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First Half Of Lionsgate's 'Hunger Games' Finale Outperforms Competition, But Not Prior Installments
- ‘The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1’ will easily win the weekend with a $123 million gross, but that’s less than the $150 million plus earned by prior films.
- While ‘Mockingjay - Part 1’ did under-perform domestically, overseas it was up 4% over previous installment ‘Hunger Games: Catching Fire’.
- A major factor in the film’s lower debut is ‘Interstellar’ having a lock on IMAX screens which had previously helped earlier editions rake up additional revenue.
Lionsgate Poised To Win Big With First Part Of 'Hunger Games' Finale
- Liosngate had a rough year at the box office, but its two biggest hits will more than make up for its flops.
- ‘The Hunger Games: Mocking jay – Part 1’ is poised to become the biggest film opener of the year and the biggest ever for the month of November.
- Lionsgate had a strong group of subsidiaries underneath it that help support the company when the studio releases don’t perform to expectations.
- Shares of Lions Gate rose after the company reported revenue and earnings that handily topped analysts' expectations.
- This confirms my opinion that the company could see attractive prospects moving forward, especially with a large movie slate, but does not change my opinion that the shares look pretty expensive.
- The only downside other than price, it seems, is that the company still brings with it plenty of risks; risks that Disney doesn't have to deal with much anymore.
Despite Strong Growth, Lions Gate Entertainment Is No Value Play
- For the quarter, analysts expect Lions Gate Entertainment to report an increase in sales and profits for the quarter.
- Combine these expectations with the fact that the company's performance in recent years has been impressive and it should make for a good prospect.
- However, investors should keep in mind that shares do look pretty pricey right now, which indicates that it's not a stock that value investors will likely find appealing.
Pros And Cons On Alibaba's Potential Big Stake In Lions Gate
- Alibaba buying a huge stake in Lions Gate could open up the floodgates in China.
- If that's how it plays out, keeping the current management team of Lions Gate in place is essential for long-term success.
- It wouldn't change the need for Lions Gate to introduce new franchises that have the potential to be blockbusters.
What The Upcoming 'Twilight' Short Films Will Do For Lionsgate, Facebook
- Lionsgate makes deal with Twilight author Stephenie Meyer for five short films to be played on Facebook.
- Short-form film may be the digital holy grail of the future, and Lionsgate has plenty of franchises to extend its brand and generate significant digital revenue.
- Facebook may be entering a long-term strategy to build up a premium video catalog to attract high-value ad dollars.
- Over the weekend, "The Expendables 3" reported poor box office results, coming in behind two incumbent films and another new release.
- Despite the fact that its predecessor films have been a success, this performance by the third film in the trilogy suggests that "The Expendables" may have run its course.
- Moving forward, it will be interesting to see what the fallout is from these results, but with a dour opening weekend, investors shouldn't expect much.
Lionsgate: 'Expendables 3' Coming To Theaters At Right Time For Studio
- 'The Expendables' franchise launched in 2010 and has so far made over $550 million worldwide.
- While the first sequel made less money domestically, it made more money internationally and still represents a very bankable franchise for Lionsgate.
- Aside from 'Divergent,' Lionsgate has not had a hugely successful movie launch so far this year.
- Lionsgate has three top grossing active franchises in its roster including 'The Hunger Games,' 'Divergent' and 'The Expendables.
- Lionsgate also has a thriving TV side that includes mega-hits 'Mad Men' and 'Orange Is The New Black.'.
After An Interesting Quarter, Is Lions Gate Better Than Disney?
- Lions Gate Entertainment posted strong earnings for the quarter, handily outperforming expectations, but its revenue came in far lower than expected.
- Despite this poor top line performance, Lions Gate's revenue has grown far more rapidly than Disney's Studio Entertainment segment lately.
- In light of these disparities, Lions Gate appears, at first glance, to be better than Disney, but investors cannot forget the most important thing; profitability.
- Lions Gate reported mixed quarterly results with better profits but lower revenue.
- 2014 has been a rough year at the box office, and it has only had one film pass $30 million domestically.
- The Hunger Games has been a massive success, but Lions Gate doesn't have a similar franchise in the pipeline.
- Based on a sum of the parts analysis, Lions Gate should trade closer to $25, and investors should sell here.
- Lions Gate reports earnings on Thursday 7 August 2014.
- The company is developing new revenue streams that show promise while carefully nurturing its massive franchises.
- Lions Gate stock looks attractive after beginning to recover from a 50% retrace of its epic run higher.
- Analysts expect LGF to earn $0.16/share in terms of EPS when the company announces its FQ1 results during the week of August 4.
- If LGF can demonstrate a steady increase in its adjusted net income, then it should have no problem exceeding earnings estimates during the second quarter.
- Recent trend behavior could improve during the second half of the year if LGF can meet and/or exceed analysts' earnings expectations for the upcoming quarter.
- Why the most recent earnings report of LGF is not indicative of the health and long-term performance of the company.
- What the real competitive advantage of Lionsgate is, and why it's a powerful moat.
- The market is underrating its TV unit because of focus on film slate.
Could Theme Parks And Video Games Provide A Lift For Lions Gate Entertainment?
- Lions Gate Entertainment has strong assets that could see demand as theme park rides and attractions.
- Lions Gate partners with Kabam, which has had success with games based on movies before.
- Shares are down 30% from 52-week highs and offer good buying point.
Lions Gate - Revenue Stabilization Required To Halt The Correction
- Investors wonder what will drive future topline growth.
- Despite a sizable correction, shares are still pricey after strong momentum in 2013.
- I will await better entry opportunities before jumping onboard.
Lions Gate Boosts Lineup With Power Rangers Franchise And America Documentary
- Divergent box office has sent shares down to attractive levels.
- The addition of Power Rangers adds to an impressive lineup of potential franchises.
- Controversial documentary could be a box office surprise and help boost revenue and profits.
- Lions Gate's Divergent received horrid critical reviews dropping weekend revenue estimates into the $50 million range.
- The lowered expectations battered LGF shares on Friday. Options expiration worsened the damage, ultimately leading to an 8% bloodbath.
- Viewer reviews defied the critics, leading to a strong Saturday showing and turning a LGF's PR nightmare into an opening weekend victory.
Lions Gate Entertainment: Expect A Strong Rebound Next Week As Divergent's First Weekend Numbers Come In
- Lions Gate Entertainment's shares dropped 13.7% last week.
- The company's latest production Divergent faced mixed critics.
- Divergent earned $22.8 million and dominated box office sales on Friday.
- Audience received the movie very well, 7:1 positive/negative response ratio.
- Lions Gate's shares should rebound strongly next week, after last week's sell-off.
Wed, Dec. 24, 8:10 AM
- Media analysts expect an announcement shortly from Sony Pictures (NYSE:SNE) on how it plans to distribute The Interview online.
- The options for the movie studio are plentiful - including using a powerhouse tech outlet such as Google (via Google Play or YouTube), Apple, or Netflix.
- Sony-owned Crackle is also an option as is a deal with a pay-TV operator.
- What to watch: A successful online launch of the film could have some wider implications for movie studios (LGF, VIAB, VIA, TWX, DIS, FOXA) and theater chains (RGC, CKEC, AMC, CNK) with the industry's mainstream distribution model showing some signs of cracking.
Wed, Dec. 17, 3:23 AM
- Newly leaked emails reveal that Lions Gate (NYSE:LGF) execs tried to meet with Sony (NYSE:SNE) CEO Kazuo Hirai last summer to discuss a possible merger or acquisition.
- Hirai eventually declined a meeting although he expressed interest in possible cooperation on operational matters, Reuters reports.
- Meanwhile, Sony is facing an ugly dilemma of whether to cave into hacker demands and pull The Interview from theaters, or to forge ahead, risking possible violence and potential legal liability. It has told theaters they can decide.
Tue, Dec. 16, 1:47 PM
- The Hobbit: The Battle of Five Armies opened in many international markets last weekend with an impressive $122.2M haul.
- The Warner Bros. (NYSE:TWX) film had strong openings in Germany, France, and Brazil ahead of the U.S. debut scheduled for this weekend.
- The Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Part 1 is up over $334M globally for Lions Gate (NYSE:LGF) with China and Japan still untapped.
- Interstellar from Paramount (VIA, VIAB) became only the 4th film ever to top $100M at IMAX (NYSE:IMAX) theaters.
Mon, Dec. 15, 4:21 PM
Thu, Dec. 11, 2:28 PM
- Nielsen reports that so-called digitals, what the company calls consumers aged between 12 and 24, saw 7.1 movies in theaters this year - compared to the 8.4 movies the group saw the previous year.
- Moviegoers between the ages of 25 and 44 increased the number of theater trips this year to 8.1 from 7.7 in 2013.
- No great surprise, but digitals increased the amount of content they streamed this year, including more full-length movies.
- Perhaps of interest to studios (LGF, SNE, CMCSA, TWX, FOXA, DIS), a majority of digitals say they trust trailers and the opinions of friends over movie commercials aired on TV.
- Full Nielsen report
- Theater stocks: CKEC, AMC, CNK, RLD, IMAX, RDI, MCS.
Thu, Dec. 4, 3:42 PM
- The Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Part 1 passed the $500M global box office mark this week on strong legs in key markets.
- Though an opening weekend "miss" for Mockingjay in the U.S. grabbed some headlines and hit shares of Lions Gate (LGF -0.9%), the movie is making up some ground as it takes aim at the $864M global box from Catching Fire.
Thu, Dec. 4, 9:54 AM| 1 Comment
Tue, Dec. 2, 7:36 AM
- A statement from Dalian Wanda CEO Wang Jianlin indicates just how serious the Chinese conglomerate is about buying a movie studio.
- "China's movie industry is booming at unprecedented speed. Buying a well-known U.S. company will help our distribution overseas."
- Dalian Wanda has had recent talks with Lions Gate (NYSE:LGF) about an acquisition and shown an interest in Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer.
Mon, Dec. 1, 9:11 AM
- The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1 took in $56.9M in the U.S. over the Thanksgiving weekend to easily top new competitors.
- The Lions Gate (NYSE:LGF) film is now over $123M globally.
- Penguins of Madagascar debuted in the U.S. with $25.8M for producer DreamWorks Animation (NASDAQ:DWA) and distributor Fox. The disappointing response has hit shares of DWA in early trading.
- DWA -7.1% premarket.
Mon, Dec. 1, 6:49 AM| Comment!
Sun, Nov. 23, 8:47 PM
- Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Part 1 earned $123M in the U.S. and $275M globally in its opening weekend, according to estimates from Rentrak.
- Though the third Hunger Games installment had the strongest debut of the year in the U.S., the movie fell short of the +$150M openings of the first two HG films.
- Mockingjay's strong showing in key international territories helped make up for the U.S. shortfall.
- Shares of Lions Gate (NYSE:LGF) fell 5.0% Friday as Thursday night's tally for Mockingjay tipped off a sub-$150M weekend.
- Interstellar showed some strong legs as buzz remained strong for the sci-fi mind-bender. The Paramount (VIA, VIAB) film got a boost as it stayed in most IMAX (NYSE:IMAX) theaters even with Katniss Everdeen unleashed.
Sun, Nov. 23, 8:20 PM
- Starz (NASDAQ:STRZA) is talking to media companies about a buyout in the $5B range, according to the New York Post.
- The target deal price is a lush 46% premium over the current market cap on Starz.
- CBS (NYSE:CBS) and Lions Gate (NYSE:LGF) have both shown an interest, say sources.
- If an outright sale isn't worked out, a strategic partnership could also be in the works as Starz looks to edge into the streaming world
Fri, Nov. 21, 8:38 AM
- Shares of Lions Gate (NYSE:LGF) are higher in premarket action to inch close to a 52-week high.
- Expectations are that Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1 will bring in $150M this weekend to end up a bit short of the $158M that Hunger Games: Catching Fire took in last November. The total global box for the third installment of the series is expected to fall in the $850M-$1B range.
- Mockingjay reviews: Rolling Stone, Washington Post, The Seattle Times, FilmsSchoolRejects.com
- The big picture on LGF: A second act for Lions Gate after Hunger Games?
- LGF +1.6% premarket to $35.60.
Thu, Nov. 20, 9:43 AM
- The upcoming premiere of The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2 has stoked fresh debate over Lions Gate (LGF -0.7%) with two distinct investor camps setting up.
- Why to cash out: The history of the Hunger Games trade has been a run-up to the film's opening and then a tailing off as box office numbers are delivered. Valuation on the pure-play studio stock is also in question.
- Why to stay long/buy: TV production is a larger part of the story at Lions Gate and helps to smooth out earnings. Despite the HG franchise being scheduled to wind up next November - prequels, theme parks, Broadway shows, and streaming rights could keep the cash juggernaut rolling. There's also the Alibaba factor.
- Mockingjay reviews: Rolling Stone, Washington Post, The Seattle Times, FilmsSchoolRejects.com
Tue, Nov. 18, 9:41 PM
- Nielsen (NYSE:NLSN) will begin tracking TV viewership on online subscription services in December, sources tell the WSJ.
- The technology used by Nielsen to derive the ratings measurements won't require any cooperation from streamers such as Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) or Amazon Prime (NASDAQ:AMZN).
- The development could help content owners compute the impact of licensing their programming and prevent them from having to negotiate in the dark.
- Related stocks: TWX, AMCX, CBS, CMCSA, DIS, FOXA, SNE, LGF, VIA, VIAB, RENT.
Tue, Nov. 18, 10:00 AM
- Lions Gate (LGF) is on the radar of analysts and traders with the next Hunger Games film set to debut on Friday.
- Global box office projections for The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1 range from $850M to $1B.
- B. Riley and S&P Capital IQ have both backed their Buy ratings on the movie studio stock in advance of the premiere.
- Shares of LGF have been volatile lately, due in a large part to ongoing M&A speculation within the media sector.
LGF vs. ETF Alternatives
Lions Gate Entertainment Corp is an entertainment company with a presence in motion picture production & distribution, television programming & syndication, home entertainment, new channel platforms & international distribution & sales.
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