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Can the Dow and S&P Last 15 Rounds? [view article]
Those high dividend rates look tempting but there is also considerable danger. I have traded these things for years. First of all, the stock value WILL float up and down with the tide which is most certainly going out. There is little evidence that the dividend rate will positively affect the stock price.Second, in this extremely volatile and fickle commodities market, it is impossible to count on the dividend rate staying high. The dividends will fluctuate along with the price of crude. When dividend cuts occur, as they must, investors will run like lemmings off the cliff and drastically cut the share price.
Third, no one knows what will happen as we get closer to the Can. tax gouge that is scheduled for 2011. It is impossible to tell when investors will start pulling out (if this is not already happening).
There are many uncertainties and it makes no sense to get a hefty dividend if it is all lost in share prices. Maybe when this very erratic and confused market stabilizes it will be possible to trust the trusts will provide a decent overall return. There is an old and mostly forgotten investing principle which still holds true for high yields like these: RISK=REWARD. Reply
Can the Dow and S&P Last 15 Rounds? [view article]
“economies are like ocean liners, geez, anyone seen the Titanic lately? ReplyCan the Dow and S&P Last 15 Rounds? [view article]
Thanks, everyone. I really appreciate your comments. Very helpful. ReplyCan the Dow and S&P Last 15 Rounds? [view article]
rubbish article. Suggesting SDS now is a bad idea. all such articles will go away within a week after there is a 5% run on all indices. The best thing is to stay away from oil unless you are playing with other people's money. Buy some Tips, and slowly add equities to your portfolio, how is it possible for everyone to be able to buy at the bottom. No one knows the bottom, not even Goldman Sachs. Buying some Gold for a 5 year tenure is also an excellent idea. Stay away from other metals and commodities as well. Agriculture is also a good bet. ReplyCan the Dow and S&P Last 15 Rounds? [view article]
Someone tried to make a case that one of my favorite CanRoys had a PayOut last quarter that exceeded 100% of its earnings. This was true if you took into account Non-Cash write downs. On an Operational Basis, the payout was 73%. But Hey, do your own Homework.Most people here will push stocks they like and pan the ones they don't. It is human nature to do so.
I will do the same, but I like to look not only at fundamentals but Insider Activity and Technical Analysis. And I have even cut off my nose to spite my face because I felt everyone else was wrong and I alone was right.
As for PWE and all of its backers, I wish all of you to buy it and drive its price above $40 so I can get out at the level I was stupid enough to stay in. Reply
Can the Dow and S&P Last 15 Rounds? [view article]
Wait for PWE to come up with another excuse not to raise its dividend, it is already down around 10% as are its bretheren in the past month in the face of ever rising oil prices.PWE around 28 would be a decent entry point.
Reply
Hottinger
Can the Dow and S&P Last 15 Rounds? [view article]
For GeoRealist:Most of these canroys are hedged, some better than others.
I do think that HTE and PWE hedges are some of the best, and this will protect their divvys.
Just MVHO Reply
Can the Dow and S&P Last 15 Rounds? [view article]
The Canroys are wasting assets. The high payout is an illusion. The investors are simply being paid back with their own capital while the Canroy managers cut a fat hog. ReplyCan the Dow and S&P Last 15 Rounds? [view article]
I'm not sure who seems to know less about Candian Trusts...the useless David Bui or paultaut in his comments above...Not everything will go down if the Dow goes down...Canadian Trusts like PWE will be able to increase dividends even if oil drops to $110 a barrel..very unlikely.Oil may be near a top at this point but natural gas certainly is far from one..and most CanRoys are largely gas oriented. It really pays to listen to someone who actually knows something in this area. Reply
Can the Dow and S&P Last 15 Rounds? [view article]
That fat lady is watching that ping pong ball herself. When that ball hits, she will start to sing. There will be a point when a mild panic will set in and the Dow will hit that 10,200 mark. Be ready because money will be made on the upswing. Any time frame you might want to add MR. Hottinger ? Great article. ReplyCan the Dow and S&P Last 15 Rounds? [view article]
Is staying in global mutual funds a bad idea? ReplyCan the Dow and S&P Last 15 Rounds? [view article]
Since the direction is Down, by buying an inverse ETF and holding it tru the normal Bear Market rallies you will not get burned. Its Insurance not a trade.The CanRoys are stocks trading on the Nyse, it doesn't matter whether they are over/under valued or the Country of Origin. As the Tide goes out only special situations have a chance of rising.
With Financial Institutions facing the reality of their unmarketable assets, they will continue to dump. Some will hold out and pray, like Goldman, so later quarters will feel the pain again.
For now, I would think a sustainable bear rally will be in the offing after the TooTs have their heads handed to them again. Reply
Can the Dow and S&P Last 15 Rounds? [view article]
Re: The 15% tax issue... Remember that you cannot take the credit if you hold these equities in your IRAs .. And do be aware of the Canadian tax issues on the horizon (2010 if I remember correctly ..)..Thx jegan ;-) Reply
Can the Dow and S&P Last 15 Rounds? [view article]
TERRIFIC piece! Buy GOLD and SILVER, take physical possession...and wait! ReplyCan the Dow and S&P Last 15 Rounds? [view article]
I have HTE and as oil goes up it goes down.Also PGH which is considered the better oil trust has been going down. Canada may raise their taxes in the near future and this may be what is having a negative effect on them. Reply