Wed, Jan. 14, 5:30 PM
Wed, Jan. 7, 11:04 AM
- Bloomberg is reporting the president as set to announce a 50 basis point reduction in FHA fees to 0.85% at an event in Phoenix tomorrow. The news isn't good for private mortgage insurers who have been happily raking in market share gains at the expense of the government agency, but the homebuilders are a different story.
- Previously: Mortgage insurers tumble on report of cut in FHA premiums (Jan. 7)
- ETFs: ITB +3%, XHB +2.5%
- Toll Brothers (TOL +2.7%), Lennar (LEN +3.8%), D.R. Horton (DHI +4%), Ryland (RYL +2.9%), KB Home (KBH +2.5%), Hovnanian (HOV +3.6%), PulteGroup (PHM +3.9%).
Dec. 31, 2014, 3:18 PM
- "We maintain our long-term view that companies with attractive geographic exposures should be outperformers combined with strong capital allocation and timing of land purchases," says analyst Eli Hackel, reiterating Lennar (LEN +1.6%) as a Conviction Buy, while also noting the recent strong momentum for KB Home (NYSE:KBH), Meritage (NYSE:MTH), and Taylor Morrison (NYSE:TMHC).
- While recent housing industry data has turned softer, long-term trends are intact, says Hackel, who - so far - sees little sign lower oil prices are impacting housing in Houston.
Dec. 11, 2014, 8:41 AM
Dec. 10, 2014, 3:53 PM
- "Why 2014 was a pause and flat to 2013 and not improving has been a bit puzzling," says Toll Brothers (TOL -7.6%) management on the earnings call.
- Asked about the impact of tumbling energy prices on markets like Dallas and Houston, management says the company's exposure there is small, with Houston accounting for 3.7% of signed contracts.
- Overall, Toll expects the housing recovery to be "bumpy," and that demand will truly return when buyers no longer fear price drops.
- Previously: Toll Brothers slips on FQ4 miss (Dec. 10, 2014)
- It's a different story (at least for the stock price) with Hovanian (HOV +5.9%) after its earning report today. Management: "It's an understatement to say that the past 12 months have been choppy ... Given the gains we've seen in employment, we would have expected stronger home sales."
- Previously: Hovnanian pops as fiscal 2015 starts off strong (Dec. 10, 2014)
- Other builders today: Ryland (RYL -5.1%), Lennar (LEN -5.3%), Beazer (BZH -5.1%), Pulte (PHM -3.5%), KB Home (KBH -5.1%).
- ETFs: ITB -3.4%, XHB -2.5%
Nov. 17, 2014, 9:34 AM
- The currently-dormant former home of the 49ers and Giants, the "Stick" will be turned into a 500K square-foot "urban outlet" shopping center, courtesy of the current owner of the land, Lennar (NYSE:LEN), and its mall-owner/developer partner, Macerich (NYSE:MAC).
- The project will also include more than 6K homes - both rentals and for-sale.
- Demolition of Candlestick is slated for this winter. New investment and infrastructure over the next few years will top $1B.
- Source: Press release
Nov. 10, 2014, 10:08 AM
- Releasing preliminary FQ4 results ahead of a conference presentation, Toll Brothers reported sizable year-over-year sales gains both in terms of units and dollars. The ASP of homes delivered of $747K was up 6.3% from a year ago. The ASP of signed contracts in FQ4 of $757K was up 5%.
- PulteGroup (PHM +2.6%) is also benefitting from an upgrade to Buy at BofA. Others: Lennar (LEN +2.7%), D.R. Horton (DHI +2.1%), Ryland (RYL +3.1%), Hovnanian (HOV +3.4%), KB Home (KBH +3.1%).
- ETFs: ITB, XHB
Oct. 2, 2014, 4:42 PM
Sep. 17, 2014, 7:14 AM
- Q3 net earnings of $177.8M or $0.78 per share vs. net earnings of $120.7M and $0.54 one year ago.
- Deliveries of 5,457 homes up 9% Y/Y. New orders of 5,889 up 23%; new order dollar value of $1.9B up 28%.
- Backlog of 7,290 homes up 22%; backlog dollar value of $2.5B up 29%.
- Gross margin on home sales of 25.2% up 30 basis points.
- Operating margin on home sales of 14.8% up 10 basis points.
- Lennar Multifamily contributed operating earnings of $8.5M compared to a start-up operating loss of $5.6M. The unit completed its first two sales of apartment properties in Q3, with both producing greater than the targeted 25% ROIC.
- CEO Stuart Miller: "Our core homebuilding business is hitting on all cylinders as we have properly considered and understood the uniqueness of this recovery."
- Conference call at 11 ET
- Previously: Lennar beats by $0.11, beats on revenue
- LEN +4.3% premarket
Sep. 17, 2014, 6:04 AM
Sep. 16, 2014, 5:30 PM
Sep. 9, 2014, 7:39 AM
- Lennar (NYSE:LEN) and D.R. Horton (NYSE:DHI) are upgraded to Overweight, while PulteGroup (NYSE:PHM) is upgraded to Neutral following a near-9% drop YTD.
- Downgrades from Overweight to Neutral: M/I Homes (NYSE:MHO), Meritage Homes (NYSE:MTH). Downgrades from Neutral to Underweight: M.D.C. Holdings (NYSE:MDC) and Standard Pacific (NYSE:SPF).
Sep. 3, 2014, 10:16 AM
- The homebuilders are lower in early action following Toll Brothers beating earnings estimates, but expressing caution on pricing power, and cutting guidance for full-year home deliveries.
- ITB -0.8%, XHB -0.5%.
- Individual names: Hovnanian (HOV -0.9%), Lennar (LEN -1.5%), KB Home (KBH -1.8%), PulteGroup (PHM -1.4%), D.R. Horton (DHI -1.1%), Ryland (RYL -1.5%), NVR (NVR -1.1%), Standard Pacific (SPF -1.1%).
Aug. 19, 2014, 10:31 AM
- A far-faster-than-expected 15.7% gain in housing starts in July has the homebuilders sharply higher. Lenner (LEN +2.6%), Comstock (CHCI +5.8%), Ryland (RYL +2.4%), Hovnanian (HOV +3.2%), D.R. Horton (DHI +2.1%), Toll Bros. (TOL +1.4%), PulteGroup (PHM +1.1%), KB Home (KBH +1.9%).
- Commenting on the number, Bill McBride notes starts in Q1 averaged 925K on a seasonally-adjusted annualized rate, 997K in Q2, and that Q3 appears to be off to a solid start (1.093M in July). By year's end, McBride expects 2014 housing starts to increase by a double-digit pace over a weak 2013.
Jul. 24, 2014, 10:09 AM
- The ITB is lower by 1.5% and the XHB by 0.7% with earlier earnings misses from Pulte (PHM -1.5%) and D.R. Horton (DHI -5%). and just-released disappointing new home sales data weighing. Also reporting this morning was M/I Homes (MHO -3.2%), and that company beat estimates.
- June single-family new home sales of 406K fell 8.1% from May's rate of 442K (which was revised down from 504K). Expectations for June sales were 479K.
- The supply of new homes rises to 5.8 months at June's sales pace from 5.2 months previously.
- Other names: Lennar (LEN -1.6%), Ryland (RYL -2.3%), Standard Pacific (SPF -2%), Hovnanian (HOV -0.9%), Toll Brothers (TOL -2.2%).
Jun. 26, 2014, 12:02 PM
- There is a first-time homebuyer market "waiting to be activated" by access to mortgages, says Lennar (LEN +0.4%) CEO Stuart Miller, speaking on the earnings call. His company, he says, is considering building single-family homes for rent, and how Lennar proceeds will depend on what happens with mortgages.
- Lennar also has a recently started-up multi-family segment and expects to have its first apartment community ready by Q3.
- In other comments, the company is maintaining its goal of delivering 21K-22K homes this year, and management says its ability to raise prices is beginning to slow.
- Previously: Lennar Q2 results fueled by 14% rise in ASP
LEN vs. ETF Alternatives
Lennar Corp is a homebuilder and a provider of financial services. Its homebuilding operations include the construction and sale of single-family attached and detached homes, and to a lesser extent multi-level residential buildings.
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