The Dow Jones-UBS Copper Subindex Total ReturnService Mark is a sub-index of the Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index Total ReturnService Mark and reflects the returns that are potentially available through an unleveraged investment in the futures contracts on physical commodities comprising the index plus the rate of interest that could be earned on cash collateral invested in specified Treasury Bills. The index includes the contract in the Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index Total ReturnService Mark that relates to a single commodity, copper (currently the Copper High Grade futures contract traded on the COMEX).
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Metals continue to lead the way down in commodities following the FOMC results and Yellen press conference. Unless something happens to change the Fed's mind, QE will end this fall and rate hikes are starting about one year from today.
Gold -1.4% to $1,322 per ounce - as recently as Monday, the metal was challenging $1,400. Silver -2.6% to $20.28. Copper -2.2% to $2.92 per pound. Platinum -1% to $1,437 per ounce. Palladium -2.1% to $752. WTI crude oil slips another 0.4% to $98.76.
Gold's retreat over the last couple of sessions has wiped out all of March's gain.
A check of asset markets following what's currently being interpreted as a strong nonfarm payroll report (175K jobs added vs. 154K expected; UE rate up to 6.7%): Flat ahead of the number, stock index futures are up by 0.5%; gold is down 1.1%, silver down 3.2%, copper off 2.9%; the dollar is up a bit, but mostly against the loonie after a weak jobs number in Canada.
Copper futures tumble to their lowest level in more than three months on concerns about the pace of Chinese economic growth; December futures fall more than $0.06 (-2%) to $3.17/lb., hitting their lowest level since late July.
Copper and other base metals are suffering from rumors that the China will lower its 2014 growth target to 7%, says Commerzbank commodities strategist Eugen Weinberg.
Gold's ahead 3% and Silver 5% following Bernanke's dovish remarks last night. GLD +2.9%, SLV +5.3% premarket. The devastated miners look to catch a big opening bounce as well, GDX +5.4%. Copper (JJC) +3.5%.
Copper rallies (JJC +1%) on expectations of tighter supplies, as the potential rises for an extended shutdown at Freeport McMoRan's (FCX -2.5%) Grasberg copper and gold mining operation in Indonesia. If FCX were to declare force majeure, the shutdown could remove 100K-150K metric tons of copper supply from the market, a sizable chunk out of estimates of 600K-800K metric tons.
Leaders of Indonesia's miners union say they will call on workers not to return to Freeport McMoRan's (FCX +2.3%) Grasberg complex until an investigation behind the tunnel collapse that killed 28 people is completed. The news means copper production could be sidelined for several more weeks, increasing pressure on an already tight market.
The dollar (UUP +1%) is soaring across the board (not just against the yen, where it's now spiked through ¥100 to ¥100.56). The greenback is threatening parity vs. the aussie (FXA -1.1%) for the first time since last summer, and the euro (FXE -1.1%), swissie (FXF -1.4%), loonie (FXC -0.5%), and pound (FXB -0.6%) are seeing sizable declines as well. Commodities? Red. Gold (GLD -1.1%), Silver (SLV -1.2%), Oil (USO -0.6%), Copper (JJC -0.8%).
Commodities are lit up bright red as weak economic data (here and in China) is a good excuse to end the bounce of the last few sessions. Gold (GLD -1.8%), Silver (SLV -3.6%), WTI Crude (USO -2.6%). Copper (JJC -3.3%) moves to its lowest level in about 18 months at $3.08/lb. The metal hasn't had a 2-handle since the start of 2011. Broad commodity gauge (DBC -1.8%).
A sharp reversal in commodities over the last hour has brought the entire sector into the red. Gold (GLD -0.6%) - looking like it was set to challenge $1,500/oz. an hour ago - is back to $1,452/oz. Silver (SLV -2.3%). WTI crude (USO -1.2%) falls to $92.46. Copper (JJC -1.9%) dives back to $3.18/lb.
Freeport McMoRan (FCX) is downgraded to Sell from Neutral with a $25 price target, down from $35, at Citigroup, which cuts estimates for 2014 copper pricing by 13% and warns FCX is likely to have "minimal" free cash flow over the next two years. Mining shares are broadly lower premarket following China's slowing GDP growth and commodity selloff; FCX -4.1%.
China's GDP miss and disappointing industrial production data are sending global equity markets lower, as well as copper and oil, which is also suffering from the IEA slightly cutting its demand outlook last week. Japan -1.6%, Hong Kong -1.4%, China -1.1%, India +0.6%. EU Stoxx 50 -0.2%, London -1%, Paris -0.8%, Frankfurt -0.8%, Milan -0.2%, Madrid -0.4%. Oil -2.4%, copper -1.5%.
A slide in commodity prices turns into a rout: GLD -3.2%, SLV -4.2%, USO -3%, Copper (JJC) -2.2%. At $1,506/oz., gold is threatening a $1,400 handle for the first time in nearly 2 years. After an early bounce, stocks move to session lows, the S&P 500 -0.7%. The long bond gains three-quarters of a full point, its yield down to a 2013 low of 2.93%. Update at 11:05: Now off 4.3%, gold slips below $1,500.