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Thu, Mar. 27, 7:25 AM
- Both Bernstein and KBW remove Outperform ratings on Citigroup (C) the morning after its capital return plan was rejected by the Fed for "qualitative" reasons. One wonders whether this disappointment wasn't already priced in as Citi has underperformed this year, and for some time been the only one of the major banks trading below book value. Shares are off 5% in premarket action.
- Overall, the bank capital returns announced yesterday are below expectations, says Compass Point's Kevin Barker, but Huntington Bancshares (HBAN) - which boosted the dividend 20% and announced a buyback for about 3% of the float - was better than hoped.
- XLF -0.1% premarket
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, IAI, IAT, SEF, IYG, FXO, PFI, KBWB, FNCL, RKH, QABA, FINU, KRU, RWW, KCE, KBWR, RYF, PSCF, KRS, FINZ, KBWC, AIRR
Thu, Mar. 20, 10:54 AM
- Much of the financial sector is lit up bright green, continuing to outperform following yesterday's suggestion by the FOMC and Janet Yellen that rate hikes could come sooner than expected. XLF +1.1%, KBE +1.6%, KRE +1.6%.
- At new 52-week or even multi-year highs are JPMorgan (JPM +2.3%), Wells Fargo (WFC +1.7%), Morgan Stanley (MS +1.4%), and Bank of America (BAC +1.6%).
- Regional lenders: U.S. Bancorp (USB +1%), Huntington (HBAN +1.5%), PNC (PNC +1.3%), BB&T (BBT +1.5%), Fifth Third (FITB +1.8%), First Niagara (FNFG +2.1%).
- Leading among the life insurers are Lincoln National (LNC +1.9%), Protective Life (PL +1.6%), Manulife (MFC +1.2%), and Sun Life (SLF +1.1%).
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, KIE, IAT, SEF, IYG, IAK, FXO, PFI, KBWB, RKH, QABA, FNCL, FINU, KRU, RWW, KBWR, RYF, PSCF, KBWI, KBWP, KRS, FINZ
Wed, Mar. 19, 3:13 PM
- A check of sectors following the FOMC statement and updated projections suggesting a quickened pace of rate hikes in the future finds the banks and life insurers notably moving higher. Both groups have struggled earning a spread amid ZIRP and are positively levered to higher rates.
- Lenders: Bank of America (BAC +1%), Citigroup (C +1%), JPMorgan (JPM), Regions (RF +1.7%), KeyCorp (KEY +0.9%), SunTrust (STI +0.7%).
- Life insurers: MetLife (MET +1%), Prudential (PRU +0.7%), Lincoln National (LNC +1%).
- Related ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, VFH, IYF, KIE, SEF, IYG, IAK, FXO, PFI, KBWB, FNCL, FINU, RWW, RYF, PSCF, KBWP, KBWI, FINZ, KBE, KRE
- Not necessarily positively levered to higher rates are the mortgage REITs (REM -1.6%): Annaly (NLY -1.8%), American Capital (AGNC -1.7%), (MTGE -1.9%), Armour (ARR -1.3%), Two Harbors (TWO -2%) CYS Investments (CYS -3.3%), Capstead (CMO -1.3%), MFA (MFA -1.8%).
- Related ETFs: MORT, MORL
Wed, Mar. 5, 3:42 PM
- Buying the rumor? On a flattish day for the major averages, the Too Big To Fail banks are ignoring a continued slowdown in markets revenue this quarter, and instead partying ahead of what may be the imminent release of the Fed's stress test results (perhaps Friday). About one week later will be CCAR results at which the Fed gives the thumbs up or thumbs down on the banks' capital return plans.
- Word is the tests are tougher this year, but bank capital levels are also improved.
- Leading today is Bank of America (BAC +3%) - now within about one percent of a 4-year high. Others: Morgan Stanley (MS +2.8%), Goldman Sachs (GS +1.8%), Ciitgroup (C +1%), JPMorgan (JPM +1.5%), and Wells Fargo (WFC +0.6%).
- Also subject to the stress tests are a number of regional lenders, not to mention credit card players - they're mixed in today's action.
- Related ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, IAI, IAT, SEF, IYG, FXO, PFI, KBWB, RKH, QABA, FNCL, FINU, KCE, KRU, RWW, KBWR, RYF, PSCF, KRS, FINZ, KBWC
Thu, Jan. 23, 2:01 PM
- Flagstar Bancorp (FBC +3.3%) is the outlier to the upside among a hard-hit regional banking sector (KRE -2.1%) today following last night's Q4 earnings results.
- The bank reported a big headline number ($2.77 per share in earnings) after finally reversing the valuation allowance on its DTA. However, notes BTIG's Mark Palmer (who was a big bull on the stock at about $13 per share, but not so much at $20), the results of the underlying core business left something to be desired.
- Net interest income was well lower, as was noninterest income as mortgage business vanished. On the expense side, the bank does appear to be executing on its plan to cut costs and guided towards the high-end of its previously estimated cost savings for this year.
Tue, Jan. 21, 9:58 AM
- M&T Bank (MTB -1%) and Hudson City Bancorp (HCBK -1.1%) are again the laggards in a nicely green regional bank sector (KRE +1.9%) as Raymond James pulls its Buy rating on M&T following last week's earnings report.
- At issue with the results are the high costs M&T is experiencing to upgrade its infrastructure to comply with the Bank Secrecy Act and anti-money laundering laws. The immediate need for all the work is to please regulators currently holding up the Hudson City takeover, but management insists it's something which would need to be done anyway.
Fri, Jan. 17, 1:19 PM
- The big losers in a largely green regional bank sector (KRE +0.4%) today are M&T Bank (MTB -3.3%) and Hudson City Bancorp (HCBK -3.2%). M&T's excuse is a big earnings miss as the bank was unable to cut expenses the way some of its competitors had. At issue is the cost to come into compliance with the Bank Secrecy Act and anti-money laundering programs in order to win the favor of regulators for the Hudson City takeover.
- It's possible a negative development was mentioned in the earnings call, or - maybe more likely - since the deal is set to be an all-stock one, the decline in M&T is being felt by Hudson City.
Thu, Jan. 16, 3:59 PM
- About the only green on the screen in the regional bank sector (KRE -0.9%) is PNC Financial (PNC +2.7%) after this morning's earnings beat. Sandler O'Neill is impressed enough to lift its rating to Buy with price target of $93.
- Boding well for earnings in 2014? $130M remain in repurchase reserves - a number management (on the earnings call) says should come down thanks to settlements with the GSEs.
Nov. 8, 2013, 10:41 AM
- Up sharply as interest rates fly higher (the 10-year is up 15 basis points to 2.75%) are the life insurers - all of whom have had their investment returns more than a little constrained by puny yields. IAK +2.4%
- MetLife (MET +5.9%), Prudential (PRU +4.5%), Lincoln National (LNC +6.8%), Hartford (HIG +3.1%).
- Also set to benefit from a steeper yield curve (if we're to believe their models) are the banks, and they're leading the S&P 500 higher. The TBTFs: Bank of America (BAC +3.3%), JPMorgan (JPM +3.1%), CItigroup (C +3.3%), Wells Fargo (WFC +2.6%). The regionals (KRE +3.4%): Huntington (HBAN +2.6%), Regions (RF +4.2%), PNC (PNC +2.8%), FIfth Third (FITB +3.4%), First Niagara (FNFG +2%), Keycorp (KEY +3.5%), Zions (ZION +4.1%), Comerica (CMA +3.1%).
- The XLF +1.9%.
- FInancial sector ETFs: FAS, XLF, FAZ, UYG, KRE, KBE, VFH, IYF, KIE, SEF, IAT, IAI, IYG, IAK, FXO, PFI, KBWB, RKH, QABA, RWW, FINU, RYF, KRU, KBWR, PSCF, KBWP, KBWI, KRS, FINZ, FNCL
Sep. 25, 2013, 9:43 AM
- Speaking at BAML's Banking and Insurance Conference in London, Deutsche Bank (DB -1.6%) co-CEO says the bank expects a "significant" drop in Q3 trading revenue.
- The announcement isn't unexpected, and follows a similar warning from Citigroup over the weekend, numerous other rumblings from investor conferences this month, and Jefferies' already reported ugly (from a trading standpoint) Q3.
- Previous: FICC trading revenue has been slipping for years and should be in analyst models by this point.
- Banks (KRE -0.6%), (KBE -0.4%) again are leading the market decline.
- Financials ETFs: XLF, IYF, PFI, VFH, RYF, RWW, FAS, UYG, FAZ, SKF, SEF, IAI, FXO, PSCF, KBWD, KBWB, IYG, FINU, FINZ.
Sep. 23, 2013, 10:23 AM
- The financial sector (XLF -1.2%) leads the market lower following Citigroup's warning about Q3 trading revenues. SPDR KBW Bank ETF (KBE -1.3%). Not necessarily exposed to trading activity, regional banks are nevertheless not spared, the Regional Banking ETF (KRE -1.3%). The TBTF banks are all off between 2 and 3 percent.
- Related ETFs: XLF, IYF, PFI, VFH, RYF, RWW, FAS, UYG, FAZ, SKF, SEF, IAI, FXO, PSCF, KBWD, KBWB, IYG, FINU, FINZ, KBWB, IAT, KBE, KRE, RKH, QABA, KRU, KRS, KBWR.
Jul. 5, 2013, 12:51 PMRegional banks (KRE +2%) are the day's strongest performers - sailing through today's big rise in interest rates the way they cruised through June's increase. Interest rate margins are on the rise, economic growth should help sluggish loan volume, and the idea new bank capital rules will go easier on them than the TBTFs all factor in. Huntington (HBAN +2.9%), Regions (RF +1.8%), BB&T (BBT +1.9%), PNC (PNC +2.2%), Hudson City (HCBK +1.5%), Fifth Third (FITB +1.6%), SunTrust (STI +3.5%), KeyCorp (KEY +3%), Zions (ZION +3.5%), Comerica (CMA +2.7%), Popular (BPOP +1.2%). | Comment!
Jun. 21, 2013, 11:54 AMA check of the TBTFs finds Wells Fargo (WFC +0.9%) the only gainer amidst a floated report the Fed and FDIC are weighing a doubling in the "simple leverage ratio." Wells already exceeds the 6% proposed ratio, but presumably BofA (BAC -2.8%), JPMorgan (JPM -1.3%), Citigroup (C -4%), Goldman (GS -1.7%), and Morgan Stanley (MS -3.1%) would need to halt or pare back dividends and buybacks should the rule be implemented. The financial SPDR (XLF -1.4%). | 8 Comments
Jun. 20, 2013, 12:36 PMMostly in the green along with the life insurers today is much of the regional banking sector (KRE +0.5%) as a steeper yield curve is sure to boost their barely visible net interest margins. U.S. Bancorp (USB +0.1%), Huntington (HBAN +2.2%), New York Community (NYCB -0.1%), Regions (RF +0.7%), BB&T (BBT +1.2%), PNC (PNC +0.7%), SunTrust (STI +0.7%), KeyCorp (KEY +1.5%), People's Untied (PBCT +1.3%), Zions (ZION +1.9%), Comerica (CMA +1%). | Comment!
Mar. 14, 2013, 5:22 PM
Mar. 14, 2013, 5:14 PMAfter hours movers in the banks: JPM -2.5% and GS -2.1% after the two had their capital proposals approved but were asked to submit new plans "to address weakness in their capital planning processes." WFC +0.4%, BAC +3.8% after no dividend hike, but a whopping $10.5B in share repurchases and redemption of high-yielding preferreds. Morgan Stanley +0.9%. The XLF +0.1%. | 18 Comments
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