Storm? [view article]
- Housing Futures Show Signs of Life [view article]
- The Real Deal on July's Housing Numbers [view article]
- Endowment Investing 2008, Yale-Style [view article]
- Real Estate [REIT] ETFs [view article]
Recent IYR Articles
- Housing Prices: Bottom or Temporary Bear Break?
- Friday Outlook: What Phony Sell-off?!
- Credit Suisse: Housing Bottom More Than a Year Away
- Thursday Outlook: Stormy Weather
- Wednesday Outlook: Straight Talk
- Weekly Rewind: Financials, Real Estate Show Relative Strength
- Thursday's Stock Rally Means Little to Trends
- Declines from Peaks in Housing Show Big Disparity
- Thursday Outlook: Grab Your Paintbrush
- June Case-Shiller Housing Numbers
- Full List of Articles »
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Housing Crisis Likely to Wipe Out Two Decades of Family-Earned Wealth [view article]
All people want more than they can afford. Most of us restrain ourselves but many dont. Why should the rest of us pay for the uncollectable debts of the few? ReplyHousing Crisis Likely to Wipe Out Two Decades of Family-Earned Wealth [view article]
I lived well below my means for my entire life. I saved. The places I saved ultimately traded my green dollars for FM & FM paper to pay my interest.Now I get to pay higher taxes to insure that the FM paper that my banker bought with my deposits, doesn't default.
If I had my way I'd hold the little rodents, that way overbought, in servitude until such time as they paid off their debt. No BK outs.
Then I would put a bullet in the appropriate bankers that knew damned good and well what was going on. Too strong?
Try me.
Reply
Lofrano
Housing Crisis Likely to Wipe Out Two Decades of Family-Earned Wealth [view article]
Though your article is factual, I do not believe it is truthful. The wealth "earned" by families in their homes, had less to do with earning than it had to do with riding an artificial wave of monetary idiocy courtesy of Alan Greenspan. All most homeowners had to do was hold tight, take out home equity loans with which to make ever larger purchases, and mindlessly watch the pretty bubbles as they floated by. La di da. ReplyHousing Crisis Likely to Wipe Out Two Decades of Family-Earned Wealth [view article]
Let us try this question on for size the next time you hear someone mention homebuying... and why are you actually buying a home. Really?? ReplyHousing Crisis Likely to Wipe Out Two Decades of Family-Earned Wealth [view article]
There is another factor in housing besides the amount to service the debt...I call it carrying cost.Average houses have become larger in recent years,resulting in larger carry costs..heating,cooling... maintainence ,and the big bugaboo...property taxes.As financials worsen for local governments,they will attempt to hike taxes and fees on everything you have,including your dog! Reply
Housing Crisis Likely to Wipe Out Two Decades of Family-Earned Wealth [view article]
When will people get it? Until the value of "0" changes, which it won't, home prices can only go so high, and they went way beyond what people could ever hope to afford, thye had to reset. Currently we are in the process of resetting. The real value of a home is thousands of dollars less than everyone paid for the past 15 years.Face it, lose a job in a two income family, it is highly likely you will lose your home, since you likely bought it based on two incomes. Unemployment pays next to nothing. No income is "0" income. Can't amke huge unreasonable house payments on that amount. So, moral of the story, until the value of "0" increases, it is possible that some day you too could find yourself understanding the value of "0" first hand. Reply
What Goes Up... Short-Term Reprieve Likely in August [view article]
Andrew,Very helpful article. Now that we've given up much of the gains, do you anticipate a continuation of the ST move up, or a big trend move down?
Reply
Why the Housing Bill Won't Help the Housing Market [view article]
The author is correct and he forgot to add one more point. yes is right the demand will come from future population growth and an important piece of that is faster immigration growth. right now the legal immigration system is broken and that has to be fixed to make it faster (I am not saying increase immi - but make it faster - now it takes 9 years to get a green card and 16 years for citizenship). Reply3 Investment Ideas for the Rest of 2008 and 2009 [view article]
Good article. US dollar will appreciate other currencies in the next 18 monhts. Fed will increase interest rate sooner than later to contol inflation. Commodity prices will come down rapidly and drastically.As a resluts of this inflation will come down. There will be demand for product and services. Investmet will improve and there will be more job opportunities. Many sectors will recover.Finally we will see recovery in the financil sector and credit market. Reply
3 Investment Ideas for the Rest of 2008 and 2009 [view article]
dear russell,don't take any of these comments personally. anyone can be a critic. they should have commended you for welcoming suggestions, for opening a topic to discussion and making some general predictions. instead, they used you for a punching bag.
let me remind the readers that anyone can offer up thoughts and you are all welcome to do so. if you disagree with the author, just stick to constructive criticism and lead the discussion in what you perceive to be the correct direction. don't get personal. it detracts from the subject and says more about you than it does about the author.
sincerely,
curious (mr manners) cat Reply
3 Investment Ideas for the Rest of 2008 and 2009 [view article]
Bullish on the dollar? Well, maybe - relative to what? Maybe I'm bullish on the dollar relative to stocks, in which case the rest of your suggestions would be contradictory. I suppose you meant "paper cash in general". In truth I'm bullish on the dollar relative to sterling and little else; the UK has all the same problems as the US but two further weaknesses: interest rates are 325bp higher and thus have plenty of opportunity to fall, and the world's central banks don't feel compelled to protect the pound as they do the dollar. The euro has a much greater reserve role than sterling and is backed by a fundamentally stronger economy with a marginally better balance sheet; it's hard to get excited about it, but I guess I'd still take it over the dollar at 1.55.The Fed is not going to raise rates this year. I'd stake my life on it. Next year, maybe, but not early and not by much. Between the two, I'd bet that the Fed's next move will be down, not up. And until the dollar makes a convincing break above 74, the technicals aren't any better than the fundamentals (I needn't bother explaining all the negatives on the dollar; if you aren't familiar with the story you've been living under a rock) so all this short-term dollar bullishness is just hot air. In the very long run, all assets are priced in gold and must be weighed against it. Bullish on the dollar, on those terms? Surely not. So against what, and on what time scale, are you bullish on the dollar? The case you present doesn't say, and the only reasons you offer are based on either dangerously risky assumptions or blind hope.
From a contrarian perspective, I sure have seen a lot of "bullish on the dollar" hype lately, despite very little movement. If everyone likely to become bullish on the dollar has already become so, yet it's risen less than 4% off its all-time low and remains in the same trading range it's occupied for months, exactly how is it going to gain further? Everyone is going to sell euros? Maybe, buy why sell them for dollars? Reply
3 Investment Ideas for the Rest of 2008 and 2009 [view article]
thanks for making the effort and throwing your ideas out there, but you were way too general in your comments and left yourself way open for huge critisizm.The BRIC nations (especial China and India) will continue to consume oil and as those cultures middle class grows so will the demand for oil and hence keeping the price where it is if not higher. These above mentioned nations are somewhat primitive in their energy methods, so don't plan on seeing solar, wind or any other alternative energy sources.
You discussed footprint energy sources, but my friend COAL leaves a huge footprint and is highly used in the electric market.
You discussed trending smaller families and the reasons why, but i think you need to do your homework. Look at the different ethnic cultures here and the baby trends within them and you'll find you're wrong. Not to mention they just announced on CNN last week about the new BOOM in babys at the current time.
You talk about the dollar, look back to the 70's and 80's and see if the dollar trend during that period matched what you're predicting.
You talked about the weak dollar, country deficit and the potential to reverse because foreigners will buy more realestate and clothing. Number one, foreigners already own too much of country (not sure much is left for them) and are the 2 mentioned segments really big enough to reverse the deficit? I think not.
You're right on wind and solar plays, but you didn't mention any so i will; ESLR- 2009 after their done losing money this year, FSLR- very profitable company in a sector that will offer opportunity in the future, CPST- speculative wind play, but long term and it's a penny stock right now.
I think if people had strong stomachs and the time to research future opportunities they'll fish out good financials that have been beaten back severly and are most likely to pull out of this mess (American Express, Wells Fargo & B of A).
Lastly, when the real estate market turns around within the next few years, so will the retailers that home owners need LOW and HD. These 2 companies are strong, have great balance sheets and are great long term plays.
better luck next time young man, but don't give up your efforts are appreciated!
Skee Reply
3 Investment Ideas for the Rest of 2008 and 2009 [view article]
This article is a mountain of stupidity and disinformation .. Its too long to go thru each issue he puts forth thats totally wrong . This guy is truly out of touch and or just plain stupid .Where in the world do these imbiciles come from . Reply3 Investment Ideas for the Rest of 2008 and 2009 [view article]
What do you mean electric is clean.I thought most of the electric in this country was produced
by coal, dirty coal, plants.
What am I missing Reply
3 Investment Ideas for the Rest of 2008 and 2009 [view article]
In reegards to oil being replaced by alternative fuels. i believe that 70% of oil goes to transportation. Where is the other 30% used?Long term there is talk of more use of natural gas and electricity being use in transportation. If so, we will need more alternative fuels.
Presently there is a big battle looming between the solar people and the environmentalist. The solar people are trying to permit millions of acre's of desert land, that if converted into solar units would be capable, theoretically, of creating twice the output that California uses Reply