MCHI: iShares MSCI China Index ETF Market Currents

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Friday, May 17, 7:16 AM Shanghai (FXI, CAF) completes its biggest week in 4 months, up 1.4% overnight as the government slashes red tape for certain investment projects. A total of 117 "approval items" - including gas fields, airports, and paper pulp - can now move forward without getting an "Ok" from Beijing. Comment! [Global & FX]
Tuesday, May 14, 7:39 AM China's Q2 GDP growth forecast is cut to 7.8% from 8% at JPMorgan, which also reduces its full-year estimate to 7.6% from 7.8%. There's no indication the government's policy stance will be shifted quickly to support near-term growth, says the bank. Slash rates? Can't do it, says a state economist, thanks to an already abundant pool of global liquidity. Shanghai (FXI, CAF) fell 1.1% overnight. 1 Comment [Global & FX]
Monday, April 29, 8:00 AM Chinese industrial company profit growth slowed to 5.3% Y/Y in March, down from a 17.2% pace in the year's first two months. For the quarter as a whole, profits rose 12.1% - roughly inline with sales, meaning flat margins. "With problems of overcapacity and the sluggish global picture, it doesn't bode well," says RBS' chief China economist Louis Kuijs. Shanghai (FXI, CAF) closed overnight. 2 Comments [Global & FX]
Tuesday, April 23, 5:32 AM Shares in China lead Asian stocks lower after HSBC's PMI survey for the country falls more than expected. Japan -0.3%, Hong Kong -1.1%, China -2.6%, India -0.3% to 19107. Comment! [Global & FX, Top Stories, On the Move]
Monday, April 22, 4:35 PM Jim Chanos isn't backing off, laying out his bearish case on China in a new presentation entitled, China: The Edifice Complex. The arguments aren't new to anyone who's been following along: Property bubble, diminishing returns on the capital investment boom, and massive corruption at both the government and corporate levels. Priced in? China A Shares (CAF) fell years ago and they haven't gotten up. 4 Comments [Global & FX]
Friday, April 19, 9:18 AM Shanghai posted its biggest gain in a month, +2.1% as regulators look to lure more money into stocks, mulling plans to allow A shares to be added to well-known international indexes, including the MSCI Emerging Markets Index (EEM, VWO). FXI +2.9%, Morgan Stanley China A Share Fund (CAF) +5% premarket. 1 Comment [Global & FX, On the Move]
Tuesday, April 16, 1:05 PM China's local government debt is "out of control," says Zhang Ke, head of a top Chinese accounting firm, and it could spark a bigger crisis than the U.S. property crash. He says his firm has mostly exited from the business of underwriting local government bond issues as the municipalities cannot service the debt they are taking on. "Things could become very serious." 8 Comments [Global & FX]
Tuesday, April 16, 11:36 AM China's big miss on Q1 GDP might show the country nearing its "Pettis Moment" in which the country's growth must slow as the economy shifts reliance from investment to consumption. JPMorgan's Jing Ulrich says over-investment is responsible for the "sub-par economic expansion" and likely a key factor in the poor performance of Chinese stocks. A chart of CAF vs. the S&P since the 2009 bottom. Comment! [Global & FX]
Monday, April 8, 7:40 AM Shanghai carves out a new 2013 low, sliding 0.6% overnight with property developers leading the way as Beijing increases to 70% the minimum downpayment for 2nd homes. Airlines slumped and one pharmaceutical company soared in response to the bird flu outbreak. FXI -0.7% premarket, now -11.9% YTD. 3 Comments [Global & FX]
Friday, April 5, 9:46 AM The iShares FTSE China 25 Index (FXI) gets an upgrade, if you ask Dennis Hudachek, making changes allowing it to own sectors to which it previously had no exposure - fairly significant for a fund owning just 25 names. Though maybe the most popular China ETF, FXI has been notable for its underperformance vs. the Shanghai Composite. Also affected wil be sister fund FCHI. 1 Comment [Global & FX]
Thursday, March 28, 7:46 AM The China 25 Index ETF (FXI) falls 1.5% premarket as Beijing moves to break up the opacity of the shadow banking system with regulators demanding non-traditional wealth-management products be clearly linked to specific assets. Seems prudent. Citic Bank -6.8%, Minsheng Banking -7.9%. Banking ETF (CHIX) -6.1% YTD. 6 Comments [Global & FX, Financials]
Tuesday, March 26, 8:23 AM Bank of China and Ag Bank last night joined Construction Bank in reporting a slowing profit increase in 2012, with Ag Bank President Zhang Yun warning growth may slow further this year. "Chinese banks' high-growth rates of the past aren't sustainable," says an analyst, expecting a small rebound in earnings, but only if markets improve. Shanghai fell 1.2% overnight, but FXI - which often goes its own way - gains 0.8% premarket. Comment! [Financials]
Wednesday, March 20, 7:09 AM Shanghai rises 2.6% with Tom DeMark predicting shares are about to pull out of their slump and resume the rally that began late last year. The famed technician - who correctly called the current correction - describes the current level as a "low-risk entry zone," and says shares could rise 28% by summer's end. FXI +2.2% premarket. 1 Comment [Global & FX]
Tuesday, March 19, 11:01 AM More on the BAML survey: Just 14% of respondents expect the Chinese economy to be stronger a year from now, representing "one of the sharpest falls in this reading in the survey's history." The thinking is behind a shift out of emerging equity markets (EEM. DEM, VWO) and into developed - notably the U.S. and Japan. It also coincides with a sharp correction in Chinese stocks (FXI, CAF) over the last month. 1 Comment [Global & FX]
Monday, March 18, 7:50 AM Also shaking Chinese markets is the departure of Guo Shuqing as head of the China's markets regulator, the Securities Regulatory Commission. Guo was seen as a reformer and one who pushed to open up the brokerage sector. He's succeeded by the Bank of China's Xiao Gang, who it's hoped will continue with reforms. Citic Securities fell 2.1% overnight. Comment! [Global & FX]
Monday, March 18, 7:33 AM "Growth momentum is now slowing with policy responses constrained; a nasty combination," writes JPMorgan's Adrian Mowat, downgrading Chinese shares to underweight. Shanghai fell 1.7% overnight, putting its decline at about 8% over the last month. FXI -1.4% premarket. 2 Comments [Global & FX]

MCHI iShares MSCI China Index ETF

MCHI

iShares MSCI China Index ETF