Sep. 6, 2014, 8:43 AM
- The "total" yield of a company combines the dividend yield and the buyback yield - that is the yield boost from reducing the total amount of shares outstanding. Together with S&P's Howard Silverblatt, Barron's puts together a list of the top 20 companies in the S&P 500 based on "total" yield.
- While buybacks don't guarantee a strong stock - witness consistent buyback champs like IBM and Kohl's (NYSE:KSS) - Warren Buffett goes to bed at night praying for IBM's share price to go down so the company can buy back more stock for a given dollar amount (though The Oracle has said he doesn't expect this logic to win many fans).
- The flip-side are those companies - financials and energy come to mind - who tend to buy back stock at high prices only to find themselves forced to reissue it at lower prices when times get tough. A consistent plan helps, and Travelers (NYSE:TRV), under CEO Jay Fishman, has been maybe the best example of this - halving the share count since the end of 2006.
- ETFs? The Powershares Buyback Achievers Portfolio (NYSEARCA:PKW) gained 45.6% in 2013, 1,300 basis points better than the S&P 500. Since inception in 2006, it's up an annualized 9%, more than 200 basis points better than the S&P. A newcomer - the Cambria Shareholder Yield ETF (NYSEARCA:SYLD) - has beaten the S&P by about 250 basis points since its May 2013 inception.
- The list (ranked in order of "total" yield): ADT, CAM, CF, MOS, MPC, VIAB, GLW, ITW, STX, IBM, NOC, CTL, TRV, VRSN, IR, CCE, KSS, NTAP, HES, DO.
Sep. 4, 2014, 12:03 PM
- A solid quarterly report from PVH (PVH +10.2%) could also bode well for J.C. Penney (JCP +4.7%) and Kohl's (KSS +2.1%).
- During an interview on CNBC this morning, PVH CEO Emanual Chirico gave some of the credit for the company's sales gains to the department store chains.
- North American revenue for the Tommy Hilfiger business was up 8% Y/Y for PVH.
Sep. 3, 2014, 7:46 AM
- Kohl's (NYSE:KSS) is upgraded by Maxim Group to a Buy rating from Hold.
- The boutique investment firm sees margin upside being delivered from Kohl's new ship-from-store initiative and growing e-commerce channels.
- The price target on the department store chain is lifted up to $68 from a prior level of $48.
Aug. 26, 2014, 1:48 PM
- Retail sales were strong across the sector, according to ICSC.
- Wholesale clubs (COST, PSMT, WMT), dollar stores (DLTR, DG, FDO), and apparel sellers (AAP, AEO, ANF, JCP, JNY, JWN, KSS, LB, M, URBN, PSUN, BKE, WTSL, GPS) all tracked strong for the week.
- Sales for the month are forecast to rise 4% to 5%, compared to last year's 3.6% rise.
Aug. 14, 2014, 7:48 AM
Aug. 14, 2014, 7:01 AM
Aug. 13, 2014, 5:30 PM
Aug. 13, 2014, 10:26 AM
- Department store stocks are lower after Macy's misses estimates with its Q2 report and warns on consumer spending.
- Decliners: Nordstrom (NYSE:JWN) -2.2%, Sears Holdings (NASDAQ:SHLD) -1.8%, Kohl's (NYSE:KSS) -2.7%, J.C. Penney (NYSE:JCP) -2.1%, Bon-Ton Stores (NASDAQ:BONT) -3.5%, Dillard's (NYSE:DDS) -2.2%.
- The downward comp sales revision from Macy's and the flat reading on U.S. retail sales growth appears to be impacting big-box retailers Target (TGT -1%) and Wal-Mart (WMT -0.9%) as well.
Aug. 13, 2014, 8:38 AM
- A warning from typically-resilient Macy's (NYSE:M) on consumer spending could send a chill into the retail sector.
- CEO Terry Lundgren says that many of the department store's customers aren't feeling comfortable about spending more in an "uncertain" economic environment.
- That analysis from a sector bellwether indicates a crowding out effect could be in play as consumers spend freely on housing, automobiles, and travel.
- On watch: KSS, JWN, DDS, JCP, BONT, LB, TLYS, CACH.
- Consumer discretionary-focused ETFs: XLY, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, FXD, FDIS, PMR, RCD
Jun. 24, 2014, 12:07 PM
- Channel checks from Deutsche Bank indicate the promotional cadence in the retail sector has been dialed back a notch from the level seen in Q1.
- The investment firm sees less promotional activity from retail beasts Wal-Mart (WMT +0.3%) and Target (TGT +0.2%) - while department store chains such as Kohl's (KSS +0.7%), Nordstrom (JWN +0.6%), and Dillard's (DDS -0.1%) have also shown some improvement.
- J.C. Pennney (JCP +1%) is a tougher nut to crack for DB with its radical changes in pricing strategy making the year-over-year comparison less informative.
- Related ETFs: XLY, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, FXD, FDIS, PMR, RCD
Jun. 12, 2014, 8:52 AM
- Department stores (DDS, M, SSI, BONT, SHLD, JCP, KSS, JWN) showed sluggish growth in May. Sales in the sub-category fell 1.4% M/M and 2.0% Y/Y.
- As expected, building material & garden sales (HD, LOW) showed some late-spring strength. Sales rose 1.1% M.M and 4.6% Y/Y.
- The catch-all miscellaneous store retailers category (ODP, PETM) packed the biggest month-over-month pop of all at 1.8%.
- Full Retail Sales report (.pdf)
May 15, 2014, 7:08 AM
May 15, 2014, 7:02 AM
May 14, 2014, 5:30 PM
May 14, 2014, 10:21 AM
- Shares of Sears Holdings (SHLD +0.4%) have retreated quite a bit from an early rush after the company disclosed it's looking at options to sell Sears Canada.
- Though there are a few retail chains such as Primark or Uniqlo which might consider the acquisition for a quick entry into Canada, plenty of retail analysts think the stumbles by Sears and Target (TGT -0.2%) in the region will scare off many retail chains from the gambit. Macy's (M -0.1%) and Kohl's (KSS -2%) come to mind.
- A P-E buyout is being viewed as a likely scenario, while there is a chance Hudson's Bay could play a little defense on its home turf.
May 13, 2014, 1:01 PM
- Kohl's (KSS +0.1%) is planning a major shakeup with upper management, according to reporting from the WSJ.
- The moves come on top of a search by the department store operator for a new chief merchant.
- Kohl's CEO Kevin Mansell is highly regarded in the industry, but things could get a bit testy for him if the back-to-school season doesn't go well, according to retail analysts.
KSS vs. ETF Alternatives
Kohl's Corp operates department stores that sell moderately priced exclusive and national brand apparel, footwear, accessories, beauty and home products. Itswebsite includes merchandise available in stores, and merchandise available only on-line.
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