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JJC

iPath DJ-UBS Copper Total Return Sub-Index ETN

6/18/2013, 11:29 PM ET

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Tuesday, June 11, 8:24 AM Rio Tinto (RIO) plans to start exporting copper from the $6.2B Oyu Tolgoi mine in Mongolia on Friday, Reuters reports, marking the opening of a mine that will eventually make up one-third of the country's economy. For Rio, it is particularly important now as its Bingham Canyon mine in Utah was shut by a landslide in April and its 40%-owned Grasberg mine in Indonesia has been shut following an accident in May. Comment! [Commodities]
Tuesday, June 4, 2:28 PM Copper rallies (JJC +1%) on expectations of tighter supplies, as the potential rises for an extended shutdown at Freeport McMoRan's (FCX -2.5%) Grasberg copper and gold mining operation in Indonesia. If FCX were to declare force majeure, the shutdown could remove 100K-150K metric tons of copper supply from the market, a sizable chunk out of estimates of 600K-800K metric tons. Comment! [Commodities, On the Move]
Monday, June 3, 8:05 AM Beijing returns to metals. Maybe taking advantage of tumbling prices, or maybe showing confidence about the future, China's State Reserves Bureau has purchased base metals on the international market for the first time since the global financial crisis. The agency bought about 30K tons of nickel (JJN) - about one-sixth of LME stockpiles - according to sources, and has been making inquiries about copper (JJC). Other ETFs of note: LD, JJT. 3 Comments [Commodities, Global & FX]
Thursday, May 30, 3:42 PM Leaders of Indonesia's miners union say they will call on workers not to return to Freeport McMoRan's (FCX +2.3%) Grasberg complex until an investigation behind the tunnel collapse that killed 28 people is completed. The news means copper production could be sidelined for several more weeks, increasing pressure on an already tight market. Comment! [Commodities, On the Move]
Tuesday, May 28, 6:58 AM JPMorgan's commodities team slashes its price forecasts for most metals, lowering the 2013 estimate for gold to $1,595 from $1,745. The 2015 estimate is cut 5% to $1,650. Silver's 2013 outlook is cut to $27.89 from $30.01. Copper (JJC) to $3.50 to $3.64. GLD -0.1%, SLV -0.3% premarket. 7 Comments [Commodities]
Wednesday, May 22, 9:06 AM Freeport Indonesia (FCX) remains uncertain when it will restart operations following last week's mining accident, news that has helped push copper prices up 2% in global markets. FCX says it is losing production of ~220K metric tons/day of concentrated ore since the tunnel collapse that killed 28 people. 1 Comment [Commodities]
Wednesday, May 15, 12:23 PM The tunnel collapse that killed four miners should barely impact global copper supply (JJC) but may spark long-term issues for Freeport McMoRan (FCX +1%), Goldman Sachs says. The shut area represents ~1% of FCX's Indonesian production, but the tragedy could mean strained relationships with unions, tighter government regulation, and questions about a transition of the Grasberg mine from open pit to underground. Comment! [Commodities]
Wednesday, May 15, 10:36 AM China has temporarily halted 1M metric tons/year of primary aluminum (JJC) capacity YTD and could cut another 300K tons capacity before year-end if metal prices remain low, but it won't solve the global glut, CRU consultants say. China is producing at a rate of 24M tons/year of aluminum; its share of global production will exceed 50% by the end of the decade, when it could reach 42M tons - "quite scary," CRU says. (earlier) Comment! [Commodities, Global & FX]
Thursday, May 9, 3:06 PM The dollar (UUP +1%) is soaring across the board (not just against the yen, where it's now spiked through ¥100 to ¥100.56). The greenback is threatening parity vs. the aussie (FXA -1.1%) for the first time since last summer, and the euro (FXE -1.1%), swissie (FXF -1.4%), loonie (FXC -0.5%), and pound (FXB -0.6%) are seeing sizable declines as well. Commodities? Red. Gold (GLD -1.1%), Silver (SLV -1.2%), Oil (USO -0.6%), Copper (JJC -0.8%). 5 Comments [Global & FX, Commodities, On the Move]
Friday, May 3, 5:53 PM Today's jobs report helped juice copper (JJC) prices, which soared 6.8% to stage their biggest single-day gain in 18 months. But copper is still ~10% lower YTD, and perma-bear Al Edwards continues to trust in its ability to serve as an economic indicator. The metal is giving "an early warning that liquidity will not save risk assets: it's time to get out of equities," he warns. 3 Comments [Commodities, U.S. Economy]
Wednesday, May 1, 10:41 AM Commodities are lit up bright red as weak economic data (here and in China) is a good excuse to end the bounce of the last few sessions. Gold (GLD -1.8%), Silver (SLV -3.6%), WTI Crude (USO -2.6%). Copper (JJC -3.3%) moves to its lowest level in about 18 months at $3.08/lb. The metal hasn't had a 2-handle since the start of 2011. Broad commodity gauge (DBC -1.8%). 5 Comments [Commodities, On the Move]
Tuesday, April 30, 3:18 PM The fundamentals remain in place to support copper prices, Southern Copper (SCCO +0.4%) says in its earnings conference call. After its Q1 average price for copper fell ~4.5% Y/Y, SCCO expects a recovery in copper prices on stronger demand, particularly from Asia, in upcoming quarters; it maintains its full-year production guidance of 650K tons of copper. Comment! [Commodities]
Friday, April 26, 12:06 PM A sharp reversal in commodities over the last hour has brought the entire sector into the red. Gold (GLD -0.6%) - looking like it was set to challenge $1,500/oz. an hour ago - is back to $1,452/oz. Silver (SLV -2.3%). WTI crude (USO -1.2%) falls to $92.46. Copper (JJC -1.9%) dives back to $3.18/lb. 13 Comments [Commodities, On the Move]
Monday, April 22, 1:52 PM Goldman Sachs cuts its forecast for copper prices this year, citing rising global stocks and mounting worries regarding China's growth outlook, but says the selloff in Freeport McMoRan (FCX -0.4%) looks overdone. The firm maintains its Buy rating for FCX but lowers its 2013 and 2014 EPS estimates to $3.35 from $4.53 and to $3 from $3.20, respectively. Comment! [Commodities]
Monday, April 22, 7:11 AM Goldman gets bullish on copper albeit at a lower price point. After a 13% YTD decline the selloff is "overdone," according to the investment bank which cut its three-, six-, and 12-month estimates to $7,500, $8,000, and $7,000 per metric ton respectively. Although some demand concerns are warranted given the cooling of China's economy, "underlying cyclical growth is likely stronger than the headline figures suggest." (Previously: a bear market in copper) 1 Comment [Commodities]
Saturday, April 20, 8:25 AM Dr. Copper's diagnosis for the world economy: It isn't well. Copper ended the week wallowing in bear market territory after top copper consumer China reported slower-than-expected economic growth. At this point, weak demand and robust supplies could continue to put pressure on copper prices, or heavy short selling may dry up and spur a strong rebound. 4 Comments [Commodities, Global & FX]

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