Cable stock frenzy: Shares of Time Warner Cable (TWC +7.8%) spike higher off of a Bloomberg headline indicating Liberty Media (LMCA +2.5%) is interesting in making a bid. Cablevision (CVC +7.8%) and Charter Communications (CHTR +5.9%) are also on the move.
Evercore Partners thinks Time Warner Cable (TWC +4.6%) could land a hefty premium in a merger with Charter Communications. Talks between Liberty Media (LMCA +1.5%) - which holds 27% of Charter - and Time Warner Cable were reported two weeks ago.
Sirius XM Radio (SIRI, LMCA) is on the radar of some investors with estimates on automobile sales being lifted slightly higher by industry analysts to give Sirius even more upside potential. Last week, the company struck a deal with Ford to equip all vehicles from the automaker with the MySXM and SiriusXM On Demand features of SiriusXM Internet Radio. Despite the presence of new heavyweight Internet radio players, Sirius is still well-positioned.
Deutsche Bank's Doug Mitchelson doesn't think Charter Communications (CHTR +1.6%) and Time Warner Cable (TWC -2.1%) can complete a deal that would pay TWC shareholders in the $110-$125 range. Instead, the analyst believes TWC shareholders would have to receive a price closer to $146 in order to satisfy the board. Also in the mix is Liberty Media (LMCA +0.7%) with its 27% stake in Charter.
Shares of Sirius XM Radio (SIRI, LMCA) turn lower, now down 2.3%, as more details on the iTunes radio are unveiled. The Apple service will be integrated into some new cars which could cut into subscriptions totals for Sirius.
More on Sirius XM Radio (SIRI): The company says its total paid subscriber base increased 9% Y/Y to reach 24.4M as the resurgence of the U.S. automobile industry helps bring in first-time subscribers. Subscriber acquisition costs per gross addition declined during the period. At the end of the quarter, free cash flow stood at $142M. Guidance for 2013 is for total net subscriber adds of 1.4M and revenue of over $3.7B. SIRI +1.0% premarket. (PR)
Liberty Media's (LMCA -0.8%) string of high-profile deals (Starz, Sirius XM Radio, Barnes & Noble, Charter) might not be done just yet, according to media industry insiders. The company still has up to $1B in non-core portfolio assets it could sell off and it isn't against the idea of borrowing more to make another key acquisition.
Sirius XM Radio (SIRI) names Liberty Media (LMCA) CEO Greg Maffei as its new chairman to replace Eddy Hartenstein. The company fell under the control of Liberty Media in January after the media concern's stake rose to over 50%.
More on the Charter Communications (CHTR) - Liberty Media (LMCA) deal: Even with four board seats and a sizable stake, analysts thinks the end game for Liberty Media is complete control and a potential merger/spinoff scenario. The deal could have a long-term impact for either Time Warner Cable (TWC) or Cablevision (CVC) and also brings in some interesting possibilities for Sirius XM Radio (SIRI).
Deal on: Liberty Media (LMCA) will take a 27.3% stake in Charter Communications (CHTR) by paying $95.50 per share for a deal price of $2.617B if board approval is granted. As part of the proposed deal, Liberty will nab four spots on Charter's board. (Previous CHTR-LMCA: I, II)
More on Liberty Media (LMCA) - Charter (CHTR) deal: Liberty is reportedly close to agreeing to a deal to buy a 25% stake in Charter for $2.5B from private-equity firms, including Apollo (APO). The move would mark John Malone's return as a major force in U.S. cable TV after he sold Tele-Communications to AT&T for $48B in 1999, and would add to large international acquisitions.