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iPath DJ-UBS Agriculture Total Return Sub-Index ETN (JJA)

- NYSEARCA
  • Dec. 21, 2012, 11:59 AM
    Brazil’s government go-ahead for Petrobras (PBR -3.6%) to raise its gasoline prices in early 2013 likely will raise demand for domestically produced sugar-based ethanol, but effects also could reach U.S. shores. Ethanol output in the U.S. is expected fall ~10% next year, and a robust export market could give Brazilian mills even more incentive to produce ethanol instead of sugar.
    | 4 Comments
  • Dec. 4, 2012, 5:57 PM
    Phosphorus: The finite supply of it is why Jeremy Grantham predicts a grim future for much of the world's population. As production of the critical ingredient for fertilizer drops, so will crop yields, which will threaten the ability to feed the world's population. Grantham thinks the finite supply of fertilizer and limits of crop yields already are starting to affect food prices.
    | 6 Comments
  • Nov. 12, 2012, 12:47 PM
    The grains get a downgrade from Goldman following Friday's USDA report raising harvest estimates. Acknowledging continued tight supplies of corn and wheat, Goldman says "risks of critically tight soybean inventories continue to fade quickly." The grains are off sharply today: CORN -3.1%, SOYB -2.8%, WEAT -1.6%.
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  • Nov. 9, 2012, 7:04 AM
    Corn could move up to the unheard level of $9-$10/bushel in 2013, says Morgan Stanley's Hussein Allidina. A few weak export numbers from the U.S. has left the market complacent, he says, but supplies remain super-thin and current prices aren't high enough to ensure there will be corn around until the next crop. CORN -7.9% over the last 90 days.
    | 1 Comment
  • Oct. 25, 2012, 11:04 AM
    Commodity investors will have interest in a comparison of the Rogers Commodity ETN (RJA) vs. the much more popular DB Agriculture ETF (DBA). RJA offers diversity, investing over a far wider range of contracts than DBA, which has 72% of its assets in just its top 6 holdings. Performance: Rogers dominates by 1400 basis points over 3 years, but DBA by about 700 basis points over 5 years.
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  • Oct. 19, 2012, 7:27 AM
    Wheat is catching a bid, the December contract +1.7% to $8.83/bushel on chatter the Ukraine is set to ban exports beginning Nov. 15. "Window dressing," says Tregg Cronin. "The market (is) already keeping them out of exports." Corn +1%, Beans +0.6%.
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  • Oct. 11, 2012, 9:16 AM
    Grains soar as the USDA lowers its estimate of corn ending stocks to 619M bushels from 733M in September. The cut comes even as it raises its forecast of harvested acres to 360K. What happens, asks Arlan Suderman, if the USDA is forced to cut harvested acres in its next report? Yikes. Corn +4%, Beans +2.1%, Wheat +1.5%.
    | 2 Comments
  • Sep. 28, 2012, 8:56 AM
    Corn soars 3% as the USDA announces stocks at just 988M bushels, the low end of the expected range. Prior to the report, corn had tumbled about $1/bushel over the past month. Wheat stocks also came in low, suggesting greater-than-expected feed use for both grains. Bean stocks beat expectations after the USDA "finds" another 38M bushels from last year's crop. Wheat +2%, Beans flat.
    | 1 Comment
  • Sep. 19, 2012, 2:56 PM
    Interesting action in the commodity ETF sector shows a heavy hitter swapping out of $60M worth of the PowerShares Agriculture Fund (DBA) and into the Oil Fund (DBO) this morning. Is a big outfit booking profits on a summer rally in agriculture to pick up recently pummeled oil? It's also another example of liquid ETFs becoming a preferred playground for hedge funds and institutions.
    | 1 Comment
  • Sep. 12, 2012, 9:15 AM
    More from the USDA: Soybeans gain +0.8% as the expected crop is cut 2% to 2.638B bushels vs. trade estimates of a 1% reduction. Ending stocks, however, remain at 115M bushels as the USDA cuts exports 55M bushels to 1.055B. Without the export reduction, ending stocks would have fallen to the frighteningly low level of 60M bushels. (full report, .pdf)
    | 1 Comment
  • Sep. 12, 2012, 8:51 AM
    Corn tumbles 2% as the USDA lowers its expected crop yield and harvest only marginally from last month's estimates. Also lowered were expected exports - to 1.25B bushels from the already low figure of 1.3B. As a result, new crop ending stocks are now estimated at 733M bushels, up from 650M.
    | 1 Comment
  • Sep. 7, 2012, 7:14 AM
    China's feed demand needs to be met by imports no matter what the price," says FCStone's Nathan Broders. With the drought no longer driving corn prices, it's now about demand, and China's appetite is going nowhere. Rabobank's Daron Hoffman believes the USDA's estimate of China's corn crop is too optimistic, and therefore its view on Chinese imports too light.
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  • Sep. 4, 2012, 1:08 PM
    Long corn? If you bought the December crop 7 weeks ago you're even, notes an analyst. This despite falling crop ratings, the USDA cutting its harvest numbers, and numerous private tours confirming the poor state of the crop. Always take caution with a bull market that's stopped reacting to bullish news.
    | 1 Comment
  • Aug. 24, 2012, 3:29 PM
    Pro Farmer estimates following this week's crop tour have corn yield at 120.25 bu/acre vs. the USDA estimate of 123.4. Beans 34.8 bu/acre vs. USDA at 36.1 ("The crop from Ohio to Nebraska needs a drink right now to realize these yield estimates"). Iowa (nation's largest producer): "Early start to the growing season turned into a mid-season nightmare for corn trying to pollinate." Market reaction will have to wait until Sunday night.
    | 5 Comments
  • Aug. 21, 2012, 4:34 PM
    As panic hits the pits, Wells Fargo's Sameer Samana makes a contrarian call, arguing it's a good time to cover bullish grain bets. The weather is improving, he says, and low yields are priced in. "There seem to be fewer catalysts for price appreciation." Yet as Commerzbank notes, it's too late in the season for better weather to help the corn crop.
    | 7 Comments
  • Aug. 21, 2012, 3:18 PM
    "For the first time in this rally, there is a feel of commercial panic," says a broker after a 2nd day of the Pro Farmer crop tour adds to worries over the security of physical grain supplies (day 1 report here). "You cannot load soybean futures in a ship and send to China (or) feed to chickens and hogs ... panic is in the physical ownership." Price records are falling everywhere. JJG +2.2%.
    | 8 Comments
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JJA Description
The Dow Jones-UBS Agriculture Subindex Total Return is a sub-index of the Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index Total Return and reflects the returns that are potentially available through an unleveraged investment in the futures contracts on physical commodities comprising the Index plus the rate of interest that could be earned on cash collateral invested in specified Treasury Bills. The Index is currently composed of seven futures contracts on agricultural commodities traded on U.S. exchanges.
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