Yesterday, 5:32 PM
- Marvell (NASDAQ:MRVL) now expects FQ1 revenue of $710M-$740M, well below prior guidance of $810M-$830M and an $816.3M consensus. All other guidance has been withdrawn.
- The chipmaker blames "weaker than previously expected PC and storage markets and lower than expected emerging market demand." The former is presumably a reference to hard drive/SSD controller sales; the latter might be a reference to Chinese baseband chip sales.
- PC sales were down sharply in Q1, thanks in large part to weak corporate and Japanese demand. Meanwhile, analysts have voiced concerns about soft chip orders from Chinese smartphone OEMs.
- Shares have fallen to $13.50 AH. They fell 1.6% in regular trading after several peers offered soft guidance. Full FQ1 results arrive on May 21.
Yesterday, 2:03 PM
- Though the Nasdaq is up 0.7% thanks to market-pleasing earnings from Google, Microsoft, and Amazon, chip stocks (SOXX -2.1%) are adding to their Thursday losses after Freescale, Altera, Microsemi, and Maxim joined the ranks of chipmakers offering soft Q2 guidance; Texas Instruments, Xilinx, and Qualcomm did so on Wednesday afternoon.
- NXP (NXPI -4.3%), set to merge with Freescale in a cash/stock deal, is selling off ahead of its April 29 Q1 report. RF chipmakers Skyworks (SWKS -3.8%), Qorvo (QRVO -4.4%), and Avago (AVGO -5.2%) are also seeing steep declines.
- Other decliners include a slew of telecom/networking, microcontroller, and analog/mixed-signal chipmakers. The group includes Marvell (MRVL -3%), ON Semi (ON -6.9%), Atmel (ATML -3.3%), Cypress (CY -4%), Lattice (LSCC -3.9%), Semtech (SMTC -6.9%), Cavium (CAVM -6%), PMC-Sierra (PMCS -2.9%), InPhi (IPHI -3.8%), and Silicon Labs (SLAB -2.9%). Chip packaging/testing firm Amkor (AMKR -5.7%) is also off; its Q1 report arrives on Monday.
- As was the case with TI and Xilinx, soft telecom equipment chip demand was often blamed by those guiding light yesterday afternoon. Freescale (FSL -3.5%) stated it expects network processor division sales to be down Q/Q and RF (base station power amplifier) division sales to be flat. Microcontroller, automotive, analog, and sensor division sales are expected to rise.
- Altera (ALTR -3.3%) stated its "telecom and wireless business, and particularly our wireless business globally looks to be quite weak in [Q2], while the rest for our business will in aggregate be flat to slightly up." Regarding its Q1 miss, the company notes "Industrial, test, compute and storage, and to a lesser extent military, fell short of our forecast" (share loss to Xilinx?).
- Maxim reports seeing "broad-based softness in communications infrastructure demand" and soft industrial bookings to go with healthier mobile/auto demand. The Galaxy S6 appears to be giving a lift to Maxim's mobile sales.
- Chip ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
Thu, Feb. 19, 4:22 PM
- In addition to missing FQ4 revenue estimates (while slightly beating on EPS), Marvell (NASDAQ:MRVL) is guiding for FQ1 revenue of $810M-$830M and EPS of $0.17-$0.19, below a consensus of $884.2M and $0.22.
- As was the case three months ago, no explanation is given in the earnings release for Marvell's revenue miss or guidance. Deutsche recently argued weak Chinese smartphone baseband chip sales - Marvell faces competition from MediaTek, Qualcomm, and others - would pressure FQ4 results.
- Helping EPS beating estimates: FQ4 gross margin was 51.8%, up from 51% in FQ3 and 50.1% a year ago, and above guidance of 49.5%-51.5%. FQ1 GM guidance is also at 49.5%-51.5%. Also helping: GAAP operating expenses fell 1% Y/Y to $360.5M. Just $20M was spent on buybacks.
- Shares are down to $15.60 AH.
- FQ4 results, PR
Thu, Feb. 19, 4:08 PM| Comment!
Wed, Feb. 18, 5:35 PM
Thu, Jan. 29, 12:55 PM| 1 Comment
Nov. 21, 2014, 11:17 AM
- Though weak baseband processor sales are weighing on Marvell (NASDAQ:MRVL) near-term, management "expects their mobile business to turn around starting in the April quarter, and for mobile unit shipments to double y/y in FY16," notes Stifel's Kevin Cassidy. He's reiterating a Buy, albeit while cutting his target by $2 to $16 and voicing some concerns about ASP/margin erosion.
- RBC is also staying bullish, predicting mobile sales will rebound next year and that Marvell's $1.54B Carnegie Mellon infringement verdict will ultimately be lowered. The firm has also cut its target, and so have Nomura and Deutsche, but no downgrades have arrived.
- On the CC (transcript), CEO Sehat Sutardja mentioned mobile sales fell 13% Q/Q in FQ3 due to customer mix (read: weak Samsung demand) and a "shift from the carrier-driven models to the open market in China, which required full turnkey [platform] support." Turnkey revenue is expected to arrive in FQ2 of next year.
- Networking chip sales fell 7% Q/Q due to weak carrier capex, but is expected to be flat in FQ4. Storage revenue rose 3%, with both hard drive and SSD controller revenue growing. Marvell says it remains the top SSD controller vendor, and will begin seeing revenue from mobile SSD offerings next year.
- A mix shift away from mobile contributed to Marvell's better-than-expected gross margin.
- FQ3 results, guidance/details.
Nov. 20, 2014, 4:21 PM
- Marvell (NASDAQ:MRVL) expects FQ4 revenue of $880M-$900M and EPS of $0.22-$0.26, almost entirely below a consensus of $930.9M and $0.26.
- No explanation is given in the FQ3 report for the company's big revenue miss; analysts have raised concerns about Marvell's China-dependent baseband chip sales.
- Helping EPS meet estimates: FQ3 gross margin was 51%, +40 bps Q/Q and +70 bps Y/Y, and at the high end of a 49%-51% guidance range. FQ4 GM guidance is at 49.5%-51.5%.
- Also helping: GAAP opex fell 3% Y/Y to $359.6M, and $45M was spent on buybacks.
- FQ3 results, PR
Nov. 20, 2014, 4:06 PM| Comment!
Nov. 19, 2014, 5:35 PM
Oct. 31, 2014, 11:31 AM
- Three weeks after providing a calendar Q3 warning that triggered a massive chip stock rout, Microchip (MCHP +7.3%) has provided Q4 guidance that's in-line with lowered estimates. The microcontroller vendor, which has often seen trends emerge ahead of peers, also said it saw most of its inventory correction in Q3, and expects Q4 sales to be just "slightly below typical seasonal levels."
- Chip stocks are up strongly (SOXX +4%) on a day the Nasdaq is up 1.4%. Since Microchip's warning, a slew of analog chipmakers and microcontroller firms (e.g. Atmel, Freescale, STMicro, Intersil, Linear) have offered light Q4 guidance, and other firms have reported seeing high-end Android weakness (e.g. Synaptics, Cirrus Logic, Amkor).
- On the other hand, several mobile chipmakers (Skyworks, RF Micro, TriQuint, Silicon Motion), some of which have decent iPhone exposure, have provided strong results and/or guidance. Other chipmakers, such as Broadcom, Texas Instruments, and Xilinx, have rallied after delivering in-line guidance.
- Susquehanna's Chris Caso: "By now, we think it’s clear that the weakness MCHP saw in September is not company specific ... The question now is if the full extent of the weakness has been dialed into estimates. If it has, then this would be among the shortest and mildest downturns in many years."
- Notable gainers: SNDK +3.9%. MU +4.1%. AMAT +3.9%. TXN +4.7%. NXPI +3.9%. NVDA +3.5%. MXIM +4.7%. LLTC +5.1%. FCS +9.6%. FSL +8.8%. ADI +6.5%. TQNT +6.8%. RFMD +6.5%. ATML +5.9%. AVGO +5.1%. MRVL +4.7%. AMCC +8.9%. BRCM +3.6%. TSM +4.4%. ARMH +3.3%.
- Intel (INTC +3.5%) has recovered most of the losses it saw yesterday due to Intesil's (ISIL +3.3%) results and guidance, and related comments about a PC chip inventory correction.
- Chip ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
Aug. 22, 2014, 6:33 PM
- Down initially in response to its soft FQ3 guidance, Marvell (MRVL +1.7%) finished the day moderately higher. Brean and RBC lowered their targets, but both maintain bullish ratings.
- On the FQ2 CC (transcript), CEO Sehat Sutardja mentioned both FQ2 and FQ3 sales have been hurt by soft 3G baseband chip demand from a major Asian client (widely believed to be Samsung). At the same time, he noted both Marvell's storage (hard drive/SSD controller) and networking chip sales rose 6% Q/Q.
- Flat to "modest" Q/Q growth is expected for both storage and networking in FQ3. Sutardja states Marvell maintains a 60%+ hard drive controller share, and remains the top supplier of SSD controllers (no specific number is given).
- FBR's Chris Rolland thinks some investors will view the 3G weakness as "neutral to positive," given the business carries "significantly below average" margins and profitability. "At some point, we believe investors will look past the 'distraction' that is mobile and recognize the solid storage and networking business underneath, but timing remains uncertain."
- UBS' Stephen Chin is more cautious: He thinks getting Marvell's baseband ops (heavily dependent on China) to reach breakeven will "remain challenging," given demand is shifting towards 4G phones faster than Marvell can ramp 4G baseband volumes, and that Qualcomm and MediaTek provide tough competition. Broadcom can sympathize.
Aug. 21, 2014, 4:38 PM
- Though Marvell (NASDAQ:MRVL) posted in-line FQ2 revenue and beat EPS estimates, it's guiding for FQ3 revenue of $960M-$1B and EPS of $0.29 (+/- $0.02), below a consensus of $1.01B and $0.32. No explanation is provided in the earnings release for the outlook.
- FQ2 gross margin was 50.6%, +180 bps Q/Q and -140 bps Y/Y, and near the high end of a 49%-51% guidance range (drove the EPS beat). FQ3 GM guidance is also at 49%-51%.
- GAAP opex fell 2% Y/Y to $363.4M (compares with a slight revenue increase), with R&D spend nearly flat at $294.8M. No buybacks were carried out.
- FQ2 results, PR
Aug. 21, 2014, 4:08 PM| Comment!
Aug. 20, 2014, 5:35 PM
May. 22, 2014, 4:38 PM
- Marvell (MRVL) expects FQ2 revenue of $940M-$980M and EPS of $0.26-$0.30, largely above a consensus of $930.1M and $0.26.
- FQ1 gross margin was 48.8%, -130 bps Q/Q and -580 bps Y/Y, and missing guidance of 49%-51%. That resulted in EPS only moderately beating estimates in spite of a huge revenue beat. Nonetheless, Marvell has set an FQ2 guidance range of 49%-51%.
- Better-than-expected demand for Marvell's 4G LTE baseband processors contributed to the revenue beat. The company recently began shipping products for this market, which has long been dominated by Qualcomm, and has scored design wins with Chinese OEMs.
- Opex rose 4% Y/Y, well below rev. growth of 30%. No buybacks take place in the quarter.
- MRVL -0.7% AH. FQ1 results, PR
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