Thu, May 14, 5:01 PM| 1 Comment
Wed, May 13, 5:51 PM
- Mosaic (NYSE:MOS) selects James O'Rourke to succeed James Prokopanko as President and CEO, effective Aug. 5.
- O'Rourke has served as COO and executive VP of operations since 2012 after joining MOS in 2009; he had served as president of Barrick God's Australia Pacific unit.
- Prokopanko will remain as a senior adviser until his planned retirement in January 2016 to spend more time with his family following his treatment for cancer.
Mon, May 11, 3:04 PM
- Screening for the 10 S&P 500 companies which cut their float by the most in 2014, Wallace Witkowski finds just half have seen their stock prices outperform the average over past two years. Six out of ten saw an improvement in adjusted EPS; five out of ten an improvement in EPS.
- ADT Corp. (NYSE:ADT) reduced its share count by 18% - the most in the group - and has seen its stock price fall 16% over the last two years. Next is Cameron International (NYSE:CAM), which cut its float by 16% and saw its stock decline 19%. Mosaic (NYSE:MOS) has bought back 12% of its stock, but is down 30%.
- Success stories include CF Industries (NYSE:CF), cutting stock outstanding by 14% and posting a 62% gain in price. Juniper Networks (NYSE:JNPR) has bought back 10% of the float and is sporting a 57% gain.
- All ten of the companies increased their debt load alongside the buybacks.
- ETFs: PKW, SYLD, FYLD, IPKW, SPYB
Thu, Apr. 30, 8:58 AM
- Mosaic (NYSE:MOS) +0.2% premarket after Q1 earnings beat analyst estimates, although potash volumes fell because of issues with the North American spring fertilizer business.
- Q1 phosphate sales grew to $1.2B from $959M in the year-ago quarter, reflecting higher sales volume and higher finished-product prices, and phosphate sales volumes totaled 2.3M metric tons, on the higher end of the company’s expected range of 2.1M-2.3M.
- However, Q1 potash sales fell to $653M from $733M a year ago, and sales volume of 2M metric tons was on the low end of the company’s projection of 2M-2.3M metric tons, as "seasonal uncertainty during this time of year has been exacerbated by the delayed and compressed North American spring fertilizer applications."
- For Q2, MOS projects volumes of phosphate of 2.3M-2.7M metric tons vs. 2.6M last year, and sees potash volumes of 2M-2.4M metric tons vs. 2.5M a year ago.
Thu, Apr. 30, 6:01 AM
Tue, Apr. 14, 7:15 PM
- Goldman Sachs offers three criteria on how to pick stocks to short: Look for individual stocks with high valuations that have a tendency to underperform; take hints from mutual funds as they do a good job of selecting shorts; and look for stocks that are likely to move on company-specific factors and are less prone to moving with general market and sector trends.
- Among the overvalued stocks Goldman thinks could drop are CELG, ORLY and RHT; stocks underweight by mutual funds that could fall are HST, CTL and EQR; and likely to deviate from the broad market and their sectors are KLAC, JEC and COH.
- Rounding out Goldman's 19 stock recommendations that could reward short sellers: ARG, DO, DISCA, FLS, KSS, MOS, NDAQ, NVDA, TDC, WU.
Fri, Apr. 10, 11:59 AM
- Uralkali agrees to a less-than-planned $10/metric ton increase in potash sales this year to China, agreeing to supply 850K metric tons of potash at $315/metric ton on a cost and freight basis in 2015, equal to the price agreed by Belarussian Potash Co. with China in March.
- The Belarus contract has set a benchmark for other producers despite being criticized by Uralkali, which had been negotiating a $30 increase.
- Canpotex - the offshore potash sales arm of Potash Corp. (POT +0.6%), Mosaic (MOS -0.2%) and Agrium (AGU +0.7%) - signed a contract with China in late March but did not release price terms.
- Uralkali's 2014 contract had set out terms for supply of 700K metric tons of potash to China at $305.
Tue, Mar. 31, 12:34 PM
- The growing probability that China will devalue its currency could prove potentially “devastating" for fertilizer stocks because global nitrogen prices would plunge instantly with ammonia following in sympathy, Scotiabank's Ben Isaacson says.
- Potash demand destruction would be swift as Chinese farmers push back on soaring local prices required to cover unchanged U.S. dollar prices, although the phosphate market could be spared as lower-cost Chinese capacity would not be able to push non-integrated India producers off the cost curve, Isaacson says.
- "Commodities worldwide would suffer greatly,” the analyst says, noting that Agrium (AGU -1.1%) and Mosaic (MOS -0.9%) would be the better picks if a devaluation occurs but would still suffer “first-degree burns."
- Also: POT +0.4%, CF -1%, SQM -0.9%, IPI -0.5%.
Tue, Mar. 31, 7:56 AM
Mon, Mar. 30, 4:59 PM
- Mosaic (NYSE:MOS) says changes to Saskatchewan's potash production tax will cost it $80M-$100M in 2015, and it expects to update all guidance, including CRT and Canadian Royalties, in its Q1 earnings release on April 30.
- The provincial government said earlier this month that it will require potash mining companies to spread out tax deductions on capital spending over a longer period of time, in an effort to plug a C$661M ($525M) drop in revenue from lower oil prices.
- Potash Corp. (NYSE:POT) has said the changes will hurt its 2015 pre-tax earnings by C$75M-C$100M.
Mon, Mar. 30, 11:58 AM
- The Canpotex North American potash consortium says it has finalized 2015 supply contracts with all of its major customers in China.
- Canpotex says shipments to China will reach at least 1.8M metric tons, up from 1.6M in 2014, and may be as much as 2.5M metric tons, depending on supply, demand and logistics; the group does not release price terms but says the contracts are at "current competitive levels."
- Belarusian Potash said earlier this month it signed a contract with China to sell potash for $315/ton including shipping costs, which was $10 more than last year’s price.
- Canpotex represents Potash Corp. (POT +1.5%), Mosaic (MOS +2.6%) and Agrium (AGU +1.5%).
Thu, Mar. 19, 3:29 PM
- Shares of Potash (POT -4.1%) are sharply lower after the Saskatchewan government announced new tax measures in its budget, which the company warns could cut as much as $100M from its profit this year.
- POT says it is in the middle of a $6B investment in the province, and that any government change in the tax rules at this stage would be unfair to the company.
- Shares also are hurt as China and Belarus agreed to a $10/ton increase to $315/metric ton for H1 China potash shipments, disappointing major producers that had been publicly aiming for up to a 10% increase.
- Also: AGU -3.2%, MOS -2.1%, SQM -3.9%, IPI -5.2%.
Wed, Feb. 11, 9:09 AM
- Mosaic (NYSE:MOS) +1.4% premarket after Q4 earnings more than doubled on higher phosphate and potash sales in anticipation of the spring season.
- MOS expects strong demand to continue, as issues upbeat guidance for volumes of phosphate, its biggest revenue driver; for the current quarter, MOS projects phosphate volumes of 2.8M-3.1M tons vs. 2.7M tons in the year-ago quarter.
- Q4 phosphate sales rose 4% Y/Y to $1.6B, reflecting lower volume but higher finished-product prices; phosphate sales volumes totaled 3.3M tons, beating the company's expected range of 2.5M-2.8M tons.
- Q4 potash sales told the opposite story of higher volume and lower prices, rising 17% Y/Y to $763M; potash sales volumes totaled 2.3M tons, on the high end of the company's projection of 2M-2.3M tons.
- For the current quarter, MOS again expects potash sales volumes of 2M-2.3M tons, down from 2.4M tons last year.
Wed, Feb. 11, 7:03 AM
Tue, Feb. 10, 5:30 PM
Mon, Feb. 9, 12:59 PM
- Mosaic (MOS +0.9%) is upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight with a $56 price target at Morgan Stanley, which believes the company's phosphate assets are undervalued on an absolute basis.
- The firm also cites MOS' relative valuation relative to key peer Potash Corp. (NYSE:POT) as "too severe," and a balance sheet with spare capacity on both an absolute and relative basis.
- A key risk to the bullish thesis would be another large U.S. corn crop, Stanley says.
MOS vs. ETF Alternatives
Other News & PR