Tue, Jan. 20, 7:34 AM
- Excluding DVA, Q4 income from continuing operations of $903M or $0.40 per share vs. $336M and $0.15 one year ago.
- Institutional Securities net revenue excluding DVA of $3.2B vs. $3.7B one year ago, with pretax loss of $1.08B vs. pretax loss of $880M one year ago. Advisory revenues of $488M vs. $451M, thanks to boosted M&A activity. Equity sales and trading revenue of $1.6B vs. $1.5B. FICC revenue (excl.DVA) of $599M vs. $694M (-13.7%).
- Wealth Management revenue of $3.8B vs. $3.7B one year ago, and pretax income of $736M vs. $715M. Asset management fee revenue of $2.1B vs. $2B. Transactional revenues of $976M vs. $1.1B. Net interest income of $625M vs. $526M. Compensation expense of $2.3B vs. $2.1B. Total client assets more than $2T at year's end, with those in fee-based accounts of $785B up 13%. WM reps of $16,076 slips from $16,456.
- Investment Management revenue of $588M vs. $858M one year ago, with pretax loss of $6M vs. profit of $331M.
- Previously: Morgan Stanley misses by $0.08, misses on revenue (Jan. 20)
- MS -2% premarket
Mon, Jan. 5, 11:13 AM
- A now former Morgan Stanley (MS -3.2%) employee stole partial client data on up to 10% of all Wealth Management clients, and certain account information of roughly 900 clients - including account names and numbers - was briefly posted on the Internet. The stolen data does not include passwords or social security numbers.
- The exposure was quickly detected by Morgan, and removed.
- Source: Press Release
Dec. 9, 2014, 8:52 AM
- A check of the other major banks premarket amid a global selloff of some note and BofA's Brian Moynihan's warning about sluggish Q4 trading revenue finds JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) -1.5%, Citigroup (NYSE:C) -1.5%, Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) -1.2%, Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) -1.7%, and Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) -1.5%.
- XLF -1.1%
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, VFH, IYF, IAI, SEF, IYG, FXO, FNCL, FINU, KCE, RWW, RYF, KBWC, FINZ
Oct. 17, 2014, 3:03 PM
- "We view this as a great quarter, which demonstrates good progress on both production and efficiency. We continue to like Morgan Stanley (MS +1.8%) and its peers, and believe the recent pullback represents an attractive buying opportunity. We expect a good Q4 follow-through, and believe CCAR capital returns will be increased in the next couple of cycles as excess capital builds," says MKM's David Trone.
- "The beat was entirely driven by the top-line which came in $0.15 higher due to better than expected investment banking, FICC, and equities," says Citi's Keith Horowitz and Chris Larmoyeux. The beat despite the high bar for capital markets names, he says, bodes well for the stock, particularly given the recent sizable selloff.
- Previously: Morgan Stanley higher after earnings beat
Oct. 17, 2014, 7:30 AM
- Q3 income from continuing operations (excluding DVA) of $1.6B of $0.77 per share vs. $1B and $0.50 one year ago. This year's Q boosted by net discrete tax benefit of $237M or $0.12 per share.
- Institutional Securities pre-tax income from continuing operations of $1.2B vs. $396M a year ago. Advisory revenue of $392M vs. $275M thanks to boosted M&A activity. Equity underwriting revenue of $464M vs. $236M thanks to boosted IPO activity. FICC net revenue of $997M vs. $835M (about inline with what a few other banks posted). Compensation expense of $1.8B vs. $1.6B.
- Wealth Management pre-tax income of $836M vs. $668M a year ago, on net revenue of $3.8B vs. $3.5B. Asset management fees of $2.2B vs. $1.9B. Net interest income of $601M vs. $493M thanks to higher deposits and loan balances. Compensation expense of $2.2B vs. $2B. Wealth managers of 16,162 fell from 16,517, with average annualized revenue per advisor of $932K up 10%.
- Investment Management pre-tax income of $188M vs. $300M a year ago.
- Tangible book value per share of $29.25. Roughly $195M of stock repurchased during Q, or 5.9M shares.
- MS +2.8% premarket
- Previously: Morgan Stanley beats by $0.23, beats on revenue
Sep. 17, 2014, 3:16 PM
- Leading markets higher as the reality of higher interest rates gets nearer is the financial sector (XLF +0.9%). Whether its banks, brokerages, or insurers, a higher benchmark rate for some time has been considered a key bullish catalyst. An especially large move is being seen in the online brokerage names who have been forced to forego money market fees for years thanks to ZIRP: E*Trade (ETFC +3%), Schwab(SCHW +3.2%), Ameritrade (AMTD +2%).
- Morgan Stanley (MS +1.8%), Bank of America (BAC +1.2%), JPMorgan (JPM +0.9%)
- U.S. Bancorp (USB +1.1%), Regions Financial (RF +2%), New York Community Bank (NYCB +0.8%), Huntington Bancshares (HBAN +1.3%), KeyCorp (KEY +1.3%)
- MetLife (MET +0.6%), Voya Financial (VOYA +0.7%).
- Chubb(CB +0.4%), AIG (AIG +1.1%), Hartford (HIG +0.8%)
- Financial sector ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, KIE, IAT, SEF, IYG, IAK, FXO, KBWB, FNCL, RKH, QABA, FINU, KRU, KBWR, RWW, KBWP, RYF, KBWI, KRS, FINZ
Sep. 9, 2014, 12:24 PM
- The Fed intends to impose a capital surcharge on banks tougher than the international standard, according to Fed Governor Daniel Tarullo's prepared remarks for the Senate Banking Committee. Those banks with heavier reliance on short-term funding like overnight loans - i.e. Goldman Sachs (GS -1%) and Morgan Stanley (MS -1.8%) - will likely face even more rigorous requirements.
- Officials haven't yet decided on a number, but reportedly are considering as much as 200 basis points more than the top range of 2.5% of risk-weighted assets agreed to by international regulators.
- What's not yet clear is who would need to raise capital to meet the new, tougher standard.
- Citigroup (C -1%), Bank of America (BAC -0.6%), JPMorgan (JPM -1.3%), Wells Fargo (WFC -0.4%), State Street (STT -1.1%), Bank of New York Mellon (BK -0.9%)
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, VFH, IYF, IAI, SEF, IYG, FXO, FNCL, FINU, KCE, RWW, RYF, KBWC, FINZ
Sep. 5, 2014, 9:46 AM
Jul. 17, 2014, 7:33 AM
- Excluding DVA, income of $1.9B or $0.91 per share vs. $900M and $0.37 one year ago. The quarter also included a discrete tax benefit of $609M - excluding that brings income down to roughly $1.3B and $0.60 per share, so the "beat" is closer to a nickel.
- Institutional Securities pre-tax income of $927M vs. $806M one year ago on roughly flat revenue of $4.16B (excl. DVA). FICC revenue of $1B slips from $1.2B, partially offset by higher advisory revenue. Equity sales and trading revenue of $1.8B was about flat. Compensation expense slipped by $100M to $1.7B.
- Wealth Management pre-tax income of $767M rises from $655M a year ago on revenue of $3.715B up from $3.531B. Pre-tax margin rises above 20%, coming in at 21%.
- Investment Management pre-tax income of $205M up from $160M a year ago on revenue of $692M up from $673M. AUM of $396B up from $347B thanks to market appreciation and positive flows.
- About $284M or 9.3M shares of stock repurchased during quarter. Morgan has approval from the Fed for $1B in buybacks through the end of 2015 Q1.
- MS +2.2% premarket
- Previously: Morgan Stanley beats by $0.35, beats on revenue
May. 5, 2014, 10:20 AM
- A check of the global banks finds the group pacing market declines in morning action after Friday night's warning on Q2 trading revenue from JPMorgan (JPM -2.2%).
- Nomura's Steven Chubak is first out with lower JPMorgan earnings estimates.
- Jim Cramer sums up sentiment: "This has been a house of pain. You can't own these right now. You just can't."
- Morgan Stanley (MS -1.9%), Goldman Sachs (GS -1.5%), Citigroup (C -1.2%), and Bank of America (BAC -1%), Deutsche Bank (DB -1.2%). Far less trading dependent than the other Too Big Too Fails is Wells Fargo (WFC -0.2%).
- The iShares DJ U.S. Broker-Dealer ETF (IAI -1.2%)
- XLF -0.7%, KBE -0.8%
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, VFH, IYF, IAI, SEF, IYG, PFI, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, FINU, KCE, RWW, RYF, PSCF, FINZ, KBWC
Apr. 17, 2014, 12:15 PM
- On the surface, Morgan Stanley's (MS +3.5%) Q1 results appear far better than those of Goldman Sachs (GS +0.6%), with FICC revenues up 9% Y/Y vs. a decline at Goldman. But Oppenheimer's Chris Kotowski notes Morgan had an especially easy comparison since 2013 Q1 was particularly weak. "Nonetheless, it is always nice to see year-over-year growth, and Morgan Stanley's is the best we have seen so far."
- Kotwoski also takes note of return on tangible common equity - 11.1% at Goldman vs. 10.9% at Morgan. Despite the lower ROE, Morgan trades for 10.3x 2015 estimates vs. 9.4x for Goldman. Investors may want to have to take a harder look at which one to buy.
Apr. 17, 2014, 9:20 AM
- On the surprising strength in FICC revenues in Q1, Morgan Stanley (MS) CFO Ruth Porat - speaking on the earnings call - says weather-related volatility played a big factor in strong commodity business, but credit corporates and mortgages continued to be strong areas for the bank.
- On HFT: “We’ve advocated for increased transparency and trading protocol ... So we welcome ongoing enhancement (in) equity market structure."
- Asked by Mike Mayo to break out the numbers in prime brokerage, Porat declines, saying it's not company policy to break out components within units. "Client balances and revenues are up quarter over quarter and year over year ... (the) highest balances since the crisis."
- Live blog of call
- Shares +2.5% premarket
Apr. 17, 2014, 7:09 AM
- Morgan Stanley (MS) was firing in Q1, with revenue (excl. DVA adjustment) of $8.8B up from $8.5B a year ago, and income from continuing operations of $1.4B or $0.68 per share comparing to $1.2B or $0.60 per share a year ago.
- Wealth Management pre-tax income of $691M on revenue of $3.62B compares to $597M on revenue of $3.47B in last year's Q1. Pre-tax margin of 19%.
- Even FICC is cranking, with revenue of $1.7B up from $1.5B a year ago. This compares to declines at Citi and JPMorgan (though BofA showed an increase). We'll see later this morning what Goldman reports. Prior to earnings season, both Goldman and Morgan were thought to be especially vulnerable to a slowdown in trading revenue.
- Tier 1 Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio of 14.1%. Tangible book value per share of $27.41.
- Q1 results, press release
- Shares +4.4% premarket
Mar. 20, 2014, 10:54 AM
- Much of the financial sector is lit up bright green, continuing to outperform following yesterday's suggestion by the FOMC and Janet Yellen that rate hikes could come sooner than expected. XLF +1.1%, KBE +1.6%, KRE +1.6%.
- At new 52-week or even multi-year highs are JPMorgan (JPM +2.3%), Wells Fargo (WFC +1.7%), Morgan Stanley (MS +1.4%), and Bank of America (BAC +1.6%).
- Regional lenders: U.S. Bancorp (USB +1%), Huntington (HBAN +1.5%), PNC (PNC +1.3%), BB&T (BBT +1.5%), Fifth Third (FITB +1.8%), First Niagara (FNFG +2.1%).
- Leading among the life insurers are Lincoln National (LNC +1.9%), Protective Life (PL +1.6%), Manulife (MFC +1.2%), and Sun Life (SLF +1.1%).
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, KIE, IAT, SEF, IYG, IAK, FXO, PFI, KBWB, RKH, QABA, FNCL, FINU, KRU, RWW, KBWR, RYF, PSCF, KBWI, KBWP, KRS, FINZ
Mar. 5, 2014, 3:42 PM
- Buying the rumor? On a flattish day for the major averages, the Too Big To Fail banks are ignoring a continued slowdown in markets revenue this quarter, and instead partying ahead of what may be the imminent release of the Fed's stress test results (perhaps Friday). About one week later will be CCAR results at which the Fed gives the thumbs up or thumbs down on the banks' capital return plans.
- Word is the tests are tougher this year, but bank capital levels are also improved.
- Leading today is Bank of America (BAC +3%) - now within about one percent of a 4-year high. Others: Morgan Stanley (MS +2.8%), Goldman Sachs (GS +1.8%), Ciitgroup (C +1%), JPMorgan (JPM +1.5%), and Wells Fargo (WFC +0.6%).
- Also subject to the stress tests are a number of regional lenders, not to mention credit card players - they're mixed in today's action.
- Related ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, IAI, IAT, SEF, IYG, FXO, PFI, KBWB, RKH, QABA, FNCL, FINU, KCE, KRU, RWW, KBWR, RYF, PSCF, KRS, FINZ, KBWC
Jan. 17, 2014, 7:36 AM
- Ex-special items, Morgan earned $0.50 per share vs. estimates of $0.45.
- Institutional Securities pre-tax loss of $1.1B compares to pre-tax income of $78M a year ago, but includes legal expenses of $1.2B this quarter. Excluding DVA, revenue of $3.7B rose from $3.6B a year ago. Advisory revenue of $451M about flat Y/Y. Equity underwriting revenue of $416M up form $238M a year ago, while fixed income underwriting revenue of $495M compares to $534M last year. Compensation expense of $1.6B is unchanged from last year.
- FICC revenue of $694M falls 14.4% from $811M a year ago, a bit worse than expectations - maybe a combination of a greater focus on wealth management or losing share to others (Goldman), or both.
- Wealth Management pre-tax income of $709M vs. $562M a year ago on revenue of $3.7B vs. $3.3B. Asset management fees of $2B up 7% Y/Y, transactional revenue of $1.1B up 11.6%.
- Investment Management pre-tax income of $337M vs. $221M a year ago. Pre-tax margin of 40%.
- CC at 10 ET
- Press release
- MS +1.9% premarket
MS vs. ETF Alternatives
Morgan Stanley is a financial services firm that, through its subsidiaries and affiliates, provides its products and services to a diversified group of clients and customers, including corporations, governments, financial institutions and individuals.
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