Tue, Jan. 27, 3:42 PM
- Apparel retailers and manufacturers could see lower costs this year as a strong dollar goes a long way toward lowering manufacturing and purchasing expenses overseas.
- Companies which manufacture overseas or buy from global suppliers to sell largely in the U.S. are in the best position to boost their bottom lines.
- Cotton prices have also moved in the right direction for the sector.
- Another factor is the much cleaner inventory position many apparel retailers and department store chains find themselves in heading into the spring selling season.
- Apparel stocks: KATE, ANN, LULU, PVH, VNCE, CRI, UA, HBI, VFC, COLM, GIL, SQBG, JCP, KSS, DDS, M, JWN, ARO, AEO, ANF, WTSL, TLYS, CACH, ZUMZ, PSUN, EXPR, BKE, GIII, SQBG, HBI, VRA, ICON, SHOO, BWS, PERY, DXLG, BONT, GES, URBN.
Fri, Jan. 23, 7:37 AM
Wed, Jan. 21, 9:59 AM| 6 Comments
Fri, Jan. 9, 11:04 AM
- Another tough day for luxury retail stocks as more concerns on pricing trends build up.
- Consulting firm Bain isn't helping sentiment, noting the luxury sector in China showed negative growth (-1%) for the first time in 2014. An ongoing crackdown by Beijing on corruption is in the background.
- Michael Kors (KORS -1.7%), Ralph Lauren (RL -2%), Kate Spade (KATE -3.2%), Fossil (FOSL -1%), Vera Bradley (VRA -2%), and Coach (COH -2.2%) are all under-performing market averages.
- Related stocks: OTCPK:LVMUY, OTC:GUCG, OTCPK:SWGAY, OTCPK:BURBY, EL, RDEN, OTCPK:HESAF, OTCPK:CFRUY, TIF.
- Related ETFs: PEJ.
Thu, Jan. 8, 7:40 AM
- BMO Capital downgrades Kate Spade (NYSE:KATE) to Market Perform from Outperform.
- The investment firm reduces the price target on the retailer to $32 from $48.
- Concerns about promotional activity in the premium department store channel have cropped up this week.
- Previously: Kate Spade taken lower on sector news (Jan. 06 2015)
Tue, Jan. 6, 9:52 AM
- Kate Spade (KATE -3.3%) trades lower on a day with a healthy dose of handbag news.
- Coach made a diversification play with an acquisition of luxury shoe brand Stuart Weitzman.
- The development could position Coach to compete more directly with Kate.
- Also of note for KS investors, a channel check on Michael Kors showed a high level of promotional activity.
Mon, Jan. 5, 7:38 AM
- A slowdown at West Coast ports continues to impact the retail sector as negotiations between dockworkers and shippers progresses slowly.
- Fast-fashion firms (OTCPK:HMRZF, OTCPK:FRCOY, OTCPK:IDEXY) and apparel sellers (LULU, ANN, GPS, KATE, ANF) are most at risk notes, Cowen Research.
- Inventory dislocation in the sector could boost TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX) and Ross Stores (NASDAQ:ROST).
Dec. 23, 2014, 2:59 PM
- The strong reads on consumer spending (ICSC, Redbook) bode well for Q4 earnings in the retail sector, note analysts.
- Electronics sellers (BBY, HGG) and the luxury sector (RL, TIF, COH, KORS, KATE, FOSL, VRA) are viewed as being in a good position to see a December boost.
- Companies which eased off on pulling a bulk of their sales forward with Black Friday/Cyber Monday deals are also seen as potential winners with sub-$2 gas resetting some holiday budgets.
- Though e-commerce is expected to dazzle again this holiday season. It's not all fun and games for analysts looking at margins. The extension by Amazon (AMZN -0.1%) of its free shipping offer could be a signal that inventory levels are higher than anticipated and that the growth-at-all-costs mentality at the company is as entrenched as ever, notes Nasdaq Advisory Services.
- The S&P Retail ETF (NYSEARCA:XRT) has doubled up the return of the S&P 500 over the last 3 months, 10.8% vs. 5.1%.
- Previously: Retail trends to watch: Athleisure, P-E buyouts, and new online channels (Dec. 20 2014)
- Related ETFs: XLP, XLY, VDC,VCR, RTH, RETL, FXG, PBJ, IYK, PEJ, FXD, IYC, FDIS, RHS, SCC, FSTA, UCC, PMR, PSL, UGE, RCD, PEZ, PSCC, PSCD, SZK
Dec. 18, 2014, 7:01 AM
- Apparel prices fell 1.1% in the U.S. during November, according to yesterday's CPI report.
- The drop followed a 0.2% slide in apparel prices for October.
- Retail analysts note that a higher mix of e-commerce sales and the lingering promotional haze threaten margin expansion in the sector, despite overall tighter inventory control.
- Apparel stocks: KATE, ANN, LULU, PVH, VNCE, CRI, UA, HBI, VFC, COLM, GIL, SQBG, JCP, KSS, DDS, M, JWN, RL, ARO, AEO, ANF, WTSL, TLYS, CACH, ZUMZ, PSUN, EXPR, BKE, KORS, UA, GIII, SQBG, HBI, SKX, FL, VRA, ICON, NKE, WWW, DECK, CROX, SHOO, BWS, PERY, DXLG, SHLD, BONT, GPS, GES, URBN.
Dec. 4, 2014, 10:31 AM
- Shares of Destination Maternity (DEST -7.8%) slide after the company misses earnings estimates.
- A frank assessment from the company on a misfire with its assortment to millennial-aged moms-to-be strikes a bit of a chord across the apparel and department store sector.
- Many of the earnings hits and misses this quarter have been tied to on-trend or off-trend assortments. A millennial group which is hard to nail down is becoming a bigger part of that puzzle.
- Apparel stocks: KATE, ANN, LULU, RL, PVH, VNCE, CRI, UA, HBI, VFC, COLM, KORS, GIL, SQBG, JCP, KSS, DDS, M, JWN, RL, ARO, AEO, ANF, WTSL, TLYS, CACH, ZUMZ, PSUN, EXPR, BKE, KORS, UA, GIII, SQBG, HBI, SKX, FL, VRA, ICON, NKE, WWW, DECK, CROX, SHOO, BWS, PERY, DXLG, SHLD, BONT, GPS, GES, URBN, TJX.
Dec. 1, 2014, 7:50 AM
- Comscore estimates e-commerce spending rose 32% on Thanksgiving Day to $1.01B and 26% on Black Friday to $1.51B.
- Most retail analysts are sticking with their forecast for 4.0%-4.5% growth for holiday sales this year, with early shopping and e-commerce making up for a dip in store traffic on Black Friday.
- Apparel sellers in particular came out with a stronger online push this year.
- Related stocks: OTCPK:AMZZ, EBAY, AEO, ANF, JCP, JNY, JWN, KSS, LB, M, URBN, PSUN, BKE, WTSL, GPS, FDX, UPS, DKS, BBY, LULU, KATE, VRA, SPLS.
Nov. 24, 2014, 11:15 AM
Nov. 12, 2014, 11:18 AM
- Macy's (NYSE:M) management was cautious on today's earnings call as the drop in Q4 and full-year EPS guidance was justified.
- A lull in sales after the Back-to-School season has bled into the early part of Q4.
- Omnichannel execution is better this year, says Macy's CFO Karen Hoguet. Capital spending on omnichannel could help the company's bottom line down the road.
- A major new private brand will be launched next year aimed at Latino customers.
- Kate Spade (NYSE:KATE) made an appearance during the earnings call. Hoguet says the Kate channel should be a driver for sales this holiday due its on-trend assortment.
- The impact from the West Coast ports labor turmoil appears to be limited with Macy's saying most deliveries are on target with their anticipated delivery dates.
- Earnings call webcast
Nov. 6, 2014, 1:55 PM
- Kate Spade (KATE +19.1%) soars after the company showed brisk sales growth and a wider gross margin rate in Q3 to defy the mall retailer funk this season.
- Operating income came in at $3.5547M vs. a loss of $1.329M a year ago.
- A decidedly on-trend assortment of handbags and accessories appears to have helped Kate Spade take market share from Coach, and perhaps slow down the Michael Kors juggernaut.
Nov. 6, 2014, 1:27 PM
- Apparel seller Ann issued a warning today on the impact of labor uncertainty at West Coast ports as part of its Q4 guidance.
- The retailer expects $8M in extra air freight costs due to product shipment delays.
- There's also been some reports of delays at ports in the Seattle and Tacoma area which account for 16% of container cargo traffic on the West Coast.
- Analysts fret that more companies will resort to air freight to ensure stores are stocked in front of the Black Friday rush.
- Apparel and footwear stocks: SKX, FL, VRA, ICON, NKE, WWW, DECK, CROX, SHOO, BWS, KATE, ANN, PERY, LULU, RL, PVH, VNCE, CRI, UA, HBI, VFC, COLM, KORS, GIL, SQBG, JCP, KSS, DDS, M, JWN, RL.
Nov. 6, 2014, 12:47 PM
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