Jun. 20, 2014, 10:38 AM
- The averages are nudging higher, but not the homebuilder names after Owens Corning cuts 2014 guidance on continued weakness in its roofing business.
- Soft action in Q1 continued through April and May, says the company, which now sees H1 roofing volumes as much as 20% lower than 2013. Owens still expects H2 to be better, but is less confident of that forecast today than it was a few months ago.
- ETFs: ITB -1.3%, XHB -1.2%
- Toll Bros. (TOL -1.6%), TriPointe Homes (TPH -1.3%), Lennar (LEN -1.6%), Ryland (RYL -1.8%), Hovnanian (HOV -0.9%), PulteGroup (PHM -1.2%), D.R. Horton (DHI -0.8%), Standard Pacific (SPF -1.8%)
Jun. 17, 2014, 9:44 AM
- Hit particularly hard in early action are the homebuilders after May housing starts missed expectations, but a fast CPI print has interest rates higher.
- Previously: Treasury prices slip after fast CPI report
- ETFs: ITB -1.1%, XHB -0.7%
- D.R. Horton (DHI -2.3%), KB Home (KBH -1.3%), Ryland (RYL -1.1%), Toll Brothers (TOL -1.2%), Lennar (LEN -0.7%), Hovnanian (HOV -0.7%)
May 28, 2014, 3:01 PM
- Jay McCanless and Annie Worthman at Sterne Agee say without the benefit of a lower tax rate other non-operating boosts, Toll Brothers (TOL +2.1%) would have missed the team's EPS estimate of $0.31 per share. They continue to rate the stock an Underperform with $28 price target.
- The bullish team at MKM Partners note Toll "essentially raised" guidance by boosting the low end of its average expected sale price this year to $690K from $675K. "Given the company’s long build cycle, we suspect that the higher guidance is likely more of a statement on the anticipated mix of closings rather than a signal that prices are being raised more aggressively."
- Amid the big gain by Toll and sharply lower interest rates, some other builders: Hovnanian (HOV +1.7%), Beazer Homes (BZH +1.4%), KB Home (KBH +0.8%), Lennar (LEN +0.2%), PulteGroup (PHM), D.R. Horton (DHI +1.2%).
- ETFs: XHB, ITB, PKB
- Previously: High home prices boost Toll results
- Previously: Toll Brothers beats by $0.09, beats on revenue
Apr. 25, 2014, 4:43 AM
- The amount that lenders originated in mortgage loans plunged 58% on year Q1 to a 14-year low of $235B, almost entirely due to drop in refinancing. The figures are from industry newsletter Inside Mortgage Finance.
- Loans for acquisitions were flat on year and lower than in Q4.
- The trend is the latest indication that increasing interest rates are hampering the housing recovery. The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was 4.5% last week, up from 3.6% in May last year, when rates spiked after the Fed indicated it would scale back its QE program.
- Tickers: DHI, PHM, RYL, MHO, NVR, LEN, SPF, MDC, HOV, TOL ORI, NLY, AGNC, MTGE, ARR, TWO, IVR, CMO, MFA, WMC, FMCC, FNMA, RDN, NMIH, ESNT, GNW
- ETFs/ETNs: ITB, XHB, MORT, MORL, REM, MORT, MORT
Apr. 24, 2014, 1:21 PM
- The iShares DJ U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB +2.7%) gains as earnings roll in from D.R. Horton, PulteGroup, Ryland, and M/I Homes. While PulteGroup saw slowdowns in closings and new orders, but offsetting increases in prices, D.R. Horton reported sales, new orders, and prices all on the rise. DHI is ahead 8%, Pulte 3%, Ryland (RYL +2.2%), M/I Homes (MHO +5.9%).
- The SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB +1.2%) is more of a homebuilding supply play.
- Other builders: NVR (NVR +3.4%), Lennar (LEN +3.5%) Standard Pacific (SPF +2.8%), M.D.C. Holdings (MDC +3.2%), Hovnanian (HOV +2.5%), Toll Bros (TOL +4.2%).
Apr. 23, 2014, 10:19 AM
- The seasonally adjusted new home sales pace of 384K in March is 14.5% below that of February and 13.3% lower than a year ago. It's the slowest pace since July, and 14.5% is the 3rd-largest decline in 20 years. The median sales price of $290K is up 12.6% Y/Y. The supply of new homes on the market is 6 months at the current sales pace, up from 5 months in February.
- Homebuilder ETFs: ITB -1.7%, XHB -1.2%.
- Toll Brothers (TOL -1.6%), Lennar (LEN -1.9%), Hovnanian (HOV -1.5%), Pulte (PHM -1.6%), KB Home (KBH -3.3%), Beazer (BZH -2.4%), Ryland (RYL -2.6%)
- The 10-year Treasury yield dips two basis points to 2.69%. TLT +0.4%, TBT -0.8%
- Full report
Apr. 9, 2014, 4:47 PM
Apr. 8, 2014, 8:04 AM
- Lennar's (LEN) Universal American Mortgage Company buys certain assets of Colorado-based Pinnacle Mortgage Group. Pinnacle will join UAMC's retail mortgage origination operations operating under the Pinnacle name as it transitions to UAMC's brand name, Eagle Home Mortgage.
- UAMC President Jimmy Timmons: "We're excited about the opportunity to grow our presence in California and Colorado through this acquisition which we believe is an excellent cultural fit."
- Press release
Mar. 20, 2014, 7:38 AM
- Lennar's (LEN) net profit rose to $78.1M from $57.5M, with the latest results including a $45.9M tax provision vs a $3.6M tax benefit a year earlier.
- Deliveries +13% to 3,609 homes.
- Average sale price of homes delivered +18% to $316,000.
- New orders +10% to 4,465 homes.
- Backlog +33% to $1.9B.
- Home-building operating profit more than doubled to $160.2M, but financial services earnings fell 72% to $4.5M.
- CEO Stuart Millar is confident about the Lennar's prospects. "We believe that the housing market is still in the early stages of recovery and that our company is uniquely positioned to enhance absorption, increase market share and grow profitability," Miller said.
- Shares are +1.6% premarket. (PR)
Mar. 20, 2014, 6:01 AM
Mar. 20, 2014, 12:05 AM
Mar. 19, 2014, 5:30 PM
Mar. 12, 2014, 9:54 AM
- The homebuilders are under pressure in early action amid another set of downgrades for individual names (Toll Bros., Pulte, Lyons today), and another slowdown in mortgage applications.
- The MBA Mortgage Application Index fell 2.1% last week, with the Purchase Index off 1% on the week and 17% from a year ago.
- Reporting on Credit Suisse's latest monthly agent survey, CNBC's Diana Olick says homebuyer traffic is falling and demand is "underwhelming," but the respondents cite higher rates and home prices, not the weather.
- XHB -1.3%, ITB -1.7%.
- Individual names: Hovnanian (HOV -1%), Lennar (LEN -1.2%) D.R. Horton (DHI -1.3%), Ryland (RYL -1.5%), KB Home (KBH -1.9%), Standard Pacific (SPF -1.5%), MDC Holdings (MDC -1.9%).
Mar. 5, 2014, 10:46 AM
- A check of the homebuilders following Hovnanian's big earnings miss and slowdown in closings (HOV now down 6.6%): NVR (NVR -1.5%), D.R. Horton (DHI -1.1%), KB Home (KBH -1.8%), Pulte (PHM -0.8%), Ryland (RYL -1.5%), Toll Bros. (TOL -0.3%), Lennar (LEN -1%).
- So what's the SPDR Homebuilders ETF (XHB +0.1%) doing in the green? The ETF has a heavy weighting to those tangential to the homebuilding industry - retail home improvement, building suppliers. More of a pure-play homebuilder fund is the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB -0.8%).
Mar. 4, 2014, 10:54 AM
- Home prices rose 0.9% in January from the previous month and 12% from a year ago, according to CoreLogic, the 23rd consecutive month of Y/Y increases. Excluding distressed sales, home prices rose 9.8% from last year.
- The group's pending indicator shows prices are set to rise 0.7% in February and 12.5% from a year ago. Chief economist Mark Fleming: "The last time January month-over-month and year-over-year price appreciation was this strong was at the height of the housing bubble in 2006."
- A check of the homebuilders: XHB +1.3%, ITB +1.3%.
- In other news, KeyCorp cashes in on Lennar (LEN), cutting the stock to Hold from Buy, and boosts PulteGroup (PHM +0.6%) to a Buy from Hold.
Feb. 26, 2014, 10:34 AM
- Brutal winter weather has been the excuse for a long string of weak economic stats this year, but not January New Home Sales, which surged 9.6% from December to a seasonally adjusted annualized pace of 468K - a 5-year high. Expectations were for a drop to 400K. December sales were revised higher from 414K to 427K.
- The median sales price rose 3.4% Y/Y to $260,100.
- The Northeast led the way with a 73.7 jump. Sales climbed 11% in the West, and 10.4% in the South. In the MidWest, they dropped 17.2%.
- Full report
- The homebuilders cheer. ETFs: XHB +1.9%, ITB +2.2%. Individual names: TOL +1.8%, HOV +2%, RYL +2.9%, KBH +2.5%, LEN +2.7%, PHM +2.3%.
LEN vs. ETF Alternatives
Lennar Corp is a homebuilder and a provider of financial services. Its homebuilding operations include the construction and sale of single-family attached and detached homes, and to a lesser extent multi-level residential buildings.
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