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ELEMENTS S&P Commodity Trends Indicator ETN (LSC)

- NYSEARCA
  • Sep. 26, 2013, 12:57 PM
    • "Striking," to McKinsey, is how well commodity prices have held up despite the sluggish economy. The group notes despite recent falls, prices remain around the levels of early to mid-2008 - just prior to the global financial crisis hitting.
    • Pimco - on the other hand - isn't calling for a price crash, but says the double-digit annual growth from the late 1990s up to the financial crisis isn't returning. Returns though, may still be positive going forward.
    • Broad commodity ETFs: DJP, GSP, LSC, RJI, GSC, GCC, GSG, DBC, DPU, DJCI, UCI, USCI, DYY, UCD, DEE, CMD, DDP, RGRC, CTF, CFD CSCR, CSCB.
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  • Sep. 12, 2013, 7:48 AM
    • The gathering pace of infrastructure projects and consumers' need to restock will fuel a rebound in China's commodity usage through the end of the year, says Goldman. "People are getting more positive, but they’re not super bullish, not yet,” said Goldman's Julian Zhu. “You’re going to see further upside. If you look at the early indicators in September; it seems like the overall economic activity is picking up."
    • Steel prices in particular are expected to be stronger, says Zhu. Re-bar futures in Shanghai closed at $3,713 per metric ton last night, continuing a 3-month run of higher prices, the longest streak since 2010/11.
    • Broad commodity ETFs: DJP, GSP, LSC, RJI, GSC, GCC, GSG, DBC, DPU, DJCI, UCI, USCI, DYY, UCD, DEE, CMD, DDP, RGRC, CTF, CFD CSCR, CSCB.
    • Broad base metal ETFs: JJM, RJZ, BDG, DBB, UBM, BDD, BOM, BOS, USMI, RGRI.
    • Steel: SLX.
    | Comment!
  • Aug. 21, 2013, 11:17 AM
    • Up and trading is the iShares DJ-UBS Roll Select Commodity Index Trust (CMDT), a commodity ETF aimed at negating the negative roll associated with owning futures contracts when markets are in contango.
    • A market in contango has later-dated contracts more expensive than near-term ones, making the rolling over of expiring contracts a costly process. Markets in "backwardation" have later-dated contracts less expensive than near-term ones, and the roll can add to a fund's performance. CMDT selects those contracts exhibiting the least contango or most backwardation.
    • One competing fund, USCI, has outperformed the DBC by 150 bps this year.
    • Broad commodity ETFs: DJP, GSP, LSC, RJI, GSC, GCC, GSG, DBC, DPU, DJCI, UCI, USCI, DYY, UCD, DEE, CMD, DDP, RGRC, CTF, CFD CSCR, CSCB.
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  • Aug. 15, 2013, 4:38 PM
    • Rising rates, the decline in stocks, and escalating violence in Egypt provided no bid for the greenback which fell across the board today.
    • The dollar (UUP -0.7%) lost more than 1% against the Swiss franc (FXF +1%) and nearly 1% vs. the yen (FXY +0.8%) and cable (FXB +0.9%). The euro (FXE +0.7%) gained nearly three quarters of one percent.
    • Typically the first to sell off when markets get a bit panicky, even the loonie (FXC +0.2%) and the aussie (FXA) picked up ground against the U.S. unit.
    • A reason? Maybe the commodity sector (DBC +1%) - it was notably strong with metals, energy, and the grains all higher.
    • Related dollar ETFs: UUPT, UDN, UDNT.
    • Broad commodity ETFs: DJP, GSP, LSC, RJI, GSC, GCC, GSG, DBC, DPU, DJCI, UCI, USCI, DYY, UCD, DEE, CMD, DDP, RGRC, CTF, CFD CSCR, CSCB.
    | 3 Comments
  • Jul. 1, 2013, 9:30 AM
    JPMorgan recommends getting overweight commodities (DBC) for the first time in 2 years, but warns the call isn't an "all-clear" signal, but instead a view on term structure in energy, which dominates most indices. Momentum is still negative in metals but prices - particularly for gold and copper - are at levels which should spur production cuts and fresh demand.
    | 1 Comment
  • Jun. 18, 2013, 8:54 AM
    "The biggest contrarian play in the market today is assets linked to China (FXI, CAF)," says Michael Hartnett, summarizing BAML's latest Fund Manager Survey, which shows money flowing out of commodities (DBC) and emerging markets (EEM, DEM, VWO). Where's the money going? The eurozone and the U.S. Where it's not going is fixed-income (AGG, BND) - 50% of managers say they're now underweight bonds as opposed to 38% last month.
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  • May. 8, 2013, 2:52 PM
    The recent selloff in commodities (DBC) is not a correction, says Stan Druckenmiller, now on stage at Ira Sohn, but instead the end of the supercycle. Avoid commodity markets - Brazil (EWZ, BRF, BRL), South Africa (EZA, SZR), Canada (EWC, FXC). "Frankly, I'd short the aussie (FXA)." His largest equity holding? "I can't imagine a better position than Google (GOOG)" - selling for 16x earnings and no exposure to China.
    | 4 Comments
  • May. 6, 2013, 8:31 AM
    The commodity boom (DBC) is over, writes Morgan Stanley global macro chief Ruchir Sharma, as massive overinvestment - mostly to feed China's voracious demand - comes online just at the time said demand becomes considerably less voracious. Not only are China and emerging markets in general slowing, but the countries are striving to become more efficient (USO) as well. "If historical pattern holds, we are now entering a long period of falling commodity prices, which could last two decades."
    | 2 Comments
  • May. 1, 2013, 10:41 AM
    Commodities are lit up bright red as weak economic data (here and in China) is a good excuse to end the bounce of the last few sessions. Gold (GLD -1.8%), Silver (SLV -3.6%), WTI Crude (USO -2.6%). Copper (JJC -3.3%) moves to its lowest level in about 18 months at $3.08/lb. The metal hasn't had a 2-handle since the start of 2011. Broad commodity gauge (DBC -1.8%).
    | 5 Comments
  • Apr. 26, 2013, 7:50 PM
    BlackRock announced it will liquidate the iShares Diversified Alternatives Trust (ALT) next month. "Based on the review and client feedback, it appears this product has a limited role in today’s investment portfolios, and we have seen little long-term demand," said Patrick Dunne, head of Global Markets and Investments for BlackRock. This will be the first closure for an iShares ETF since 2002.
    | 2 Comments
  • Apr. 12, 2013, 3:01 PM
    It's "death bells" for commodities, says Citigroup, calling 2013 the year in which it's realized the commodity supercycle is over and a new era in which the relative performance of how "stuff" performs against each other and other assets is what matters. Specifically on oil, Citi calls Q1's move higher without merit and expects the recent downtick in prices to continue.
    | 70 Comments
  • Mar. 11, 2013, 8:24 AM
    Speculators cut net long positions in commodity contacts by 9.2% last week, according to CFTC data. At 406K contracts, it's the lowest net long position since the epic March 2009 bottom. Not surprisingly, the positioning is following the trend in commodity prices, which have tumbled over the past few weeks. Goldman last week: Buy the dip. DBC thus far this year.
    | 3 Comments
  • Mar. 8, 2013, 7:06 AM
    Buy the dip in commodities, says Goldman, raising its 3-month outlook for raw materials after the recent price dip. "The recent selloff in commodities on worries about Chinese growth is overdone in our view and we upgrade to overweight on a 3-month horizon," says the bank's commodities research chief. DBC -2.4% YTD.
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  • Feb. 20, 2013, 11:28 AM
    Non-agricultural commodities sell off sharply across the board. GLD -1.4%, SLV -2.3%, USO -2%, JJC -1.1%. Lumber futures -2.5%. Chatter circulates of a troubled hedge fund being forced to exit. Broad commodity ETF: DBC -0.9%.
    | 10 Comments
  • Feb. 6, 2013, 11:36 AM
    Institutional investors pull back from commodity bets as the sector fails to deliver on its key appeal as an effective hedge against volatile stocks. Influential Calpers - which led the way into commodities a decade ago - leads the way out, pulling 55% of its holdings after years of losses. DBC flat Y/Y.
    | 2 Comments
  • Jan. 30, 2013, 11:10 AM
    This just in, commodity prices are falling, writes technician Michael Kahn. The CRB index is lower now than when the Fed launched QE∞ in September, and down 18% over a roughly 2-year period. Though still in tight supply, the grains (JJG) are off 16% since late summer, and softs like coffee, sugar, and cocoa are in multi-month bear markets.
    | 4 Comments
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LSC Description
CTI ELEMENTS are designed to track the performance of the S&P Commodity Trends Indicator - Total Return. The index is comprised of 16 commodity futures contracts divided among six commodity sectors. The Index is designed to capture trends within commodity markets by setting its sector groupings long or short each month based on price signals.
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